Fondap Conicyt Rodrigo Palma Behnke SERC Team January, 6th 2015

Transcription

1 Fondap Conicyt Rodrigo Palma Behnke SERC Team January, 6 th 2015

2 Overview Based on the current energy challenge in Chile, a long term vision for solar energy development is presented and analyzed.

3 Parinacota Iquique Pozo Almonte Tarapacá Lagunas Collahuasi Crucero Atacama Laberinto Content Mejillones Antofagasta Escondida Chilean Energy Challenge and SERC Chile Solar Development Vision Until 2033 Specific Challenges Conclusions

4 Olmué 2014

5 Chilean Energy Challenges Electricity generation matrix WORLD 2008 CHILE 2010 Source: OECD, CNE

6 Main indexes in the SIC/ SING by Systep and CDECs SIC SING

7 Social opposition Fuente: H. Rudnick

8 Government - Energy Agenda NEW ROLE OF THE STATE Human Capital Development, science and energy innovation Strategic programme in innovation and industry development in Solar Energy Solar Energy R+D programme DEVELOPMENT OF LOCAL ENERGY RESOURCES Development of a Renewable Energy self-consumption strategy for communities Promotion of solar thermal solutions and PV at community level Special programmes for extreme or isolated areas

9 Fuente: Systep Auction Results with NCRE 92% coverage, 108 USD/MWh average price.

10 SERC CHILE COLLECTIVE EFFORT (6 Universities + Fundación Chile) Over this call, Universidad de Chile (UCH) along with Universidad de Tarapacá (UTA), Universidad de Antofagasta (UA), Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María (UTFSM), Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez (UAI), Universidad de Concepción (UDEC) and Fundación Chile (FCh) joined efforts to propose the creation of Chilean Solar Energy Research Center (SERC Chile). OBJECTIVE The objective of this center is to become a world leader of scientific research in solar energy, especially developing the potential of the Atacama Desert in Chile.

11 Research Lines Barriers (IV) (II) Solar energy storage (Héctor Galleguillos) Electric power systems with high penetration of solar energy (Luis Morán) (I) Solar energy in industry / mining (Samir Kouro) (V) Solar water treatment (Lorena Cornejo) (III) Solar energy coordination systems for rural and urban communities (Rodrigo Palma) (VI) Economic/social/ regulatory issues for solar development (Claudio Agostini) : relationships among lines of research

12 ~ = 45 researchers 6 postdoc 30 undergraduate 30 graduate

13 R&D Associations Chilean Solar Ecosystem Society Companies

14 Parinacota Iquique Pozo Almonte Tarapacá Lagunas Collahuasi Crucero Atacama Laberinto Content Mejillones Antofagasta Escondida Chilean Energy Challenge and SERC Chile Solar Development Vision Until 2033 Specific Challenges Conclusions

15 Ref: J. Hirschmann 1913 Ref: Cosmos 2014

16 Fuente: Min. Energía, GIZ

17 Land use / costs: solar energy Panels [ha/mw] Project [Ha/MW] Average 3,02 3,69 Std.Dev 1,8 2,1

18 FACTOR DE PLANTA Plant/capacity factor: solar energy 0,3000 Plant Factores factor de planta for each históricos solar desde Inicio PV de power operación plants 0,2500 0,2000 0,1500 0,1000 0,0500 0,0000 Monthly Factores de Pplanta históricos factor mensuales 0,4000 0,3500 0,3000 0,2500 0,2000 0,1500 0,1000 0,0500 0,0000 Diciembre Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre Título del eje Dec Dec Sep. 2014

19 Southamerican 2033 Vision 30% electricity consumption in SA 200,000 MW ~ 6,000 km 2 ~ 600,000 ha 3 X (45x45 km 2 ) 15 X (20x20 km 2 )

20 Land use of solar energy Grapes in Chile 200,000 ha 2,000 km 2 ~ 66,000 MW PF ~ 30% 173,000 GWh

21 Multi-dimensional challenge Socio-environmental development Heat production (MW, MWh) Access to water Green-chemistry based on solar energy Local industry / products Electricity production (MW, MWh)

22 Parinacota Iquique Pozo Almonte Tarapacá Lagunas Collahuasi Crucero Atacama Laberinto Content Mejillones Antofagasta Escondida Chilean Energy Challenge and SERC Chile Solar Development Vision Until 2033 Specific Challenges Conclusions

23 GHG Emissions Ref: INGEI, 2010

24 Millon tco 2 e Emissions projection of aggregated Scenarios Baseline 2013 Base effort (B-E) Medium effort (M-E) High effor (H-E) NCRE RE Efficiency energy 80/20 Carbon tax COMMENTS Emissions and cost trajectories Main uncertainties

25 Intervention levels: technical layers Apps AGC / RI Brasil Argentina SCADA SIC

26 Solar cogeneration in mining Bomba LX-SX-EW Ref:

27 Parinacota Iquique Pozo Almonte Tarapacá Lagunas Collahuasi Crucero Atacama Laberinto Content Mejillones Antofagasta Escondida Chilean Energy Challenge and SERC Chile Solar Development Vision Until 2033 Specific Challenges Conclusions

28 Where are you?

29 Chilean Solar Platform

30 Chilean Solar Platform Plataforma Solar Almería - 80 ha - Urbanization, - Main building, - Initial projects: microgrid, molten salts, PV / module testing.

31 Suggested road map Commintment: goverment, industry, society, academy Basic science development road map: Know how-module assembly HCD (teaching, labs) System wide impact of different technologies Creation of modelling & simulation group Systematic evaluation of cells and modules Modules: study, design and assembly. Cells: study, design and assembly. 2 years 2 years 2 years 3 years 3 years 5 years 10 years

32 Fondap Conicyt Rodrigo Palma Behnke SERC Team January, 6 th 2015