Alberta s Short-Term Employment Forecast

Transcription

1 Alberta s Short-Term Employment Forecast

2 Overview The (STEF) provides a three-year overview of occupations expected to be in-demand during that period. The STEF results, along with other labour market information, can help inform decisions to be made by various stakeholders such as: the Government of Alberta (GoA) in the design of effective labour market policies and programs; employers and industry in the development of strategic workforce plans; educational institutions and training providers in the design/development of programs that are more responsive to labour market needs; and youth or students in their education and career choices. It also provides awareness to newcomers and prospective immigrants on the employment outlook in Alberta. This 3-year forecast helps bridge the gap between what is happening in the immediate future and in the long term; the long term as indicated by the government s 10-year forecast, Alberta s Occupational Demand and Supply Outlook The long-term forecast examines which occupations are expected to grow and by how much the overall supply of labour will expand. The current 10-year outlook forecasts that Alberta will create 407,000 new jobs and that 311,000 people will join the work force by In contrast, STEF only examines the demand outlook for various occupations in the next three years. As such, the STEF does not estimate potential labour shortages; rather, it examines which occupations are expected to be in high, moderately high, medium or low demand. This is the fifth consecutive year that the GoA has released this short-term forecast. The Alberta STEF examines 467 occupations and ranks them into the following four demand categories: High; Moderately High; Medium; and Low. The first stage of the process involves assessing the occupations based on number of quantitative and qualitative indicators. Thresholds for all indicators are calculated through a scientific methodology; the more thresholds an occupation meet, the more in-demand it is expected to be. The second stage is the validation of the results obtained from the first round using the most recent available labour market information (such as layoffs under the Section 137 of the Alberta Employment Standards, number of EI beneficiaries, and jobs available) to ensure optimal accuracy of results. Objectives To develop evidence-based methodology to produce forecasts that will support shortterm planning and development of program strategies by the GoA and other stakeholders. To deliver objective, accurate, and reliable information to help Albertans make informed employment and career-related decisions. To identify occupations that will be in high or low demand in the labour market in the near future, and allow decision-makers to take action to avert or ease potential imbalances. To ensure consistency in data utilization and interpretation within the GoA. The forecast reflects the GoA s commitment to supply relevant labour market information to industry, professional organizations, institutions and the general public. This also reflects the GoA s undertaking to improve available labour forecasts to help inform the development of workforce strategies, by both the public and private sectors, that will help mitigate any occupational shortages.

3 Methodology The STEF methodology is based on robust assessment of a number of quantitative and qualitative information such as: Key labour market statistics from the Labour Force Survey; Labour market information from administrative datasets of the Federal government, the GoA and the private sector; Industry forecasts; and Results of GoA s Oil Sands Information, Labour Market Analysis and Projection (OILMAP) workforce projection. The STEF analyzes seven variables for each occupation: six quantitative and one qualitative measure. The single qualitative indicator is a summary of three pieces of information. Please see the chart below: There are 467 occupations titles identified at the 4- digit level of the National Occupational Classification (NOC 2006) for which information are available. Information for all 467 occupations are collected, organized, calculated, analyzed, and summarised. Analysis and assessment of the 467 occupations involves a 2-stage process. First, each occupation is assessed against the threshold value for each of the seven variables. Depending on the number of thresholds met, an occupation is either ranked as High Demand; Moderately High Demand; Medium Demand; or Low Demand. Second, the initial results are validated to ensure optimal accuracy. The validation process involves the use of the following information: occupations impacted by layoffs under Section 137 of the Alberta Employment Standards Code; and the most recent data on Employment Insurance beneficiaries and jobs postings. Alberta s,

4 Results The following is a summary of the results for the 467 occupations analyzed and assessed: 14 occupations are expected to be in high demand in the next three years; 54 occupations are expected to be in moderately high demand in the next three years; 110 occupations are expected to be medium demand; 289 occupations are to be in low demand in the next three years. The attached Appendix shows the STEF results. Please refer to the Glossary on page 18 for definition of terms. Alberta s,

