OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK 2013-2015 PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND Spring 2014
P a g e 1 Table of Contents LIST OF TABLES... 1 ACRONYMS... 2 ABOUT THE OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK... 3 NOTES ON METHODOLOGY... 4 PART 1: SUMMARY OF MAJOR OCCUPATIONAL GROUPS... 8 PROVINCIAL OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK... 9 OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK MAJOR GROUPS... 11 Management Occupations... 12 Business, Finance and Administration Occupations... 12 Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations... 13 Health Occupations... 13 Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion... 14 Occupations in Arts, Culture, and Sport and Recreation... 14 Sales and Service Occupations... 15 Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations... 15 Occupations Unique to Primary Industry... 16 Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities... 16 PART 2: EMPLOYMENT POTENTIAL CALLS BY DETAILED OCCUPATIONAL GROUP... 18 List of Tables Table 1:, Distribution and Growth by Major Occupational Group.....11 Table 2: New Jobs, Attrition and Total Job Openings 2013-2015...11
P a g e 2 Acronyms COPS.Canadian Occupational Projection System NOC...National Occupational Classification GDP Gross Domestic Product LFS...Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada NAICS North American Industrial Classification System NHS National Household Survey, Statistics Canada PEI..Prince Edward Island ROOC Regional Occupational Outlooks in Canada US..United States
P a g e 3 About the Occupational Outlook Each year, Service Canada issues three-year employment forecasts both by industry and by occupation for Prince Edward Island as a whole. The results of the analysis are published in the form of a report intended to provide a comprehensive overview of recent labour market developments and outlooks in PEI. We hope this series of documents will interest people who are seeking labour market guidance and those who help them, including parents, educational staff, and employment assistance services workers. It should also interest businesses and employer associations that want to identify human resources management issues in their industries. This document is composed of two sections. The first part provides a summary of large occupational skill type categories, including an overview of economic developments and key labour market indicators. The second part presents the employment prospects by occupation catalogued according to the National Occupational Classification (NOC 2006). Finally, we would like to acknowledge the Labour Market Information team located at National Headquarters who provided the forecasting tool and ongoing support throughout this project, and the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) team who provided us with access to many of the base analyses for the forecasting tool used to carry out this study. We also wish to acknowledge the contribution of provincial colleagues in the validation of the employment estimates.
P a g e 4 Notes on Methodology Each year, Service Canada develops medium-term employment forecasts both by industry and by occupation for Prince Edward Island. The results of these analyses are published to provide a comprehensive overview of recent labour market developments and outlooks in PEI. This document presents occupational outlooks based on the 10 main skill areas defined in Canada s National Occupational Classification (NOC), 2006 version. Estimates The data source used for historical estimates and employment forecasts by industry and occupation is Statistics Canada s Labour Force Survey (LFS). The LFS was chosen because it constitutes a statistically reliable and continuous source of information on employment trends in PEI. Historical employment data for the skill type occupational categories were also derived from LFS estimates. Service Canada, Atlantic Region, is solely responsible for the employment prospects. These employment prospects have been established for a three-year period, from 2013 to 2015. They were developed by Service Canada economists in PEI. Credit also goes to the partnership with the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS), without which we would not have had access to many of the analysis and forecasting tools that were used to carry out this study. The annual average employment growth rates in the tables were calculated using compound growth rates. The growth rates specifically refer to changes from 2013 to 2015, with 2013 used as the base year. Prospects: Detailed List by Occupation Only occupations with an employment greater than fifty persons in the region are on this list. The ratings are based on data on unemployment, expected growth in employment, anticipated replacement needs, the impact of technological, organizational and legislative changes, employee turnover, openings, the level and types of skills required, the status of young graduates, and significant developments or events that could affect employment over the next few years and the labour market as a whole. There are three indicators used for the employment prospects:
P a g e 5 Good This rating is given to occupations that offer the best opportunities. These occupations are associated with an above-average demand for workers in the labour market and a smaller pool of qualified applicants in the region. This is a more favourable situation for job seekers and is sometimes associated with a lack of qualified and/or experienced workers. The situation can also be the result of specific working conditions, seasonal or temporary employment, lack of interest among workers, etc. Fair This rating is given to occupations that offer opportunities comparable to the average for all occupations. These occupations are associated with a demand for workers in the labour market that is higher than or comparable to the average and a pool of skilled labour that more or less matches the estimated need. Taking into account the context of the regional labour market, this situation can be considered stable. However, there will sometimes be slightly more applicants than available positions. Limited This rating is given to occupations that offer the poorest job opportunities. These occupations are associated with a situation where job openings and employment growth are below the regional average. The situation is more difficult for job seekers in these occupations and reflects the fact that the number of qualified available workers exceeds the number of positions that will need to be filled in the next three years. Note: Job seekers should take other information into account in order to make informed choices that affect their career path. They need a good knowledge of their interests, skills and personal suitability before they can make these personal decisions. Job seekers are encouraged to consult other sources of information before choosing a particular career. Occupational Groups The occupational groups used in this report are the 10 major skill type categories of the National Occupational Classification (NOC), 2006 version, which are based on the type of work performed. These categories also reflect the field of training or experience that is normally required for entry into occupations including the educational area of study required.
