OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK Nova Scotia

Transcription

1 OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK Nova Scotia Spring 2014

2 P a g e 1 Table of Contents LIST OF TABLES... 1 ACRONYMS... 2 ABOUT THE OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK... 3 NOTES ON METHODOLOGY... 4 PART 1: SUMMARY OF MAJOR OCCUPATIONAL GROUPS... 8 PROVINCIAL OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK... 9 OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK MAJOR GROUPS Management Occupations Business, Finance and Administration Occupations Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations Health Occupations Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion Occupations in Arts, Culture, and Sport and Recreation Sales and Service Occupations Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations Occupations Unique to Primary Industry Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities PART 2: EMPLOYMENT POTENTIAL CALLS BY DETAILED OCCUPATIONAL GROUP List of Tables Table 1:, Distribution and Growth by Major Occupational Group 11 Table 2: New Jobs, Attrition and Total Job Openings

3 P a g e 2 Acronyms COPS.Canadian Occupational Projection System NOC...National Occupational Classification GDP Gross Domestic Product LFS...Labour Force Survey, Statistics Canada NAICS North American Industrial Classification System NHS National Household Survey, Statistics Canada NS...Nova Scotia ROOC.Regional Occupational Outlooks in Canada US...United States

4 P a g e 3 About the Occupational Outlook Each year, Service Canada issues three-year employment forecasts both by industry and by occupation for Nova Scotia as a whole. The results of the analysis are published in the form of a report intended to provide a comprehensive overview of recent labour market developments and outlooks in Nova Scotia. We hope this series of documents will interest people who are seeking labour market guidance and those who help them, including parents, educational staff, and employment assistance services workers. It should also interest businesses and employer associations that want to identify human resources management issues in their industries. This document is composed of two sections. The first part provides a summary of large occupational skill type categories, including an overview of economic developments and key labour market indicators. The second part presents the employment prospects by occupation catalogued according to the National Occupational Classification (NOC 2006). Finally, we would like to acknowledge the Labour Market Information team located at National Headquarters who provided the forecasting tool and ongoing support throughout this project, and the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) team who provided us with access to many of the base analyses for the forecasting tool used to carry out this study. We also wish to acknowledge the contribution of provincial colleagues in the validation of the employment estimates.

5 P a g e 4 Notes on Methodology Each year, Service Canada develops medium-term employment forecasts both by industry and by occupation for Nova Scotia. The results of these analyses are published to provide a comprehensive overview of recent labour market developments and outlooks in Nova Scotia. This document presents occupational outlooks based on the 10 main skill areas defined in Canada s National Occupational Classification (NOC), 2006 version. Estimates The data source used for historical estimates and employment forecasts by industry and occupation is Statistics Canada s Labour Force Survey (LFS). The LFS was chosen because it constitutes a statistically reliable and continuous source of information on employment trends in Nova Scotia. Historical employment data for the skill type occupational categories were also derived from LFS estimates. Service Canada, Atlantic Region, is solely responsible for the employment prospects. These employment prospects have been established for a three-year period, from 2013 to They were developed by Service Canada economists in Nova Scotia. Credit also goes to the partnership with the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS), without which we would not have had access to many of the analysis and forecasting tools that were used to carry out this study. The annual average employment growth rates in the tables were calculated using compound growth rates. The growth rates specifically refer to changes from 2013 to 2015, with 2013 used as the base year. Prospects: Detailed List by Occupation Only occupations with an employment greater than fifty persons in the region are on this list. The ratings are based on data on unemployment, expected growth in employment, anticipated replacement needs, the impact of technological, organizational and legislative changes, employee turnover, openings, the level and types of skills required, the status of young graduates, and significant developments or events that could affect employment over the next few years and the labour market as a whole. There are three indicators used for the employment prospects:

6 P a g e 5 Good This rating is given to occupations that offer the best opportunities. These occupations are associated with an above-average demand for workers in the labour market and a smaller pool of qualified applicants in the region. This is a more favourable situation for job seekers and is sometimes associated with a lack of qualified and/or experienced workers. The situation can also be the result of specific working conditions, seasonal or temporary employment, lack of interest among workers, etc. Fair This rating is given to occupations that offer opportunities comparable to the average for all occupations. These occupations are associated with a demand for workers in the labour market that is higher than or comparable to the average and a pool of skilled labour that more or less matches the estimated need. Taking into account the context of the regional labour market, this situation can be considered stable. However, there will sometimes be slightly more applicants than available positions. Limited This rating is given to occupations that offer the poorest job opportunities. These occupations are associated with a situation where job openings and employment growth are below the regional average. The situation is more difficult for job seekers in these occupations and reflects the fact that the number of qualified available workers exceeds the number of positions that will need to be filled in the next three years. Note: Job seekers should take other information into account in order to make informed choices that affect their career path. They need a good knowledge of their interests, skills and personal suitability before they can make these personal decisions. Job seekers are encouraged to consult other sources of information before choosing a particular career. Occupational Groups The occupational groups used in this report are the 10 major skill type categories of the National Occupational Classification (NOC), 2006 version, which are based on the type of work performed. These categories also reflect the field of training or experience that is normally required for entry into occupations including the educational area of study required.

