CHRISTIE, CLINTON TIED IN 2016 WHITE HOUSE RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; DEMS LOSE 9-POINT EDGE TO TIE GOP IN 2014 HOUSE RACES

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1 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (561) Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: NOVEMBER 13, 2013 CHRISTIE, CLINTON TIED IN 2016 WHITE HOUSE RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; DEMS LOSE 9-POINT EDGE TO TIE GOP IN 2014 HOUSE RACES In an early look at the 2016 presidential campaign, 43 percent of American voters back New Jersey s Republican Governor, Christopher Christie, while 42 percent back former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Ms. Clinton has leads of nine points or more against other possible Republican contenders, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds: percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky; percent over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas; percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin. The gender gap in the Christie-Clinton matchup is obvious: women go to the Democrat percent while men go Republican percent. Independent voters go to Christie percent, with Democrats for Clinton 85 6 percent and Republicans for Christie 85 5 percent. White voters back Christie percent with Clinton ahead percent among black voters and percent among Hispanic voters. It s a long way off and no one is officially a candidate yet, but the Hillary Clinton-Chris Christie race to the White House is neck-and-neck before the campaign even saddles up, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Sen. Rand Paul, Vice President Joseph Biden, those other guys better get cracking or they might as well head back to the stables. American voters say percent that Hillary Clinton would make a good president and say the same about Christie, percent. But Vice President Joseph Biden, Paul, Cruz and Ryan would not make a good president, voters say. -more-

2 Quinnipiac University Poll/November 13, 2013 page 2 Voters are divided percent on whether they would vote for a Democrat or a Republican in their Congressional district, down from a percent Democratic advantage in an October 1 Quinnipiac University poll. Independent voters shift from 32 percent for Democrats and 30 percent for Republicans October 1 to percent Republican today. Voters still disapprove of Republicans in Congress, percent, more than they disapprove of Democrats, percent. Disapproval runs high for Congressional leaders as well: percent disapproval for House Speaker John Boehner; percent disapproval for House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi; percent disapproval for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid; percent disapproval for Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. In Washington today, it comes down to who the voters dislike the least, said Malloy. There are no heroes. Gay Discrimination and Immigration American voters support percent, including percent of Republicans, a bill to ban workplace discrimination against gay men, lesbians and transgender people. There is no group opposed to this bill. Illegal immigrants should be allowed to stay in the U.S. and eventually apply for U.S. citizenship, 57 percent of voters say. Another 12 percent say illegal immigrants should be allowed to stay, with no path to citizenship, while 26 percent say illegal immigrants should be forced to leave. From November 6 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,545 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit call (203) , or follow us on Twitter. 2

3 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Republican 39% 88% 1% 37% 43% 35% 46% 8% 35% Democratic SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Republican 8% 28% 69% 34% 43% 46% 37% 38% 39% 41% Democratic SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (* Low Dem advantage also 0% May 2013) DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE Nov 13 Oct 01 Aug 02 Jul 12 May 30 Oct 01 Nov * Republican Democratic SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Approve 20% 44% 6% 15% 20% 19% 21% 11% 19% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 5% 15% 33% 22% 16% 19% 25% 16% 20% 21% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (* High also 34% Mar 2011, Mar 2010) APPROVE... Nov 13 Oct 01 Aug 02 Jul 12 May 30 Mar 31 Oct * 2013 Approve Disapprove DK/NA

4 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Approve 30% 5% 66% 20% 27% 34% 25% 58% 35% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 58% 34% 10% 33% 28% 33% 28% 31% 30% 30% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (* Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011) APPROVE... Nov 13 Oct 01 Aug 02 Jul 12 May 30 Mar 4 Nov * Approve Disapprove DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 42% 5% 85% 32% 35% 48% 35% 77% 46% Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 80% 45% 15% 48% 39% 34% 43% 42% 44% 38% Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Christopher Christie) Nov 13 Oct 02 Jul 12 Mar * Clinton Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

5 7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 49% 10% 92% 43% 43% 54% 42% 83% 51% Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 84% 60% 17% 53% 47% 47% 45% 50% 51% 48% Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Nov 13 Oct 02 Jul 12 May Clinton Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 51% 11% 93% 47% 45% 57% 44% 88% 55% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 86% 65% 18% 56% 48% 51% 52% 53% 52% 47% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Nov 13 Oct Clinton Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 7 9 5