P a g e 6 Below is a brief overview of the composition of each of these groups, citing the definitions provided by the NOC 2006 1, published by and Social Development Canada (then Human Resources and Social Development Canada). More detailed information on NOC categories is available on the NOC website 2. 0. Management Occupations This skill type category contains legislators, senior management occupations, and middle management occupations. 1. Business, Finance and Administration This category contains occupations that are concerned with providing financial and business services, administrative and regulatory services, and clerical supervision and support services. Some occupations in this category are unique to the financial and business service sectors; however, most are found in all industries. 2. Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations This category contains professional and technical occupations in the sciences, including physical and life sciences, engineering, architecture, and information technology. 3. Health Occupations This category includes occupations concerned with providing health care services directly to patients and occupations that provide support to professional and technical staff. 4. Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Service and Religion This skill type category includes a range of occupations that are concerned with law, teaching, counselling, conducting social science research, developing government policy, and administering government and other programs. 5. Occupations in Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport This skill type category includes professional and technical occupations related to art and culture, including the performing arts, film and video, broadcasting, journalism, writing, creative design, libraries and museums. It also includes occupations in recreation and sport. 1 Human Resources and Social Development Canada. National Occupational Classification 2006:Occupational Descriptions. LM-247-09-06E Ottawa: Public Works and Government Services Canada, 2006. 2 and Social Development Canada. National Occupational Classification website. http://www30.hrsdc.gc.ca/noc/english/noc/2006/welcome.aspx
P a g e 7 6. Sales and Service Occupations This skill type category contains sales occupations, personal and protective service occupations, and occupations related to the hospitality and tourism industries. 7. Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations This skill type category includes construction and mechanical trades, trades supervisors and contractors, and operators of transportation and heavy equipment. These occupations are found in a wide range of industrial sectors, with many occurring in the construction and transportation industries. This category includes most of the apprenticeable trades, including all of those related to the construction industry. Other occupations in this category usually require completion of college or other programs combined with on-the-job training. Progression to supervisory or self-employed contractor status is possible with experience. There is limited mobility or transferability of skills among occupations in this category due to specific apprenticeship, training and licensing requirements for most occupations. 8. Occupations Unique to Primary Industry This category contains supervisory and equipment operation occupations in the natural resource-based sectors of mining, oil and gas production, forestry and logging, agriculture, horticulture and fishing. Most occupations in this category are industry specific and do not occur outside of the primary industries. 9. Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities This category contains supervisory and production occupations in manufacturing, processing and utilities.
Part 1: Summary of Major Occupational Groups P a g e 8
P a g e 9 Provincial Overview and Outlook The Prince Edward Island economy has been growing at a moderate pace in recent years, and this trend is expected to continue throughout the 2013-2015 forecast period. A strengthening US economy, coupled with a depreciating Canadian dollar, spells optimism for some Island manufacturers and exports. In addition, the Island s positive demographic outlook should also be a contributing factor to growth in the near term. However, employment prospects will be grounded by a diluted domestic economy due to anticipated slowing across key industries, particularly construction, and restraints to government spending. Further, although the more significant effects of the aging population will not be felt until after the forecast period, these effects will nonetheless start to become apparent in the PEI labour market. This suggests that employers may expect to face recruitment challenges over the forecast horizon. growth is projected to slow to an average annual rate of 0.8% over the 2013-2015 forecast period. This is just over half the pace experienced in the previous three years (2010-2012), a period preceded by recession in 2009. Although modest, the growth rate will lead to an increase of about 1,200 new jobs over the forecast period. In addition to these new positions, an estimated 3,500 job openings are forecast as a result of replacement needs caused by retirements and deaths (otherwise referred to as attrition). This means that about 74% of labour needs to 2015 will result from attrition. Occupational outlooks are closely related to the number of opportunities but also depend on the number of people qualified to work in a given occupation. The labour supply or labour pool includes unemployed workers with experience in an occupation, training program graduates, immigrants and others with the required interests and abilities, and workers looking to improve their situations. Taking all these factors into account, the occupational categories in which the outlook is most positive are in: Health; Natural and Applied Sciences; and Management Conversely, the occupations where demand will be weakest are in: Processing and manufacturing; and Primary industry The outlook results are directly proportional to skill levels; the higher the required skill level, the better the outlook. While this may not bode well for some lower skilled occupations, the constant increase in the population s education level makes it optimistic that the labour market can adapt to an increasingly knowledge-based labour market. Although trends clearly favour occupations
P a g e 10 that require higher skill levels, Prince Edward Island workers will continue to have a wide range of employment opportunities.