7 P a g e 6 Below is a brief overview of the composition of each of these groups, citing the definitions provided by the NOC , published by and Social Development Canada (then Human Resources and Social Development Canada). More detailed information on NOC categories is available on the NOC website Management Occupations This skill type category contains legislators, senior management occupations, and middle management occupations. 1. Business, Finance and Administration This category contains occupations that are concerned with providing financial and business services, administrative and regulatory services, and clerical supervision and support services. Some occupations in this category are unique to the financial and business service sectors; however, most are found in all industries. 2. Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations This category contains professional and technical occupations in the sciences, including physical and life sciences, engineering, architecture, and information technology. 3. Health Occupations This category includes occupations concerned with providing health care services directly to patients and occupations that provide support to professional and technical staff. 4. Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Service and Religion This skill type category includes a range of occupations that are concerned with law, teaching, counselling, conducting social science research, developing government policy, and administering government and other programs. 1 Human Resources and Social Development Canada. National Occupational Classification 2006: Occupational Descriptions. LM E Ottawa: Public Works and Government Services Canada, and Social Development Canada. National Occupational Classification website.

8 P a g e 7 5. Occupations in Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport This skill type category includes professional and technical occupations related to art and culture, including the performing arts, film and video, broadcasting, journalism, writing, creative design, libraries and museums. It also includes occupations in recreation and sport. 6. Sales and Service Occupations This skill type category contains sales occupations, personal and protective service occupations, and occupations related to the hospitality and tourism industries. 7. Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations This skill type category includes construction and mechanical trades, trades supervisors and contractors, and operators of transportation and heavy equipment. These occupations are found in a wide range of industrial sectors, with many occurring in the construction and transportation industries. This category includes most of the apprenticeable trades, including all of those related to the construction industry. Other occupations in this category usually require completion of college or other programs combined with on-the-job training. Progression to supervisory or self-employed contractor status is possible with experience. There is limited mobility or transferability of skills among occupations in this category due to specific apprenticeship, training and licensing requirements for most occupations. 8. Occupations Unique to Primary Industry This category contains supervisory and equipment operation occupations in the natural resource-based sectors of mining, oil and gas production, forestry and logging, agriculture, horticulture and fishing. Most occupations in this category are industry specific and do not occur outside of the primary industries. 9. Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities This category contains supervisory and production occupations in manufacturing, processing and utilities.

9 Part 1: Summary of Major Occupational Groups P a g e 8

10 P a g e 9 Provincial Overview and Outlook The Nova Scotia economy has been constrained over the most recent years and is expected to remain so over the forecast period. Provincial real GDP grew only marginally in 2012 (0.2%) and well below 1% in 2013 (0.8%). GDP growth is expected to accelerate to close to 2% in 2014 and strengthen into Several factors are expected to impact the provincial economy over the forecast period. Although exports have been challenged over the last few years, there has been a general upswing in export activity as the US economy improves. A significant boost to the provincial economy is expected in the later years of the forecast due to an upswing in major project activity, particularly as shipbuilding at the Irving yard begins and energy activity in the offshore rebounds. The general improvement in the provincial economy should be evident in a strengthening in retail sales in the province. In addition, an improving US economy and resumption of the ferry service to Yarmouth from the US should help to improve Tourism in the province over the period. Nova Scotia has emerged as a predominately service sector economy in terms of employment and is expected to continue to do so over the forecast period. Demographic change has helped push Health services to the front in terms of current and future employment growth. A shift towards technology and knowledge intensive sectors in the provinces will continue to increase employment in higher skilled technical occupations as well, particularly for those related to information processing. The slow recovery anticipated for the provincial economy is expected to be reflected in relatively slow growth in the number of new jobs, with approximately 2,500 new jobs expected to be created by This represents a growth rate of less than one third of a percentage point over the period. However, an additional 21,400 job openings are expected to arise from attrition (retirements and deaths) over the forecast period, and the total number of job openings is anticipated to be close to 24,000 over the three-year period. This means that close to 90% of job openings over the forecast will arise from attrition rather than expansion of employment. The majority of job openings are expected to arise in Sales and Service occupations, followed by Business, Finance and Administrative positions. Job openings in both of these groups are expected to be heavily impacted by high levels of occupational attrition. Increased demand for Health services will tend to create a fair number of job openings in Health occupations, particularly for nursing and patient care occupations. Occupational outlooks reflect not only the number of expected job openings but also the number of people qualified to work in the occupation. The labour supply or labour pool includes unemployed workers with experience in an occupation, training program graduates, immigrants and others with the required interests and abilities, and workers looking to improve their situations. Taking these factors into account, the occupational categories that are expected to be the best employment prospects are on both sides of the skills spectrum. Relatively high job turnover and expansion demand for services will provide good employment prospects for a number of service sector trades, including retail salesperson, retail clerks, and food serving occupations.

