OHIO 2011 For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed.
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- Harriet Baldwin
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1 MEMBER OHIO 211 For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed. 59% 36% 23% By 22, jobs requiring a career certificate or college degree Ohio adults who currently have an associate degree or higher Skills gap Too few students make it through college. Data: See the Sources and Methodology section on our website. Of students who enroll in a public college or university 1 2-Year Public 4-Year Public Enroll Return as sophomores Graduate on time (1% time) 1 15 Additional graduates 15% time % time Total graduates Graduate in 4 years 8 32 Graduate in 8 years Key to measuring time Associate Bachelor s 1% time 2 years 4 years 15% time 3 years 6 years 2% time 4 years 8 years Data: 2-year cohort started in fall 24; 4-year cohort started in fall 22 For too many students, the path through college ends with no degree and often lots of debt. Note: This report presents data only from public colleges and universities. Complete America n 1
2 We re making great progress in providing access to more students. Total public college enrollment: 464,815 Attending Pursuing Degrees & Certificates 37, ,564 4-year colleges 265,75 199,65 2-year colleges Total State Population, White 8% Enrollment White 76% Graduation White 83% Hispanic 3% Hispanic 2% Hispanic 2% 13% Other races 4% 13% Other races 9% Data: Fall 29 enrollment from IPEDS; population data from Census ACS PUMS 6-8; degrees by race from 27-1 state submissions Now we must have more success from all students. 8% Other races 8% For states to compete, their students must earn more degrees and certificates. Overall Credentials Awarded Science, Technology, Engineering, Math (STEM) Credentials Awarded 34,652 38,64 6,294 6,325 16,47 19,172 2,916 3,168 1,546 2, Certificate Associate Bachelor s Certificate Associate Bachelor s And all credentials should provide clear pathways to success. Data: 27 8 Complete America n 2
3 Graduation rates are very low, especially if you re poor, part time,, Hispanic, or older. Certificate-Seeking Students All White Hispanic % On-time (1 year) Within 1 1 /2 years Within 2 years Within 1 year Within 1 1 /2 years Within 2 years 7.5% 25 and Over 2 24 Directly from HS (age 17 19) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 9.1% 9.8% 6.7% 2.9% 11.2% 6.4% 8.7% 8.6% 7.9% 12.8% 13.4% 1.% 8.6% 15.1% 7.9% 13.5% 11.9% 11.7% 15.1% 15.8% 13.3% 9.3% 16.7% 1.6% 16.1% 13.9% 13.8% 3.2% 3.7% 4.6% 1.3% 3.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 5.2% 5.8% 9.1% 1.9% 6.5% 3.2% 3.3% 4.8% 4.5% 7.5% 8.6% 9.1% 2.5% 7.4% 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 7.7% In most states, very few students seeking certificates ever graduate. Associate Degree- Seeking Students All White Hispanic % On-time (2 years) Within 3 years Within 4 years Within 2 years Within 3 years Within 4 years 1.7% 5.3% 25 and Over 2 24 Directly from HS (age 17 19) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 2.8% 3.1% 1.3% 1.% 3.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 1.3% 9.4% 1.4% 5.5% 3.% 1.1% 6.6% 9.8% 7.7% 6.4% 16.5% 18.2% 1.7% 5.3% 15.1% 11.2% 17.7% 13.% 12.% 1.2% 1.4% DS*.5% 1.4% 1.5%.8% 1.%.3% 3.6% 4.% 2.5% 1.1% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 3.2% 2.2% 7.8% 8.9% 3.9% 2.8% 8.4% 6.4% 8.2% 6.9% 6.% Associate degree graduation rates are abysmal across the country for Hispanic and students, they re tragic. Bachelor s Degree- Seeking Students All White Hispanic On-time (4 years) Within 6 years Within 8 years Within 4 years Within 6 years Within 8 years 25 and Over 2 24 Directly from HS (age 17 19) Pell Grant Recipients (at entry) Remedial 29.5% 32.% 22.7% 12.% 7.1% 6.7% 3.5% 16.5% 7.9% 59.7% 63.2% 49.9% 34.4% 17.% 19.% 61.4% 42.2% 33.8% 63.7% 67.2% 55.1% 38.9% 2.9% 24.2% 65.3% 47.1% 39.5% 3.5% 4.1% 2.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 5.6% 2.3%.6% 1.% 11.8% 5.9% 3.5% 4.9% 6.1% 16.4% 6.8% 5.3% 14.4% 17.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 1.7% 23.% 9.5% 9.5% 17.% 4.9% 61.4% Almost no one over the age of 25 graduates; students fresh out of high school are most likely to succeed. Data: Certificate cohort started in 25 6, associate cohort started in 24 5, bachelor's cohort started in 22 3 Given changing demographics, our country will not have enough skilled s to compete unless many more students from all backgrounds and walks of life graduate. DS* = Fewer than 1 students, so data were suppressed. Complete America n 3
