Banco Santander Chile: Solid results in 2Q14. Sound outlook for 2015



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Transcription:

0 Banco Santander : Solid results in 2Q14. Sound outlook for 2015 August 2014

Important information 1 Banco Santander caution that this presentation contains forward looking statements within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward looking statements are found in various places throughout this presentation and include, without limitation, statements concerning our future business development and economic performance. While these forward looking statements represent our judgment and future expectations concerning the development of our business, a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These factors include, but are not limited to: (1) general market, macro-economic, governmental and regulatory trends; (2) movements in local and international securities markets, currency exchange rates, and interest rates; (3) competitive pressures; (4) technological developments; and (5) changes in the financial position or credit worthiness of our customers, obligors and counterparties. The risk factors and other key factors that we have indicated in our past and future filings and reports, including those with the Securities and Exchange Commission of the United States of America, could adversely affect our business and financial performance. Note: the information contained in this presentation is not audited. Nevertheless, the consolidated accounts are prepared on the basis of generally accepted accounting principles. All figures presented are in nominal terms. Historical figures are not adjusted by inflation. Historical figures have been restated in accordance with the new accounting standards adopted by an banks in 2009. Please note that this information is provided for comparative purposes only and that this restatement may undergo further changes during the year and, therefore, historical figures, including financial ratios, presented in this report may not be entirely comparable to future figures presented by the Bank.

Agenda 2 Despite slight deceleration, economy expected to rebound. Financial system with stable growth trends Santander has adjusted its medium-term strategy to sustain profitable growth in a more challenging environment leading to a positive medium-term outlook

Macro-economic environment Despite recent deceleration, economy expected to rebound in 2015 3 GDP (YoY growth, %) Internal Demand (YoY growth, %) 4.4 2.0-2.2 3.2-3.4 3.4 1.2-1.4 4.4-4.6 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) Inflation (YoY var. of UF, %)* Central Bank Reference rate (%) 2.1 4.3 3.3 4.5 3.0 3.5 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) * Inflation measured by the annual change in the Unidad de Fomento (UF). Source: Banco Central de. (e): Estimates Santander

Macro-economic environment 4. led by export growth, investment and total consumption Higher GDP growth of s main trade partners* YoY real growth, % YoY real growth, % 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 and weaker Ch$ should boost export growth 5.8 6.4 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) Investment expected to rebound, led by the energy and infrastructure sectors Consumption** should remain strong YoY real growth, % YoY real growth, % 0.4 4.0 5.4 4.4 4.2 2.6 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) 2013 2014 (e) 2015 (e) Source: Banco Central de. (e): Estimates Santander. * Trade-weighted GDP growth. ** Includes private and government consumption

Macro-economic environment A low-risk environment 5 Falling CDS spreads (1) and high Sovereign rating (2) 250 200 150 100 50 0 USA Singapore Australia Brazil Mexico Peru Low gross public debt (% of GDP) 3 106 Japan China Mexico 12 50 34 Peru Brasil Adv. Econ. Latam EM Baa3 Baa2 Baa1 A3 A2 A1 Aa3 Aa2 Aa1 Aaa 1. Source Bloomberg. 2. Source: Moody s, latest ratings. 3. Source: IMF, figures for 2013 Including the sovereign wealth fund, s net public debt is -7% of GDP

Macro-economic environment s reliance on copper has diminished 6 Copper exports have been flat Exports, US million 29,748 36,526 22.8% 41,361-2.9% 40,158 2010 2013 Copper All other Exports 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 decreasing weight of copper revenue Copper revenues as % of total Govt. revenue 3% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 has a diversified economy GDP by sectors, 2013 Public adm., 4% Agriculture -fishing, 3% Mining, 13% and copper contribution to GDP is low Avg. GDP growth by sector (2010-2013) 9.4% 8.9% Services, 37% Transp. & Comm., 7% Manuf., 11% Utilities, 4% Constructi on, 8% Commerce, 12% Avg, % 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 1.5% Copper Manufacturing Utilities Construction Commerce Services Source: Banco Central de, Ministry of Finance, Moody s and IMF

