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1 Dec 10, 2015 Mayur Uniquoters Ltd. No. of shares (m) 46.3 Mkt cap (Rs crs/$m) 1943/291 Current price (Rs/$) 420/6.3 Price target (Rs/$) 475/ week H/L (Rs.) 518/378 Book Value (Rs/$) 67.8/1.0 P/BV (16e/17e) 5.6/4.6 P/E (16e/17e) 24.1/20.3 EPS growth (FY15/16e/17e) 13.6/14.9/18.6 ROE (FY15/16e/17e) 34.1/28.3/24.9 Beta 0.7 Daily volume (avg. monthly) BSE Code NSE Code MAYURUNIQ Bloomberg MUNI IN Reuters MAYU.BO Shareholding pattern % Promoters 61.1 MFs / Banks / FIs 5.6 Foreign 16.3 Non-Promoter Corp. 2.0 Public & others 15.1 Total As on Sep 30, 2015 Recommendation ACCUMULATE Analyst SUMIT BAGARIA Phone: + 91 (33) E- mail: sumit.bagaria@cdequi.com Company Brief Mayur is one of the largest synthetic leather manufacturers in India having an installed capacity of 3.05 million linear meters per month. Mayur is supplying to US automotive giants like Ford, Chrysler, etc. which has resulted into an exponential growth in their export segment. Quarterly Highlights Mayur Uniquoters reported 3.3% growth in net sales (6.55 million meters of quantity) in Q2FY16 with a volume growth of 8% at an average realization of Rs per meter. Almost 51% of the revenue comes from the footwear segment, their customers being branded footwear makers like Bata, Paragon, Relaxo, Lancer, etc. Since, company is in premium product segment therefore, it has a dual advantage in terms of volume growth as well as better margins. Operating margins have improved substantially by 520 basis points to 23.97% as compared to 18.73% in Q2FY15, reason being falling crude prices reducing the price of their raw materials like PV Resin plasticizer and synthetic yarn. The benefit of this reduction was passed on to their customers resulting in lesser realization. We believe that the company can very well sustain this margin going forward as the company is poised to reap the benefits of falling crude prices. The Company is focusing more on export sales as they have recently opened a wholly owned subsidiary in United States which they will market its wares there. The stock currently trades at 24.1x FY16e EPS of Rs and 20.3x FY17e EPS of Rs Strong operating margins and foray into export sales can lead to strong volume growth in FY17. We, therefore, assign accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of Rs. 475 (previous target: Rs 500) implying 23x on FY17e earnings (PEG ratio slightly over 1). For more information refer to our previous report dated 27 th December Figures in Rs crs Income from operations Other Income EBITDA (other income included) Net Profit after MI & EO item EPS* (Rs) EPS growth (%) All bonus adjusted FY13 FY14 FY FY16e FY17e

2 [ [ [ CD Equisearch Pvt Ltd Outlook & Recommendation Capacity expansion plans Mayur has made significant investments in setting up large capacity with 6 th coating line from ISOTEX, Italy, having a wider width of 2 meters, which has resulted in cost reduction- fixed costs have declined due to higher production. This has helped the company to reap the benefits of higher operating leverage which would benefit it to realize a higher operating margin going forward. Economies of scale have also started kicking in. The company is in process of setting up a PU plant having installed capacity of 6 lacs linear meters per month in the state of Rajasthan. Since the PU plant requires a lot of water and Rajasthan being a dry State, where the use of ground water is not allowed an application have been moved with the Government of Rajasthan for their approval for usage of waste water of nearby town Rengus - the approval of which is expected in near future. This plant can be very beneficial to the company as it can supply its products to lot of international clients and as well as premium fashion brands operating in India. Source: Company Make in India initiative Prime Minister s focus on Make in India is significant step, which has given boost to various automobile manufacturers to open up their manufacturing facilities in India. Auto companies are exploring India as a hub for setting up manufacturing facilities to meet their export demand. These products have to comply with highest international standards. With the existing export to US automobile industry, Mayur has a rich experience in making premium products. Recently, Ford & GM in India have stopped using synthetic leather imported from China and started buying from Mayur. With more and more models approving Mayur products it expects to achieve good growth in future. Domestic automobile industry is also moving towards premium models and adding Mayur in their vendor list. India s share of global footwear market is only 7% as compared to China, which caters to 72% of the total world footwear [ market. There is a scope of significant growth of this industry in India. However, Mayur puts emphasis on all the segments in the industry such as footwear, furnishing, automotive and automotive replacement. This has helped Mayur to hold a better position over its competitors. It caters to marquee players like Ford (USA), Chrysler(USA), Ford(India), GM(India), M&M, Maruti, Honda Motorcycles and Scooters Pvt. Ltd., Tata Motors, Eicher Motors among automotives, Bata, Action, Lancer, Relaxo, Paragon, VKC Group among footwear segment. This has enabled ed Mayur to enjoy the dominant position in the industry. 2 2

3 Company s focus on premium products Recently, demand for premium quality of synthetic leather has increased tremendously. As there is a rise in living standard, demand for the premium and value added products will continue to rise. Mayur is strongly focused on premium products and it also supplies to only branded names, this strategy will benefit Mayur going forward to capitalize the demand for premium quality of synthetic leather. Financials & Valuation Mayur reported 3.3% growth in net sales (6.55 million meters of quantity) in Q2FY16 with a volume growth of 8% at an average realization of Rs per meter. As the company is more focused on premium products, the shift of automobile companies to premium quality of synthetic leather would help it to marginally increase its average realization. Of foremost important, is to develop new products and introduction of new ideas which can result into cost reduction and value addition in their products. Source: Company, CD Equisearch The main reason behind a surge in its operating margin in the first half of current fiscal is falling crude oil prices, which have led to a fall in their raw material prices like PV Resin plasticizer and synthetic yarn which forms a major component in manufacturing synthetic leather. However, its average realization has not fallen much because of their pricing power in the export sales. Mayur has increased its exports from Rs crores to crores in FY15. The share of exports in the total turnover of the company has increased consistently from 19.4% in FY11, 23.8% in FY14 to 26.1% in FY15 and expected to grow at 20-25% in coming years. Mayur s focus on premium products and selling to premium brands and not to focus on unorganized players has also led to higher realization which helped it to realize higher operating profits. 3 3