11 P a g e 10 An increased demand for Health services will provide good employment prospects for a variety of health occupations, including the highly specialized occupations such as specialist physicians and general practitioners and family physicians and pharmacists. Prospects will also be good for the relatively large Health services occupations of registered nurses and licensed practical nurses, although a large share of the prospects will arise from replacement demand for those leaving these occupations. The increasing knowledge intensity and technical complexity of the economy is reflected in good prospects for a number of occupations in the Natural and Applied Sciences and Related occupations. prospects are expected to be good for a number of engineering occupations (i.e. civil and mechanical engineers), as well as occupations such as information systems analysts and consultants and computer programmers and interactive media developers who work with advanced information. The ongoing development of several larger industrial projects in the region should lead to good employment prospects for a number of occupations within the trades, transport and equipment and related occupations, such as machinists, welders, heavy duty equipment mechanics, truck drivers and automotive service technicians, truck and bus mechanics and mechanical repairers.

12 P a g e 11 Occupational Outlook Major Groups Table 1:, Distribution and Growth by Occupational Major Group 2012 Share of Annual Average Growth Rate Annual Average Growth Rate (Forecast) Total, All Occupations 455, % 0.3% 0.28% Management 40, % -2.2% 0.06% Business, Finance and Administration 79, % 2.5% 0.15% Natural and Applied Sciences and Related 27, % -3.2% 0.87% Occupations Health Occupations 41, % 2.5% 1.36% Social Science, Education, Government 41, % 2.2% 0.31% Services and Religion Arts, Culture, Recreation and Sport 13, % 1.5% 1.09% Sales and Service Occupations 118, % 1.0% 0.50% Trades, Transport and Equipment 63, % -0.6% -1.04% Occupations Unique to Primary Industry 15, % -64.8% 1.22% Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities 14, % -3.0% -0.58% Table 2: New Jobs, Attrition and Total Job Openings Total New Jobs Total Attrition Total Job Openings Attrition as a percentage of Total Job Openings Total, All Occupations 2,552 21,393 23, % Management 44 2,620 2, % Business, Finance and Administration 233 3,417 3, % Natural and Applied Sciences and Related 473 1,183 1, % Occupations Health Occupations 1,142 2,210 3, % Social Science, Education, Government 257 1,992 2, % Services and Religion Arts, Culture, Recreation and Sport % Sales and Service Occupations 1,197 4,735 5, % Trades, Transport and Equipment -1,305 3,026 1, % Occupations Unique to Primary Industry , % Occupations Unique to Processing, % Manufacturing and Utilities Note: Attrition as a percentage of total job openings is capped at 100%

13 P a g e 12 Management Occupations Approximately 9% of workers in Nova Scotia (or 40,200) were employed in Management occupations in growth in this category is well below the average for all occupations at 0.06% over the forecast period, and there is a higher than average level of employment in the 55+ age group. As a result, almost all (98%) of job openings will be filled by attrition. Within this occupational grouping, the majority of job openings are expected to be in service-related management occupations, particularly retail trade & sales managers, restaurant & food service managers, and accommodation service managers. Managers in health care and financial managers are also expected to comprise a relatively large share of job openings over the forecast period. prospects for the most part are fair for management occupations. However, reflecting in part the large growth in job openings in these occupations, employment prospects are good for managers in health care, retail trade managers, and restaurant & food service managers. Business, Finance and Administration Occupations in Business, Finance and Administration Occupations in 2012 (79,700) accounted for almost 18% of employment in the province. This is the second largest of the major occupational groups. At 0.15%, employment growth for this occupational group is roughly one-half of the provincial average over the forecast period. The occupational group has a proportion of older workers that is very close to the average for all occupations (17%). With slow employment growth and an older demographic, most of the growth in employment openings for this occupational group will arise from attrition (94%). In terms of the volume of job openings, high job turnover will result in significant job openings for administrative officers, financial auditors and accountants and bookkeepers. Increasing employment as well as turnover will also result in a relatively large number of job openings for professional occupations in business services to management. prospects are mostly fair for the category as a whole. There are several occupations in this occupational grouping that are expected to have good employment prospects. Replacement demand and a strong financial sector in the region will result in good employment prospects for financial auditors and accountants and other financial officers. Job turnover and continued demand should result in good employment prospects for receptionists and switchboard operators and shippers and receivers over the forecast period. Reflecting to a large degree the pressures of changing technology and communication patterns, several occupations in this grouping are expected to have limited opportunities, including mail, postal and related clerks, correspondence, publication and related clerks, desktop publishing operators and related occupations, and mail carriers. Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations Approximately 6% of workers (or 27,000) were employed in Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations in This occupational group is regarded as being strategic to the development of knowledge intensive industries in the province, particularly those related to information technology.

