NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Florida November 3, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire



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Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older? Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Florida? HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY GENDER GUESS NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Florida November 3, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Have I reached you on your cell phone or on your regular home phone? Cell 22 24 23 30 Regular home phone 78 76 77 70 Cell 24 26 26 34 Regular home phone 76 74 74 66 Cell 26 28 27 36 Regular home phone 74 72 73 64 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1% October 11, 2012: Residents: n=1410, MOE +/-2.6% October 3, 2012: Residents: n=1316, MOE +/-2.7% September 2012: Residents: n=1501, MOE +/-2.5% Are you registered to vote at your current address in Florida? Yes 91 90 91 90 No 8 9 8 9 Not a U.S. Citizen 0 0 0 0 Unsure 0 0 1 0 Registered voters November 3, 2012 October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 91 90 91 90 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 1

If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: LIKELY VOTERS - Including leaners* November 3, 2012 (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the 49 48 47 49 Democrats Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the 47 47 46 44 Republicans Other 1 1 1 1 Undecided 2 4 6 5 REGISTERED VOTERS - Including November 3, 2012 leaners* (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the 49 49 48 50 Democrats Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the 46 45 43 42 Republicans Other 2 1 2 1 Undecided 3 5 8 7 * Leaners are defined as voters who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Would you say you strongly support <candidates> somewhat support <candidates>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day? Strongly support 89 88 88 85 Somewhat support 9 9 10 13 Might vote differently 0 2 2 2 Unsure 1 1 1 1 Strongly support 87 86 87 81 Somewhat support 11 11 10 15 Might vote differently 0 2 2 3 Unsure 1 1 1 1 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 2

In the upcoming election for president, have you already voted early or by absentee, or have you not voted early or by absentee? (If not early voter: Thinking about November's presidential election, do you plan to vote early or by absentee, vote on Election Day, or have you not decided?) Voted/Plan to vote early or by 63 na/35 na/36 na/29 absentee Voting on Election Day 29 45 41 43 Have not decided 9 19 23 28 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Have you ever voted before in a presidential election? Yes 95 92 93 92 No 5 8 7 8 Yes 92 89 90 88 No 8 11 10 12 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 3

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve 48 48 48 49 Disapprove 47 46 47 46 Unsure 4 7 6 6 Approve 48 48 48 50 Disapprove 47 43 45 44 Unsure 5 8 7 7 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% If November's election for U.S. Senate in Florida were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: LIKELY VOTERS - Including leaners* November 3, 2012 (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Bill Nelson, the Democrat 52 52 52 51 Connie Mack, the Republican 43 39 41 37 Other 1 0 Undecided 5 9 7 12 REGISTERED VOTERS - Including leaners* November 3, 2012 (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Bill Nelson, the Democrat 52 53 52 51 Connie Mack, the Republican 42 36 38 35 Other 1 0 Undecided 5 11 10 14 * Leaners are defined as voters who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 4

November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? Headed in the right direction 44 43 41 42 Off on the wrong track 51 52 53 52 Unsure 5 5 6 5 Headed in the right direction 44 44 41 42 Off on the wrong track 51 50 52 52 Unsure 6 6 7 6 Headed in the right direction 44 44 42 43 Off on the wrong track 50 50 51 51 Unsure 6 6 7 7 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% In which year were you born (recoded into age of respondent)? 18 to 29 9 11 8 14 30 to 44 18 19 22 21 45 to 59 28 28 28 29 60 or older 46 42 42 37 18 to 29 11 14 10 18 30 to 44 18 20 23 21 45 to 59 27 27 28 28 60 or older 44 39 39 33 18 to 29 12 15 12 20 30 to 44 20 21 24 22 45 to 59 27 27 27 27 60 or older 41 37 37 31 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 5

November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you white, black or African-American, Latino or Hispanic, Asian, or Native American? (If not Latino: Are you Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?) White 72 63 68 67 African American or Black 11 13 13 13 Latino or Hispanic 14 20 15 17 Other 3 4 4 3 White 71 62 66 63 African American or Black 11 13 13 13 Latino or Hispanic 15 21 17 20 Other 3 4 4 4 White 69 61 65 61 African American or Black 11 13 13 14 Latino or Hispanic 16 22 18 21 Other 3 4 4 4 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 6

November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which of the following includes your combined family income before taxes: Less than $15,000 a year 12 13 13 14 $15,000 to just under $25,000 14 13 11 12 $25,000 to just under $50,000 25 25 27 25 $50,000 to just under $75,000 20 20 20 19 $75,000 to just under $100,000 12 12 12 13 $100,000 or more 17 17 17 17 Less than $15,000 a year 13 14 14 14 $15,000 to just under $25,000 13 13 12 14 $25,000 to just under $50,000 26 26 27 26 $50,000 to just under $75,000 20 19 19 18 $75,000 to just under $100,000 11 12 11 12 $100,000 or more 17 16 17 16 Less than $15,000 a year 14 15 14 15 $15,000 to just under $25,000 15 14 13 14 $25,000 to just under $50,000 26 26 28 26 $50,000 to just under $75,000 19 18 19 18 $75,000 to just under $100,000 11 11 11 11 $100,000 or more 15 16 15 16 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 7

November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which county in Florida do you live in (recoded into region of the state)? North/Panhandle 22 22 21 22 Orlando/Central Atlantic Coast 21 21 21 21 Tampa Bay Area 16 16 16 16 South Central 14 15 14 14 Miami/South 27 27 27 27 North/Panhandle 23 19 18 19 Orlando/Central Atlantic Coast 21 21 21 21 Tampa Bay Area 16 16 16 16 South Central 14 14 14 14 Miami/South 26 30 30 30 North/Panhandle 23 19 19 19 Orlando/Central Atlantic Coast 21 21 21 21 Tampa Bay Area 16 16 16 16 South Central 14 14 14 14 Miami/South 26 30 30 30 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Do you consider yourself a: (party identification) Democrat 37 37 37 35 Republican 35 33 32 33 Independent 27 29 29 30 Other 1 1 2 1 Democrat 36 36 37 36 Republican 34 31 30 31 Independent 28 31 31 32 Other 1 1 2 1 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 8

