PRESS RELEASE. End of Year Survey. Contact Details. For further details please contact:
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1 End of Year Survey PRESS RELEASE WIN-Gallup International Association December 30 th, 2012 Contact Details For further details please contact: Dr. Ijaz Shafi Gilani: Ms. Rushna Shahid: Irene Zuettel: Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: international.com GLOBAL BAROMETER OF HOPE AND HAPPINESS at year end 2012
2 GLOBAL ECONOMIC GLOOM SUBSIDING WORLDWIDE Globally Net Economic hope rises from -2% to 7%. Western Europe is slightly gloomier than at year end a year ago but North America is slightly less. Zurich, A global poll released on the eve of the new year conveys a hopeful message that economic gloom is subsiding worldwide and hopes on the economy have risen from - 2% to 7%; a rise of 9% from a year ago. The gloomy trend in Western Europe still faces challenges. On the other hand, in North America it appears to have declined, and is more hopeful than a year ago. The global survey was carried out by WIN-Gallup International Association, the world s largest independent network of opinion pollsters, in 54 countries, with more than 55,817 men and women, covering a vast majority of the world population. The network has conducted this annual poll since According to the WIN-Gallup International global barometer of hope and happiness, 35% of the world s population is hopeful about economic prospects in 2013, while 28% expect it to be worse; 29% expect no change from the previous year while 8% were unable to give an answer. Happiness with or without Economic Hope Notwithstanding views about economy, a majority of the world feels happy about their life. Responding to the question: As far as you are concerned, do you personally feel happy, unhappy or neither happy nor unhappy about your life? 53% said they felt happy; 13% said they felt unhappy; 32% felt neither way and the remaining 2% did not answer. The global barometer of Hope and Happiness shows that a large number of people refuse to be gloomy despite their poor view on economic prospects for their nation.
3 3 year Trend on hope about Economy Global economic hope was 2% on new year s eve in 2010; it declined to -2% in 2011 but has risen notably to 7% in This positive change is mainly due to resurgence of hope in India and China. In North America it has also improved from -25% to -12%. Nevertheless, Western Europe has slightly declined from -46% a year ago to -48%. Top 10 Most Hopeful Countries Net Hope on Economy Georgia 63% Azerbaijan 56% Brazil 45% Mozambique 42% China 32% Peru 31% India 27% Saudi Arabia 27% Philippines 25% Ecuador 24% Top 10 Most Gloomy Countries Net Hope on Economy Portugal -85% France -67% Lebanon -66% Belgium -64% Spain -59% Bosnia -53% Ireland -51% Germany -46% Poland -45% United Kingdom -41% Note: Net Hope on Economy is computed by deducting the optimists (hopeful about economic prospects in 2013) from the pessimistic (those who see greater economic difficulty)
4 Methodology: The global barometer of Hope is an annual tradition initiated by and designed under the chairmanship of Dr. George Gallup in It has been conducted every year since then. This year it was carried out by Members of WIN-Gallup International Association in 54 countries around the world. Sample Size and Mode of Field Work: A total of 55,817 persons were interviewed globally. In each country a national probability sample of around 1000 men and women was interviewed either face to face (31 countries; n=32,747), via telephone (10 countries; n=8,889) or online (14 countries; n=14,181). Details are attached. The field work was conducted between September-December, In general the error margin for surveys of this kind is +3-5% at 95% confidence level. The global average has been computed according to the share of the covered adult population of the surveyed countries. Commentary by Jean-Marc Leger, President WIN-Gallup International Association As global pollsters our task is to keep close watch on popular pulse. The latest measurement provides a feeling of relief. The overall economic hope has considerably improved. Gloom about the economy seems to be subsiding in North America. Economic hope is resurging in India and China. However, Western Europe still faces challenges with a slightly more pessimistic apprehension about the future of its economy. Today we live in an interdependent world and hopeful pulse in any part of the world is
5 a message of hope for all. With that message of hope we greet the world on the eve of this new year.