14 P a g e 13 growth for this occupational grouping (0.87 %) is well above the provincial average over the forecast period. in the 55+ age group is below the average for all occupations. It is expected that many of the job openings for this occupational group will be as the result of expansion of employment, although attrition will still accounting for roughly 70% of employment openings. The largest occupational groups that will contribute to job openings in this grouping are heavily related to information technology and include information systems analysts and consultants, computer programmers and interactive media developers, and user support technicians. Generally, many occupations in this occupational grouping have fair employment prospects, although there is a significant share with good employment prospects. These include a wide variety of engineering occupations, including civil, mechanical, and electrical and electronic engineers. Information technology related occupations will also present good opportunities, including computer and software engineers and information analysts. Also from a technical perspective, employment prospects should be good for mechanical and electrical engineering technologists and technicians and system testing technicians. Health Occupations There were 41,200 employed in Health occupations in 2012, accounting for 9.0% of total provincial employment. growth in the health occupations over the forecast period (1.4%) is expected to be the most rapid of any of the occupational groups. in the 55+ age group (18%) is roughly at the average for all occupations; consequently, a relatively high share of job growth will come from employment expansion. However, two-thirds of the growth in job opportunities will still result from attrition. This is the lowest attrition rate for any of the occupational groupings The occupations in Health that will contribute most to job openings are in the nursing occupations, particularly registered nurses, nurse s aides, orderlies and patient service associates, and licensed practical nurses. Job openings will also be relatively high for general practitioners and family physicians and specialist physicians. The employment prospects for Health occupations are quite positive in the province, reflecting the growing importance of health services in the provincial economy. There are actually no limited employment prospect calls in this occupational grouping, and the greatest number of occupations with good employment prospects occurs in Health. Many of the higher skilled health occupations require significant educational investment to attain the necessary accreditation, particularly physicians, dentists, and pharmacists. However, a growing demand for health services will also result in good employment prospects for the occupations that require lower levels of accreditation and educational credentials, including registered nurses, licensed practical nurses, and nurse s aides and orderlies. Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion Approximately 9% of workers (or 41,800) were employed in occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion in growth for this occupational group is roughly average at 0.31%. This is an older occupational grouping, with the proportion of employees over the age of 55 above the average for all occupations. Correspondingly, a significant percentage of job opportunities will come from attrition (89%), which is the average for all occupations.

15 P a g e 14 The largest occupations in terms of job openings over the forecast period are for teaching occupations, particularly elementary school and kindergarten teachers and secondary school teachers. Most of these job openings arise from attrition as funding pressures will continue to be an issue for primary and secondary educational services in the province. A relatively large number of job openings will also arise for early childhood educators and assistants, although this is primarily driven by an increased overall demand for these services. In terms of employment prospects, there are not a lot of good opportunities in this occupational grouping. prospects are good for only two occupations in this occupational group, psychologists and early childhood educators and assistants, the latter driven by significant growing demand in relation to the size of employment in the occupation. Although there are a significant number of job openings for primary and secondary teachers in the province, these are relatively few in respect to the overall large number of workers in these occupations, and consequently, the prospects for employment are reduced. Thus, employment prospects for both elementary school and kindergarten teachers and secondary school teachers are limited in the province. Occupations in Arts, Culture, and Sport and Recreation Approximately 3% of workers were employed in occupations in Arts, Culture, and Sport and Recreation in With employment of 13,300 in 2012, it is the smallest of the 10 skill-type categories in terms of employment While the occupational grouping has low employment numbers, growth in employment is above average (roughly 1%). The occupational group is slightly below average in terms of the share of workers aged 55+, and attrition accounts for just over two-thirds of job openings over the forecast period. The greatest numbers of job openings for an occupation in this grouping are for graphic designers, although the volume of openings is very small in relation to the number employed in this occupation. It should be noted that many of the job openings in this occupational grouping, particularly in the arts, are non-traditional in the sense they may be temporary positions or selfemployed such as musicians, actors and comedians, or artisans and craftspersons. The employment prospects for this grouping is somewhat muted as there are no good employment prospects within this category. Most of the employment prospects are limited within these fields, reflecting to a large degree the non-traditional nature of the work and the relatively small number employed in the occupations themselves. Sales and Service Occupations Over a quarter of all workers (26.0%) in Nova Scotia were employed in Sales and Service occupations in With employment of 118,500 in 2012, this occupational group is by far the largest in terms of employment for any occupational category. growth is expected to average at 0.5% over the forecast period, well above the average for all occupations. The proportion of employment in the 55+ age group in this occupational category (14%) is below average, reflecting the high proportion of youth in these predominately entry-level occupations. Approximately 80% of job openings are anticipated to arise through attrition, which is below the average (89.3%) for all occupations in the province. The Sales and Service occupational grouping is expected to have many job openings in lower skilled occupations that directly involve providing services to the public. Many of these positions are at entry levels that employ a high proportion of younger workers. A good number of these