P a g e 11 Occupational Outlook Major Groups Table 1:, Distribution and Growth by Occupation, Major Group 2012 Share of Annual Average Growth Rate 2010-2012 Annual Average Growth Rate 2013-2015 (Forecast) Total, All Occupations 72,800 100.0% 1.5% 0.8% Management 5,500 7.6% -6.5% 1.0% Business, Finance and Administration 12,000 16.5% -1.6% 0.8% Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations 4,300 5.9% 3.8% 1.4% Health Occupations 5,100 7.0% -4.5% 1.9% Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion 7,700 10.6% 8.9% 0.8% Arts, Culture, Recreation and Sport 1,400 1.9% 0.1% 1.2% Sales and Service Occupations 17,500 24.0% 4.0% 0.7% Trades, Transport and Equipment 10,200 14.0% 3.7% 0.9% Occupations Unique to Primary Industry 6,800 9.3% 5.7% 0.4% Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities 2,300 3.2% -7.6% -0.3% Table 2: New Jobs, Attrition and Total Job Openings 2013-2015 Total New Jobs Total Attrition Total Job Openings Attrition as a percentage of Total Job Openings Total, All Occupations 1,246 3,489 4,734 74% Management 116 358 474 76% Business, Finance and Administration 184 709 893 79% Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations 117 149 266 56% Health Occupations 198 269 467 58% Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion 118 366 484 76% Arts, Culture, Recreation and Sport 35 58 93 63% Sales and Service Occupations 265 657 922 71% Trades, Transport and Equipment 180 472 653 72% Occupations Unique to Primary Industry 48 345 394 88% Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities -16 105 89 100%
P a g e 12 Management Occupations There were 5,500 employed in management occupations in 2012, representing 7.6% of total employment in the province. growth over the forecast horizon will be 1%, which is slightly higher than average for all occupations. The age of workers in this occupational group is also above average and 76% of job openings will be filled by attrition. Unemployment levels were generally low in this occupational group. The outlook for management occupations in PEI is fair for the most part; however, prospects are good for three out of the top five occupations, by employment size: retail trade managers, accommodation service managers, and restaurant and food service managers. Collectively, these occupations will account for nearly a third of all job openings in this category over the forecast period. Prospects are limited, however, for facility operation and maintenance managers and for senior government managers and officials. The outlook for construction managers is also limited due in part to an expected decline in public sector investment over the forecast period as both provincial and federal governments work to balance their budgets. Business, Finance and Administration Occupations Business, finance and administration occupations employed 12,000 workers in 2012 and comprised the second largest occupational group in PEI (having employed 16.5% of all workers). growth for this category is expected to be modest but consistent with overall growth, at 0.8%. The share of the 55+ age group is slightly above average, and the vast majority, about 80% of job openings over the forecast period, will be filled by attrition. Professionals in business and finance accounted for 15% of all jobs in this category, and prospects in PEI range from fair to good for these occupations. The outlook is good for professional occupations in business services to management which is the second largest occupation within this skill level. growth for this occupation is expected to be well above average, and half of all job openings over the forecast period will be new positions. Prospects are fair for financial auditors and accountants, which is the largest occupation in this skill level. The vast majority of job openings will be filled by attrition over the forecast period. In addition, demand will be greatest for financial auditors and accountants with experience. Skilled administrative and business occupations accounted for over a third (34%) of all jobs in this category in 2012. prospects for this skill level will be fair for the most part as most job openings will be filled by attrition. The outlook is fair for both bookkeepers and administrative officers, the two largest occupations within this skill level. Replacement needs due to attrition will account for nearly all job openings for bookkeepers over the forecast horizon, given its high proportion of workers 55 years of age and over. Over half of all jobs in business, finance and administration occupations in PEI are clerical occupations. prospects are fair for the most part; however, many are limited. Only one occupation in this skill level has a good outlook: customer service, information and related clerks. This is a relatively large occupation with above-average employment growth forecast. As with most large occupations, there will be frequent job openings due to turnover. Replacement needs due to attrition will be below average when compared to other occupations within this skill level, and unemployment is about average.
P a g e 13 Prospects will be fair for the larger clerical occupations, particularly administrative clerks and accounting and related clerks. Combined, these occupations comprised a third of all jobs within this skill level in 2012. Although the proportion of older workers is slightly below average for administrative clerks, replacement needs due to attrition will be above average over the forecast period. Attrition will be low for accounting and related clerks; however, employment growth to 2015 is projected to be modest due to low turnover and very low unemployment. The outlook is limited for data entry clerks given below-average employment growth forecast and that most job openings will be filled by replacement needs due to attrition. Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations There were 4,300 employed in natural and applied sciences and related occupations in 2012, representing about 6% of total employment in the province. growth over the forecast horizon is expected to be above average, and there is a lower than average level of older workers which means replacement demand due to attrition will be low for this group. Just over half of job openings in natural and applied sciences and related occupations will be filled by attrition, which is significantly less than average for all major occupational groups. Unemployment levels were generally low for occupations in this category. prospects for professional occupations requiring a university degree are fair for the most part but good for computer programmers and interactive media developers and software engineers and designers. This is driven in part by the province s focus on developing the information and communication technology sector in PEI, particularly in the areas of interactive media and e-health. By contrast, the outlook for chemists is limited as employment in this occupation is forecast to decline. It should be noted, however, that the outlook may be better for chemists with post-graduate degrees relevant to local research initiatives. prospects for technical occupations are limited for the most part, particularly for computer and network operators, a large occupation in this skill level. Some of the work performed by network technicians can be completed remotely (i.e. over the phone or online) by companies located outside of the province which can impact local demand. On the positive side, the outlook is good for the largest technical occupation: user support technicians. An aboveaverage growth is forecast and replacement needs due to attrition will be below average for this occupation. Health Occupations There were 5,100 employed in health occupations in 2012, representing 7% of total employment in the province. growth over the forecast horizon will be highest of the 10 categories, at 1.9%. The share of older workers is about average when compared to all occupations; however, only 58% of job openings over the forecast horizon will be filled by attrition. This is significantly lower than average compared to all occupational groups. Unemployment levels in 2012 were low for most occupations in this category. As a result of low unemployment, lower levels of attrition, and an aging population, there will continue to be increased demand for health care in PEI. Prospects, therefore, will be fair or good for occupations in health over the forecast period. prospects for professional occupations in health are good for the most part. Registered nurses make up more than half of all jobs in this skill level, and replacement demand
P a g e 14 due to attrition will be below average for this occupation. In addition, over half of all job openings for registered nurses will be new jobs. Other occupations with good prospects include head nurses and supervisors and pharmacists. The outlook for technical and skilled occupations is also good, especially for the larger occupations: licensed practical nurses and medical laboratory technologists and pathologists' assistants. With respect to licensed practical nurses (LPN s), the collaborative model of care was established to align the duties of health professionals to the full scope of practice. As a result, the traditional role of an LPN has evolved to balance a system short on doctors and nurses. This in turn has increased demand for their services and has created more opportunities in both public and private sectors. Prospects are also good for lower skill level occupations such as those in support of health services, the largest being nurse aides, orderlies and patient service associates. Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion There were 7,700 employed in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion in 2012, representing close to 11% of total employment in the province. growth is about average with all occupations, at 0.8% over the forecast horizon. Although the share of the 55+ age group is slightly below average, the vast majority of jobs will be attributed to replacement demand due to attrition. Unemployment levels were generally low in this occupational grouping in 2012. prospects are mostly fair for professional occupations. Elementary school and kindergarten teachers and secondary school teachers are the largest professional occupations, and all job openings over the forecast horizon will be generated by attrition. It should be noted, however, that prospects are better for French teachers and those who can teach specialty areas such as music and physical education. Prospects are good for other professional occupations such as program officers unique to government and ministers of religion, mainly because of higher than average employment growth and very low unemployment. For paraprofessional occupations, the employment prospects are good for early childhood educators and assistants, the largest occupation within this skill level. The share of workers aged 55 years and over is very low, and half of all job openings over the forecast period will be new positions. There continues to be demand for certified early childhood educators, particularly in the rural areas of PEI. Occupations in Arts, Culture, and Sport and Recreation There were 1,400 employed in Occupations in Arts, Culture, Recreation and Sport in 2012, representing 1.9% of total employment in the province. This is the smallest of the 10 skill-type categories in terms of employment size. growth is above average at 1.2% over the forecast horizon, and employment in the 55+ age group is below the average for all occupations. As a result of stronger employment growth and weaker attrition, around 63% of total job openings will be filled by attrition which is below the average for all occupations. Unemployment levels in 2012 were generally low for most occupations in this category. prospects are mostly fair for the majority of occupations, particularly the larger ones, including: program leaders and instructors in recreation, sport and fitness; graphic