6 TABULAR REPORT
7 C O N T E N T Part A: Global Index of Hope on Economy Table A1: Table A2: Table A3: Table A4: Table A5: Country- wise Rank order by Net Score Region- wise Demographic Segments- wise Matrix Table A6.1: Comparative Data by countries (3 years) Table A6.2: Comparative Data Region- wise (3 years) Part B: Global Index of Happiness Table B1: Table B2: Table B3: Table B4: Table B5: Country- wise Rank order by Net Score Region- wise Demographic Segments- wise Matrix Table B6.1: Comparative Data by countries (2 years) Table B6.2: Comparative Data Region- wise (3 years) Part C: Methods Report Courtesy: The preparation of this Report and compilation of the trend data ( ) has been done by Gallup Pakistan as a public service to members of WIN- Gallup International Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). For further details see website: international.com
8 (PART A) WIN-Gallup International Global Index of HOPE ON ECONOMY At New Year Eve: 2013 Question: Compared to this year, in your opinion, will next year be a year of economic prosperity, economic difficulty or remain the same? Findings based on responses from ~ 50 countries covering all the continents. The interviews were conducted by leading pollsters across the world.
9 Table A1 COUNTRY WISE DATA (In alphabetical order) Question: Compared to this year, in your opinion, will next year be a year of economic prosperity, economic difficulty or remain the same? S # Countries Economic prosperity Economic difficulty Remain the same DK/NR Percent of Respondents Net Hope on Economy (1) (2) (3) (4) (1-2) Global Average Afghanistan Argentina Armenia Australia Austria Azerbaijan Belgium Bosnia and Herzegovina Brazil Bulgaria Cameroon Canada China Colombia Czech Republic Ecuador Finland France Georgia Germany Hong Kong Iceland India Iraq Ireland Italy Japan Kenya Korea, Rep (South) Lebanon Macedonia Malaysia Morocco Mozambique Pakistan Palestine Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Romania Russian Federation Saudi Arabia
10 44 Serbia Singapore Spain Sweden Switzerland Tunisia Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom United States Vietnam Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
11 Table A2 COUNTRY WISE DATA (Rank ordered by Net-Score) Question: Compared to this year, in your opinion, will next year be a year of economic prosperity, economic difficulty or remain the same? S # Countries Net Hope on Economy Global Average 7 1 Georgia 63 2 Azerbaijan 56 3 Brazil 45 4 Mozambique 42 5 China 32 6 Peru 31 7 India 27 8 Saudi Arabia 27 9 Philippines Ecuador Malaysia Morocco Cameroon Vietnam 7 15 Kenya 6 16 Pakistan 5 17 Colombia 2 18 Afghanistan 1 19 Iraq 0 20 Palestinian territories (West Bank and Gaza) United States Armenia Canada Argentina Turkey Macedonia Tunisia Singapore Bulgaria Australia Russian Federation Japan Korea, Rep (South) Sweden Hong Kong Ukraine Austria Switzerland Iceland Czech Republic - 32
12 41 Italy Romania Finland Serbia United Kingdom Poland Germany Ireland Bosnia and Herzegovina Spain Belgium Lebanon France Portugal - 85 Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
13 Table A3 REGION-WISE DATA Question: Compared to this year, in your opinion, will next year be a year of economic prosperity, economic difficulty or remain the same? Global Average Economic prosperity Economic difficulty Remain the same Do not know / No response Net Hope on Economy Regions North America Latin America Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa Arab World West Asia South Asia East Asia North Asia G United States of America Canada Germany France United Kingdom Italy Japan BRIC Brazil Russian Federation India China G United States Canada Brazil Argentina United Kingdom Germany France Italy Australia Russian Federation Saudi Arabia Turkey India China Japan Korea, Rep (South) Note: G20 is taken to be 19 countries, since 20 th entity is EU as an organization Legend for Regions: 1. North America: United States and Canada 2. Latin America: Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru 3. Western Europe: United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Austria, Belgium, Ireland, Switzerland, Portugal, Spain, Finland, Iceland, Sweden and Australia