5 Appendix High Demand Occupations 2173 C073 Software Engineers and Designers 2174 C074 Computer Programmers and Interactive Media Developers 2234 C134 Construction Estimators 2281 C181 Computer Network Technicians 3233 D233 Licensed Practical Nurses 6211 G011 Retail Trade Supervisors 6212 G012 Food Service Supervisors 6216 G016 Other Service Supervisors 7215 H015 Contractors and Supervisors, Carpentry Trades 7244 H214 Electrical Power Line and Cable Workers 7283 H133 Tilesetters 7284 H134 Plasterers, Drywall Installers and Finishers, and Lathers 7292 H142 Glaziers 7321 H421 Automotive Service Technicians, Truck and Bus Mechanics and Mechanical Repairers Alberta s,

6 Moderately High Demand Occupations 0016 A016 Senior Managers - Goods Production, Utilities, Transportation and Construction 0113 A113 Purchasing Managers 0211 A121 Engineering Managers 0213 A122 Computer and Information Systems Managers 0621 A211 Retail Trade Managers 0631 A221 Restaurant and Food Service Managers 0651 A361 Other Services Managers 0711 A371 Construction Managers 0721 A141 Facility Operation and Maintenance Managers 0811 A381 Primary Production Managers (except Agriculture) 0911 A391 Manufacturing Managers 1111 B011 Financial Auditors and Accountants 1122 B022 Professional Occupations in Business Services to Management 1215 B415 Supervisors, Recording, Distributing and Scheduling Occupations 1231 B111 Bookkeepers 2131 C031 Civil Engineers 2133 C033 Electrical and Electronics Engineers 2141 C041 Industrial and Manufacturing Engineers 2171 C071 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants 2231 C131 Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians 2232 C132 Mechanical Engineering Technologists and Technicians 2241 C141 Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technologists and Technicians 2253 C153 Drafting Technologists and Technicians 2282 C182 User Support Technicians 3111 D011 Specialist Physicians 3152 D112 Registered Nurses 3235 D235 Other Technical Occupations in Therapy and Assessment 5124 F024 Professional Occupations in Public Relations and Communications 6214 G014 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Supervisors 6215 G015 Cleaning Supervisors 6221 G121 Technical Sales Specialists - Wholesale Trade 6242 G412 Cooks 6271 G911 Hairstylists and Barbers 6435 G715 Hotel Front Desk Clerks 7213 H013 Contractors and Supervisors, Pipefitting Trades 7216 H016 Contractors and Supervisors, Mechanic Trades Alberta s,

7 Moderately High Demand Occupations (continued) 7219 H019 Contractors and Supervisors, Other Construction Trades, Installers, Repairers and Servicers 7242 H212 Industrial Electricians 7245 H215 Telecommunications Line and Cable Workers 7246 H216 Telecommunications Installation and Repair Workers 7251 H111 Plumbers 7253 H113 Gas Fitters 7261 H321 Sheet Metal Workers 7271 H121 Carpenters 7272 H122 Cabinetmakers 7281 H131 Bricklayers 7291 H141 Roofers and Shinglers 7293 H143 Insulators 7312 H412 Heavy-Duty Equipment Mechanics 7313 H413 Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Mechanics 7413 H713 Taxi and Limousine Drivers and Chauffeurs 7443 H533 Automotive Mechanical Installers and Servicers 8253 I013 Farm Supervisors and Specialized Livestock Workers 8432 I022 Nursery and Greenhouse Workers Alberta s,

8 Medium Demand Occupations 0013 A013 Senior Managers - Financial, Communications Carriers and Other Business Services 0112 A112 Human Resources Managers 0114 A114 Other Administrative Services Managers 0121 A301 Insurance, Real Estate and Financial Brokerage Managers 0131 A311 Telecommunication Carriers Managers 0132 A312 Postal and Courier Services Managers 0212 A123 Architecture and Science Managers 0313 A323 School Principals and Administrators of Elementary and Secondary Education 0411 A331 Government Managers in Health and Social Policy Development and Program Administration 0413 A333 Government Managers in Education Policy Development and Program Administration 0414 A334 Other Managers in Public Administration 0611 A131 Sales, Marketing and Advertising Managers 0632 A222 Accommodation Service Managers 0712 A372 Residential Home Builders and Renovators 0912 A392 Utilities Managers 1112 B012 Financial and Investment Analysts 1113 B013 Securities Agents, Investment Dealers and Brokers 1114 B014 Other Financial Officers 1121 B021 Specialists in Human Resources 1213 B413 Supervisors, Library, Correspondence and Related Information Clerks 1221 B311 Administrative Officers 1223 B313 Personnel and Recruitment Officers 1225 B315 Purchasing Agents and Officers 1411 B511 General Office Clerks 2113 C013 Geologists, Geochemists and Geophysicists 2132 C032 Mechanical Engineers 2134 C034 Chemical Engineers 2145 C045 Petroleum Engineers 2153 C053 Urban and Land Use Planners 2154 C054 Land Surveyors 2161 C061 Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries 2172 C072 Database Analysts and Data Administrators 2212 C112 Geological and Mineral Technologists and Technicians 2242 C142 Electronic Service Technicians (Household and Business Equipment) 2243 C143 Industrial Instrument Technicians and Mechanics 2244 C144 Aircraft Instrument, Electrical and Avionics Mechanics, Technicians and Inspectors 2254 C154 Land Survey Technologists and Technicians Alberta s,

