ERTMS deployment challenges in a deregulated market. Björn Westerberg April 25, 2012

Transcription

1 ERTMS deployment challenges in a deregulated market Björn Westerberg April 25, 2012

2 Agenda SJ AB Overview ERTMS Challenges 1 Service to Customer 2 OneCommonSystem 3 Finding a Business Case 2

3 SJ AB Operates 90% of rail passenger services in Sweden exceeding 100 km 55% share of the total Swedish rail market Approx. 4,500 employees Sales of SEK 9 billion in 2011 Limited liability company owned by the Swedish state 110,000 passengers per day 3

4 First challenge Service to the customer ERTMS is an internal railway production system Safe Reliable Cost efficient i Scandinavian cross border solutions already exist Norway/Sweden/Denmark/Germany Deployment of ERTMS shall not be noticed by the customers Please, do not disturbe! 4

5 ERTMS up and running in Sweden The new Botnia line opened with ERTMS august 2010 Demand from passengers and freight operators Traffic volumes delayed Temporary approvals Vehicles and infrastructure will be updated in several steps and some new borders have arisen 5

6 SJ achievements until April 2012 Started retrofitting first locos summer of 2009 ETCS and integrated STM Commercial operation Sept 2010 Botnia line with ERTMS Operation with STM on legacy system Over night trains Regional traffic with two EMU s Availability performance program 20 EMU s with ETCS/STM to be delivered before summer 2012 Tests performed with SJ s locos in Norway March

7 The Swedish approval process so far Unusually complicated Mix of national and TSI requirements (national STM and generic application ver 2.3.0d) Specific Application for each vehicle class Uncertainties about criteria for updates ISA and NoBo have been cost drivers Delays compared to original schedules Today Interims approval TSI conformity and RAM to be fulfilled There is only an integrated national STM Fig. SJ:s Approval roadmap for Rc6E 7

8 What to come Ådalsbanan planned for august 2012 Refurbished track and ERTMS trackside Haparanda and Västerdal lines Corridor B Stockholm/Hallsberg Öresund link Affects almost all rail traffic in Sweden Co-ordination between Dk, Se and No Installation while running rail traffic Lead time for vehicle retrofitting 3,5 years after official STM s are available Danish STM needed for the Øresund link Traffic with STM on legacy system will dominate the coming years Trafikverket has chosen the vehicle strategy 8

9 Second challenge one common system Quotes from ERA march

10 Software compatibility 42 different lines Built in mechanisms with changes and updates Complexity track vehicle Still an approval for each vehicle to each ERTMS line STM according to national requirements Major assets in each approved and operational system Changes and updates are cost drivers 10

11 Updates and approvals to come Planned updates Final version ETCS/STM (TSD 2.3.0d & RAM) Update of GSM-R to handle interference with public telecom Installation of Danish STM 2.3.0d incl. new Swedish approval Baseline 3 for ETCS Approvals and possible updates ETCS/STM to handle balis errors in legacy system (ATC) ETCS/STM to second Swedish trackside supplier ETCS/STM to track side supplier in eastern Denmark ETCS/STM to Norwegien track side supplier (not yet selected) Error corrections Cross border acceptance for updates Dependence on trackside planning and updates Man i cabbage field, Edvard Munch 1916, Nasjonalmuseet, Oslo 11

12 Reliability and LCC Life Cycle Cost Initial installation preliminary version Update BD 2.3.0d Update new trackside application Update STM dk Update Baseline 3 x.x x.x x.x x.x x.x x.x etc. SJ is participating in DSV-program (reliability verification) with other operators on behalf of the infrastructure owner Trafikverket. The DSV program will ensure a year of operation with the final software and regular reports to the Transport Safety Authority, that the system is reliable. Only after this, serial installation commence in both infrastructure and vehicles. The objective is that a new train protection system from a customer perspective is more efficient and stable than the old ATP-system. So far, 1.5 million km traveled in the DSV. The distance between traffic-disturbing failures was 3,449 km. Final software version EOS 3 will, at best, begin to be verified during autumn 2012 and will last for 12 months to come. SJ AB, JS

13 Overall steering and control ERA has the main responsibility but not sufficient resources Need to finalize ERTMS specifications Still national interests Cross acceptance progress slowly Need for stability in national requirements STM and approval process System owner on national level Fi F U i i 9 11 mars 2010 t ti t th ERTMS f i R Assignment and tasks Resources for system integration Fig. From Unisig presentation at the ERTMS conference in Rome 13

14 Third challenge Finding a business case Interoperability will be the same Proven solutions exists today Norway Sweden Denmark - Germany Botnia line is new infrastructure New revenues compared to costs and risks Business opportunities ERTMS on existing track Increased costs Technical risks and traffic disturbances Swedish corridor B is early deployment of level 2 on a line with intense traffic X2000 towards Stockholm in winter conditions Photo: Stefan Nilsson 14

15 A deregulated market Infrastructure Managers versus operators/rosco s Upfront investments depending on selected ERTMS strategy Present EU funding not sufficient i for operator s business cases Supply industry versus investors The signalling industry has - naturally - commercial interests Strong links to a supplier once it has been contracted NSA and NoBo s National organizational procedures Commercial interests and protecting accreditation ti Parties not getting benefits from ERTMS are delaying installation Fruit Dish, Bottle and Violin Pablo Picasso

16 Wish list before leaving shore A new traffic management system should: Be introduced without disturbing existing traffic Be cheaper than the system it replaces Offer higher capacity Be driven by commercial needs not by law ERTMS needs more business focus Båden sættes i søen, Oscar Björck 1884, Skagens Museum 16

17 How the ensure success for ERTMS in a deregulated market? Allways keep the rail customer in mind Understand and respect each others interests Operators are to take commercial risks and investments are to give financial return The wish list from operators: Clear decisions and reliable time schedules incl. time for testing and reliability assurance Service to rail customers during installation Finalize specifications ERA and NSA National STM s available System owner with resources for integretion When there is a positive business case for the operators, there will be momentum in ERTMS deployment Hip, Hip, Hurra. P.S. Krøyer, Skagen Museum 17