14 4. Eastern Europe: Russian Federation, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Macedonia, Romania, Serbia, Czech Republic, Poland, Georgia and Ukraine 5. Africa: Mozambique, Kenya and Cameroon 6. Arab World: Palestine, Morocco, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and Tunisia 7. West Asia: Afghanistan, Turkey, Pakistan and Azerbaijan 8. South Asia: India 9. East Asia: Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Vietnam 10. North Asia: China, Japan, Korea, Rep (South) and Hong Kong Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
15 Table A4 DEMOGRAPHIC SEGMENTS- WISE WIN-Gallup International Association Question: Compared to this year, in your opinion, will next year be a year of economic prosperity, economic difficulty or remain the same? Economic prosperity Economic difficulty Remain the same DK/NR Net Hope on Economy Gender-wise Male Female Age-wise Under DK/NR Monthly Household Income-wise Low (Bottom quintile/20%) Medium low (Second quintile/20%) Medium (Third quintile/20%) Medium high (Fourth quintile/20%) High (Top quintile/20%) Refused/Don't know/no answer Education-wise No education/ only basic education Secondary school High level education (e.g. university) Completed higher level of education (Masters, PHD, etc.) Don t Know/No Response Employment Working full or part time (include self-employed) Unemployed Not working (student, housewife, etc.) Retired Refused/Do not know/no answer Living type Rural (less than 2000 inhabitants) Urban (2000+ inhabitants) Refused/Do not know/no answer Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
16 Table A 6.1 Comparative Data By Countries (3 Years) WIN-Gallup International Association Net Hope on Economy Net Hope on Economy Net Hope on Economy Global average Afghanistan Argentina Armenia Australia Austria Azerbaijan Belgium Bosnia and Herzegovina Brazil Bulgaria Cameroon Canada China Colombia Czech Republic Denmark Ecuador Egypt Fiji Finland France Georgia Germany Ghana Hong Kong Iceland India Iraq Ireland Italy Japan Kazakhstan Kenya Korea, Rep (South) Lebanon Lithuania Macedonia Malaysia Morocco Mozambique Pakistan Palestinian territories (West Bank and Gaza) Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Romania Russian Federation Saudi Arabia Serbia Singapore Spain Sweden
17 Switzerland Tunisia Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom United States Vietnam Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
18 Table A 6.2 Comparative Data Region- wise (3 Years) WIN-Gallup International Association Net Hope on Economy Net Hope on Economy Net Hope on Economy Global average North America Latin America Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa Arab World West Asia South Asia East Asia North Asia Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
19 (PART B) WIN-Gallup International Global Index of HAPPINESS At New Year Eve: 2013 Question: As far as you are concerned, do you personally feel happy, unhappy or neither happy nor un- happy about your life? Findings based on responses from ~ 50 countries covering all the continents. The interviews were conducted by leading pollsters across the world.
20 Table B1 NET HAPPINESS FOR 2013 Country- wise Data Question: As far as you are concerned, do you personally feel happy, unhappy or neither happy nor un-happy about your life? S # Countries Happy Unhappy Neither happy nor unhappy DK / NR Percent of Respondents Net Happiness (1) (2) (3) (4) (1-2) Global Average Afghanistan Argentina Armenia Australia Austria Azerbaijan Belgium Bosnia and Herzegovina Brazil Bulgaria Cameroon Canada China Colombia Czech Republic Ecuador Finland France Georgia Germany Hong Kong Iceland India Iraq Ireland Italy Japan Kenya Korea, Rep (South) Lebanon Macedonia Malaysia Morocco Mozambique
21 35 Pakistan Palestine Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Romania Russian Federation Saudi Arabia Serbia Singapore Spain Sweden Switzerland Tunisia Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom United States Vietnam Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