Financial system: Loan and deposit growth Financial system with stable growth trends Figures for the Financial system 7 US$bn* Total Loans 142 143 147 150 153 YoY (%) 11.2 10.1 10.2 10.4 9.9 Quarterly avg, % 16.4 10.4 ROE 18.7 J'13 S'13 D'13 M'14 My'14 Dec 11 Jan 12 Feb 12 Mar 12 Apr 12 May 12 Jun 12 Jul 12 Aug 12 Sep 12 Oct 12 Nov 12 Dec 12 Jan 13 Feb 13 Mar 13 Apr 13 May 13 Jun 13 Jul 13 Aug 13 Sep 13 Oct 13 Nov 13 Dec 13 Jan 14 Feb 14 Mar 14 Apr 14 May 14 US$bn* Total Deposits** 119 118 123 124 123 Loan growth less affected by lower investment as slowdown concentrated in reconstruction / large mining projects with little bank financing YoY (%) 9.0 7.7 8.5 9.5 6.3 J'13 S'13 D'13 M'14 My'14 Deposit growth remains healthy Financial system gross operating income up 54.4% YoY as of May 2014 * Converted using constant exchange rate as of June 2014. Source: Superintendency of Banks, SBIF. Excludes Corpbanca Colombia ** Demand and time deposits

Agenda 8 s sound macroeconomic outlook should fuel the growth of its financial system Santander has adjusted its medium-term strategy to sustain profitable growth in a more challenging environment leading to a positive medium-term outlook

A leading bank Santander is the nation s leading bank US$bn Jun 14 9 Business and Results Loans US$39.6 Deposits US$ 27.1 Equity US$ 4.4 Net income US$ 545 Network and Customers Jun 14 Mkt. share Clients 3.5 mn 26.2% 2 Branches 479 18.9% ATMs 1,753 24.6% Market Share Loans 19.7% Deposits 16.7% Checking Accounts 23.3% Credit Cards 27.5% 3 1. As of April 14 or latest available figures using the period-end exchange rate. Excludes Corpbanca Colombia. 2. Market share of clients with checking accounts and credit cards. 3. Market share is over total monetary transactions using a credit card and includes department stores. Source: SBIF

Strategy 10 3 objectives for healthy growth / higher profitability I. Growth focused on segments with highest net contribution II. improving relationships with customers and quality of service III. and managing risks conservatively Project Transformation Optimizing the risk return relation

Strategy: I. Focused growth Positive loan growth in segments with higher risk-adjusted contribution 11 Total Loans Ch$bn Ch$bn 6M 14 YoY QoQ +10.2% 20,935 21,456 21,784 Individuals 11,049 11.7% 2.0% Consumer 3,737 14.4% 1.1% Mortgage 6,096 13.8% 4.4% 20,323 SMEs 3,294 7.4% 0.1% 19,772 Middle-Market 4,784 7.6% 0.6% Corporate 2,315 16.2% 6.7% Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14 Total loans 21,784 10.2% 1.5% Transformation Project is boosting commercial activity

Strategy: I. Focused growth 12 with solid growth of demand deposits Demand Deposits Ch$bn 9.2% 5,621 5,610 5,665 5,189 5,257 Ch$bn 6M 14 YoY QoQ Demand 5,665 9.2% 1.0% Time 9,311-1.2% -3.4% Total deposits 14,975 2.5% -1.8% Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14

Strategy: I. Focused growth and an improved funding mix* Composition of total deposits, % 13 90.0% 80.0% 75.5% 78.9% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 15.1% 15.3% 11.5% 5.9% Dec 13 Jan 14 Feb 14 Mar 14 Apr 14 May 14 Jun 14 Core Deposits (1) Long term Wholesale deposits Short term Wholesale deposits The Bank is increasing core deposits and reducing ST wholesale deposits * Core deposits: checking accounts plus retail and middle-market time deposits. LT wholesale deposits: time deposits from institutional sources and corporate clients with an average maturity greater than 120 days. ST wholesale deposits: time deposits from institutional sources and the corporate segment with an average maturity of less than 120 days

Santander s results 14 and expanding Client NIMs QoQ Client NIMs by segment NIM, client NIM and inflation 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 6.0% Total NIM 5.5% 5.6% 8.0% 8.1% 4.7% 5.3% 5.2% 5.4% 5.5% Client NIM 4.2% 4.2% 3.7% 3.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% -0.1% Inflation Individuals SMEs Middle-market Corporate Mar-14 Jun-14 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 1Q'14 2Q'14 Proactively increasing spreads and improving the funding mix

Strategy: II. Improving relationships with customers The CRM & improvements in quality of service are pushing client growth Total Clients (ths.) 15 Launching of Santander Select & full implementation of the CRM 3,437 3,486 3,523 3,528 3,290 3,301 3,344 3,325 3,365 +5.0% +1.1% Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Santander Select clients increased 9.0% YoY