4 Source: Company, CD Equisearch Mayur reported an EPS of Rs in FY15 as compared to Rs in FY14. The Company has also issued 14,86,000 compulsory convertible participating preference shares (CCPPS) of Rs.400 each at a premium of Rs in FY15. However, the said CCPPS got converted into 29,72,000 equity shares of Rs.5 each on the terms of the issue. The said preference shares were issued to fund their proposed PU Plant in Rajasthan. Net profit grew by almost 13.6% in FY15, Rs crores in FY15 as compared to Rs crores in FY14. Mayur has also reported a strong net profit growth in Q2FY16 at 26.4% (YoY) and 27.9% (YoY) in H1FY16; all credit goes to a big bump up in operating margins. We expect this to continue going forward in coming years due to strong focus of the management in cutting their costs through backward integration, strong growth in exports (almost 20%) and falling crude oil prices. The stock currently trades at 24.1x FY16e EPS of Rs and 20.3x FY17e EPS of Rs Strong operating margins and foray into export sales can lead to strong volume growth in FY17. We, therefore, assign accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of Rs. 475 (previous target: Rs 500) implying 23x on FY17e earnings (PEG ratio slightly over 1). For more information refer to our previous report dated 27 th December

5 Financials Quarterly Results Income From Operations Other Income Interest Depreciation Total Income Total Expenditure EBITDA (other income included) PBT Tax PAT Extraordinary Item Net Profit EPS(Rs) Figures in Rs crs Q2FY16 Q2FY15 % chg H1FY16 H1FY15 % chg Income Statement Income From Operations Growth (%) Other Income Total Income Total Expenditure EBITDA (other income included) Interest Depreciation PBT Tax PAT Extraordinary Item Net Profit EPS (Rs) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16e Total Income Total Expenditure EBITDA (other income included) PBT Tax PAT Extraordinary Item Net Profit EPS (Rs) Figures in Rs crs FY17e

6 Balance Sheet Sources of Funds Share Capital Reserves Total Shareholders Funds Long Term Debt Total Liabilities Application of Funds Gross Block Less: Accumulated Depreciation Net Block Capital Work in Progress Investments Figures in Rs crs FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16e FY17e * Current Assets, Loans & Advances Inventory Trade Receivables Cash and Bank Short term loans Other Assets Total CA & LA Current Liabilities Provisions-Short term Total Current Liabilities Net Current Assets Net Deferred Tax Net long term assets Total Assets Includes preference share capital 6 6

7 Financial Ratios Growth Ratios(%) Revenue EBITDA Net Profit EPS Margins (%) Operating Profit Margin Gross profit Margin Net Profit Margin Return (%) ROCE RONW Valuations Market Cap/ Sales EV/EBITDA P/E P/BV Other Ratios Interest Coverage Debt Equity Current Ratio Turnover Ratios Fixed Asset Turnover Total Asset Turnover Debtors Turnover Inventory Turnover Creditor Turnover WC Ratios Debtor Days Inventory Days Creditor Days Cash Conversion Cycle FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16e FY17e

8 Financial Summary US dollar denominated million $ FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16e FY17e Equity capital Shareholders funds Total debt Net fixed assets (incl CWIP) Investments Net current assets Total assets Revenues EBITDA EBDT PBT PAT EPS($) Book value ($) *income statement figures translated at average rates; balance sheet at year end rates; projections at current rates 8 8

9 Disclosure& Disclaimer CD Equisearch Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as CD Equi ) is a Member registered with National Stock Exchange of India Limited, Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India Limited (Formerly known as MCX Stock Exchange Limited). CD Equi is also registered as Depository Participant with CDSL and AMFI registered Mutual Fund Advisor. The associates of CD Equi are engaged in activities relating to NBFC-ND - Financing and Investment, Commodity Broking, Real Estate, etc. CD Equi has applied for registration under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, Further, CD Equi hereby declares that No disciplinary action has been taken against CD Equi by any of the regulatory authorities. CD Equi/its associates/research analysts do not have any financial interest/beneficial interest of more than one percent/material conflict of interest in the subject company(s). CD Equi/its associates/research analysts have not received any compensation from the subject company(s) during the past twelve months. CD Equi/its research analysts has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered by analysts and has not been engaged in market making activity of the company covered by analysts. This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved) and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. CD Equi or any of its affiliates/group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. CD Equi has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While, CD Equi endeavors to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory compliance or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Neither, CD Equi nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. CD Equisearch Private Limited (CIN: U67120WB1995PTC071521) Registered Office: 37, Shakespeare Sarani, 1 st Floor, Kolkata ; Phone: +91(33) ; Fax: +91(33) ; Corporate Office: 10, Vasawani Mansion, 2 nd Floor, Dinshaw Wachha Road, Churchgate, Mumbai ; Phone: +91(22) /0653; Fax: +91(22) 2283, 2276 Website: research@cdequi.com buy: >20% accumulate: >10% to 20% hold: -10% to 10% reduce: -20% to < -10% sell: < -20% 9 9