16 P a g e 15 occupations have challenging working conditions that are reflected in higher levels of job turnover and job mobility. Many of these occupations are seasonal in nature, and the incidence of part time work is relatively high in this occupational grouping as well. In addition, the significant volume of job openings expected for Sales and Service occupations reflects the large numbers employed in occupations in this group. Many of these occupations will generate significant numbers of job openings due to the sheer size of employment in the occupation. Examples of large occupational groups that are expected to generate significant job openings in the province are food counter attendants, cashiers, retail salespersons, and sales clerks. A smaller occupational category that is also anticipated to generate significant job openings is janitors, caretakers and building superintendents. The employment prospects for specific Sales and Service occupations are generally positive. Many of these occupations are in retail trade and food services and include those who directly serve the public such as salespersons and cashiers. Household services are also expected to generate employment opportunities, and occupations such as cleaners, babysitters, and homemakers and expected to provide good employment potential in the province. Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations In Nova Scotia, 14% of workers (or 63,900) were employed in Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related occupations in This occupational grouping is one of the most diverse, with a very large number of occupations ranging from trades supervisory positions to trades helpers and labourers. growth for this occupational grouping is expected to decline over time, falling by roughly a percentage point over the forecast period. This reflects to a large degree an anticipated slowdown in Construction activity and employment in the province, in which a wide variety of trades are employed. Within this occupational grouping, the proportion of employment in the 55+ age group is at the average for all occupations. However, with the decline anticipated in employment in the occupational grouping due primarily to weakness in Construction, it is expected that attrition will account for all job openings in Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations. Despite the slowdown in Construction employment and its impact on trades and related occupations in the province, the high rate of attrition and turnover is reflected in a overwhelming incidence of fair employment potential calls for this occupational group. There are a small number of good calls in this occupational category, but they tend to be more associated with industrial activity other than construction, Examples of these occupations are: machinists and machining and tooling inspectors; welders and related machine operators; industrial electricians; and heavy duty equipment mechanics. Occupations Unique to Primary Industry There were 15,500 employed in Occupations Unique to Primary Industry in the province in 2012, accounting for 3.4% of workers. Generally, the proportion of employment in primary industries in the province has diminished over time due to a number of factors including globalization, resource constraints, and international market conditions. is expected to recover in primary industries over the forecast period. growth is anticipated to be slightly over 1%, which is well above the average for all occupations. Almost one-quarter of those employed in this occupational group are aged 55+, the highest for

17 P a g e 16 all occupational groupings. Given that employment in the sector is expected to expand over time and the relatively small size of the occupational grouping, attrition is expected to account for just over two-thirds (68%) of job openings over the forecast period. The occupations that are expected to contribute most to job openings are fishing vessel skippers and fishermen/women and fishing deckhands, although a significant portion of the job openings will come from attrition. Attrition is also expected to create a relatively large share of job openings for farmers and farm managers as well, In regards to employment prospects for this occupational group, the rating is fairly split between limited and fair, with only two occupations, harvesting labourers and landscaping and grounds maintenance labourers, regarded as have a good opportunity. Both of these occupations are entry-level occupations with significant turnover arising from high degrees of seasonality and challenging working conditions. The employment prospects for fishing vessel skippers and fishermen/women and fishing deckhands are considered to be limited as the number of job openings, while relatively large within the total employment increase for the occupational group, are actually quite a small percentage of overall employment for each specific occupation. Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities In Nova Scotia, 3.2% of workers (or 14,400) were employed in Occupations Unique to Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities. The largest occupations in this grouping in terms of employment are fish plant workers followed by rubber processing machine operators and related workers. Occupational employment in this general category has tended to be in decline in the province as goods production restructures in the region. is expected to slowly decline for this occupation over the forecast period. Although the proportion of employees who are aged 55+ is slightly less than the average for other occupational groups in the province, attrition is expected to account for all the job openings in this grouping over the three-year period as employment contracts in these occupations. Job openings are expected to be positive for larger occupations such as fish plant workers, but the number of openings is relatively small compared to the large size of the occupation and will be driven primarily by replacement demand as employment in the fish processing sector continues to decline. prospects are fairly evenly split between fair and limited for this occupational grouping, with most fair calls being driven by attrition from the occupation. There is only one good call in this occupational grouping, supervisors, other mechanical and metal products manufacturing, although the total number employed in this occupation is relatively small. Reflecting industrial restructuring in the province, employment opportunities are expected to be limited for primary sector processing workers in the province, particularly fish plant workers, labourers in fish processing, and labourers in wood, pulp and paper processing. opportunities are expected to be fair for rubber processing machine operators and related workers in the province, but this reflects replacement demand from attrition rather than significant expansion in the industry in the province.

