Potentials and Challenges for the Dairy Sector in Russia

Transcription

1 Potentials and Challenges for the Dairy Sector in Russia November 12, 2014 Hannover

2 Achievement Indicators of the Food Security Doctrine of the Russian Federation target value of the Food Security Doctrine of the Russian Federation In 2013 (the ratio of Russian food production in the total volume of commodity resources, including carry-over stocks) Milk 2

3 Dynamics of milk production for the years by category farms, mil. tonnes Over the past 5 years, milk production in the agricultural organizations (AO) decreased by thousand tonnes or 1.4% compared to 2008, in private households - by 2.1 million tonnes, or 12.3%, in peasant farm holdings (private entrepreneurs), it increased by thousand tonnes or 30.8%. It is estimated that milk production in 2016 will be increased by thousand tonnes or 6.4% compared to 2013 in agricultural organizations; by thousand tonnes or 9.0% in peasant farm holdings (private entrepreneurs) and will be reduced by thousand tonnes or 5.8% in private households (PH). 35,0 30,0 25,0 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 0,0 1,4 16,7 14,3 1,4 1,5 1,5 1,7 16,7 16,1 15,7 15,3 14,7 14,0 14,0 13,8 14,5 14,3 14,4 14,8 14,1 14,3 14,6 14,9 2008г. 2009г. 2010г г г. 2013г. 2014г. 2015г. 2016г. (estimation) (оценка) (прогноз) (forecast) (прогноз) (forecast) 1,8 СХО AO ХН PH КФХ PFH (ИП) (PE) 1,9 1,9 2,0 3

4 Dynamics of milk production for the years, mil. of tonnes Over the past 5 years, milk production decreased by 1.8 mln. of tonnes, or 5.7% compared to 2008 and amounted to mln. of tonnes. It is estimated that milk production will correspond to 30,740,000 tonnes in 2016, which is 210 thousand of tonnes or 0.7% above the level of the year ,0 30,0 32,36 32,57 31,85 31,65 31,76 30,53 30,22 30,50 30,74 20,0 10,0-5,7% or by 1,8 mln. of tonnes +0,7% or by 210 ths of tonnes 0,0 2008г. 2009г. 2010г. 2011г. 2012г. 2013г. 2014г. 2015г. 2016г. (estimation) (оценка) (прогноз) (forecast) (прогноз) (forecast) 4

5 Dynamics of production and consumption of milk and dairy products per capita for the years , kg г. 2009г г г г г г. (estimation) (оценка) г. (forecast) (прогноз) г. (forecast) (прогноз) Производство milk production молока per на capita, душу kgнаселения, кг Потребление milk and diary молока products и молокопродуктов consumption per на capita, душу населения, kg кг Рекомендуемая recommended норма dietary (340 allowance кг в год (340 на человека) kg/year per capita) 5

6 Dynamics of the milk yield per cow in the agricultural organizations, kilogram The growth for 5 years- 627 kg or 16,1%

7 The ratio of high quality milk for ,%

8 Dynamics of changes in the level of profitability of sold milk in the Russian Federation (without industrial processing),% 25,0 20,0 15,0 17,8 18,6 15,3 11,8 14,4 10,0 5,0 4,0 0, г г г г г г. 8

9 The volume of government support for dairy cattle breeding from the federal budget, mln. rubles (estimation) (forecast) (forecast) (plan) subsidies per 1 liter of milk sold economically significant regional programs subsidies for investment programs preservation of breeding stock support of livestock breeding 9

10 New types of subsidies for dairy cattle breeding from the federal budget (as from 2015), mln. rubles год 2016 год год Субсидии Subsidies на идентификацию for the breeding маточного stock поголовья identification Субсидии Subsidies на развитие for the breeding СГЦ center development Субсидии Subsidies на возмещение for the recovery капитальных of capital затратoutlay 10

11 Dynamics of new and upgraded facilities and volume of additional milk production During the years , 1579 objects of dairy cattle breeding were implemented, renovated and modernized. In 2014, 616 investment projects were selected for subsidizing from the federal budget, with the volume of milk production of 730 thousand tonnes г г г г г г г.* number of new and upgraded facilities Количество новых, реконструированных и модернизированных объектов, единиц total production of milk produced by commissioning new Общий объем производства молока, полученный за счет ввода новых объектов, реконструкции facilities, renovation и модернизации and modernization объектов, тыс. тонн * number количество of recommended рекомендованных objects, объектов, which were отобранных selected for к субсидированию subsidizing from the из federal ФБ budget 11

12 Milk production Stud farms Milk yield, kg % fat % protein Commercial farms % fat % protein 12

13 Cow breed composition 23 cow породы breeds Black and White Simmental Holstein Holmogorian Red and White others 13

14 The milk yield by cow breeds Controllable livestock, 2013 Leading breeds Milk yield, kg Fat, % Protein, % Ayrshire ,08 3,30 Simmental ,01 3,20 Black and White ,91 3,13 Holstein ,84 3,22 Brown Swiss ,06 3,28 14

15 Best practice examples in 2013 Breed Name of the organization Milk yield, kg Milk fat, % Milk protein, % Over 305 days of the last completed lactation Ayrshire OAO PZ «Novoladozhskij» Leninrad Region ,99 3,48 Simmental ZAO «Kirov stud farm» Rostov Region ,02 3,55 Black and White Holstein Brown Swiss ZAO PZ«Rabititsy» Leningrad Region OAO «Rodina» Krasnodar Krai ООО «Vera» Rostov Region ,86 3, ,66 3, ,90 3,58 15

16 Breeding Centers in the dairy cattle breeding 3 Breeding Centers are planned: 1 large-scale selection center 1- center for breeding and transfer of cattle embryos of black-white (holstein) breeds 1 - center for breeding and transfer of cattle embryos of red, dun-colored and brown cattle breeds 16

17 Thank you for your attention! Vladimir Labinov Head of the Department of Animal Husbandry and Breeding, tel. 8- (499) ;