THE AP-GfK POLL December, 2014
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1 Public Affairs & Corporate Communications THE AP-GfK POLL December, 2014 Conducted by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications A survey of the American general population (ages 18+) Interview dates: December Number of interviews, adults: 1,010 Margin of error for the total sample: +/- 3.4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. Please refer to the exact sample number at the bottom of each table. *Beginning in October, 2013, AP-GfK polls were conducted online using GfK s nationally representative KnowledgePanel. All prior trend conducted by telephone. For more information, see 1
2 CUR1-FAV1 already released. Some questions held for future release. HC1-IM28 previously released. DRN1. Would you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose allowing private operators to use small unmanned aircraft called drones for commercial purposes? Total Favor 21 Strongly favor 7 Somewhat favor 14 Neither favor nor oppose 35 Total Oppose 43 Somewhat oppose 21 Strongly oppose 22 Refused/Not Answered 2 DRN2. Would you favor, oppose or neither favor nor oppose allowing private operators to use small drones for the following purposes? [RANDOMIZE ORDER] Favor Neither favor or oppose Oppose REF Performing dangerous safety inspections, such as on oil platforms or bridges Help map terrain through the use of aerial photography Monitoring wildlife Spraying pesticides or herbicides on crops Taking aerial photographs or videos at weddings or other private events Delivering small packages Non-commercial, recreational use Base: 2
3 DRN3. How concerned are you that private operators using small drones pose a danger to other aircraft, such as airplanes or helicopters? Extremely/Very Concerned 41 Extremely concerned 19 Very concerned 21 Moderately concerned 34 Not very/not at all concerned 23 Not very concerned 18 Not concerned at all 5 Refused/Not Answered 2 DRN4. How concerned are you that private operators using small drones pose a danger to people on the ground? Extremely/Very Concerned 37 Extremely concerned 17 Very concerned 20 Moderately concerned 36 Not very/not at all concerned 24 Not very concerned 19 Not concerned at all 5 Refused/Not Answered 3 3
4 DRN5. How concerned are you that private operators could use drones in a way that violates other people s privacy? Extremely/Very Concerned 59 Extremely concerned 35 Very concerned 24 Moderately concerned 27 Not very/not at all concerned 11 Not very concerned 8 Not concerned at all 3 Refused/Not Answered 2 DRN6. Do you think that commercial operators of small drones should be required to : [RANDOMIZE ORDER] Yes No REF Have pilot licenses? Keep the drone within eyesight of the operator? Fly them at an altitude of 400 feet or less? Base: DRN7. Have you personally ever operated a drone? Yes 3 No 95 Refused/Not answered 2 Some questions held for future release. 4
5 TP4. Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or are you not a supporter of the Tea Party movement? 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 3/20-24/14 1/17-21/14 12/5-9/13 10/3-7/13* 4/11-15/13 1/10-14/13 8/16-20/12 6/14-18/12 Supporter Not a supporter Don t know [VOL] na na na na na na na na na na na na na Refused/Not Answered N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 N=1,044 N=1,354 N=1,012 N=1,060 N=1,367 N=1,227 N=1,004 N=1,004 N=1,006 N=1,007 TP4a. [IF TP4=1] Do you support the tea party movement strongly or somewhat Strongly Somewhat Refused/Not Answered 1 * * /24-28/14 5/16-19/14 3/20-24/14 Tea Party Supporter N=225 N=332 N=318 N=261 N=361 N=331 N=255 N=259 N=263 N=227 5
6 PID1. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these? 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 3/20-24/14 1/17-21/14 12/5-9/13 10/3-7/13* 4/11-15/13 1/10-14/13 11/29-12/3/12 Democrat Independent Republican None of these Don t know [VOL] na na na na na na na na na na na na na 1 * 1 Refused/Not Answered N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 N=1,044 N=1,354 N=1,012 N=1,060 N=1,367 N=1,227 N=1,004 N=1,004 N=1,002 6
7 PID1/i. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these? IF INDEPENDENT OR NONE, OR REFUSAL, ASK: Do you lean more toward the Democrats or the Republicans? 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 3/20-24/14 1/17-21/14 12/5-9/13 10/3-7/13* Total Democrat Democrat Independent lean Democratic None lean Democratic Total Republican Republican Independent lean Republican None lean Republican Independent don t lean None don t lean [VOL] Independent lean other na na na na na na na na na na na na na [VOL] None lean other na na na na na na na na na na na na na Don t know na na na na na na na na na na na na na Refused/Not answered N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,845 N=1,541 N=958 N=1,044 N=1,354 N=1,012 N=1,060 N=1,367 N=1,227 7