P a g e 15 designers and illustrators; and professional occupations in public relations and communications. Above-average growth is forecast for each of these occupations and replacement demand due to attrition will be low. The outlook is good for musicians and singers in PEI, and most employment opportunities exist in the summer months during festivals and events. On the down side, however, employment prospects are limited for librarians and library and archive technicians and assistants. in the 55 years and over age group is considerably higher than average for these occupations and the majority of job openings over the forecast period will be filled by attrition. Sales and Service Occupations There were 17,500 employed in Sales and Service Occupations in 2012, representing nearly a quarter of all employment in the province. This is the largest of the 10 skill-type categories in terms of employment numbers. growth is about average at 0.7% over the forecast period. in the 55+ age group is slightly below average for all occupations, and 71% of job openings will be filled by attrition. Unemployment levels were slightly below average for most occupations in 2012, with the exception of cooks (6242), janitors, caretakers and building superintendents (6663), and light duty cleaners (6661). prospects are for the most part fair for occupations in this category; however, the outlook is good for many larger occupations including: retail salespersons and sales clerks; food counter attendants; and cashiers. As with most large occupations, there will be job openings due to turnover. In addition, given the high degree of seasonality in the province, there will be more opportunities in the summer months, during the tourist season, and leading up to the Christmas season. The outlook is fair for janitors, caretakers and building superintendents, retail trade supervisors, and grocery clerks and store shelf stockers, due mostly to moderate growth and attrition levels. A number of occupations will experience limited employment prospects over the forecast period including butchers, meat cutters, and fishmongers and cleaning supervisors. Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations There were 10,200 employed in Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations in 2012, representing 14% of all employment in the province. growth is slightly above average at 0.9% over the forecast period. in the 55+ age group is above the average for all occupations, and 72% of job openings will be filled by attrition. Unemployment levels were also above average for many occupations in 2012, including truck drivers, carpenters, and construction trades helpers and labourers, which together account for almost a third of all jobs in this category. As is the case for occupations in trades, prospects will be affected by the level of construction activity in the province, which over the forecast period is projected to be modest. The outlook is limited for some of the larger occupations such as carpenters, painters, and heavy equipment operators due to above average unemployment. However, employment prospects do differ for carpenters, depending on experience. Opportunities tend to be better for experienced and qualified carpenters. Although there are vacancies each year, there tends to be large numbers of potential workers in this occupation. Many experienced and skilled
P a g e 16 carpenters return to seasonal jobs with the same employers each year which can limit opportunities for those with entry-level skills. prospects for truck drivers are fair in PEI, and nearly 8 out of 10 job openings over the forecast period will be due to attrition. The outlook does differ, however, depending on the type of trucking involved. Long haul truckers, for example, continue to be in demand, and the outlook for experienced long haul drivers is good. In fact, some employers have brought in foreign workers in recent years due to shortages of experienced long haul drivers. On the flipside, prospects for short haul truck drivers is not as positive as these positions generally have less turnover and work in this area is more seasonal. Occupations Unique to Primary Industry There were 6,800 employed in occupations unique to primary industry in 2012, representing 9.3% of all employment in the province. growth is below average, at 0.4%, over the forecast period. in the 55+ age group is above average for all occupations, and nearly all job openings in this category will be filled by attrition. Unemployment levels were above average as well for most occupations in 2012. The largest occupations by employment size include fishing vessel skippers and fishermen/women, general farm workers, and farmers and farm managers. Collectively, these three occupations accounted for 70% of of all jobs in primary industry in 2012. prospects are mostly limited for occupations in this category, due to low growth, high attrition, and unemployment levels. This is especially the case for fishing vessel skippers and fishermen/women, as well as for fishing vessel deckhands. Low commodity prices have resulted in challenging market conditions for fishers, and current government regulations limit the number of new licenses, hence limiting employment growth in these occupations. Prospects are good, however, for certain farming occupations such as general farm workers, despite low growth and high attrition. Unemployment is very low for this occupation, and employers tend to have difficulty recruiting workers, especially during the potato harvest season. Turnover is common given the physical nature of the work which leads to job openings. Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities There were 2,300 employed in occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities in 2012, representing 3.2% of all employment in the province. There is no employment growth forecast for this occupational group, overall. in the 55+ age group is slightly below average for all occupations, and job openings in this category will be filled entirely by attrition. Unemployment levels were also below average for most occupations in this grouping in 2012. prospects are mixed for this category, depending on the type of activity involved. The outlook for manufacturers in food processing and aerospace, for example, ranges from fair to good, due in part to a strengthening US economy and a depreciating Canadian dollar. A fair
P a g e 17 outlook is expected for some of the larger occupations, including process control and machine operators (food and beverage processing), testers and graders (food and beverage processing), and aircraft assemblers and aircraft assembly inspectors. Combined, these occupations account for about a third of all jobs in this group. Prospects are good for labourers in food, beverage and tobacco processing, fish plant workers, and labourers in fish processing. There continues to be an on-going shortage of fish plant workers in PEI requiring companies to rely on foreign workers to meet production targets. In addition, this is a large occupational group on PEI, and job openings due to turnover are quite common. On the down side, employment opportunities will be limited for many occupations unrelated to food processing such as paper converting machine operators, labourers in wood, pulp and paper processing, and industrial painters and coaters.
