NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Florida November 3, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire

Transcription

1 Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older? Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Florida? HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY GENDER GUESS NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Florida November 3, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Have I reached you on your cell phone or on your regular home phone? Cell Regular home phone Cell Regular home phone Cell Regular home phone November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1% October 11, 2012: Residents: n=1410, MOE +/-2.6% October 3, 2012: Residents: n=1316, MOE +/-2.7% September 2012: Residents: n=1501, MOE +/-2.5% Are you registered to vote at your current address in Florida? Yes No Not a U.S. Citizen Unsure Registered voters November 3, 2012 October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 1

2 If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: LIKELY VOTERS - Including leaners* November 3, 2012 (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans Other Undecided REGISTERED VOTERS - Including November 3, 2012 leaners* (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans Other Undecided * Leaners are defined as voters who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Would you say you strongly support <candidates> somewhat support <candidates>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day? Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 2

3 In the upcoming election for president, have you already voted early or by absentee, or have you not voted early or by absentee? (If not early voter: Thinking about November's presidential election, do you plan to vote early or by absentee, vote on Election Day, or have you not decided?) Voted/Plan to vote early or by 63 na/35 na/36 na/29 absentee Voting on Election Day Have not decided November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Have you ever voted before in a presidential election? Yes No Yes No NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 3

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve Disapprove Unsure Approve Disapprove Unsure November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% If November's election for U.S. Senate in Florida were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: LIKELY VOTERS - Including leaners* November 3, 2012 (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Bill Nelson, the Democrat Connie Mack, the Republican Other 1 0 Undecided REGISTERED VOTERS - Including leaners* November 3, 2012 (including early voters) October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 September 2012 Bill Nelson, the Democrat Connie Mack, the Republican Other 1 0 Undecided * Leaners are defined as voters who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 4

5 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Unsure Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Unsure Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Unsure November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% In which year were you born (recoded into age of respondent)? 18 to to to or older to to to or older to to to or older NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 5

6 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you white, black or African-American, Latino or Hispanic, Asian, or Native American? (If not Latino: Are you Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?) White African American or Black Latino or Hispanic Other White African American or Black Latino or Hispanic Other White African American or Black Latino or Hispanic Other NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 6

7 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which of the following includes your combined family income before taxes: Less than $15,000 a year $15,000 to just under $25, $25,000 to just under $50, $50,000 to just under $75, $75,000 to just under $100, $100,000 or more Less than $15,000 a year $15,000 to just under $25, $25,000 to just under $50, $50,000 to just under $75, $75,000 to just under $100, $100,000 or more Less than $15,000 a year $15,000 to just under $25, $25,000 to just under $50, $50,000 to just under $75, $75,000 to just under $100, $100,000 or more NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 7

8 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which county in Florida do you live in (recoded into region of the state)? North/Panhandle Orlando/Central Atlantic Coast Tampa Bay Area South Central Miami/South North/Panhandle Orlando/Central Atlantic Coast Tampa Bay Area South Central Miami/South North/Panhandle Orlando/Central Atlantic Coast Tampa Bay Area South Central Miami/South November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Do you consider yourself a: (party identification) Democrat Republican Independent Other Democrat Republican Independent Other NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 8

9 Do you consider yourself a: (party identification) Strong Democrat Not strong Democrat Democrat leaning Independent Just Independent Republican leaning Independent Not strong Republican Strong Republican Other Strong Democrat Not strong Democrat Democrat leaning Independent Just Independent Republican leaning Independent Not strong Republican Strong Republican Other November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party Movement? Tea Party Supporters No Unsure Tea Party Supporters No Unsure NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 9

10 Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 10

11 Thinking about November's presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting? Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not enthusiastic at all Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not enthusiastic at all November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy: Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 11

12 Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy: Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Which candidate will do a better job handling Medicare: LIKELY VOTERS November 3, 2012 October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided Total REGISTERED VOTERS November 3, 2012 October 11, 2012 October 3, 2012 Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided Total November 3, 2012: Registered voters: n=1280, MOE +/- 2.7%; Likely voters: n=994, MOE +/- 3.1% Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing handling Hurricane Sandy? LIKELY VOTERS November 3, 2012 Approve 70 Disapprove 11 Unsure 20 Total 100 REGISTERED VOTERS November 3, 2012 Approve 69 Disapprove 11 Unsure 20 Total 100 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 12

13 On another topic, politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative, or very conservative? Very liberal Liberal Moderate Conservative Very conservative Very liberal Liberal Moderate Conservative Very conservative November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, or Muslim? Protestant Catholic Jewish Other No Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Other No Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Other No Religion NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 13

14 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you currently married, living with a partner, separated, divorced, widowed, or single, that is never married (recoded)? Married Not married Married Not married Married Not married November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% What is the highest level of school you completed or the highest degree you received (recoded)? Not college graduate College graduate Not college graduate College graduate Not college graduate College graduate NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 14

15 Are you registered to vote as a (party registration): Democrat Republican Independent, that is not enrolled in any party Other Democrat Republican Independent, that is not enrolled in any party Other November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you of Cuban decent? Yes No Yes No Yes No NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 15

16 November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Have you ever served in the U.S. Military? Yes No Yes No Yes No November 3, 2012: Residents: n=2168, MOE +/-2.1%; Registered voters: n=1973, MOE +/-2.2%; Likely voters: n=1545, MOE +/-2.5% Are you male or female? Male Female Male Female Male Female NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll FL November 3, 2012; Page 16