Do you consider yourself a: (party identification) Strong Democrat 29 28 27 26 Not strong Democrat 8 9 10 9 Democrat leaning Independent 9 11 10 11 Just Independent 9 10 9 9 Republican leaning Independent 9 9 10 10 Not strong Republican 8 8 7 9 Strong Republican 26 25 25 25 Other 1 1 2 1 Strong Democrat 28 27 26 25 Not strong Democrat 9 10 10 11 Democrat leaning Independent 10 12 11 11 Just Independent 9 11 10 10 Republican leaning Independent 9 8 10 10 Not strong Republican 8 8 7 10 Strong Republican 26 23 23 22 Other 1 1 2 1 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party Movement? Tea Party Supporters 27 28 29 29 No 63 63 61 59 Unsure 10 9 10 12 Tea Party Supporters 27 26 27 27 No 62 64 62 59 Unsure 11 10 11 14 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 9

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Favorable 50 52 50 51 Unfavorable 46 43 45 46 Unsure/Never heard 4 5 5 3 Favorable 50 54 51 52 Unfavorable 45 41 43 44 Unsure/Never heard 5 6 6 4 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney? Favorable 48 49 46 47 Unfavorable 45 44 43 45 Unsure/Never heard 6 7 10 8 Favorable 48 47 44 43 Unfavorable 46 45 44 47 Unsure/Never heard 7 8 11 10 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 10

Thinking about November's presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting? Very enthusiastic 75 66 66 60 Somewhat enthusiastic 19 23 23 28 Not too enthusiastic 4 6 7 7 Not enthusiastic at all 2 5 4 5 Very enthusiastic 71 62 62 54 Somewhat enthusiastic 21 24 24 30 Not too enthusiastic 5 8 9 10 Not enthusiastic at all 3 6 6 6 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy: Barack Obama 46 45 45 46 Mitt Romney 48 48 47 47 Unsure 6 7 8 7 Barack Obama 45 45 45 47 Mitt Romney 48 47 45 44 Unsure 7 8 10 9 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 11

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy: Barack Obama 50 51 49 51 Mitt Romney 44 42 44 41 Undecided 6 7 7 8 Barack Obama 51 52 50 53 Mitt Romney 43 40 41 38 Undecided 7 8 9 9 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which candidate will do a better job handling Medicare: LIKELY VOTERS November 3, 2012 October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 Barack Obama 51 50 48 Mitt Romney 43 42 43 Undecided 6 8 9 Total 100 100 100 REGISTERED VOTERS November 3, 2012 October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 Barack Obama 51 51 49 Mitt Romney 43 39 40 Undecided 6 9 11 Total 100 100 100 November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1280, MOE +/- 2.7%; Likely voters: n=994, MOE +/- 3.1% Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing handling Hurricane Sandy? LIKELY VOTERS November 3, 2012 Approve 70 Disapprove 11 Unsure 20 Total 100 REGISTERED VOTERS November 3, 2012 Approve 69 Disapprove 11 Unsure 20 Total 100 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 12

On another topic, politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative, or very conservative? Very liberal 6 6 4 5 Liberal 19 16 18 18 Moderate 33 35 37 33 Conservative 30 31 28 31 Very conservative 12 13 13 13 Very liberal 6 6 4 6 Liberal 19 16 18 18 Moderate 33 36 37 34 Conservative 30 30 28 30 Very conservative 12 12 13 12 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, or Muslim? Protestant 52 51 53 56 Catholic 27 29 28 26 Jewish 6 5 4 4 Other 6 5 8 6 No Religion 9 10 7 8 Protestant 53 50 52 54 Catholic 27 30 28 26 Jewish 5 5 4 4 Other 6 6 8 7 No Religion 10 10 7 9 Protestant 51 49 51 53 Catholic 27 30 28 27 Jewish 5 5 4 4 Other 6 6 8 7 No Religion 10 11 7 10 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 13

November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you currently married, living with a partner, separated, divorced, widowed, or single, that is never married (recoded)? Married 55 56 53 53 Not married 45 44 47 47 Married 53 53 52 49 Not married 47 47 48 51 Married 51 52 51 48 Not married 49 48 49 52 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% What is the highest level of school you completed or the highest degree you received (recoded)? Not college graduate 59 57 61 60 College graduate 41 43 39 40 Not college graduate 60 58 62 63 College graduate 40 42 38 37 Not college graduate 62 60 63 64 College graduate 38 40 37 36 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 14

Are you registered to vote as a (party registration): Democrat 41 40 40 41 Republican 41 39 38 38 Independent, that is not enrolled in 18 20 21 20 any party Other 0 0 1 0 Democrat 41 41 40 42 Republican 40 37 36 36 Independent, that is not enrolled in any party 19 22 22 22 Other 0 0 1 0 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you of Cuban decent? Yes 5 8 5 6 No 95 92 95 94 Yes 5 8 6 6 No 95 92 94 94 Yes 5 8 6 7 No 95 92 94 93 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 15

November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Have you ever served in the U.S. Military? Yes 18 18 16 17 No 82 82 84 83 Yes 18 17 15 16 No 82 83 85 84 Yes 17 16 15 15 No 83 84 85 85 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you male or female? Male 47 47 46 46 Female 53 53 54 54 Male 47 47 47 47 Female 53 53 53 53 Male 48 48 48 48 Female 52 52 52 52 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 16