JODI-Gas Data Quality Assessment

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JODI-Gas Data Quality Assessment By Majid Badihi, Computer System Analyst(Acting Head DISD) and Mohamed Arafat, Databank Analyst Joint Organisations Data Initiative (JODI) 12 th Regional Training Workshop 20 22 October 2015, Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago

GECF reporting procedure: Objectives Promote exchange of Data and enhance close coordination with GECF Member and Observer Countries. Define the reference framework to regulate the collection of Data, its consolidation and analysis. Identify a network of National Coordinators/Focal points for Data exchange with the GECF Secretariat. Define and clarify the role and responsibilities of the key players in the GECF reporting process. Formalize and standardize the concepts and procedures of dialogue and exchange of Data between the GECF Secretariat and the GECF Member and Observer Countries. Identify and approve Data categories to be exchanged between the GECF Secretariat and the GECF Member and Observer Countries. 2

GECF Data Questionnaires GECF Questionnaires Monthly Level of disaggregation Annual Data Questionnaires Elaboration Criteria Relevance Simplicity / Clarity Availability Feasibility / Deadlines Remarks MCs 3

GECF Databank Platform GECF participation in the JoDI-Gas Data initiative is being managed as part of the organization s Integrated Data Management Process. GECF Integrated Data Bank Platform: Data Exchange Center (DEC), Daily News Brief Web and Mobile App, Energy databases / data sets, and other modules. Data Exchange Center (DEC) is the collaboration and communication database for GECF member countries monthly and annual questionnaires. Data Transparency: all MCs have read access to data of other countries and related statistical analytical reports. Future plans to expand the Databank Platform. GECF Databank is being developed in-house by DISD staff. 4

Launch of GECF Data Exchange Center with GECF Countries for MQ & AQ 5

Web-based GECF Databank Platform Data Exchange Center (DEC) is the collaboration and communication database for GECF member countries monthly and annual questionnaires. Web and Windows Desktop interfaces. Security System 6

Role-based Security System What a user can see or do depends on what role(s) he has. Roles: Focal point, Analyst, Administrator, 7

GECF Monthly Questionnaire in DEC Unified GECF monthly questionnaire and related products and flows definitions are in place. 8

DEC : Data Accessibility / Transparency A Focal Point can browse, group, search, filter, sort monthly questionnaire data of all GECF countries. 9

DEC data Accessibility: Simple and Advanced Filter Filter by one or more columns Build a complex query with several conditions 10

DEC data availability : Data Export Export data into different file formats including Excel. 11

Monthly Questionnaire: Excel and DEC MC Focal Point can fill the monthly questionnaire template in Excel file or directly update the web-based Data Exchange Center (DEC). 12

DEC Data Quality: Country Specific Data Entry Validation Rules 13

DEC Data Quality: Country Specific Data Entry Validation Rules 14

Data Quality Visual Check 15

Data Quality Visual Check : Time-Series 2 16

Data Quality Visual Check : Domestic Consumption by Sector 17

Data Quality Visual Check :Statistical Difference Country MQ Date Market Imports Import Export Export Stock Statistical Domestic Consumption Domestic Consumption % Statistical Diff / Production Pipeline LNG Pipeline LNG Change Difference (Calculated) (Observed) Obser Iran 1-Sep-2014 14676.9 298.8 0 727.2 0-1 983.5 14249.5 13266 7.41% Iran 1-Aug-2014 16545.63 272.18 0 653 0 0.8 1315.01 16164.01 14849 8.86% Iran 1-Jul-2014 16177.35 323.795 0 757.95 0-1.74 1343.885 15744.935 14401.05 9.33% Iran 1-Jun-2014 15097.2 493.8 0 790.8 0 0 1497.9 14800.2 13302.3 11.26% 18000 100.00% 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% % Statistical Diff / Obser Domestic Consumption (Calculated) Domestic Consumption (Observed) 0 1-Jun-2014 1-Jul-2014 1-Aug-2014 1-Sep-2014 0.00% 18

Data Quality Visual Check : Monthly Growth Rate 19

Data Quality Visual Check : Monthly Growth Rate 20

Data Quality Visual Check : Monthly Growth Rate 21

Data Quality Visual Check : Monthly Growth Rate 22

Data Quality Visual Check : Domestic Consumption by Sector 23

Data Quality Visual Check : Domestic Consumption by Sector 24

Data Quality Visual Check : Domestic Consumption by Sector 25

Consistency with other energy statistics The Data from other sources can allow to make comparisons, revisions, if necessary. A comparison with external sources can sometimes be useful, however we need to be careful: What is the methodology, definition and approach of Data collection of the other source? What is the interest of external sources (such as subscriptions, Companies report Data..)? What is the level of transparency of the external sources? Does the source have a particular motive to provide accurate data? JODI Data are supposed to be official and a primary source from the Country to the JODI Database, why would a secondary source be more correct? However this check can be useful to double check a suspicious number or check the order of magnitude, but should not be relied upon. 26

Participation Assessment _ Smiley Face Approach Data Quality Sustainability, Timeliness, Completeness, Rates number of submissions within six-month Sustainability period. JODI organizations proposed a fixed date to determine this rating Timeliness Indicates whether submissions were submitted at the expected deadline (over a six months period) Completeness Measures the number of expected data points in the questionnaire. Smiley Face Approach is a way to encourage countries to participate and/or improve their data 27

Quality Indicators : Sustainability Submission 28

MQ status for the last 12 moths ( from Aug 2014 July 2015) 29

Quality Indicators : Timeliness, Completeness 30

Participation Assessment _ Smiley Face Approach Jan to June 2015 From Jan 2015 to June 2015 [for GECF Monthly Questionnaire Format & M- 2] Country Sustainability Timeliness Completeness (% ) Sustainability Timeliness Completeness (% ) Algeria 6 1 70% J L K Bolivia 6 6 75% J J K Egypt 6 6 92% J J J Eq. Guinea 0 0 0% L L L Iran 0 0 0% L L L Libya 6 2 95% J L J Nigeria 0 0 0% L L L Oman 5 0 70% K L K Qatar 4 4 45% K K L Russia 0 0 0% L L L Trinidad and Tobago 0 0 0% L L L United Arab Emirates 0 0 0% L L L Venezuela 2 0 92% L L J 31

Mapping GECF to JoDI-Gas Marketed Production From Other Sources Natural Gas in million m 3 (at 15 o C, 760 mm hg) Natural Gas in Terajoules Natural Gas (LNG) in 1000 metric tons Production 3888.427982 Receipts from Other Sources 340.123177 Imports 0 LNG 0 0 Pipeline 0 Exports 0 LNG 0 0 Pipeline 0 Stock Change 42.043871 Gross Inland Deliveries (Calculated) 3846.384111 0 Statistical Difference (Calculated) 0 0 Gross Inland Deliveries Observed 3833.698 of which: Electricity and Heat Generation 2087.42 Closing stocks 32

Thank You for Your attention www.gecf.org

Data Quality Visual Check : Domestic Consumption by Sector 34