18 P a g e 17 Part 2: Potential Calls by Detailed Occupational Group

19 P a g e 18 Occupational Outlook Province of Nova Scotia NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential Management Occupations 0011 Legislators 79 Limited 0012 Senior Government Managers and Officials 266 Limited 0013 Senior Managers - Financial, Communications and Other Business Services 704 Fair 0014 Senior Managers - Health, Education, Social and Community Services and Membership 215 Limited Organizations 0016 Senior Managers - Goods Production, Utilities, Transportation and Construction 112 Fair 0111 Financial Managers 1372 Fair 0112 Human Resources Managers 591 Fair 0113 Purchasing Managers 147 Fair 0114 Other Administrative Services Managers 166 Fair 0121 Insurance, Real Estate and Financial Brokerage Managers 608 Fair 0122 Banking, Credit and Other Investment Managers 1512 Fair 0123 Other Business Services Managers 605 Fair 0131 Telecommunication Carriers Managers 290 Limited 0132 Postal and Courier Services Managers 110 Limited 0211 Engineering Managers 409 Fair 0212 Architecture and Science Managers 185 Fair 0213 Computer and Information Systems Managers 775 Fair 0311 Managers in Health Care 1381 Good 0312 Administrators - Post-Secondary Education and Vocational Training 999 Fair 0313 School Principals and Administrators of Elementary and Secondary Education 1321 Limited 0314 Managers in Social Community and Correctional Services 1088 Fair 0411 Government Managers - Health and Social Policy Development and Program 288 Fair Administration 0412 Government Managers - Economic Analysis, Policy Development and Program 125 Fair Administration 0414 Other Managers in Public Administration 764 Fair 0511 Library, Archive Museum and Art Gallery Managers 109 Fair 0512 Managers - Publishing, Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and Performing Arts 93 Limited 0513 Recreation,Sports and Fitness Program and Service Directors 240 Limited 0611 Sales, Marketing and Advertising Managers 2029 Fair 0621 Retail Trade Managers 8656 Good 0631 Restaurant and Food Service Managers 2814 Good 0632 Accommodation Service Managers 1918 Fair 0642 Fire Chiefs and Senior Fire-fighting Officers 52 Limited 0643 Commissioned Officers, Armed Forces 66 Fair 0651 Other Services Managers 1073 Fair 0711 Construction Managers 1569 Fair 0712 Residential Home Builders and Renovators 3074 Fair 0713 Transportation Managers 1089 Fair 0721 Facility Operation and Maintenance Managers 1260 Fair 0811 Primary Production Managers (Except Agriculture) 132 Limited 0911 Manufacturing Managers Fair

20 P a g e 19 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential Utilities Managers 362 Fair Business, Finance and Administrative Occupations 1111 Financial Auditors and Accountants 4925 Good 1112 Financial and Investment Analysts 905 Fair 1113 Securities Agents, Investment Dealers and Brokers 94 Fair 1114 Other Financial Officers 2145 Good 1121 Specialists in Human Resources 2127 Fair 1122 Professional Occupations in Business Services to Management 3103 Fair 1211 Supervisors, General Office and Administrative Support Clerks 576 Fair 1212 Supervisors, Finance and Insurance Clerks 1091 Fair 1213 Supervisors, Library Correspondence and Related Information Clerks 987 Fair 1214 Supervisors, Mail and Message Distribution Occupations 655 Limited 1215 Supervisors, Recording, Distributing and Scheduling Occupations 1048 Fair 1221 Administrative Officers 6029 Fair 1222 Executive Assistants 1270 Fair 1223 Personnel and Recruitment Officers 281 Fair 1224 Property Administrators 690 Fair 1225 Purchasing Agents and Officers 1361 Fair 1226 Conference and Event Planners 398 Fair 1228 Immigration, Insurance and Revenue Officers 541 Limited 1231 Bookkeepers Fair 1232 Loan Officers 1323 Fair 1233 Insurance Adjusters and Claims Examiners 884 Fair 1234 Insurance Underwriters 824 Fair 1235 Assessors, Valuators and Appraisers 426 Fair 1241 Secretaries (Except Legal and Medical) 2431 Fair 1242 Legal Secretaries 77 Fair 1243 Medical Secretaries 948 Fair 1244 Court Recorders and Medical Transcriptionists 562 Fair 1411 General Office Clerks 1081 Fair 1413 Records Management and Filing Clerks 1123 Fair 1414 Receptionists and Switchboard Operators 4631 Good 1422 Data Entry Clerks 1342 Fair 1423 Desktop Publishing Operators and Related Occupations 102 Limited 1431 Accounting and Related Clerks 3999 Fair 1432 Payroll Clerks 1608 Fair 1433 Customer Service Representatives - Financial Services 2759 Fair 1434 Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Clerks 669 Fair 1435 Collectors 509 Fair 1441 Administrative Clerks 6445 Fair 1442 Personnel Clerks 119 Limited 1443 Court Clerks 114 Limited 1451 Library Clerks 318 Fair 1452 Correspondence, Publication and Related Clerks 119 Limited 1453 Customer Service, Information and Related Clerks 6955 Fair 1454 Survey Interviewers and Statistical Clerks 286 Fair 1461 Mail, Postal and Related Clerks 805 Limited 1462 Letter Carriers 918 Limited 1463 Couriers, Messengers and Door-to-Door Distributors 1035 Fair 1471 Shippers and Receivers 2170 Good