6 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 49% 8% 93% 44% 44% 55% 42% 87% 53% Ryan SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 88% 61% 16% 55% 47% 46% 50% 50% 51% 47% Ryan SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote? Nov 13 Mar Clinton Ryan SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 DK/NA Do you think - Chris Christie would make a good President or not? Yes 49% 64% 37% 53% 54% 44% 53% 35% 40% No DK/NA Yes 36% 55% 54% 44% 51% 57% 41% 48% 52% 52% No DK/NA Do you think - Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not? Yes 54% 20% 91% 49% 48% 59% 48% 86% 58% No DK/NA Yes 87% 65% 25% 58% 53% 53% 54% 56% 55% 50% No DK/NA

7 12. Do you think - Joe Biden would make a good President or not? Yes 25% 7% 51% 19% 23% 28% 21% 51% 31% No DK/NA Yes 48% 29% 10% 28% 25% 25% 29% 24% 25% 25% No DK/NA Do you think - Rand Paul would make a good President or not? Yes 32% 55% 7% 35% 37% 26% 35% 10% 37% No DK/NA Yes 11% 21% 55% 30% 34% 32% 32% 32% 31% 30% No DK/NA Do you think - Ted Cruz would make a good President or not? Yes 24% 47% 3% 25% 28% 19% 26% 8% 22% No DK/NA Yes 5% 12% 46% 22% 26% 24% 22% 22% 24% 25% No DK/NA Do you think - Paul Ryan would make a good President or not? Yes 34% 67% 7% 37% 40% 29% 39% 14% 27% No DK/NA Yes 10% 25% 60% 30% 38% 42% 31% 35% 35% 36% No DK/NA

8 16. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Favorable 38% 4% 82% 28% 35% 41% 31% 72% 40% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 74% 44% 11% 40% 36% 38% 39% 38% 38% 37% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? FAVORABLE... Nov 13 May 30 Apr 03 Jul 11 Apr 19 Nov 12 Apr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Favorable 31% 74% 3% 27% 34% 28% 36% 4% 33% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 7% 24% 53% 27% 30% 38% 32% 30% 31% 32% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? (* Low also 25% Jul 2009) FAVORABLE... Nov 13 May 30 Apr 03 Jul 11 Apr 19 Nov 22 Oct * Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

9 18. Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Favorable 27% 48% 5% 30% 32% 22% 30% 9% 22% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 5% 14% 54% 23% 30% 29% 19% 27% 29% 28% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? FAVORABLE... Nov 13 May 30 Apr 03 Nov 23 Nov 03 Nov 17 Apr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Boehner is handling his job as Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives? Approve 26% 46% 14% 25% 26% 26% 29% 12% 30% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 14% 22% 39% 27% 23% 29% 28% 23% 26% 31% Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Nancy Pelosi is handling her job as Minority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives? Approve 31% 9% 61% 23% 29% 33% 26% 52% 39% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 60% 36% 10% 33% 29% 35% 29% 33% 32% 29% Disapprove DK/NA

10 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mitch McConnell is handling his job as Minority Leader of the U.S. Senate? Approve 27% 36% 22% 28% 31% 24% 28% 26% 29% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 20% 27% 33% 27% 27% 33% 25% 25% 28% 32% Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Harry Reid is handling his job as Majority Leader of the U.S. Senate? Approve 27% 13% 48% 20% 28% 25% 25% 35% 36% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 45% 30% 13% 28% 26% 31% 21% 27% 29% 30% Disapprove DK/NA Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for US citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S. A) Stay/Citizenship 57% 44% 72% 55% 56% 59% 54% 70% 68% B) Stay/Not citizen C) Not stay DK/NA A) Stay/Citizenship 76% 61% 43% 59% 60% 56% 63% 59% 56% 55% B) Stay/Not citizen C) Not stay DK/NA

11 TREND: Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for US citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S. Nov 13 Jul 12 May 31 May 02 Apr 04 Feb 07 Dec A)Stay/Citizenship B)Stay/Not citizen C)Not stay DK/NA There is a bill in Congress to outlaw workplace discrimination against gay men, lesbians and transgender people. Do you support or oppose this bill? Support 66% 53% 81% 67% 63% 70% 66% 67% 70% Oppose DK/NA Support 87% 76% 47% 65% 69% 71% 77% 69% 65% 59% Oppose DK/NA

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