9 Medium Demand Occupations (continued) 2261 C161 Non-Destructive Testers and Inspectors 3112 D012 General Practitioners and Family Physicians 3131 D031 Pharmacists 3142 D042 Physiotherapists 3211 D211 Medical Laboratory Technologists and Pathologists' Assistants 3413 D312 Nurse Aides, Orderlies and Patient Service Associates 4112 E012 Lawyers and Quebec Notaries 4153 E023 Family, Marriage and Other Related Counsellors 4212 E212 Community and Social Service Workers 4214 E217 Early Childhood Educators and Assistants 5122 F022 Editors 5133 F033 Musicians and Singers 5134 F034 Dancers 5221 F121 Photographers 5241 F141 Graphic Designers and Illustrators 5252 F152 Coaches 6213 G013 Executive Housekeepers 6231 G131 Insurance Agents and Brokers 6232 G132 Real Estate Agents and Salespersons 6411 G111 Sales Representatives - Wholesale Trade (Non-Technical) 6431 G711 Travel Counsellors 6453 G513 Food and Beverage Servers 6651 G631 Security Guards and Related Occupations 6682 G982 Ironing, Pressing and Finishing Occupations 7211 H011 Supervisors, Machinists and Related Occupations 7212 H012 Contractors and Supervisors, Electrical Trades and Telecommunications Occupations 7214 H014 Contractors and Supervisors, Metal Forming, Shaping and Erecting Trades 7217 H017 Contractors and Supervisors, Heavy Construction Equipment Crews 7222 H022 Supervisors, Motor Transport and Other Ground Transit Operators 7231 H311 Machinists and Machining and Tooling Inspectors 7241 H211 Electricians (except Industrial and Power System) 7243 H213 Power System Electricians 7247 H217 Cable Television Service and Maintenance Technicians 7252 H112 Steamfitters, Pipefitters and Sprinkler System Installers 7262 H322 Boilermakers 7263 H323 Structural Metal and Platework Fabricators and Fitters 7264 H324 Ironworkers Alberta s,

10 Medium Demand Occupations (continued) 7265 H326 Welders and Related Machine Operators 7282 H132 Concrete Finishers 7294 H144 Painters and Decorators 7295 H145 Floor Covering Installers 7311 H411 Construction Millwrights and Industrial Mechanics (except Textile) 7334 H434 Motorcycle and Other Related Mechanics 7335 H435 Other Small Engine and Equipment Mechanics 7351 H221 Stationary Engineers and Auxiliary Equipment Operators 7371 H621 Crane Operators 7372 H622 Drillers and Blasters - Surface Mining, Quarrying and Construction 7411 H711 Truck Drivers 7412 H712 Bus Drivers and Subway Operators and Other Transit Operators 7414 H714 Delivery and Courier Service Drivers 7431 H731 Railway Yard Workers 7452 H812 Material Handlers 7611 H821 Construction Trades Helpers and Labourers 7622 H832 Railway and Motor Transport Labourers 8221 I121 Supervisors, Mining and Quarrying 8222 I122 Supervisors, Oil and Gas Drilling and Service 8232 I132 Oil and Gas Well Drillers, Servicers, Testers and Related Workers 8252 I012 Agricultural and Related Service Contractors and Managers 8255 I015 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Contractors and Managers 8431 I021 General Farm Workers 8612 I212 Landscaping and Grounds Maintenance Labourers 9212 J012 Supervisors, Petroleum, Gas and Chemical Processing and Utilities 9213 J013 Supervisors, Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing 9451 J161 Sewing Machine Operators 9462 J172 Industrial Butchers and Meat Cutters, Poultry Preparers and Related Workers 9493 J223 Other Wood Products Assemblers and Inspectors 9494 J224 Furniture Finishers and Refinishers 9496 J226 Painters and Coaters Industrial 9497 J227 Plating, Metal Spraying and Related Operators 9498 J228 Other Assemblers and Inspectors 9612 J312 Labourers in Metal Fabrication 9613 J313 Labourers in Chemical Products Processing and Utilities 9617 J317 Labourers in Food, Beverage and Tobacco Processing Alberta s,

