Corn & Soybeans. Corn (source WASDE) Soybeans (source WASDE) Corn and Soybeans prices (Source CME) Price connections (Clal s processing)

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1 Corn & Soybeans Corn (source WASDE) Estimate for the Season Global and US outlook % of World Production and Exports Soybeans (source WASDE) Estimate for the Season Global and US outlook % of World Production and Exports Corn and Soybeans prices (Source CME) Price connections (Clal s processing) MAY 2015 Focus on Italy (Milan Chamber of Commerce)

2 CORN Estimate for Season Global Corn supplies for (new marketing year starting September 1 st ) are projected at Mio t (-0.6% from ; -0.1% from ). Declines in Corn production are also expected for the U.S, EU, Brazil, Ukraine and Mexico. Corn production is expected higher for China, South Africa, India, Canada, Russia and Argentina. U.S. Corn production is projected at Mio t, with a lower forecast area and yield. The U.S. Corn yield is projected at bushels per acre ( = tons/hectare), bushels from More competitive prices and growth in world demand support gains in U.S. exports for , but large foreign supplies limit growth in the U.S. share of global trade. Corn used to produce ethanol in is expected to be unchanged on the year, while Corn ending stocks are projected lower both in the U.S. (-5.7%) and globally (-0.3%). Source: USDA FAS Foreign Agricultural Service, May WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates)

3 CORN Global and US outlook: Estimate for the Season Million tons From Beginning stocks % Production % Total use % Ending stocks % Billion bushels Million tons From Beginning stocks % Production % Total use % Export % Ending stocks % CORN conversion factors 1 bushel = metric ton 1 metric ton = bushel Price projection 3,50 $/bushel 138 $/ton 121 /ton ,65 $/bushel 144 $/ton 126 /ton Source: USDA FAS Foreign Agricultural Service, May WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates)

4 CORN Global outlook: Major Exporters and Importers

5 CORN Global outlook: Production and Exports Fonte: USDA FAS Foreign Agricultural Service, May WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates)

6 SOYBEANS Estimate for Season Global Soybean production for (new marketing year starting October 1 st ) is projected at Mio t, unchanged from and +12% from Gains for Brazil, India, Paraguay and Ukraine are offset by reductions for the United States, Argentina and China. The Soybean U.S. yield is projected at a trend level of 46 bushels per acre, bushels from last year s record. The Argentina Soybean crop is projected lower with lower yields. China Soybean production is projected lower as producers shift to more profitable crops. Competition from record supplies in South America is expected to limit U.S. exports during the first half of the marketing year. China Soybean imports are projected at 77.5 Mio t, +5.4% from and +10.1% from Source: USDA FAS Foreign Agricultural Service, May WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates)

7 SOYBEANS Global and US outlook: Estimate for the Season Million tons From Beginning stocks % Production % Total use % Ending stocks % Billion bushels Million tons From Beginning stocks % Production % Total use % Export % Ending stocks % SOYBEANS conversion factors 1 bushel = metric ton 1 metric ton = bushel Price projection 9.00 $/bushel 331 $/ton 291 /ton $/bushel 369 $/ton 324 /ton Source: USDA FAS Foreign Agricultural Service, May WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates)

8 SOYBEANS Global outlook: Major Exporters and Importers

9 SOYBEANS Global outlook: Production and Exports Fonte: USDA FAS Foreign Agricultural Service, May WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates)

10 Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Corn prices $ / bushel Corn price trend as listed by the CME of Chicago: Update: 2015, May 19 th

11 Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Soybean prices $ / bushel Soybean price trend as listed by the CME of Chicago: Update: 2015, May 19 th

12 Agricultural and Energy Inputs Correlations US Price comparison: Corn, Soybeans, Wheat and Farm-gate milk price US Farm-gate milk price March $ / Cwt. per lb. Update: 2015, May 19 th

13 Agricultural and Energy Inputs Correlations Price comparison: Corn (Italy), Soy flour (Italy) and Crude Oil (US) Crude Oil USA $ / bbl Update: 2015, May 19 th

14 Focus on Italy Corn and Soy prices National Corn and Soy prices as listed by the Milan Chamber of Commerce, in comparison with the Farm-gate milk price: Italian Corn: /ton (-7 from last month) Italian Soy flour: /ton (-40 from last month) Farm-gate milk Italy (Lombardy) March / 100 lt Update: 2015, May 19 th

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