Santander s results Sustained improvement of most asset quality metrics 16 Provision expense & cost of credit NPL and coverage ratio % of loans 1.75% 1.90% 1.68% 1.51% 1.55% 91% 95% 99% 107% 103% 87 96-3.0% 88 81 84 3.1% 3.0% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 1Q'14 2Q'14 Jun'13 Sep'13 Dec'13 Mar'14 Jun'14 Ch$bn Cost of credit (%)* NPL* Coverage** Change in loan mix has improved asset quality * Annualized quarterly provision expense / total loans * 90 days or more NPLs. ** Loan loss reserves over NPLs

Strategy: III. Managing risks conservatively Steady improvement in consumer asset quality indicators 17 Impaired* + NP consumer loans Evolution of impaired consumer loans % of consumer loans Base 100 = 06/2012 14.0% 15.0% 8.00% 7.00% 13.0% 11.0% 9.0% 3.40% 7.0% 3.61% 10.3% 6.00% 5.00% 9.6% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 2.34% 1.00% 100 150 5.0% 0.00% 85 Impaired Consumer Loans NPLs Consumer Loans Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Impaired consumer loans competition* Impaired consumer loans Santander * Risk reduction in consumer loans also reflects: (i) the portfolio mix change, (ii) improvements in risk models, (iii) origination focusing on pre-approved loans, and (iv) improvements in collection efforts * Impaired consumer loans include NPLs and renegotiated loans. ** Competition is all banks excluding Santander. Source: SBIF. As of May 2014.

Santander s results Transformation Project enhancing productivity: efficiency reaches 36.4% in 2Q14 18 Operating expenses Efficiency ratio Ch$bn 142 143 +7.8% 140 138 153 42.5% 39.8% 38.2% 35.6% 36.4% 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 1Q 14 2Q 14 2Q 14 2Q 13 % Branches 479 485-2.6% --Traditional 273 269 1.5% --MM Centers 3 0 --% --Select 44 44 0.0% --Banefe 74 77-3.9% -- Others 85 95-10.5% Employees 11,381 11,558-1.5% 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 1Q 14 2Q 14 QoQ increase in costs is mainly due to a seasonally low 1Q14 and a salary adjustment done in April due to higher inflation Productivity continues to rise with stable headcount and branch network and increasing usage of complementary channels

Santander s results Solid operating trends in 2Q14 19 Ch$bn Business segments Net operating profit 1 Business segments Net operating profit 1 Ch$bn +9.4% -8.5% +15.7% +40% +10.3% 1H13 1H14 266 291 534 589 274 262 +9.4% 277 289 +4.0% 300 106 97 102 118 60 84 Individuals SMEs Middle-market GBM Total 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 1Q'14 2Q'14 1. Net operating profit: Net interest income + fee income + Financial transactions, net provision expense. Excludes the results from the Financial Management and the Corporate Center

Strategy Optimizing the risk-return relation 20 High capital base* Core Capital ratios, % Positive ROE vs Cost of Equity relationship ROE minus Cost of Equity, % 9.1% 10.7 9.9 6.6 9.4 9.0 7.6 7.4% 5.3% 4.4% Peer average 8.9% 3.0% 2.4% BSAC Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 Santander Perú Average Mexico Brazil Colombia One of the highest credit risk ratings in the banking world Leader in value creation for shareholders * As of May 2014 for competitors and as of June 2014 for Santander. Source: SBIF * Source: UBS, except Santander where ROE used is 20%

Santander s results Net income up 12.5% QoQ and 85.8% YoY. ROE reaches 26.7% 21 ROE* 16.0% 18.6% 20.0% 23.9% 26.7% 2Q'13 3Q'13 4Q'13 1Q 14 2Q 14 At current trends, normalized ROE with a 3% annual inflation: 19-20%** * Excludes gain from the sale of Santander Asset Management in 4Q13. ** 8 quarters moving average

Agenda 22 s sound macroeconomic outlook should fuel the growth of its financial system Santander has adjusted its medium-term strategy to sustain profitable growth in a more challenging environment leading to a positive medium-term outlook

Summary 23 : despite slight deceleration, economy expected to rebound in 2015 Financial system with stable growth trends Transformation Project is boosting commercial activity: Loan growth up 10.2% YoY, especially in segments with higher risk-adjusted contribution Improving funding mix: 9.2% YoY growth of demand deposits High Core Capital ratio: 10.7% NIM, net of provisions, rises to 4.5% (+140 bp YoY) due to higher inflation. Client NIMs rising as spreads increase and the funding mix improves Cost of credit stable Fees still affected by regulatory changes. Client base continues to grow steadily Transformation Project also enhancing productivity: efficiency ratio at 36.4% Sound outlook for 2015

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