4 Retention rates drop from year to year. Many get discouraged and drop out Students in 2-year colleges who return to campus Start Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Start Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 1% 1% 6.9% 45.1% 44.4% 32.2% Students in 4-year colleges who return to campus 1% 85.6% 78.3% 72.1% 1% 51.2% 43.2% 34.% after falling off track early. Students who earn expected first-year credits (24 credits) Associate Bachelor s (12 credits) Associate Bachelor s 26.3% 67.2% 25.9% 44.% Staying enrolled is particularly tough for part-time students, who must often balance jobs and school. Remediation. 48.1% Complete remediation Data: Associate cohort started in 24 5, bachelor's cohort started in 22 3; earned credits from fall 26 2-Year s of freshmen require remediation of those Complete remediation and associated college-level courses in two years Graduate within 3 years (projected) Complete remediation Current approaches almost always guarantee failure. 4-Year s 58.5% 25.% 24.6% 6.4% 56.9% of freshmen require remediation of those 38.4% Complete remediation and associated college-level courses in two years 33.8% Graduate within 6 years (projected) Data: Fall 26 Complete America n 4
5 Precious time and money are lost when students don t graduate on schedule. Students are taking too much time Certificate Associate Bachelor s 3.6 years 3.9 years 3.8 years 4.9 years 4.4 years 5.4 years Should take 1 year for full-time students Should take 2 years for full-time students Should take 4 years for full-time students and too many credits. Certificate Associate Bachelor s 69 credits 52 credits Should take 3 credits 86 credits 8 credits Should take 6 credits 137 credits 132 credits Should take 12 credits More students must graduate on time. Data: 27 8 Complete America n 5
6 More time isn t giving us enough success. For certificate and associate degree students, graduation rates are very low even when more time. Certificate Associate 9.1% 12.8% 5.2% 15.1% 7.5% 2.8% 9.4% 3.6% 16.5% 7.8% In 1 year In 1.5 years In 2 years In 2 years In 3 years In 4 years On-time graduation rates for bachelor s degree students are shockingly low. And adding time beyond six years produces little additional success. Bachelor s 59.7% 63.7% 29.5% 1.% 14.4% In 4 years In 6 years In 8 years Data: Certificate cohort started in 25 6; associate cohort started in 24 5; bachelor's cohort started in 22 3 Even modest progress provides little comfort when overall graduation rates are so low. Complete America n 6
7 Graduation rates by campus Public two-year colleges (In 3 years) Public four-year colleges (In 6 years) Warren County Career Center 86% Lorain County Joint Vocational School District 85% Career and Technology Education Centers of Licking 81% County Great Oaks Institute of Technology and Career 79% Development O. C. Collins Career Center 77% Sandusky Career Center 64% Washington State Community Eastern Gateway Community Ohio State University Agricultural Technical Institute 26% Zane State 24% Marion Technical 23% James A. Rhodes State 22% Northwest State Community Southern State Community 22% 21% Hocking 2% Toledo Public Schools Adult & Continuing Education 2% Central Ohio Technical 19% Terra State Community 19% Cincinnati State Technical and Community 17% North Central State 16% Stark State of Technology 15% Bowling Green State University-Firelands 11% Lakeland Community 11% Belmont Technical 1% Owens Community 1% Sinclair Community 9% Columbus State Community 8% 48% Miami University-Oxford 83% Ohio State University-Main 75% Ohio University-Main 69% Bowling Green State University-Main 59% Kent State University Kent 49% Wright State University-Lake 48% University of Cincinnati-Main 46% Wright State University-Main 45% University of Toledo 44% Ohio State University-Marion 4% Ohio State University-Lima 36% Ohio University-Chillicothe 36% Ohio University-Zanesville 36% Youngstown State University 35% Edison State Community 34% Ohio University-Eastern 34% University of Akron Main 34% Ohio State University-Newark 33% Ohio University-Lancaster 31% Cleveland State University 29% Ohio State University-Mansfield 28% Miami University-Hamilton 27% Shawnee State University 26% Kent State University Geauga Kent State University Stark Ohio University-Southern University of Cincinnati-Clermont Kent State University Salem 23% Data: Reported by institutions to NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation rates are for first-time, full-time students completing certificate or degree within 15 percent of normal program time. Source: U.S. Department of Education, IPEDS 29 1 Graduation Rates Complete America n 7
8 Graduation rates by campus Public two-year colleges (In 3 years) Public four-year colleges (In 6 years) Lorain County Community 8% Clark State Community 6% University of Akron Wayne 4% Cuyahoga Community District 3% Miami University-Middletown 23% Kent State University Ashtabula Kent State University Tuscarawas 2% 2% University of Cincinnati-Raymond Walters 2% Central State University 19% Kent State University Trumbull Kent State University East Liverpool 16% 11% Data: Reported by institutions to NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Graduation rates are for first-time, full-time students completing certificate or degree within 15 percent of normal program time. Source: U.S. Department of Education, IPEDS 29 1 Graduation Rates Complete America n 8
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