Global Competitiveness Report : Sweden
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1 Global Competitiveness Report : Sweden Dr Christian Ketels Center for Strategy and Competitiveness, Stockholm School of Economics Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School Center for Strategy and Competitiveness CSC
2 Center for Strategy and Competitiveness - CSC Clusters and Competitiveness EU Cluster Mapping Microeconomic Policy National GCR partner of the WEF Research Agenda Knowledge in Networks Strategy and International Business 2 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
3 Global Competitiveness Report Annual publication of the World Economic Forum since 1979; in recent years academic guidance from Professor Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business School Professor Jeffrey Sachs (until 2002), Professor Xavier Xala-i-Martin, both Columbia University Covers 127 economies; based on statistical data and global Executive Opinion Survey of more than 11,000 respondents Content Global Competitiveness Index as a summary indicator of macroeconomic and microeconomic drivers of medium-term growth Business Competitiveness Index with a focus on microeconomic drivers of sustainable prosperity (GDP per Capita) Extensive data sheets on all economies covered 3 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
4 Rank 1 Global Competitiveness Report Sweden Global Competitiveness Index Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) Business Competitiveness Index 4 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
5 Global Competitiveness Index Basic Requirements Institutions Infrastructure Macroeconomy Health and primary education Higher education and training Goods market efficiency Labor market efficiency Business sophistication Efficiency Enhancers Innovation Technological readiness Market size Financial market sophistication Innovation Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 5 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
6 Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 6 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
7 Sweden s GCI Rankings by Pillar 1 Basic Requirements (20%) Efficiency Enhancers (50%) Innovation (30%) Technology Health, education Institutions Infrastructure Macroeconomy Higher education Goods markets Financial markets Market size Labor markets Business soph. Innovation Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 7 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
8 Determinants of Prosperity Macroeconomic, Political, Legal, and Social Context Microeconomic Competitiveness The Sophistication of Company Operations and Strategy The Quality of the Microeconomic Business Environment State of Cluster Development Endowments (Natural Resources, Location) 8 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
9 2006 GDP per Capita (Purchasing Power Adjusted) 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 Business Competitiveness Index 2007 Relationship with GDP Per Capita Greece Bahrain Kuwait Italy Qatar Ireland Spain Iceland Korea Norway Singapore Switzerland Denmark Finland United States Sweden Germany 15,000 10,000 Libya Argentina Tunisia Malaysia 5,000 0 Low Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2007 Kenya India Indonesia Business Competitiveness Index Variation in BCI score explains more than 80% of variation in GDP per capita High 9 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
10 Business Competitiveness Index 2007 Top 25 Country Change Note: Constant sample of countries United States Germany Finland Sweden Denmark Switzerland Netherlands Austria Singapore Japan United Kingdom Hong Kong SAR Norway Canada Belgium Iceland France Australia Korea Israel Malaysia New Zealand Taiwan, China Ireland Tunisia = = = = Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
11 Business Competitiveness Ranking Over Time Sweden Rank 1 5 BCI Index Business environment Company sophistication Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 11 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
12 Sweden s Company Sophistication GCR Rank by Element 20 Rank among 124 countries 1 Reliance on professional management Willingness to delegate authority Breadth of international markets Capacity for innovation Extent of staff training Extent of regional sales + Production process sophistication Value chain breadth + Company spending on research and development Nature of competitive advantage Extent of marketing Degree of customer orientation Extent of incentive compensation Control of international distribution - Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 12 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
13 GCR Rank by Element Internet users per 10,000 inhabitants Quality of telephone/fax infrastructure Quality of port infrastructure Railroad infrastructure Overall infrastructure quality Quality of electricity supply Cellular Telephones per 100 inhabitants Air transport infrastructure quality Sweden s Business Environment Quality Factor Conditions 40 Rank among 124 countries 1 Infrastructure Efficiency of legal framework Business costs of corruption Laws relating to ICT Judicial independence Reliability of police services Administration Cooperation in labor-employer relations Quality of management schools Quality of primary education Quality of math and science education University/industry research collaboration Availability of scientists and engineers Patents per capita Quality of scientific research institutions + HR Innovation Local equity market access Financial market sophistication Ease of access to loans Venture capital availability + Finance Note: Indicators below Sweden s GDP per capita rank in red GCR Source: Press Conference Global 2007 Competitiveness ppt Report (2007) 13 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