11 Low Demand Occupations 0011 A011 Legislators 0012 A012 Senior Government Managers and Officials Senior Managers - Health, Education, Social and Community Services and Membership 0014 A014 Organizations 0015 A015 Senior Managers - Trade, Broadcasting and Other Services, n.e.c A111 Financial Managers 0122 A302 Banking, Credit and Other Investment Managers 0123 A303 Other Business Services Managers 0311 A321 Managers in Health Care 0312 A322 Administrators - Post-Secondary Education and Vocational Training 0314 A324 Managers in Social, Community and Correctional Services 0412 A332 Government Managers - Economic Analysis, Policy Development and Program Administration 0511 A341 Library, Archive, Museum and Art Gallery Managers 0512 A342 Managers - Publishing, Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and Performing Arts 0513 A343 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program and Service Directors 0641 A351 Commissioned Police Officers 0642 A352 Fire Chiefs and Senior Firefighting Officers 0713 A373 Transportation Managers 1211 B411 Supervisors, General Office and Administrative Support Clerks 1212 B412 Supervisors, Finance and Insurance Clerks 1214 B414 Supervisors, Mail and Message Distribution Occupations 1222 B312 Executive Assistants 1224 B314 Property Administrators 1226 B316 Conference and Event Planners 1227 B317 Court Officers and Justices of the Peace 1228 B318 Immigration, Employment Insurance and Revenue Officers 1232 B112 Loan Officers 1233 B113 Insurance Adjusters and Claims Examiners 1234 B114 Insurance Underwriters 1235 B115 Assessors, Valuators and Appraisers 1236 B116 Customs, Ship and Other Brokers 1241 B211 Secretaries (except Legal and Medical) 1242 B212 Legal Secretaries 1243 B213 Medical Secretaries 1244 B214 Court Recorders and Medical Transcriptionists 1413 B513 Records Management and Filing Clerks 1414 B514 Receptionists and Switchboard Operators 1422 B522 Data Entry Clerks Alberta s,

12 Low Demand Occupations (continued) 1423 B523 Desktop Publishing Operators and Related Occupations 1431 B531 Accounting and Related Clerks 1432 B532 Payroll Clerks 1433 B533 Customer Service Representatives Financial Services 1434 B534 Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Clerks 1435 B535 Collectors 1441 B541 Administrative Clerks 1442 B542 Personnel Clerks 1443 B543 Court Clerks 1451 B551 Library Clerks 1452 B552 Correspondence, Publication and Related Clerks 1453 B553 Customer Service, Information and Related Clerks 1454 B554 Survey Interviewers and Statistical Clerks 1461 B561 Mail, Postal and Related Clerks 1462 B562 Letter Carriers 1463 B563 Couriers, Messengers and Door-to-Door Distributors 1471 B571 Shippers and Receivers 1472 B572 Storekeepers and Parts Clerks 1473 B573 Production Clerks 1474 B574 Purchasing and Inventory Clerks 1475 B575 Dispatchers and Radio Operators 1476 B576 Transportation Route and Crew Schedulers 2112 C012 Chemists 2115 C015 Other Professional Occupations in Physical Sciences 2121 C021 Biologists and Related Scientists 2122 C022 Forestry Professionals 2123 C023 Agricultural Representatives, Consultants and Specialists 2142 C042 Metallurgical and Materials Engineers 2143 C043 Mining Engineers 2144 C044 Geological Engineers 2146 C046 Aerospace Engineers 2147 C047 Computer Engineers (Except Software Engineers and Designers) 2148 C048 Other Professional Engineers, n.e.c C051 Architects 2175 C075 Web Designers and Developers 2211 C111 Chemical Technologists and Technicians 2221 C121 Biological Technologists and Technicians Alberta s,

