Domestic Freight Transport Services
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1 Domestic Freight Transport Services Summary The domestic freight transportation industry is estimated to grow at a CAGR of per cent, from Rs 1,932 billion currently to Rs 3,386 billion by , mainly driven by gradual revival in economic and industrial activities. Roads are expected to continue to dominate the industry with an increasing presence in non-bulk transportation, while rail is expected to continue dominance in the bulk segment. Modal share is influenced by freight cost, impact of increase in firstmile/last-mile cost, changes in lead distances and infrastructure. As these costs are expected to increase at a far higher rate than freight rates, multiple handling is expected to influence shift towards roads over the medium term. Annual Review February 2010 Contents Part A: Multiple modal handling to influence shift towards roads Executive summary A-1 Demand review and outlook A-3 Influence of multiple handling on modal behaviour A-13 Transporter s profitability and risks A-35 Railways A-41 Part B: State of the industry Industry structure B-5 Freight rates B-13 Infrastructure investments B-21 Regulations B-25 Part C: Industry statistics Player profiles C-1 This document has been prepared by Pallavi Joshi, Hemal Thakkar, Hetal C Gandhi and Manoj Mohta (Head of Research). For any queries please get in touch with our client servicing desk. (clientservicing@crisil.com. Ph )
2 Opinion Sections Executive summary A-1 A Influence of multiple handling on modal behaviour A-13 - Fertilisers A-15 - Coal A-17 - Cement A-20 - Foodgrains A-23 - Steel A-26 - Iron ore A-28 - POL A-31 - POL: Pipelines to gain share A Transporter s profitability and risks A-35 A-41 Boxes 01 Methodology for determination of bulk and non-bulk road freight rates A-9 02 Framework for determination of freight movement A Transporter s profitability and risks 01 Structure of road transport industry A Regulatory framework A Key regulations and policies A Framework of analysis for total freight movement A Influence of multiple handling on modal behaviour 01 Influence of multiple handling on modal behaviour A Fertilisers: Value chain analysis A Coal: Value chain analysis ( ) A Cement value chain analysis ( ) A-21 Continued A-i
3 continued 05 Foodgrains Value chain analysis FCI ( ) A Value chain analysis of foodgrains (smaller players) ( ) A Steel: Value chain analysis of ( ) A Iron ore: Value chain analysis for large players ( ) A Iron ore: Value chain analysis for smaller players ( ) A Cost as a percentage of total transportation cost (Crude) A Value chain analysis (Refineries) A Transporter s profitability and risks 01 Framework to gauge impact of variables on transporter profitability A Dedicated freight corridor the potential game changer for railways A-50 Figures 01 Bulk BTKM and macroeconomic trends A-5 02 Non-bulk and consumption expenditure A-5 03 Macroeconomic trends A-6 04 Primary BTKM growth A to CAGR for major bulk commodities A to CAGR for major non-bulk commodities A-6 07 Modal share in total BTKM A-7 08 Modal share (Non-bulk) A-7 09 Modal share (Bulk) A Influence of multiple handling on modal behaviour 01 Cost break-up A Fertiliser freight rates (Road vs rail) A Fertilisers: Modal share (% of BTKM) A Coal Modal cost structure A Cost break-up A Coal freight rates (Road vs rail) A Cement: Modal share (% of BTKM) A Cost break-up A Freight rates (Road vs rail) A-23 continued A-ii
4 continued Figures 10 Foodgrains: Modal share (% of BTKM) A Cost break-up A Foodgrains freight rates (Road vs rail) A Steel: Modal cost structure A Iron & steel freight rates (Road vs rail) A Iron & steel: Modal share (% of BTKM) A Iron ore: Modal cost structure A Iron ore freight rates (Road vs rail) A Iron ore: Modal share (% ofbtkm) A POL Modal cost structure A POL freight rates A POL Modal share (% of BTKM) A Transporter s profitability and risks 01 Freight rates and diesel prices A IIP versus railway freight movement A Commodity composition of rail freight traffic ( ) A Break-up of projected public private investment (Rs Bn) A-47 Tables 01 Railways capacity utilisation A Influence of multiple handling on modal behaviour 01 Domination by large transport operators A LFO profitability A Railways capacity utilisation A Railways' performance - Key statistics A Tenth and Eleventh Plan outlay comparison A Requirement of rolling stock A-45 A-iii