P a g e 18 Part 2: Potential Calls by Detailed Occupational Group
P a g e 19 Occupational Outlook 2013-2015 Province of Prince Edward Island NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 Management Occupations 0012 Senior Government Managers and Officials 95 Limited 0013 0016 Senior Managers - Financial, Communications and Other Business Services 42 Good Senior Managers - Goods Production, Utilities, Transportation and Construction 37 Fair 0111 Financial Managers 186 Fair 0112 Human Resources Managers 78 Fair 0113 Purchasing Managers 58 Limited 0114 Other Administrative Services Managers 28 Fair 0121 Insurance, Real Estate and Financial Brokerage Managers 35 Fair 0122 Banking, Credit and Other Investment Managers 169 Fair 0123 Other Business Services Managers 117 Good 0212 Architecture and Science Managers 89 Limited 0213 Computer and Information Systems Managers 170 Fair 0311 Managers in Health Care 94 Fair 0312 Administrators - Post-Secondary Education and Vocational Training 50 Good 0313 School Principals and Administrators of Elementary and Secondary Education 108 Fair 0314 Managers in Social Community and Correctional Services 166 Fair 0411 0412 Government Managers - Health and Social Policy Development and Program Administration 77 Fair Government Managers - Economic Analysis, Policy Development and Program Administration 49 Limited 0414 Other Managers in Public Administration 232 Fair 0511 Library, Archive Museum and Art Gallery Managers 26 Limited 0512 Managers - Publishing, Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and Performing Arts 39 Limited 0513 Recreation,Sports and Fitness Program and Service Directors 105 Fair 0611 Sales, Marketing and Advertising Managers 192 Good 0621 Retail Trade Managers 1,361 Good 0631 Restaurant and Food Service Managers 339 Good 0632 Accommodation Service Managers 361 Good 0651 Other Services Managers 28 Fair
P a g e 20 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 0711 Construction Managers 95 Limited 0712 Residential Home Builders and Renovators 408 Fair 0713 Transportation Managers 39 Limited 0721 Facility Operation and Maintenance Managers 97 Limited 0811 Primary Production Managers (Except Agriculture) 36 Limited 0911 Manufacturing Managers 397 Fair 0912 Utilities Managers 39 Fair Business, Finance and Administrative Occupations 1111 Financial Auditors and Accountants 805 Fair 1112 Financial and Investment Analysts 70 Good 1113 Securities Agents, Investment Dealers and Brokers 31 Fair 1114 Other Financial Officers 156 Good 1121 Specialists in Human Resources 330 Fair 1122 Professional Occupations in Business Services to Management 408 Good 1211 Supervisors, General Office and Administrative Support Clerks 66 Fair 1212 Supervisors, Finance and Insurance Clerks 157 Fair 1213 Supervisors, Library Correspondence and Related Information Clerks 162 Fair 1214 Supervisors, Mail and Message Distribution Occupations 81 Limited 1215 Supervisors, Recording, Distributing and Scheduling Occupations 115 Limited 1221 Administrative Officers 796 Fair 1222 Executive Assistants 72 Fair 1223 Personnel and Recruitment Officers 73 Fair 1224 Property Administrators 158 Fair 1225 Purchasing Agents and Officers 44 Fair 1226 Conference and Event Planners 209 Fair 1228 Immigration, Insurance and Revenue Officers 271 Limited 1231 Bookkeepers 835 Fair 1232 Loan Officers 263 Fair 1233 Insurance Adjusters and Claims Examiners 124 Fair 1234 Insurance Underwriters 32 Limited 1235 Assessors, Valuators and Appraisers 49 Fair 1241 Secretaries (Except Legal and Medical) 194 Fair 1242 Legal Secretaries 31 Fair 1243 Medical Secretaries 238 Fair 1244 Court Recorders and Medical Transcriptionists 106 Fair
P a g e 21 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 1411 General Office Clerks 108 Limited 1413 Records Management and Filing Clerks 53 Fair 1414 Receptionists and Switchboard Operators 619 Fair 1422 Data Entry Clerks 198 Limited 1431 Accounting and Related Clerks 943 Fair 1432 Payroll Clerks 376 Fair 1433 Customer Service Representatives - Financial Services 301 Fair 1434 Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Clerks 129 Fair 1435 Collectors 69 Limited 1441 Administrative Clerks 1,093 Fair 1451 Library Clerks 55 Fair 1452 Correspondence, Publication and Related Clerks 87 Limited 1453 Customer Service, Information and Related Clerks 789 Good 1454 Survey Interviewers and Statistical Clerks 167 Fair 1461 Mail, Postal and Related Clerks 162 Limited 1462 Letter Carriers 115 Limited 1463 Couriers, Messengers and Door-to-Door Distributors 184 Limited 1471 Shippers and Receivers 300 Fair 1472 Storekeepers and Parts Clerks 40 Fair 1474 Purchasing and Inventory Clerks 149 Fair 1475 Dispatchers and Radio Operators 162 Limited Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations 2112 Chemists 153 Limited 2113 Geologists, Geochemists and Geophysicists 29 Fair 2121 Biologists and Related Scientists 69 Fair 2123 Agricultural Representatives, Consultants and Specialists 44 Limited 2131 Civil Engineers 80 Limited 2132 Mechanical Engineers 52 Limited 2133 Electrical and Electronics Engineers 108 Good 2147 Computer Engineers (Except Software Engineers) 30 Fair 2171 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants 625 Fair 2172 Database Analysts and Data Administrators 90 Fair 2173 Software Engineers and Designers 136 Good 2174 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers 394 Good 2175 Web Designers and Developers 122 Fair
