Coverage on Domestic Freight Transportation Services. Improving macroeconomic indicators to sustain domestic freight growth over next five years

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1 Coverage on Spotlight Improving macroeconomic indicators to sustain domestic freight growth over next five years The Indian economy is slated to register a healthy growth of 8-9 per cent in GDP over the next five years. With this, domestic freight transportation demand is expected to register a healthy CAGR of 9-11 per cent until , primarily driven by improvement in the macroeconomic environment and subsequent revival in freight availability. In terms of modal mix, roads share is set to rise with infrastructure bottlenecks in the rail capacities.

2 O pinion Demand Overall freight demand (BTKM terms) What is the expected growth in domestic primary freight demand? What are the key drivers of primary freight demand and outlook on them? What are the bottlenecks of the freight transport industry? What is the impact of growth in primary freight demand on domestic road freight transport industry? Rail What is the current volume of rail freight traffic and what is the outlook for the same over the next five years? Why is rail preferred over roads for bulk transportation? Roads What is the current volume of domestic road freight traffic and what is the outlook for the same over the next five years? What are the key drivers of growth in road freight traffic? Commodity-wise modal-mix (Bulk) Fertilizers Coal Cement

3 Foodgrains Steel Iron ore POL Profitability Transporter profitability for LFO's How have utilisation levels and margins of transporters moved over the past few years? What is current capacity utilisation level and margins of LFOs and outlook for the same?

4 I ndustry Information Commodity-wise supply-chain structure What is the transportation modal mix of all major bulk commodities? How is the transportation value chain different for the seven major bulk commodities? How do cost dynamics differ for different modal mix across major bulk commodities? Roads Industry structure and participants What is the industry definition, classification and structure of the road freight transportation industry? Who are the key participants of the road freight transportation industry? What is the role played by each of the participants in the road freight transport industry? Business model: SFOs and LFOs What is the ownership pattern of SFOs and LFOs? What are the key characteristics of an SFO and LFO? What is the business model of SFOs and LFOs? Framework for assessing transporter profitability What is the framework for analysing transporter profitability? What are the key variables that impact profitability and what role do they play in determining transporter profitability? What makes LFOs better suited to demand slowdown as compared to SFOs? Role of intermediaries What is the role of brokers in the road freight transportation industry and their compensation? What is the role of intermediaries in road freight transport industry in the long run? What is the difference in the role of fleet operators as compared to booking agents? What is the role played by booking agents in freight transportation and what is their compensation?

5 Determination of freight rates What are the key factors that contribute/influence determination of road freight rates? What is the freight charging mechanism, freight agreement and various freight transactions? How have road freight rates moved over the past few years? What is the methodology used by CRISIL Research to determine road freight rates? Railways Railways Overview What are the infrastructure bottlenecks faced by the Indian Railways? What are the key factors impacting growth in rail movement in the country? What is the composition of rail traffic in the country? Regulatory Framework What is the regulatory framework governing performance of the Indian Railways? What are the key regulations and policies impacting/guiding operation of Indian Railways? Infrastructure investments Roads What were the key developments in road infrastructure in India over the last few years? What is National Highway Development Program and how has it progressed? What is the current investment in the road sector and which are the key projects? Railways What is the planned investment for Indian railways under the Eleventh Five Year Plan for various investment categories? What recent initiatives have been undertaken by Indian Railways towards improving rail infrastructure? How will the investments and initiatives be funded? What is the DFC project of the Indian Railways and its status of its implementation? Regulations Motor Vehicles Act What is the Motor Vehicles Act 1988? What regulatory requirements have to be met under the Motor Vehicles Act, 1988? What are the emission norms, weight norms and age norms that have to be followed for different categories of vehicles?

6 The Motor Transport Workers Act, 1961 What are the key regulatory requirements under the Motor Transport Workers Act, 1961? What are the implications of the Motor Transport Workers Act, 1961 for transporters? The Carriers Act, 1865 What are the key provisions of the Carriers Act, 1865? What is the Carriage by the Road Act, 2007 and what were the key changes proposed by this Act? Other regulatory compliances What are the various taxes and regulatory compliances which have to be met by transporters? Framework for determination of freight movement What is the framework of analysis for total freight movement? What is the methodology used for the determination of freight movement?

7 P layer Profiles Delhi Assam Roadways Corporation Ltd Gati Ltd Patel Integrated Logistics Ltd Reliance Logistics Ltd Transport Corporation of India Ltd VRL Logistics Ltd Balurghat Technologies Ltd Chartered Logistics Ltd Coastal Roadways Ltd Frontline Corporation Ltd D ata and Statistics Operator Profitability Macroeconomic Indicators Demand Indicators

8 T hematic Studies Automobile Transportation What is the current state of automobile transportation in the country? What are the current cost economics of transportation of automobiles by rail and by road? What are the AFTO and auto hub policies of Indian Railways? Is it feasible for a private player to enter into these policies and what will be the impact of the implementation of these policies? Containerisation Container cargo outlook What is the break-up of Exim and domestic container traffic transported by rail and road? What are the rail and road freight rates applicable over key routes for transportation of container cargo? What is the estimated size of rail and road container traffic in value terms and what is the short-term outlook for the same? What is the methodology for estimating the size of the container freight industry? Containerisation in India Why is containerisation gaining wider acceptance as a mode of transportation? What are the key drivers of containerised cargo in India? How has the container cargo segment performed over the last five years? Express Cargo What is express cargo and what are the features of express services? What are the key drivers of demand for the express cargo segment? What is the penetration of express services in key end-use segments like IT, pharmaceuticals? What is the estimated size of the express cargo segment in India and what is the short term outlook on the same?

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