13 Low Demand Occupations (continued) 2222 C122 Agricultural and Fish Products Inspectors 2223 C123 Forestry Technologists and Technicians 2224 C124 Conservation and Fishery Officers 2225 C125 Landscape and Horticultural Technicians and Specialists 2233 C133 Industrial Engineering and Manufacturing Technologists and Technicians 2251 C151 Architectural Technologists and Technicians 2252 C152 Industrial Designers 2255 C155 Mapping and Related Technologists and Technicians 2262 C162 Engineering Inspectors and Regulatory Officers 2263 C163 Inspectors in Public and Environmental Health and Occupational Health and Safety 2264 C164 Construction Inspectors 2271 C171 Air Pilots, Flight Engineers and Flying Instructors 2272 C172 Air Traffic Control and Related Occupations 2275 C175 Railway Traffic Controllers and Marine Traffic Regulators 2283 C183 Systems Testing Technicians 3113 D013 Dentists 3114 D014 Veterinarians 3121 D021 Optometrists 3122 D022 Chiropractors 3123 D023 Other Professional Occupations in Health Diagnosing and Treating 3132 D032 Dietitians and Nutritionists 3141 D041 Audiologists and Speech-Language Pathologists 3143 D043 Occupational Therapists 3144 D044 Other Professional Occupations in Therapy and Assessment 3151 D111 Head Nurses and Supervisors 3212 D212 Medical Laboratory Technicians 3213 D213 Veterinary and Animal Health Technologists and Technicians 3214 D214 Respiratory Therapists, Clinical Perfusionists and Cardiopulmonary Technologists 3215 D215 Medical Radiation Technologists 3216 D216 Medical Sonographers 3219 D219 Other Medical Technologists and Technicians (except Dental Health) 3221 D221 Denturists 3222 D222 Dental Hygienists and Dental Therapists 3223 D223 Dental Technologists, Technicians and Laboratory Bench Workers 3231 D231 Opticians 3232 D232 Midwives and Practitioners of Natural Healing 3234 D234 Ambulance Attendants and Other Paramedical Occupations Alberta s,

14 Low Demand Occupations (continued) 3411 D311 Dental Assistants 3414 D313 Other Assisting Occupations in Support of Health Services 4111 E011 Judges 4121 E111 University Professors 4122 E112 Post-Secondary Teaching and Research Assistants 4131 E121 College and Other Vocational Instructors 4141 E131 Secondary School Teachers 4142 E132 Elementary School and Kindergarten Teachers 4143 E133 Educational Counsellors 4151 E021 Psychologists 4152 E022 Social Workers 4154 E024 Ministers of Religion 4155 E025 Probation and Parole Officers and Related Occupations 4161 E031 Natural and Applied Science Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 4162 E032 Economists and Economic Policy Researchers and Analysts 4163 E033 Business Development Officers and Marketing Researchers and Consultants 4164 E034 Social Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 4165 E039 Health Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 4166 E035 Education Policy Researchers, Consultants and Program Officers 4167 E036 Recreation, Sports and Fitness Program Supervisors and Consultants 4168 E037 Program Officers Unique to Government 4169 E038 Other Professional Occupations in Social Science, n.e.c E211 Paralegal and Related Occupations 4213 E213 Employment Counsellors 4215 E214 Instructors and Teachers of Persons with Disabilities 4216 E215 Other Instructors 4217 E216 Other Religious Occupations 5111 F011 Librarians 5121 F021 Authors and Writers 5123 F023 Journalists 5125 F025 Translators, Terminologists and Interpreters 5131 F031 Producers, Directors, Choreographers and Related Occupations 5132 F032 Conductors, Composers and Arrangers 5135 F035 Actors and Comedians 5136 F036 Painters, Sculptors and Other Visual Artists 5211 F111 Library and Archive Technicians and Assistants 5212 F112 Technical Occupations Related to Museums and Art Galleries Alberta s,