P a g e 22 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 2211 Chemical Technologists and Technicians 208 Fair 2221 Biological Technologists and Technicians 91 Fair 2222 Agricultural and Fish Products Inspectors 52 Limited 2223 Forestry Technologists and Technicians 30 Limited 2224 Conservation and Fishery Officers 50 Limited 2225 Landscape and Horticultural Technicians and Specialists 42 Limited 2231 Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians 89 Limited 2232 Mechanical Engineering Technologists and Technicians 28 Fair 2233 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians 35 Limited 2234 Construction Estimators 90 Limited 2241 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technologists and Technicians 43 Fair 2242 Electronic Service Technicians (Household and Business Equipment) 118 Good 2244 Aircraft Instrument, Electrical and Avionics Mechanics, Technicians and Inspectors 36 Fair 2251 Architectural Technologists and Technicians 32 Limited 2253 Drafting Technologists and Technicians 100 Fair 2254 Land Survey Technologists and Technicians 62 Limited 2262 Engineering Inspectors and Regulatory Officers 62 Fair 2263 Inspectors in Public and Environmental Health and Occupational Health and Safety 145 Fair 2264 Construction Inspectors 102 Limited 2273 Deck Officers, Water Transport 66 Fair 2281 Computer and Network Operators 276 Limited 2282 User Support Technicians 451 Good 2283 Systems Testing Technicians 27 Good Health Occupations 3111 Specialist Physicians 45 Good 3112 General Practitioners and Family Physicians 202 Good 3114 Veterinarians 98 Fair 3131 Pharmacists 133 Good 3142 Physiotherapists 108 Fair 3143 Occupational Therapists 90 Good 3144 Other Professional Occupations in Therapy and Assessment 31 Fair 3151 Head Nurses and Supervisors 254 Good 3152 Registered Nurses 1,163 Good
P a g e 23 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 3211 Medical Laboratory Technologists and Pathologists' Assistants 193 Good 3212 Medical Laboratory Technicians 63 Good 3213 Veterinary and Animal Health Technologists and Technicians 128 Fair 3215 Medical Radiation Technologists 134 Fair 3222 Dental Hygienists and Dental Therapists 49 Fair 3223 Dental Technologists, Technicians and Laboratory Bench Workers 46 Fair 3232 Midwives and Practitioners of Natural Healing 71 Fair 3233 Licensed Practical Nurses 570 Good 3234 Ambulance Attendants and Other Paramedical Occupations 92 Fair 3235 Other Technical Occupations in Therapy and Assessment 58 Good 3411 Dental Assistants 106 Fair 3413 Nurse Aides, Orderlies and Patient Service Associates 1,012 Good 3414 Other Assisting Occupations in Support of Health Services 327 Fair Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion 4112 Lawyers and Quebec Notaries 389 Fair 4121 University Professors 295 Fair 4122 Post-Secondary Teaching and Research Assistants 248 Fair 4131 College and Other Vocational Instructors 529 Good 4141 Secondary School Teachers 738 Fair 4142 Elementary School and Kindergarten Teachers 1,485 Fair 4143 Educational Counsellors 104 Fair 4151 Psychologists 52 Good 4152 Social Workers 332 Fair 4153 Family, Marriage and Other Related Counsellors 152 Fair 4154 Ministers of Religion 204 Good 4162 Economists and Economic Policy Researchers and Analysts 62 Fair 4163 Business Development Officers and Marketing Researchers and Consultants 117 Limited 4164 Social Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 158 Fair 4165 Health Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 97 Fair 4166 Education Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 122 Limited 4167 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program Supervisors and Consultants 53 Limited 4168 Program Officers Unique to Government 224 Good 4211 Paralegal and Related Occupations 124 Fair 4212 Community and Social Service Workers 816 Fair
P a g e 24 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 4213 Counsellors 163 Limited 4214 Early Childhood Educators and Assistants 1,062 Good 4215 Instructors and Teachers of Persons with Disabilities 45 Limited 4216 Other Instructors 59 Fair Occupations in Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport 5111 Librarians 86 Limited 5123 Journalists 86 Fair 5124 Professional Occupations in Public Relations and Communications 183 Fair 5131 Producers, Directors, Choreographers and Related Occupations 70 Fair 5133 Musicians and Singers 87 Good 5211 Library and Archive Technicians and Assistants 54 Limited 5221 Photographers 33 Fair 5225 Audio and Video Recording Technicians 30 Limited 5227 Support Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the Performing Arts 44 Limited 5231 Announcers and Other Broadcasters 64 Fair 5241 Graphic Designers and Illustrators 194 Fair 5252 Coaches 51 Fair 5253 Sports Officials and Referees 41 Good 5254 Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness 247 Fair Sales and Service Occupations 6211 Retail Trade Supervisors 794 Fair 6212 Food Service Supervisors 256 Good 6215 Cleaning Supervisors 161 Limited 6216 Other Service Supervisors 63 Good 6221 Technical Sales Specialists - Wholesale Trade 293 Fair 6231 Insurance Agents and Brokers 86 Good 6232 Real Estate Agents and Salespersons 68 Good 6233 Retail and Wholesale Buyers 32 Good 6234 Grain Elevator Operators 29 Fair 6241 Chefs 193 Good 6242 Cooks 925 Good 6251 Butchers, Meat Cutters, and Fishmongers - Retail and Wholesale 239 Limited 6252 Bakers 174 Fair
P a g e 25 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 6261 Police Officers (Except Commissioned) 137 Fair 6262 Fire-fighters 47 Good 6271 Hairstylists and Barbers 430 Good 6411 Sales Representatives - Wholesale Trade (Non-Technical) 491 Good 6421 Retail Salespersons and Sales Clerks 2,261 Good 6432 Pursers and Flight Attendants 27 Limited 6433 Airline Sales and Service Agents 69 Fair 6435 Hotel Front Desk Clerks 237 Fair 6441 Tour and Travel Guides 31 Limited 6451 Maîtres d'hôtel and Hosts/Hostesses 198 Fair 6452 Bartenders 168 Fair 6453 Food and Beverage Servers 761 Good 6462 Correctional Service Officers 143 Limited 6463 By-law Enforcement and Other Regulatory Officers 40 Fair 6471 Visiting Homemakers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations 262 Good 6472 Elementary and Secondary School Teacher Assistants 413 Fair 6474 Babysitters, Nannies and Parents' Helpers 224 Fair 6482 Estheticians, Electrologists and Related Occupations 186 Good 6483 Pet Groomers and Animal Care Workers 175 Limited 6611 Cashiers 1,744 Good 6621 Service Station Attendants 113 Fair 6622 Grocery Clerks and Store Shelf Stockers 501 Fair 6623 Other Elemental Sales Occupations 65 Limited 6641 Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen Helpers and Related Occupations 2,084 Good 6651 Security Guards and Related Occupations 430 Good 6661 Light Duty Cleaners 1,122 Good 6662 Specialized Cleaners 107 Good 6663 Janitors, Caretakers and Building Superintendents 1,295 Fair 6671 Operators and Attendants in Amusement, Recreation and Sport 131 Good 6681 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Occupations 157 Fair 6683 Other Elemental Service Occupations 53 Fair Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations 7212 Contractors and Supervisors, Electrical Trades and Telecommunications Occupations 108 Fair 7213 Contractors and Supervisors, Pipefitting Trades 34 Limited
