Paul Smedberg & Jennifer Zeitzer. Nov. 10, 2010
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1 Appropriations & Elections Update Paul Smedberg & Jennifer Zeitzer Ad H G T H ll M ti Ad Hoc Group Town Hall Meeting Nov. 10, 2010
2 All Congresses and Parliaments have a kindly feeling for idiots, and a compassion for them, on account of personal experience and heredity. - Mark Twain's Autobiography
3 Status of FY 2011 Bills CR until Dec. 3 rd ; likelihood of a second CR through Dec. 24 th 25 th Rumor that staff is close to a compromise of FY 11 numbers at FY 09 Budget Resolution level, with some "anomalies House Republicans want cuts to FY 08 levels Possible action week of Dec. 6 th -??? Better likelihood lih of being postponed until Feb/March GOP warning to Democrats no lame-duck spending spree
4 Impact of Elections (as of Nov. 9 th ) Republicans control House (7 races undecided) Democrats control Senate (AK race undecided) & White House This mix of divided government not seen since the Civil War 16 new members in Senate; loss of veteran dealmakers (Lincoln, Bayh, Feingold, Voinovich, Gregg, etc.) 90+ House Freshmen; 50% of Blue Dogs retired/defeated Rep. Greg Walden (OR) chairing 22-member GOP Transition Team 3 work groups: House Republican Conference Rules, House Schedule, House Rules
5 Republicans Projected House Leadership Elections Nov. 17 th Speaker: John Boehner (OH) Maj. Leader: Eric Cantor (VA) Maj. Whip: Kevin McCarthy (CA) Conf. Chair: Jeb Hensarling (TX) Freshman Leadership Liaison: Kristi Noem (SD) -?? Democrats Elections Nov. 18 th Min. Leader: Nancy Pelosi (CA) Min. Whip: Steny Hoyer (MD) * Caucus Chair: John Larson (CT) Caucus Vice Chair: Xavier Becerra (CA) * Currently being challenged by James Clyburn (SC).
6 Projected Senate Leadership Democrats Elections l expected Nov. 16 th Maj. Leader: Harry Reid (NV) Maj. j Whip: Richard Durbin (IL) Conf. Vice Chair: Chuck Schumer (NY) Republicans Elections expected Nov. 16 th Min. Leader: Mitch McConnell (KY) Min. Whip: Jon Kyl (AZ) Conf. Chair: Lamar Alexander (TN)
7 New House Committee Leadership Appropriations Chair: Jerry Lewis * (CA) vs. Hal Rogers (KY) Ranking Member: Norm Dicks (WA) vs. Chaka Fattah (PA) Budget Chair: Paul Ryan (WI) Ranking Member:?? - Allyson Schwartz (PA) current vice chair Energy & Commerce Committee Chair: Fred Upton (MI) vs. John Shimkus (IL)/ Cliff Stearns (FL) Ranking Member: Henry Waxman (CA) * Seeking waiver of GOP term limit rule
8 New Senate Committee Leadership Appropriations Chair: Daniel Inouye (HI) Ranking Member: Richard Shelby (AL) Budget Chair: Kent Conrad (ND) * -?? Ranking k Member: Jeff Sessions (AL) HELP Chair: Tom Harkin (IA) * -?? Ranking Member: Mike Enzi (WY) * Depends on what happens with other committee chairmanships e.g. Agriculture, HELP, etc.
9 Outlook for 112 th Congress Budget & tax issues will test partisanship p Vote to increase debt ceiling likely in first quarter of 2011 Fiscal Commission recommendations due Dec. 1 st Increased level of gridlock expected Narrower margins in Senate will further complicate the math to find 60 votes Republican Agenda: Repeal health care reform bill Extend 2001 & 2003 tax cuts for all earners Cut domestic discretionary spending Moratorium on earmarks in House; not clear that Senate will agree
10 Prospects for FY 2012 (and Beyond) House Republican Pledge to America proposed $100 billion in spending cuts OMB directed agencies to submit FY 12 budget requests 5% the FY 11 discretionary total Flat funding for NIH is probably the high water mark Will the Appropriations trains run on time?
11 Lessons From the Last Revolution I m not dead yet! [Monty Python] Budget for NIH doubled d last time Republicans controlled the House There was bipartisan support for science (Porter, Gingrich, Hatfield, Mack, Harkin, Obey, etc.) Individuals, more than parties, are crucial for our issues e.g. R s & D s who support stem cell research (Sen. Hatch, Rep. DeGette) We have an opportunity to educate about the value of NIH
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