Feeding 10 Billion Aquaenevores and Infovores on a 1 4 Degrees Warmer Planet Dr. Lawrence Jones Vice President, Utility Innovations & Infrastructure Resilience Alstom Grid, North America Clemson University South Carolina March 13, 2014
You cannot solve a problem from the same consciousness that created it. You must learn to see the world anew. Albert Einstein Alstom Grid- 2014 2
Alstom Group Clean Energy and Transport Solutions Power Generation Thermal & Renewables Low & No-Carbon Energy Solutions Renewables Efficiency Improvements Carbon capture & Storage Grid Smarter, more Reliable, more Flexible Power Transmission Renewable Integration Advanced Network Management Evergreen Smart Grid Strategy Transport Faster, Cleaner and less congestion High-speed Rail Light Rail Urban Tramways Alstom Grid- 2014 3
Is the Planet in Peril? Alstom Grid- 2014 4
Sandy: The Global Wakeup Call or the New Normal? Alstom Grid- 2014 5
How Resilient are Our Coastal Cities? Alstom Grid- 2014 6
Fact or Fiction - How Much Longer Before We are Visited by NEMO s Bigger Sibblings? Alstom Grid- 2014 7
New Normal Alstom Grid- 2014 8
Atlanta January 2014 Alstom Grid- 2014 9
More Aquaenervores and Infovores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1804 1927 1959 1974 1987 1999 2011 2024 2045 2100 Alstom Grid- 2014 10 World Population Trend
Alstom Grid- 2014 11
Water Stress Alstom Grid- 2014 12
Grand Challenge of our Generation Designing Cyber-Physical Systems that Produce and Deliver Energy, Water, Transportation, etc Efficiently, Smarter and Sustainably while ensuring Resilience Alstom Grid- 2014 13
How will Utilities and Markets Evolve to Meet Global Energy Demand? Innovations in Technology, Policy/Regulation and Business Models Alstom Grid- 2014 14
Industry Transformation Competition Smart-Grid Smart City Classic Utility Vertically integrated Cost-based operation Physical infrastructure Open transmission access Genco divestiture Wholesale electric market Distributed intelligence Service valuation Prosumer choices. Sustainability Resiliency Connectivity 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Alstom Grid- 2014 15
Disruption of the Energy Value Chain -Flexibility, Diversity, & Empowerment - Converging technologies offer new options for customers but challenge the business assumptions of established companies Larry Downes, The Laws of Disruption - Alstom Grid- 2014 16
Adding intelligence to the traditional energy grid Smart grid : a three-level architecture Alstom Grid- 2014 17
Where are we on Smart technology Adoption Cycle? Customer is the current challenge! Alstom Grid- 2014 18 Prosumer engagement is key
Electricity Systems and Markets Around the Globe At a Glance - Driving Change to Feed Aquaenervores Energiiwende Single Electricty Europeen Market Renewable challenges Nordpool evolution HVDC Interconnectors Single Electric Retail Market Denmark s C02 Policy Coal is no longer King Gas is Queen Renewable still Prince Storage in California SolarCity Google buys NEST Low Demand New Nuclear Renewables Power Pools Region Integrations Grand Inga Renewable Energy Corridor Resource Bonanza Gas, Geothermal Privatization in Nigeria Ethiopia Hydro Boom Post Fukashima Renewables Electricity Markets Renewables Carbon markets Pollution challenges CCS Renewables World cup and Olympics Infrastructure Hydro feeling some heat National Grid Integration Renewable policy Rural electrification Alstom Grid- 2014 19 Capacity shortage Renewable growth Aging Infrastructure IPP Programs Unbundling CCS
Valuation of Device/Customer Flexibility Flexibility expresses the extent to which a device/customer can increase/decrease electricity production or consumption in response to variability, expected or otherwise. ± MW / time Alstom Grid- 2014 20
The need for flexibility is increasing GW All regions under all scenarios show an increasing need for electricity system flexibility. Source: Energy Technology Perspectives, International Energy Agency, 2012 Alstom Grid- 2014 21
Technology choices in electricity system flexibility Source: Energy Technology Perspectives, International Energy Agency, 2012 Alstom Grid- 2014 22
The demand side flexibility resource is large and under utilized All regions exhibit a significant demand side flexibility resource especially for regulation and load following. Source: Energy Technology Perspectives, International Energy Agency, 2012 Alstom Grid- 2014 23
Demand Response & Storage for Greater Flexibility Grid operators around the world agree on the role of demand response and storage which provide Flexibility for integrating higher levels of variable generation Source: Energy Technology Perspectives, International Energy Agency, 2012 Alstom Grid- 2014 24
Demand Response Impact Probable Load Curve without DR Load Drop from Emergency DR Resources Sourcce Andy Ott, Executive Vice President PJM Interconnections www.pjm.com Alstom Grid- 2014 25
Alternative Resource Innovations Storage Stationary Battery Ancillary Service supply Integration with intermittent resources Water Heaters Compressed Air Electric Vehicles Integrated renewable resource and building management systems Integrated distributed resources Sourcce Andy Ott, Executive Vice President PJM Interconnections Alstom Grid- 2014 26
Grid-Scale Energy Storage System 32 MW Battery Laurel Mountain Wind Farm 98 MW 61 turbines Battery Storage Lithium-ion (A123) Power 32 MW, Energy 8 MWh 40 30 20 10 0-10 -20-30 -40 00:00 00:10 00:20 00:30 00:40 00:50 01:00 01:10 01:20 01:30 01:40 01:50 02:00 02:10 02:20 02:30 02:40 02:50 03:00 03:10 03:20 03:30 03:40 03:50 04:00 TREG Dynamic Signal GENMW -TREG MWs of Regulation Sourcce Andy Ott, Executive Vice President PJM Interconnections Alstom Grid- 2014 27
Alstom Grid- 2014 28 Big Bang Disruption
Four Drivers of Disruptions Sensors Analytics Flexibility Computing Material Alstom Grid- 2014 29
Big Data is the Old, New and Future Normal Today we create approximately 5 exabytes every two days 1 exabyte = 1, 000 000 000 000 000 000 Alstom Grid- 2014 30
Big Data Everywhere Adapted from Big Data: The next Frontier for Innovation, Competition, and Productivity. Mckinsey Global Institute, May 2011 Alstom Grid- 2014 31
Social Networking and Sustainable Development Alstom Grid- 2014 32
Aggregated Demand Resource Response to Synchronized Reserve Event Aggregation 13,078 Residential Customers Wireless Integrated Control Platform Curtailed Load Event graph www.pjm.com Alstom Grid- 2014 33
Big Bang Disruptions Alstom Grid- 2014 34
You cannot solve a problem from the same consciousness that created it. You must learn to see the world anew. Albert Einstein Alstom Grid- 2014 35
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