P a g e 26 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 7215 Contractors and Supervisors, Carpentry Trades 130 Fair 7216 Contractors and Supervisors, Mechanic Trades 282 Fair 7217 Contractors and Supervisors, Heavy Construction Equipment Crews 199 Limited 7219 Contractors and Supervisors, Other Construction Trades, Installers, Repairers and Servicers 259 Fair 7222 Supervisors, Motor Transport and Other Ground Transit Operators 155 Limited 7231 Machinists and Machining and Tooling Inspectors 105 Fair 7241 Electricians (Except Industrial and Power System) 411 Fair 7242 Industrial Electricians 81 Fair 7244 Electrical Power Line and Cable Workers 67 Fair 7245 Telecommunications Line and Cable Workers 46 Fair 7251 Plumbers 218 Fair 7252 Steamfitters, Pipefitters and Sprinkler System Installers 79 Limited 7261 Sheet Metal Workers 82 Fair 7264 Ironworkers 108 Fair 7265 Welders and Related Machine Operators 313 Fair 7271 Carpenters 913 Limited 7272 Cabinetmakers 101 Limited 7283 Tilesetters 26 Limited 7284 Plasterers, Drywall Installers and Finishers and Lathers 114 Limited 7294 Painters and Decorators 372 Limited 7311 Construction Millwrights and Industrial Mechanics (Except Textile) 60 Fair 7312 Heavy-Duty Equipment Mechanics 239 Fair 7313 Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Mechanics 91 Fair 7318 Elevator Constructors and Mechanics 26 Fair 7321 Automotive Service Technicians, Truck and Bus Mechanics and Mechanical Repairers 377 Fair 7322 Motor Vehicle Body Repairers 121 Fair 7331 Oil and Solid Fuel Heating Mechanics 39 Fair 7333 Electrical Mechanics 37 Good 7334 Motorcycle and Other Related Mechanics 43 Fair 7335 Other Small Engine and Equipment Mechanics 123 Fair 7341 Upholsterers 28 Good 7342 Tailors, Dressmakers, Furriers and Milliners 66 Fair 7351 Stationary Engineers and Auxiliary Equipment Operators 135 Fair 7383 Other Trades and Related Occupations 40 Fair 7411 Truck Drivers 1,516 Fair
P a g e 27 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential 2013-2015 7412 Bus Drivers and Subway and Other Transit Operators 304 Fair 7413 Taxi and Limousine Drivers and Chauffeurs 136 Good 7414 Delivery and Courier Service Drivers 91 Fair 7421 Heavy Equipment Operators (Except Crane) 349 Limited 7422 Public Works Maintenance Equipment Operators 187 Fair 7433 Deck Crew, Water Transport 81 Limited 7441 Residential and Commercial Installers and Servicers 193 Limited 7443 Automotive Mechanical Installers and Servicers 34 Fair 7445 Other Repairers and Servicers 39 Limited 7452 Material Handlers 615 Fair 7611 Construction Trades Helpers and Labourers 633 Fair 7612 Other Trades Helpers and Labourers 28 Limited 7621 Public Works and Maintenance Labourers 120 Limited Occupations Unique to Primary Industry 8222 Supervisors, Oil and Gas Drilling and Service 64 Limited 8232 Oil and Gas Well Drillers, Servicers, Testers and Related Workers 84 Limited 8251 Farmers and Farm Managers 1,502 Good 8253 Farm Supervisors and Specialized Livestock Workers 88 Fair 8255 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Contractors and Managers 82 Fair 8256 Supervisors, Landscape and Horticulture 50 Limited 8257 Aquaculture Operators and Managers 164 Limited 8261 Fishing Masters and Officers 41 Limited 8262 Fishing Vessel Skippers and Fishermen/women 1,680 Limited 8412 Oil and Gas Well Drilling Workers and Services Operators 79 Limited 8421 Chain-saw and Skidder Operators 63 Limited 8431 General Farm Workers 1,601 Good 8432 Nursery and Greenhouse Workers 56 Good 8441 Fishing Vessel Deckhands 362 Limited 8611 Harvesting Labourers 232 Good 8612 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Labourers 309 Fair 8613 Aquaculture and Marine Harvest Labourers 179 Good 8615 Oil and Gas Drilling, Servicing and Related Labourers 71 Limited
P a g e 28 NOC Code Occupational Title Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities 2012 Potential 2013-2015 9212 Supervisors, Petroleum, Gas and Chemical Processing and Utilities 33 Good 9213 Supervisors, Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing 126 Limited 9215 Supervisors, Forest Products Processing 36 Fair 9226 Supervisors, Other Mechanical and Metal Products Manufacturing 57 Good 9424 Water and Waste Plant Operators 27 Fair 9433 Papermaking and Finishing Machine Operators 31 Limited 9435 Paper Converting Machine Operators 153 Limited 9461 Process Control and Machine Operators, Food and Beverage Processing 425 Fair 9463 Fish Plant Workers 132 Good 9465 Testers and Graders, Food and Beverage Processing 176 Fair 9481 Aircraft Assemblers and Aircraft Assembly Inspectors 139 Fair 9483 Electronics Assemblers, Fabricators, Inspectors and Testers 29 Fair 9493 Other Wood Products Assemblers and Inspectors 33 Good 9496 Painters and Coaters - Industrial 69 Limited 9498 Other Assemblers and Inspectors 61 Limited 9514 Metalworking Machine Operators 27 Fair 9614 Labourers in Wood, Pulp and Paper Processing 81 Limited 9617 Labourers in Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing 298 Good 9618 Labourers in Fish Processing 126 Good 9619 Other Labourers in Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities 69 Fair Note: In preparing this document, the authors have taken care to provide clients with labour market information that is timely and accurate at the time of publication. Since labour market conditions are dynamic, some of the information presented here may have changed since this document was published. Users are encouraged to also refer to other sources for additional information on the local economy and labour market. Information contained in this document does not necessarily reflect official policies of and Social Development Canada. For further information, please contact Jamie Dooks (jamie.dooks@servicecanada.gc.ca) or the Labour Market Information team at: lmi-imt@jobbank.gc.ca For information on Statistics Canada products, please visit the Statistics Canada Web site at: www.statcan.gc.ca Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada as represented by and Social Development Canada, 2014, all rights reserved