Pathways, Potholes and Partnerships: Rethinking the Future of Graduate Education

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Pathways, Potholes and Partnerships: Rethinking the Future of Graduate Education Debra W. Stewart President Emerita and Senior Scholar Council of Graduate Schools Council of Colleges of Arts and Sciences San Antonio, Texas November 2014

Why does Graduate School pathway matter? The knowledge based economy of the 21 st century increasingly requires the advanced knowledge and skills acquired in graduate school Graduate education trains creative thinkers able to produce cutting-edge, interdisciplinary research Number of jobs requiring advanced degree at entry-level to grow by 1.1 million between 2012 and 2022: master s +18.4% and doctoral/professional +16.0%. Problem is that technology is growing faster than our ability to educate resulting in more domestic inequality and more outsourcing (Tyler Cowen, 2007)

Growth of Master s Degree 600000 Total Number of Master's and Doctorate Degrees Awarded, 1986-2013 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 1986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013 Total Master's Degrees Awarded Total Doctorate Degrees Awarded Data Source: CGS/GRE Graduate Enrollment and Degree Surveys

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mean Earnings of Workers 18 Years and Over by Educational Attainment, 1975-2012 (In 2012US$) $100,000 $90,000 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $- Not a High School Graduate High School Graduate Some College/Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree Data Source: US Census Bureau (2013). Table A-3. Mean Earnings of Workers 18 Years and Over, by Educational Attainment, Race, Hispanic Origin, and Sex: 1975 to 2012 [Data file]. Retrieved from http://www.census.gov/hhes/socdemo/education/data/cps/historical/index.html.

International Trends Other countries recognize graduate education and human capital development as engine of economic competitiveness International students have increasing options China and India are investing substantially in graduate programs Canada, Australia, and others are more welcoming to internationals For international students educated in the US increasingly find viable career options in their home countries Europe and China now produce more doctorates in the sciences and engineering than the U.S.

Median Cumulative Borrowing for Graduate Education by Graduate Degree Recipients, by Degree Types, 2011-12 Data Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, National Postsecondary Student Aid Study, 2011-12 Computation via: NCES PowerStats Ver. 1.0

Students Don t Feel Informed About the Jobs They Might Get

Graduate Deans Confirm Student Voice Students enter graduate school without good understanding of career options Many leave graduate school still lacking good knowledge of career options Graduate deans recognize importance of illuminating career pathways Graduate deans are dissatisfied with ability to track career outcomes

Pattern of PhD Placement

1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Obscure Career Pathways Percentage of Life Sciences Doctorate Recipients with Defined Commitment for Employment or Postdoctoral Study and Number of Doctorate Recipients, 1988-2012 80 13,000 75 12,000 70 65 60 55 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 50 6,000 % with defined commitmment Life sciences Data Source: National Science Foundation, Survey of Earned Doctorates

Low Completion Rates The current state of attrition and completion in US doctoral programs wastes human and financial resources Humanities Math & P hys ical S ciences S ocial S ciences 12% 29% 23% 21% 41% 49% 48% 55% 56% C ompleted within 5 years C ompleted within 7 years C ompleted within 10 years L ife S ciences 22% 54% 63% E ngineering 35% 57% 64% Source: CGS. (2008) PhD Completion and Attrition: Analysis of Baseline Program Data from the PhD Completion Project.

What skills do employers think students need? Entrepreneurship

Are We Aligning Education with Skills Sets Required? Students Perceived Importance and Level of Preparedness Across Skills Very Very Skill important prepared Creativity 55% 39% Oral communication 83% 54% Teamwork 72% 47% Resilience 67% 47% Planning and organization 78% 52% Ethics and integrity 75% 54% Technological comfort and savvy 50% 39% Publications 20% 30% Research skills 38% 56% Writing skills 70% 66% Analysis/synthesis of data 65% 62% Teaching and training 45% 38% Chelsea Ezzo, Graduate Student Perceptions of Graduate School Preparation for the Workforce. Paper presented at Northeastern Educational Research Association, Rocky Hill, CT, October 2013.

Doctorate Students by Type of Support Basic Biomedical National Institutes of Health. Biomedical research workforce working group draft report: A working group of the Advisory Committee to the Director. (2012) Washington, DC: National Institutes of Health, p. 18.

Environmental Influences Decreased public funding High accountability Pressure to increase enrollment Global competition for students Digital technology

State Budget Declines

Accountability

First time U.S. enrollment declining % Change in First-time Graduate Enrollment of U.S. Citizens and Permanent Residents, 2002-2013 3.00% 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% -0.50% -1.00% Average annual % change, 2002 to 2012 Average annual % change, 2007 to 2012 % change 2011 to 2012 % change 2012 to 2013-1.50% % change in first-time graduate enrollment of U.S. citizens and permanent residents Data Source: Allum, J.R. (2013/2014). Graduate enrollment and degrees. Washington, DC: Council of Graduate Schools.

International Graduate Applications Uneven

Digital technology could undermine financial support for graduate education

A friendship founded on business is a good deal better than a business founded on friendship. -John Rockefeller

Call to Action for all Deans Promoting financial education Tracking career outcomes Increasing faculty awareness about student outcomes Increasing completion rates Supporting professional development for graduate students Taking Political Action for graduate support

Daily Life of a Dean