5 State of the industry Sections Boxes 1.0 Industry structure B-5 - Domestic freight transportation service B-1 - Industry participants in road freight transportation sector B-2 - Industry participants in road freight transportation B-2 - Ownership structure B-3 B Infrastructure investments B-21 - Overview of road development in India B-21 - Sluggish development of road infrastructure B-21 - National Highway Development Programme (NHDP) B-21 - Details of various projects carried out by NHDP B-22 - Funding pattern B Regulations B-25 - Motor vehicles Act 1988 B-25 - The Motor Transport Workers Act, 1961 B-28 - The Carriers Act, 1865 B-29 - The Carriage by the Road Act, 2007 B Freight agreement B Regulations 01 Presumptive taxation Section 44 AE of Income Tax Act, 1961 B Industry structure 01 Industry classification B-1 02 Industry structure B-2 03 Attachment of trucks B-6 04 Role of brokers B-9 05 Role of booking agents B Booking agent uses own fleet for transportation B Booking agent uses attached fleet for transportation B Booking agent uses a broker to hire vehicles for transportation B Role of user/consignor B-12 Continued B-i
6 continued 01 Freight rate determinants B Freight charging mechanism B Regulations 01 Regulatory framework for a transport operator B Regulatory bottlenecks in route B-31 Figures 1.0 Industry structure 01 Credit offtake in CVs B-5 Tables 01 Truck load freight rates charged in various countries B Domination by large fleet transporters B Trends in freight rates and diesel prices B High percentage of commercial vehicle finance B Trend in freight rates B Industry structure 01 Trends in truck ownership pattern B-3 02 Distribution of truck fleet sizes for developed countries B-5 03 Domination by large transport operators B-7 04 Domination by large transport operators in medium and long haul B-8 01 Freight transaction balanced between spot and contract B Other factors influencing freight rate determination B Infrastructure investments 01 Status of NHDP and other NHAI projects as on December 31, 2009 B Projected investment in roads sector (Rs billion) B Regulations 01 Emission norms for heavy vehicles (GVW>3.5 tonnes) B Maximum allowable load limits B Motor Vehicle Tax on Trucks (as on ) B-31 B-ii
7 Industry statistics Sections 1.0 Player profiles C-1 - Delhi Assam Roadways Corporation Ltd C-1 - Gati Ltd C-2 - Patel Integrated Logistics Ltd C-4 - Reliance Logistics Ltd C-6 - Transport Corporation of India Ltd C-8 - VRL Logistics Ltd C-10 - Balurghat Technologies Ltd C-12 - Chartered Logistics Ltd C-13 - Coastal Roadways Ltd C-15 - Frontline Corporation Ltd C-16 Tables 1.0 Player profiles 01 Delhi Assam Roadways Corporation Ltd. (DARCL) Financial performance C-2 02 Gati Ltd Financial performance C-3 03 Gati Ltd Share holding pattern C-4 04 Patel Integrated Logistics Ltd Financial performance C-5 05 Patel Integrated Logistics Ltd Share holding pattern C-6 06 Reliance Logistics Ltd Financial performance C-7 07 Transport Corporation of India Ltd Financial performance C-9 08 Transport Corporation of India Ltd Share holding pattern C VRL Logistics Ltd Financial Performance C Balurghat Technologies Ltd Financial performance C Balurghat Technologies Ltd Shareholding Pattern C Chartered Logistics Ltd Financial performance C Chartered Logistics Ltd Share holding pattern C Coastal Roadways (CRL) Financial performance C Coastal Roadways (CRL) Share holding pattern C Frontline Corporation Ltd (FCL) Financial performance C Frontline Corporation Ltd (FCL) Share holding pattern C-18 C-i
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