21 P a g e 20 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential Storekeepers and Parts Clerks 606 Fair 1473 Production Clerks 385 Limited 1474 Purchasing and Inventory Clerks 1003 Fair 1475 Dispatchers and Radio Operators 1337 Fair 1476 Transportation Route and Crew Schedulers 204 Limited Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations 2112 Chemists 250 Fair 2113 Geologists, Geochemists and Geophysicists 220 Fair 2114 Meteorologists 86 Limited 2121 Biologists and Related Scientists 537 Fair 2123 Agricultural Representatives, Consultants and Specialists 60 Fair 2131 Civil Engineers 1228 Good 2132 Mechanical Engineers 379 Good 2133 Electrical and Electronics Engineers 515 Good 2141 Industrial and Manufacturing Engineers 614 Fair 2143 Mining Engineers 104 Limited 2145 Petroleum Engineers 178 Fair 2146 Aerospace Engineers 199 Fair 2147 Computer Engineers (Except Software Engineers) 395 Good 2148 Other Professional Engineers, n.e.c. 452 Fair 2151 Architects 817 Fair 2152 Landscape Architects 54 Fair 2153 Urban and Land Use Planners 310 Fair 2154 Land Surveyors 262 Fair 2161 Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries 395 Fair 2171 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants 2178 Good 2172 Database Analysts and Data Administrators 309 Good 2173 Software Engineers and Designers 686 Good 2174 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers 2104 Good 2175 Web Designers and Developers 562 Fair 2211 Chemical Technologists and Technicians 429 Fair 2212 Geological and Mineral Technologists and Technicians 231 Limited 2221 Biological Technologists and Technicians Limited 2222 Agricultural and Fish Products Inspectors 308 Limited 2223 Forestry Technologists and Technicians 170 Fair 2224 Conservation and Fishery Officers 152 Fair 2225 Landscape and Horticultural Technicians and Specialists Fair 2231 Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians 926 Fair 2232 Mechanical Engineering Technologists and Technicians 266 Good 2233 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians 216 Fair 2234 Construction Estimators 117 Fair 2241 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technologists and Technicians 612 Good 2242 Electronic Service Technicians (Household and Business Equipment) 1760 Fair 2243 Industrial Instrument Technicians and Mechanics 159 Fair 2244 Aircraft Instrument, Electrical and Avionics Mechanics, Technicians and Inspectors 102 Fair 2251 Architectural Technologists and Technicians 95 Fair 2253 Drafting Technologists and Technicians 582 Fair 2254 Land Survey Technologists and Technicians 113 Limited 2255 Mapping and Related Technologists and Technicians 71 Fair 2261 Nondestructive Testers and Inspectors 197 Limited

22 P a g e 21 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential Engineering Inspectors and Regulatory Officers 267 Fair 2263 Inspectors in Public and Environmental Health and Occupational Health and Safety 925 Fair 2264 Construction Inspectors 373 Fair 2271 Air Pilots, Flight Engineers and Flying Instructors 936 Fair 2272 Air Traffic Control and Related Occupations 143 Fair 2273 Deck Officers, Water Transport 351 Fair 2274 Engineer Officers, Water Transport 376 Fair 2281 Computer and Network Operators 1226 Fair 2282 User Support Technicians 2050 Fair 2283 Systems Testing Technicians 218 Good Health Occupations 3111 Specialist Physicians 1721 Good 3112 General Practitioners and Family Physicians 1899 Good 3113 Dentists 337 Good 3114 Veterinarians 126 Fair 3121 Optometrists 230 Fair 3122 Chiropractors 140 Fair 3123 Other Professional Occupations in Health Diagnosing and Treating 282 Fair 3131 Pharmacists 1142 Good 3132 Dietitians and Nutritionists 515 Fair 3141 Audiologists and Speech-Language Pathologists 95 Good 3142 Physiotherapists 760 Good 3143 Occupational Therapists 487 Good 3144 Other Professional Occupations in Therapy and Assessment 204 Fair 3151 Head Nurses and Supervisors 1266 Fair 3152 Registered Nurses 9896 Good 3211 Medical Laboratory Technologists and Pathologists' Assistants 699 Good 3212 Medical Laboratory Technicians 444 Fair 3213 Veterinary and Animal Health Technologists and Technicians 383 Fair 3214 Respiratory Therapists, Clinical Perfusionists and Cardio-Pulmonary Technologists 128 Good 3215 Medical Radiation Technologists 642 Good 3216 Medical Sonographers 66 Good 3219 Other Medical Technologists and Technicians (Except Dental Health) 123 Fair 3222 Dental Hygienists and Dental Therapists 718 Fair 3231 Opticians 350 Fair 3232 Midwives and Practitioners of Natural Healing 231 Fair 3233 Licensed Practical Nurses 3334 Good 3234 Ambulance Attendants and Other Paramedical Occupations 1748 Fair 3235 Other Technical Occupations in Therapy and Assessment 919 Good 3411 Dental Assistants 505 Fair 3413 Nurse Aides, Orderlies and Patient Service Associates Good 3414 Other Assisting Occupations in Support of Health Services 1732 Fair Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Services and Religion 4111 Judges 229 Limited 4112 Lawyers and Quebec Notaries 1997 Fair 4121 University Professors 3404 Fair 4122 Post-Secondary Teaching and Research Assistants 1416 Fair 4131 College and Other Vocational Instructors 2580 Fair 4141 Secondary School Teachers 3703 Limited 4142 Elementary School and Kindergarten Teachers 8972 Limited