15 Low Demand Occupations (continued) 5222 F122 Film and Video Camera Operators 5225 F125 Audio and Video Recording Technicians Other Technical and Co-ordinating Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the 5226 F126 Performing Arts 5227 F127 Support Occupations in Motion Pictures, Broadcasting and the Performing Arts 5231 F131 Announcers and Other Broadcasters 5232 F132 Other Performers 5242 F142 Interior Designers 5243 F143 Theatre, Fashion, Exhibit and Other Creative Designers 5244 F144 Artisans and Craftspersons 5251 F151 Athletes 5253 F153 Sports Officials and Referees 5254 F154 Program Leaders and Instructors in Recreation, Sport and Fitness 6233 G133 Retail and Wholesale Buyers 6241 G411 Chefs 6251 G941 Butchers, Meat Cutters, and Fishmongers - Retail and Wholesale 6252 G942 Bakers 6261 G611 Police Officers (except Commissioned) 6262 G612 Firefighters 6272 G912 Funeral Directors and Embalmers 6421 G211 Retail Salespersons and Sales Clerks 6432 G712 Pursers and Flight Attendants 6433 G713 Airline Sales and Service Agents 6441 G721 Tour and Travel Guides 6442 G722 Outdoor Sport and Recreational Guides 6443 G723 Casino Occupations 6451 G511 Maitres d'hotel and Hosts/Hostesses 6452 G512 Bartenders 6461 G621 Sheriffs and Bailiffs 6462 G622 Correctional Service Officers 6463 G623 By-law Enforcement and Other Regulatory Officers, n.e.c G625 Other Protective Service Occupations 6471 G811 Visiting Homemakers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations 6472 G812 Elementary and Secondary School Teacher Assistants 6474 G814 Babysitters, Nannies and Parents' Helpers 6481 G921 Image, Social and Other Personal Consultants 6482 G922 Estheticians, Electrologists and Related Occupations 6483 G923 Pet Groomers and Animal Care Workers Alberta s,

16 Low Demand Occupations (continued) 6484 G924 Other Personal Service Occupations 6611 G311 Cashiers 6621 G971 Service Station Attendants 6622 G972 Grocery Clerks and Shelf Stockers 6623 G973 Other Elemental Sales Occupations 6641 G961 Food Counter Attendants, Kitchen Helpers and Related Occupations 6661 G931 Light Duty Cleaners 6662 G932 Specialized Cleaners 6663 G933 Janitors, Caretakers and Building Superintendents 6671 G731 Operators and Attendants in Amusement, Recreation and Sport 6672 G732 Other Attendants in Accommodation and Travel 6681 G981 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Occupations 6683 G983 Other Elemental Service Occupations 7218 H018 Supervisors, Printing and Related Occupations 7221 H021 Supervisors, Railway Transport Operations 7232 H312 Tool and Die Makers 7314 H414 Railway Carmen/women 7315 H415 Aircraft Mechanics and Aircraft Inspectors 7318 H418 Elevator Constructors and Mechanics 7322 H422 Motor Vehicle Body Repairers 7331 H431 Oil and Solid Fuel Heating Mechanics 7332 H432 Electric Appliance Servicers and Repairers 7333 H433 Electrical Mechanics 7341 H511 Upholsterers 7342 H512 Tailors, Dressmakers, Furriers and Milliners 7344 H514 Jewellers, Watch Repairers and Related Occupations 7352 H222 Power Systems and Power Station Operators 7361 H721 Railway and Yard Locomotive Engineers 7362 H722 Railway Conductors and Brakemen/women 7373 H623 Water Well Drillers 7381 H521 Printing Press Operators 7383 H523 Other Trades and Related Occupations 7421 H611 Heavy Equipment Operators (except Crane) 7422 H612 Public Works Maintenance Equipment Operators 7432 H732 Railway Track Maintenance Workers 7437 H737 Air Transport Ramp Attendants 7441 H531 Residential and Commercial Installers and Servicers Alberta s,

17 Low Demand Occupations (continued) 7442 H532 Waterworks and Gas Maintenance Workers 7444 H534 Pest Controllers and Fumigators 7445 H535 Other Repairers and Servicers 7612 H822 Other Trades Helpers and Labourers 7621 H831 Public Works and Maintenance Labourers 8211 I111 Supervisors, Logging and Forestry 8231 I131 Underground Production and Development Miners 8241 I151 Logging Machinery Operators 8251 I011 Farmers and Farm Managers 8254 I014 Nursery and Greenhouse Operators and Managers 8256 I016 Supervisors, Landscape and Horticulture 8411 I141 Underground Mine Service and Support Workers 8412 I142 Oil and Gas Well Drilling Workers and Services Operators 8421 I161 Chain Saw and Skidder Operators 8422 I162 Silviculture and Forestry Workers 8611 I211 Harvesting Labourers 8614 I214 Mine Labourers 8615 I215 Oil and Gas Drilling, Servicing and Related Labourers 8616 I216 Logging and Forestry Labourers 9211 J011 Supervisors, Mineral and Metal Processing 9214 J014 Supervisors, Plastic and Rubber Products Manufacturing 9215 J015 Supervisors, Forest Products Processing 9216 J016 Supervisors, Textile Processing 9221 J021 Supervisors, Motor Vehicle Assembling 9223 J023 Supervisors, Electrical Products Manufacturing 9224 J024 Supervisors, Furniture and Fixtures Manufacturing 9225 J025 Supervisors, Fabric, Fur and Leather Products Manufacturing 9226 J026 Supervisors, Other Mechanical and Metal Products Manufacturing 9227 J027 Supervisors, Other Products Manufacturing and Assembly 9231 J111 Central Control and Process Operators, Mineral and Metal Processing 9232 J112 Petroleum, Gas and Chemical Process Operators 9411 J121 Machine Operators, Mineral and Metal Processing 9413 J123 Glass Forming and Finishing Machine Operators and Glass Cutters 9414 J124 Concrete, Clay and Stone Forming Operators 9415 J125 Inspectors and Testers, Mineral and Metal Processing 9421 J131 Chemical Plant Machine Operators 9422 J132 Plastics Processing Machine Operators Alberta s,