14 GCR Rank by Element Presence of demanding regulatory standards Sweden s Business Environment Quality Other Dimensions 40 Rank among 124 countries 1 + Stringency of environmental regulations Government procurement of technology Buyer sophistication + Demand Local availability of specialized research Local supplier quality Local availability of process machinery Local supplier quantity + Cluster Efficacy of corporate boards Prevalence of trade barriers Intensity of local competition + Favoritism of government officials Intellectual property protection Effectiveness of antitrust policy Extent of market dominance Property rights + Context for Strategy and Rivalry Note: Source: Indicators Global Competitiveness below Sweden s GDP Report per (2007) capita rank in red GCR Source: Press Conference Global 2007 Competitiveness ppt Report (2007) 14 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
15 Business Competitiveness Indicators Main Swedish Improvements over Time 1 Rank 10 Trade openness Equity market access Efficiency of the legal framework Local access to process machinery Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 15 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
16 Business Competitiveness Indicators Main Swedish Deteriorations over Time Rank Cooperation in labor-employer relations Quality of electricity supply Quality of management schools Airport Infrastructure Reliability of police services 30 Quality of math and science education Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 16 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
17 Overall Competitiveness Improvement, BCI Value, 2007 High United States Finland Netherlands United Kingdom Canada Australia France New Zealand Sweden Japan Hong Kong Norway Korea Malaysia Italy Hungary Brazil Trinidad and Tobago Dominican Republic Spain Czech Republic Latvia Poland China Jamaica Tanzania Uganda Estonia India Thailand Lithuania Costa Rica Panama Kenya Romania Pakistan Peru Mali Turkey Sri Lanka Indonesia Honduras Guatemala Low Zambia Zimbabwe Nicaragua Bangladesh Chad Ecuador High-income Middle-income Low-income Below average Average Above average Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) Dynamism Score, Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
18 Wage Gap over Time Wage Gap, 2005* Norway Switzerland Wages above productivity level indicated by BCI Spain Belgium Ireland Denmark Netherlands Ecuador Paraguay Nicaragua Korea United Kingdom Canada Dominican Republic Australia Austria Sweden Poland El Salvador Germany Mexico Hungary Lithuania China Portugal Japan United States Finland Czech Rep. Wages rising more quickly India Chile Singapore than productivity growth indicated by BCI Hong Kong Taiwan -$6 -$4 -$2 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 Change in Wage Gap, * Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2007, ILO, US DOC. Note: Current wage gap is 2004 data when 2005 unavailable. Change in wage gap is for longest period available in Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
19 Context and Endowment Source: Global Competitiveness Report (2007) 19 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
20 Prosperity Potential and Sustainability BCI Value, 2007 Underperformance Overperformance Malaysia Germany Sweden Denmark Norway Korea New Zealand Finland United Kingdom France Israel United States Singapore Hong Kong Ireland Tunisia India Chile Indonesia Jordan Costa Rica Slovenia Spain Italy Greece Tanzania Gambia Colombia Russia Azerbaijan Argentina Mozambique Paraguay Bolivia Armenia High-income Middle-income Low-income -15,000-10,000-5, ,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2007 GAP (Actual Expected GDP per Capita), Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
21 Key Observations Sweden in the Global Competitiveness Report Sweden is back among the five most competitive countries in the world Improvements are driven by better rankings on business environment indicators, especially on administrative capacity Wages are still broadly in line with competitiveness However Given its microeconomic capacity and overall context, Sweden s prosperity should be higher than it currently is Long term dynamism in improving competitiveness remains below peers The upward pressure on wages is likely to erode Sweden s historical wage advantages 21 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
22 Implications for Swedish Policy Competent macroeconomic management is important, but not sufficient; Sweden needs a microeconomic strategy as well Slower growth rates in coming years create opportunities for adjustments of the tax system and government investments in addressing business environment weaknesses Sweden needs a visible discussion of the competitive advantages it intends to compete on in the future 22 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
23 Appendix 23 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
24 Figure A1: Wages versus Competitiveness, 2005 $15 $10 $5 $0 -$5 Wage advantage given competitiveness Wage gap over Time Deteriorating Stable Improving Wages higher than justified by competitiveness -$10 Hong Kong SAR Taiwan, China India Chile Singapore Czech Republic United States Finland Jordan Japan Portugal China Lithuania Mauritius Egypt Latvia Hungary Slovak Republic Costa Rica Botswana Colombia Mexico Sri Lanka El Salvador Slovenia Ukraine Bulgaria Romania Panama Israel Germany Poland Philippines New Zealand Dominican Republic Austria Sweden Australia Macedonia, FYR United Kingdom Korea Canada Paraguay Nicaragua Ecuador Denmark Ireland Netherlands Belgium Spain Norway Switzerland Estimated absolute gap in hourly wage in manufacturing, US-$, 2005 Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2007, ILO, US DOC. 24 Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
25 Figure A2: BCI Score and Rank Business Competitiveness Index Score Guyana Albania Argentina Burkina Faso Serbia Madagascar Tajikistan Kuwait Sri Lanka Mexico Greece China El Salvador Kenya Philippines Vietnam Thailand Netherlands Hong Kong Austria Korea Norway Taiwan Ireland Malaysia Estonia Tunisia Spain India Indonesia High-income Middle-income Low-income US Business Competitiveness Index Rank Source: Global Competitiveness Report Copyright 2007 Dr. Christian Ketels
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