22 Table B2 COUNTRY WISE DATA (Rank ordered by Net-Score) Question: As far as you are concerned, do you personally feel happy, unhappy or neither happy nor un-happy about your life? S # Countries Net Happiness Global average 40 1 Colombia 75 2 Malaysia 74 3 Brazil 74 4 Saudi Arabia 72 5 Philippines 69 6 Finland 68 7 Azerbaijan 66 8 Peru 63 9 Switzerland Iceland Ecuador Argentina Spain Japan Georgia Singapore Austria Canada Armenia Sweden Kenya India Bosnia and Herzegovina Korea, Rep (South) Belgium Australia Mozambique Afghanistan Germany France United States Macedonia Russian Federation Cameroon Bulgaria China Ukraine United Kingdom Hong Kong 25
23 40 Pakistan Vietnam Morocco Turkey Czech Republic Italy Serbia Poland Ireland Tunisia Portugal 8 51 Iraq 5 52 Romania Palestinian territories (West Bank and Gaza) Lebanon - 49 Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
24 Table B3 Region- wise Happy Unhappy Neither happy nor unhappy DK / NR Net Happiness All Regions North America Latin America Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa Arab World West Asia South Asia East Asia North Asia G United States of America Canada Germany France United Kingdom Italy Japan BRIC Brazil Russian Federation India China G United States Canada Brazil Argentina United Kingdom Germany France Italy Australia Russian Federation Saudi Arabia Turkey India China Japan Korea, Rep (South) Note: G20 is taken to be 19 countries, since 20 th entity is EU as an organization Legend for Regions: 1. North America: United States and Canada 2. Latin America: Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru 3. Western Europe: United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Austria, Belgium, Ireland, Switzerland, Portugal, Spain, Finland, Iceland, Sweden and Australia 4. Eastern Europe: Russian Federation, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Macedonia, Romania, Serbia, Czech Republic, Poland, Georgia and Ukraine 5. Africa: Mozambique, Kenya and Cameroon
25 6. Arab World: Palestine, Morocco, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and Tunisia 7. West Asia: Afghanistan, Turkey, Pakistan and Azerbaijan 8. South Asia: India 9. East Asia: Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Vietnam 10. North Asia: China, Japan, Korea, Rep (South) and Hong Kong WIN-Gallup International Association Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
26 Table B4 DEMOGRAPHIC SEGMENTS- WISE Question: As far as you are concerned, do you personally feel happy, unhappy or neither happy nor un-happy about your life? Happy Unhappy Neither happy nor unhappy Do not know / no response Net Happiness Gender-wise Male Female Age-wise Under DK/NR Monthly Household Income-wise Low (Bottom quintile/20%) Medium low (Second quintile/20%) Medium (Third quintile/20%) Medium high (Fourth quintile/20%) High (Top quintile/20%) Refused/Don't know/no answer Education-wise No education/ only basic education Secondary school High level education (e.g. university) Completed higher level of education (Masters, PHD, etc.) Don t Know/No Response Employment Working full or part time (include self-employed) Unemployed Not working (student, housewife, etc.) Retired Refused/Do not know/no answer Living type Rural (less than 2000 inhabitants)
27 Urban (2000+ inhabitants) Refused/Do not know/no answer Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
28 Table B 6.1 Comparative Data By Countries (2 Years) Net Happiness Net Happiness Global Average Afghanistan Argentina Armenia Australia Austria Azerbaijan Belgium Bosnia and Herzegovina Brazil Bulgaria Cameroon Canada China Colombia Czech Republic Ecuador Finland France Georgia 0 50 Germany Hong Kong Iceland India Iraq 19 5 Ireland Italy Japan Kenya Korea Lebanon Macedonia Malaysia Pakistan Palestine 7-11
29 Peru Romania Russian Federation Saudi Arabia Serbia 8 21 Spain Sweden Switzerland Tunisia Turkey Ukraine United States of America Vietnam Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
30 Table B 6.2 Comparative Data Region- wise (3 Years) WIN-Gallup International Association Net Happiness Net Happiness Global average North America Latin America Western Europe Eastern Europe Africa Arab World West Asia South Asia East Asia North Asia Source: Annual Global Index of Hope and Happiness conducted by affiliates of WIN-Gallup International Association. For further details see website: international.com
31 METHODOLOGY WIN-Gallup International Association
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