Travel pros and cons of the use of tourism statistics as a source

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1 Travel pros and cons of the use of tourism statistics as a source Selma M. Mulalic Nordic meeting Stockholm, September 2012

2 Settlements statistics terminated Settlements statistics terminated by end 2004 Survey on trade in services from 2005 (direct reporting) Special system for Travel Item from 2005

3 Travel Account in Denmark from 2005 The old system ( ) The current system (2007- ) A new system ( )

4 The old system ( ): Work division BOP/ITS Unit in Statistics Denmark Data suppliers

5 The old system ( ): Main sources Survey of trade in services Frontier surveys Surveys at accommodation establishments Household survey

6 The current system (2007- ) The current system was implemented in September 2007 Different work division: Inputs from experts on tourism statistics Simpler operational system Quality improvements

7 The current system (2007- ): Work division VisitDenmark (The Danish Tourist Board): Credit side Tourism Unit in Statistics Denmark: Debit side BoP/ITS Unit: Directly invoiced travel data, Small adjustments (students and commuters) and Quality control.

8 VisitDenmark: Travel Credits Main source is TØBBE (Economic and employment effects of tourism in Denmark) Description of tourism consumption in Denmark for travel with overnight stays Face-to-face interview at different accommodation establishments Consumption data is combined with overnight stays and supplemented with other sources Result: Tourism revenue in Denmark

9 Tourism Unit in Statistics Denmark: Travel Debits Start level in 2005 Sources for update: Household survey Traffic statistics Survey on trade in services Other countries statistics on night spent by Danes at hotels and similar establishments Mirror statistics

10 BOP/ITS Unit in Statistics Denmark Directly invoiced travel data Small adjustments (students and commuters) Quality control

11 Travel credits and tourism statistics VisitDenmarks tourism statistics is a direct input to travel accounts credit/export side Full harmonisation between tourism statistics and travel item

12 Travel debits and tourism statistics Some common sources, but no direct connection between tourism statistics and travel item Household survey/leisure and business trips?

13 Household survey/leisure and business trips Statistics Denmark undertook an analysis of the potential use of Household survey/leisure and business trips as a main source for Travel debits

14 Analysis of Leisure and business trips: Main findings 1/3 Very close theoretical connection between Travel item and Tourism statistics Main differences: o Students, medical patients, commuters and (transport) o Household survey even more limited since the data on same day travel is not available (will be available in the future, according EU regulation 692/2011) o Household survey is conducted quarterly, but Leisure and business trips is a yearly statistics, and it is primarily a structural, and not a short term statistics

15 Analysis of Leisure and business trips: Main findings 2/3 Practically difficult to compare Travel data with Tourism data It is difficult to distinguish issues regarding definitions from issues regarding quality Big quality problems with Leisure and business trips, especially regarding stability of data and regarding the possibility to compare year to year developments

16 Analysis of Leisure and business trips: Main findings 3/3 Leisure and business trips can not be used as a main source for Travel debits Statistics Denmark will work on improving the integration of tourism statistics and travel item on the debit side, because it is important to ensure coherence between the two statistical domains

17 Travel pros and cons of the use of tourism statistics as a source Pros/Strengths: o Very close theoretical connection between tourism statistics and travel item o Consistency between tourism statistics and travel item is important, especially in regard to our users Cons/Weaknesses: o Travel item is a short term monthly statistics, whilst tourism statistics is a yearly structural statistics o Different quality demands o Issues regarding stability of data o Issues regarding geographical breakdown o Issues regarding sample size

18 Credit Cards Statistics Denmark have been trying to get information on credit cards for several years Expect to get data by the end of this year

19 The potential use of credit cards in Danish travel account: Travel credits Current system very good and stable Credit cards could be used for verification

20 The potential use of credit cards in Danish travel account: Travel debits Current system needs changes and improvements Credit cards could be used as main source, supplementary source and/or for verification

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