8 G11b. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a? Liberal Conservative Moderate Don t know na na na na na na na na na na na na na Refused/Not answered N=1,608 N=1,385 N=968 N=1,224 N=1,016 N=643 N=1,044 N=1,354 N=1,012 N=1,060 N=1,367 N=1,227 N=1,004 N=1,004 N=1,002 7/24-28/14 5/16-19/14 3/20-24/14 1/17-21/14 12/5-9/13 10/3-7/13* 4/11-15/13 1/10-14/13 11/29-12/3/12 DM5. Which one of the following best describes where you live? Urban area 25 Suburban area 49 Rural area 23 Refused/Not Answered 3 INS1. The next questions are about your personal health insurance. Please include health insurance obtained through employment or purchased directly as well as government programs like Medicare and Medicaid that provide medical care or help pay medical bills. Are you currently covered by any kind of health insurance or some other kind of health care plan or not? Yes No Refused/Not answered /16-19/14 3/20-24/14 1/17-21/14 12/5-9/13 10/3-7/13* N=1,608 N=1,354 N=1,012 N=1,060 N=1,367 N=1,227 8
9 DM12. Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not? Yes, born-again/evangelical 30 No 66 Refused/Not Answered 4 DM13. What is your religious preference? Protestant 27 Catholic 23 Mormon 2 Jewish 2 Muslim * Other religion 14 Don t belong to religious denomination 27 Refused/Not Answered 4 DM14. [IF OTHER RELIGION IN DM13] Do you consider yourself a Christian, or not? Yes, a Christian 91 No, not a Christian 9 Refused/Not Answered - N=125 PPEDUCAT. (4 category) PPETHM Less than high school 10 High school 32 Some college 29 Bachelor s degree or higher 29 White, Non-Hispanic 68 Black, Non-Hispanic 11 Other, Non-Hispanic 2 Hispanic Races, Non-Hispanic 3 9
10 PPGENDER Male 48 Female 52 PPWORK Working as a paid employee 54 Working self-employed 7 Not working on temporary layoff from a job 1 Not working looking for work 6 Not working retired 19 Not working disabled 5 Not working - other 8 PPAGE Age group: DM20. And in which group does your total household [IF SINGLE: PERSONAL ] income fall? [READ LIST] Under $10,000 5 $10,000 to under $20,000 8 $20,000 to under $30,000 9 $30,000 to under $40, $40,000 to under $50,000 7 $50,000 to under $75, $75,000 to under $100, $100,000 to under $150, $150,000 or more 8 10
11 CENSUS REGION: Northeast 18 Midwest 22 South 37 West 23 11
12 AP-GfK Poll Methodology The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted December by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications a division of GfK Custom Research North America. This poll is based on a nationallyrepresentative probability sample of 1,010 general population adults age 18 or older. The survey was conducted using the web-enabled KnowledgePanel, a probability-based panel designed to be representative of the U.S. population. At inception participants were chosen scientifically by a random selection of telephone numbers and since 2009 through Address-based sampling using the post office s delivery sequence file. Persons in these households are then invited to join and participate in the web-enabled KnowledgePanel. For those who agree to participate, but do not already have Internet access, GfK provides at no cost a laptop and ISP connection. People who already have computers and Internet services are permitted to participate using their own equipment. Panelists then receive unique log-in information for accessing surveys online, and then are sent s throughout each month inviting them to participate in research. The data were weighted to account for probabilities of selection, as well as age within sex, education, race, and phone type. The phone type targets came from the fall, 2012 MRI Consumer Survey. The other targets came from the March, 2012 Supplement of the Current Population Survey. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total significantly more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent. The cooperation rate for this poll was 48%. Trend data are displayed for selected questions from previous AP-GfK Polls that were conducted using telephone interviews with nationally-representative probability samples of adults age 18 or older. Details about all AP-GfK Polls are available at 12
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