Alberta Climate Change 101: An Alberta Perspective

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Transcription:

Alberta Climate Change 101: An Alberta Perspective

Important Definitions Weather Climate Climate Change Global Warming

Define: Weather Weather: conditions of the day

Define: Climate Climate: description of an areas average weather and how weather varies over long time intervals

Define: Climate Change Climate change: significant and persistent change in an areas average climate conditions or extremes Local Regional National Global

Define: Global Warming Global warming: an increase in the average temperature of the world A measure of climate change Photo Credit: Philip Martin

What Causes Climate Change Greenhouse gases (GHG) CO2 Others Greenhouse effect Environment Canada 2013

Greenhouse Gases Five GHG occur naturally in the atmosphere A few GHGs are GOOD! More GHGs are BAD!

Greenhouse Effect GHG provide important insulation to the earth GHG act like an insulating blanket keeping earth warm enough for people, plants and animals to survive Thin blanket of GHG

Greenhouse Effect Too many GHG act like a blanket that is too thick The earth over heats! Thick blanket of GHG

Natural Factors Solar output Earth s orbit Volcanic activity Oceanic processes Photo Credit: www.climate.nasa.gov Photo Credit: www.dailygalaxy.com Photo Credit: Superstock Photo Credit: www.grandcanyon.free.fr/

Human Activity Burning fossil fuels Industrial development Reducing forest cover Expansion of agriculture Photo Credit: Stone/Getty Images Photo Credit: www. http://beaconnews.ca Photo Credit: Listentoreason/Fliker Photo Credit: Listentoreason

Result of Climate Change Global warming Decreased sea ice Melting of glaciers Rising sea levels Increasing extreme weather Loss of biodiversity Photo Credit: TSAG Photo Credit: beaconnews.ca Photo Credit: independent.co.uk Photo Credit: suburbanbloke/flickr Photo Credit: Wikipedia

How are Climate Changes Predicted? Climate Models Factor in What we get What we know based on the past How things may change Predictions about the future

What does this mean locally? How will climate change affect AB?! Environment Canada 2013

Schneider 2013 Mean Annual Temperature: Cool High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Calgary Medicine Hat Calgary Lethbridge Lethbridge Medicine Hat 1961-1990 2080

Schneider 2013 Mean Annual Precipitation: Cool High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Lethbridge Calgary Medicine Hat Lethbridge Calgary Medicine Hat 1961-1990 2080

Schneider 2013 Mean Climate Moisture Index: Cool High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Calgary Medicine Hat Calgary Medicine Hat Lethbridge Lethbridge 1961-1990 2080

Schneider 2013 Ecosystem Shifts: Cool High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Calgary Medicine Hat Calgary Medicine Hat Lethbridge Lethbridge 1961-1990 2080

Schneider 2013 Mean Annual Temperature: Cool High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Calgary Medicine Hat Calgary Lethbridge Lethbridge Medicine Hat 1961-1990 2080

Schneider 2013 Mean Annual Temperature: Hot High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Calgary Medicine Hat Calgary Lethbridge Lethbridge Medicine Hat 1961-1990 2080

Schneider 2013 Ecosystem Shifts: Hot Scenario High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Calgary Medicine Hat Calgary Medicine Hat Lethbridge 1961-1990 Lethbridge 2080

So what does this mean?

Impacts on Weather Extreme weather Droughts Flooding Storms Fires

Impacts on AB Nature Shifts in distribution of plants, birds and mammals Earlier plant leafing and flowering Photo Credit: The Gazette, Hunter McRae

Impacts on AB Water Longer ice-free periods on lakes Melting of permafrost Retreating glaciers Less water in summer Photo Credit: psiee.psu.edu

Impacts on AB Water Decreasing water levels Declines in lakes, rivers and muskeg Decreases in drinking water availability

Impacts on AB Soil Increasing ground temperatures Decreasing availability of moisture Photo Credit: cicadablog.saltthesandbox.org

Impacts on AB First Nations Changes in availability to traditional foods and medicines

Impacts on AB First Nations Declines in duration of ice on lakes may affect: Travel Availability of fish

Impacts on AB First Nations Fire Flooding Decreased water availability Etc.

Positive Impacts Longer growing seasons Warmer growing seasons

Schneider 2013 Growing Season: Degree Days High Level High Level Edmonton Edmonton Lethbridge Calgary Medicine Hat Lethbridge Calgary Medicine Hat 1961-1990 2080

Summary Increase temperatures Increase water stress More extreme weather events Longer growing seasons Affect First Nations

Thank you for listening! Good News! At the current rate of climate change we will be able to just swim over and eat him in under five years!