18 Low Demand Occupations (continued) 9423 J133 Rubber Processing Machine Operators and Related Workers 9424 J134 Water and Waste Plant Operators 9431 J141 Sawmill Machine Operators 9432 J142 Pulp Mill Machine Operators 9434 J144 Other Wood Processing Machine Operators 9435 J145 Paper Converting Machine Operators 9436 J146 Lumber Graders and Other Wood Processing Inspectors and Graders 9442 J152 Weavers, Knitters and Other Fabric-Making Occupations 9461 J171 Process Control and Machine Operators, Food and Beverage Processing 9465 J175 Testers and Graders, Food and Beverage Processing 9471 J181 Printing Machine Operators 9472 J182 Camera, Platemaking and Other Prepress Occupations 9473 J183 Binding and Finishing Machine Operators 9474 J184 Photographic and Film Processors 9481 J211 Aircraft Assemblers and Aircraft Assembly Inspectors 9483 J213 Electronics Assemblers, Fabricators, Inspectors and Testers 9484 J214 Assemblers and Inspectors, Electrical Appliance, Apparatus and Equipment Manufacturing 9485 J215 Assemblers, Fabricators and Inspectors, Industrial Electrical Motors and Transformers 9486 J216 Mechanical Assemblers and Inspectors 9492 J222 Furniture and Fixture Assemblers and Inspectors 9495 J225 Plastic Products Assemblers, Finishers and Inspectors 9511 J191 Machining Tool Operators 9513 J193 Woodworking Machine Operators 9514 J194 Metalworking Machine Operators 9516 J196 Other Metal Products Machine Operators 9517 J197 Other Products Machine Operators 9611 J311 Labourers in Mineral and Metal Processing 9614 J314 Labourers in Wood, Pulp and Paper Processing 9615 J315 Labourers in Rubber and Plastic Products Manufacturing 9619 J319 Other Labourers in Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities Alberta s,

19 Glossary *NOC 2006: Refers to the National Occupational Classification (NOC). The NOC is the nationally accepted reference on occupations in Canada. The NOC provides a standardized framework for organizing the world of work in a coherent system. It is used to collect and organize occupational statistics and to provide labour market information. For more information please visit: **NOC-S: Refers to the National Occupational Classification for Statistics. Statistics Canada's occupational classification for 2006 is called the National Occupational Classification for Statistics 2006 (NOC-S 2006) to distinguish it from the National Occupational Classification (NOC) put out by the Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC). (The two classifications differ only in the aggregation structure of the classification). Both provide a complete listing of all the categories under which Canadian jobs are classified and their descriptions. For more information please visit: Note: Statistics Canada and ESDC are working together to create one National Occupational Classification that combines NOC and NOC-S. This classification will be introduced in 2016 using 2015 data. Thresholds: Refers to cut-off values established for each of the seven variables used in the analysis against which each occupation was compared. The cut-off values were based on data trends demonstrated by each variable. An occupation may exhibit a value that is either equal to, greater than, or less than the cut-off value. For more information on this forecast tool or to request a presentation of the material, contact LFS.Analyst@gov.ab.ca Alberta s,

20 work.alberta.ca/labour/short-term-employment-forecast.html ISBN ISSN Government of Alberta. Printed in Canada for free distribution. Published: October 2015