23 P a g e 22 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential Educational Counsellors 626 Fair 4151 Psychologists 639 Good 4152 Social Workers 1900 Fair 4153 Family, Marriage and Other Related Counsellors 1214 Fair 4154 Ministers of Religion 748 Fair 4155 Probation and Parole Officers and Related Occupations 145 Fair 4161 Natural and Applied Science Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 230 Fair 4162 Economists and Economic Policy Researchers and Analysts 178 Fair 4163 Business Development Officers and Marketing Researchers and Consultants 833 Fair 4164 Social Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 605 Fair 4165 Health Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 439 Fair 4166 Education Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 518 Fair 4167 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program Supervisors and Consultants 452 Fair 4168 Program Officers Unique to Government 442 Limited 4169 Other Professional Occupations in Social Science 167 Limited 4211 Paralegal and Related Occupations 1398 Fair 4212 Community and Social Service Workers 3398 Fair 4213 Counsellors 278 Fair 4214 Early Childhood Educators and Assistants 4328 Good 4216 Other Instructors 905 Fair Occupations in Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport 5111 Librarians 372 Fair 5112 Conservators and Curators 152 Limited 5121 Authors and Writers 304 Fair 5122 Editors 190 Limited 5123 Journalists 196 Limited 5124 Professional Occupations in Public Relations and Communications 1132 Fair 5125 Translators, Terminologists and Interpreters 243 Fair 5131 Producers, Directors, Choreographers and Related Occupations 685 Limited 5132 Conductors, Composers and Arrangers 64 Limited 5133 Musicians and Singers 915 Limited 5134 Dancers 251 Limited 5135 Actors and Comedians 143 Limited 5136 Painters, Sculptors and Other Visual Artists 335 Limited 5211 Library and Archive Technicians and Assistants 887 Fair 5212 Technical Occupations Related to Museums and Art Galleries 268 Limited 5221 Photographers 737 Limited 5222 Film and Video Camera Operators 53 Limited 5223 Graphic Arts Technicians 66 Fair 5225 Audio and Video Recording Technicians 607 Fair 5226 Other Technical and Co-ordinating Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the 134 Limited Performing Arts 5227 Support Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the Performing Arts 82 Limited 5231 Announcers and Other Broadcasters 177 Limited 5241 Graphic Designers and Illustrators 1308 Fair 5242 Interior Designers 370 Fair 5244 Artisans and Craftspersons 335 Limited 5252 Coaches 486 Limited 5253 Sports Officials and Referees 292 Limited 5254 Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness 2471 Fair

24 P a g e 23 NOC Code Occupational Title 2012 Potential Sales and Service Occupations 6211 Retail Trade Supervisors Good 6212 Food Service Supervisors 1942 Fair 6215 Cleaning Supervisors 835 Fair 6216 Other Service Supervisors 1283 Fair 6221 Technical Sales Specialists - Wholesale Trade 3062 Fair 6231 Insurance Agents and Brokers 1458 Fair 6232 Real Estate Agents and Salespersons 1493 Fair 6233 Retail and Wholesale Buyers 900 Fair 6241 Chefs 696 Good 6242 Cooks Good 6251 Butchers, Meat Cutters, and Fishmongers - Retail and Wholesale 1225 Fair 6252 Bakers 1421 Fair 6261 Police Officers (Except Commissioned) 2218 Fair 6262 Fire-fighters 787 Fair 6271 Hairstylists and Barbers 3123 Fair 6272 Funeral Directors and Embalmers 126 Fair 6411 Sales Representatives - Wholesale Trade (Non-Technical) 5987 Good 6421 Retail Salespersons and Sales Clerks Good 6431 Travel Counsellors 542 Fair 6432 Pursers and Flight Attendants 366 Limited 6433 Airline Sales and Service Agents 234 Limited 6434 Ticket Agents, Cargo Service Representatives and Related Clerks (Except Airline) 141 Limited 6435 Hotel Front Desk Clerks 957 Good 6441 Tour and Travel Guides 152 Fair 6442 Outdoor Sport and Recreational Guides 90 Limited 6443 Casino Occupations 106 Fair 6451 Maîtres d'hôtel and Hosts/Hostesses 1135 Fair 6452 Bartenders 1214 Fair 6453 Food and Beverage Servers 3955 Good 6461 Sheriffs and Bailiffs 357 Limited 6462 Correctional Service Officers 740 Fair 6463 By-law Enforcement and Other Regulatory Officers, n.e.c. 262 Fair 6471 Visiting Homemakers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations Good 6472 Elementary and Secondary School Teacher Assistants 3182 Fair 6474 Babysitters, Nannies and Parents' Helpers 1312 Good 6481 Image, Social and Other Personal Consultants 88 Limited 6482 Estheticians, Electrologists and Related Occupations 1175 Fair 6483 Pet Groomers and Animal Care Workers Fair 6484 Other Personal Service Occupations 148 Limited 6611 Cashiers Good 6621 Service Station Attendants 665 Fair 6622 Grocery Clerks and Store Shelf Stockers 4905 Good 6623 Other Elemental Sales Occupations 969 Fair 6641 Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen Helpers and Related Occupations 9775 Good 6651 Security Guards and Related Occupations 3336 Good 6661 Light Duty Cleaners Good 6662 Specialized Cleaners 900 Fair 6663 Janitors, Caretakers and Building Superintendents Good 6671 Operators and Attendants in Amusement, Recreation and Sport 998 Fair