IDAHO 2011 For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed.
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1 For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed. 63% 34% 29% By 2020, jobs requiring a career certificate or college degree Skills gap Too few students make it through college. MEMBER Idaho adults who currently have an associate degree or higher Data: See the Sources and Methodology section on our website. Of students who enroll in a public college or university 00 2-Year Public College 4-Year Public College Enroll Return as sophomores Graduate on time (00% time) Additional graduates 50% time 3 200% time Total graduates Graduate in 4 years 0 26 Graduate in 8 years Key to measuring time Associate Bachelor s 00% time 2 years 4 years 50% time 3 years 6 years 200% time 4 years 8 years Data: 2-year cohort started in fall 2004; 4-year cohort started in fall 2002 For too many students, the path through college ends with no degree and often lots of debt. Note: This report presents data only from public colleges and universities. College America n
2 We re making great progress in providing access to more students. Total public college enrollment: 56,72 Attending Pursuing Degrees & Certificates 37,73 4,494 8,999 4-year 2-year colleges 4,678 colleges Total State Population, 8-24 White 83% College Enrollment White 80% College Graduation White 84% Hispanic 2% % Other races 5% Hispanic 6% % Other races 2% Data: Fall 2009 enrollment from IPEDS; population data from Census ACS PUMS 06-08; degrees by race from state submissions Now we must have more success from all students. Hispanic 5% Other races 0% For states to compete, their students must earn more degrees and certificates. Overall Credentials Awarded Science, Technology, Engineering, Math (STEM) Credentials Awarded 4,574 4,94, ,774, Certificate Associate Bachelor s Certificate Associate Bachelor s And all credentials should provide clear pathways to success. Data: College America n 2
3 Graduation rates are very low, especially if you re poor, part time,, Hispanic, or older. Certificate-Seeking Students All White Hispanic % On-time ( year) Within /2 years Within 2 years Within year Within /2 years Within 2 years 7.4% 25 and Over Directly from HS (age 7 9) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 25.% 26.0% DS* DS* 26.0% 26.3% 24.% 7.5% 4.0% 30.0% 3.4% DS* DS* 3.5% 30.% 29.5% 2.5% 8.0% 33.4% 34.7% 25.5% DS* 34.6% 30.8% 33.9% 27.8% 2.0% 6.2% DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* 2.3% 0.9% DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* 7.4% 5.4% DS* DS* 20.5% DS* 6.9% DS* 3.3% In most states, very few students seeking certificates ever graduate. Associate Degree- Seeking Students All White Hispanic % On-time (2 years) Within 3 years Within 4 years Within 2 years Within 3 years Within 4 years 6.4% 25 and Over Directly from HS (age 7 9) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 8.7% 9.4% DS* DS* 7.7% 5.9% 9.6% 3.5% 2.9% 7.5% 8.8% 9.9% DS* 5.4% 3.6% 8.8% 8.6% 6.9% 2.4% 23.0% 6.4% DS* 8.9% 8.2% 22.6%.8% 9.5% DS* NP* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* DS* 5.5% 6.% DS* DS* 4.7% DS* 6.3% 5.9% DS* 9.0% 0.0% DS* DS* 9.8% DS* 9.2% 8.4% 5.2% Associate degree graduation rates are abysmal across the country for Hispanic and students, they re tragic. Bachelor s Degree- Seeking Students All White Hispanic On-time (4 years) Within 6 years Within 8 years Within 4 years Within 6 years Within 8 years 25 and Over Directly from HS (age 7 9) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 8.5% 9.4% 6.3% DS* 20.8% 27.7% 6.% 4.0% 4.7% 44.3% 44.% 34.6% 33.3% 33.% 45.3% 40.% 34.% 8.7% 5.0% 52.% 40.9% 36.% 39.6% 52.0% 48.5% 43.4% 28.5% 4.5% 4.7% DS* DS* 4.8% 6.7% DS* 4.7% DS*.9% 2.4% DS* DS* 2.0% 2.9% 0.5% 4.0% 6.8% 6.7% 7.4% DS* DS* 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 9.8%.9% 33.% 40.% 2.0% Almost no one over the age of 25 graduates; students fresh out of high school are most likely to succeed. Data: Certificate cohort started in , associate cohort started in , bachelor's cohort started in Given changing demographics, our country will not have enough skilled s to compete unless many more students from all backgrounds and walks of life graduate. NP* = The state did not provide data for this metric. DS* = Fewer than 0 students, so data were suppressed. College America n 3
4 Retention rates drop from year to year. Many get discouraged and drop out Students in 2-year colleges who return to campus Start Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Start Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 00% 00% 48.4% 25.4% 3.0% 20.6% Students in 4-year colleges who return to campus 00% 64.8% 5.4% 44.2% 00% 38.9% 28.5% 22.8% after falling off track early. Students who earn expected first-year credits (24 credits) Associate Bachelor s (2 credits) Associate Bachelor s 4.9% 53.5% 3.0% 46.3% Staying enrolled is particularly tough for part-time students, who must often balance jobs and school. Remediation. 62.0% Data: Associate cohort started in , bachelor's cohort started in ; earned credits from fall Year Colleges of freshmen require of those and associated college-level courses in two years Graduate within 3 years (projected) Current approaches almost always guarantee failure. 4-Year Colleges 57.4% 9.9% 23.5% 65.2% of freshmen require of those 42.2% 6.9% 8.7% and associated college-level courses in two years Graduate within 6 years (projected) Data: Fall 2006 College America n 4
5 Precious time and money are lost when students don t graduate on schedule. Students are taking too much time Certificate Associate Bachelor s 3.3 years 4.9 years Should take year for full-time students 5 years 5.8 years Should take 2 years for full-time students 5.4 years 6.6 years Should take 4 years for full-time students and too many credits. Certificate Associate Bachelor s 58 credits 62 credits Should take 30 credits 02 credits 93 credits Should take 60 credits 44 credits 47 credits Should take 20 credits More students must graduate on time. Data: College America n 5
6 More time isn t giving us enough success. For certificate and associate degree students, graduation rates are very low even when more time. Certificate Associate 25.% 30.0% 2.3% 33.4% 7.4% 8.7% 7.5% 5.5% 2.4% 9.0% In year In.5 years In 2 years In 2 years In 3 years In 4 years On-time graduation rates for bachelor s degree students are shockingly low. And adding time beyond six years produces little additional success. Bachelor s 44.3% 5.0% 8.5%.9% 6.7% In 4 years In 6 years In 8 years Data: Certificate cohort started in ; associate cohort started in ; bachelor's cohort started in Even modest progress provides little comfort when overall graduation rates are so low. College America n 6
7 Graduation rates by campus Public two-year colleges (In 3 years) Public four-year colleges (In 6 years) Eastern Idaho Technical College 37% University of Idaho 56% North Idaho College 23% Idaho State University 34% College of Southern Idaho 8% Boise State University 27% Lewis-Clark State College 22% Data: Reported by institutions to NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation rates are for first-time, full-time students completing certificate or degree within 50 percent of normal program time. Source: U.S. Department of Education, IPEDS Graduation Rates College America n 7
Data on the Skills Gap Through College
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