Storm Weather Center AS
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1 Storm Weather Center AS Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director Bergen Oslo Stavanger Stockholm Copenhagen Aberdeen
2 Company Presentation Existing products/services Main Challenges
3 A SNAPSHOT History & facts -Founded in 1997, official start in Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2 - Worldwide operations in the Renewables, Offshore and Media industries - Headquarters in Bergen, Norway - Owned by: - IDEKAPITAL AS: 38,6 % - TV 2 Invest AS: 38.6 % - Orkan Invest AS 8.1 % -Management/Employees: 14.7 % - Board and CEO - Erik Langaker, Axel Dahl, Siri M Kalvig, Endre Solem - CEO Kent Zehetner - 82 employees 8 offices - The group includes StormGeo AS, StormGeo Ltd, StormGeo Inc, - Seaware AB - Offices in Norway, UK, Sweden, Denmark, USA, Azerbaijan - Invested MNOK 100 in R&D over P&L since inception Invested MNOK 100 in R&D over P&L since inception - A leading weather services provider in Europe
4 Selected customers ries Industr Renewables Offshore Media Shipping Key Eve ents ustomers Selected cu First customer 1998 First trading service 1999 First Hydro service % wind market 2008 First offshore turbine 2008 Dogger Bank 2009 Bankable 2010 Inst Cap 1,5 GW 2010 First customer 1998 BP 2000 ExxonMobil Norway 2005 Statoil ASA 2005 Hydro AS 2006 Shell Europe 2009 Brazil & Oilspill 2010 First Customer 2001 Seaware Routing 2003 Seaware EnRoute 2006 Seaware EnRoute Live 2008 BG 2010 First customer 1998 WOD 2000 Weather Channel 2004 Sky Italy 24/ NTV MSNBC 2006 Aftonbladet & SVT 2008 Storm.no 2009
5 Competence, Innovation, Inspiration Aberdeen Oslo Bergen Baku Dublin København Houston Stockholm Stavanger
6 Company Presentation Existing products/services Main Challenges
7 From theory to weather foreasting 1946 Electronic Numerical Integrator And Computer: 40 FLOPS 2009 First numerical weather forecast 1950
8 Global Models ECMWF products global deg resolution km GFS model global 0.5 deg resolution European Centre for Medium Weather Forecasting Coupled Model System Air/Sea. Proven to have very high quality! Used as boundary conditions for regional and local scale StormGeo models. Local scale numerical modelling is strongly dependent on Initial Values!
9 The fundamental working tool: Numerical atmosph/wave prediction models Observations External Data Global Models km StormGeo State of the art inhouse modelling ARPS Local Regional Models 1-9 km Models 10m -1 km 100 m SAM SWAN 9 km SWAN 3 km SWAN 1 km WRF 9 km WRF 3 km WRF 1 km HIGH RES
10 Wind Energy Projecting an Planning Wind Energy O&M, installation and Operational Forecasting Net Production P99 P90 P75 P
11 StormGeo wind farm planning tool /screening Data extractor,, Virtual Wind Measurements WRF Hindcasts Long term climate Net production P99 P90 P75 P gy Production Annual Energy ERA Interim Park layout Park layout Wake Loss
12 Wind Power Production forecasting WRF model 1-9km Statistical layers Uncertainty Perfect hourly power forecasts
13 Weather Window, Criteria forecasting For Offshore Wind Installations/Operations
14 Thanet Wind Farm Project London Array Wind Farm Project Doggerbank, Havsul, Hywind, Sheringham Shoal etc Provision i of Met-Ocean Forecasting Services: Winds (extreme wind warnings) Weather Lightning (probability forecasts and high risk warnings) Wave (high wave warnings) - Additional wave forecasts from Route forecasting (fixed routes for habour to site transportation) Probability forecasting (1-15 days ahead) Long-term forecasting (30 days ahead) Weather sensitive tasks during construction: On and off-loading, Barge and vessel transportation of foundations and turbines, Foundation Installation Turbine Installation, Cable laying, Diving operations Final installation, construction and commissioning
15 Company Presentation Existing products/services Main Challenges Wakes Winds in the MBL Weather Windows for installation/construction
16 Wake Loss/Calculations
17 CFD - the effect of wakes OpenFoam Winds/waves modelling Key factors: Open source sharing competence efficient solvers - OpenFoam Changing weather in micro scale CFD approach profile information Ex: The wake loss is calculated for every time step of the whole hindcast period
18 Understanding the winds important to wind power production offshore - Air/Sea coupling Global models Initial and boundary conditions from EC ECMWF WRF 1 km SWAN 1 km U10, V10 zi /L air Roughness, z 0
19 RFF - Improved design criterias WRF - SWAN Atmosphere / Wave Coupling All aspects of offshore wind Global models turbines (design, placement, production) require accurate knowledge of how the waves and wind will affect the installations. Initial and boundary conditions from EC ECMWF A coupled atmosphere-ocean at fine scale is needed. WRF 1 km SWAN 1 km U10, V10 zi /L air Roughness, z 0
20 Understanding the winds important to wind power production offshore - Air/Sea coupling How does a non-flat sea affect the wind fields,,power production? A typical offshore wind picture. and installation/construction? and support/maintenance work? No waves - no wind!
21 Weather window for installation/construction
22 Aquired Seaware, ship engineers
23 R&D
24 Storm Weather Center AS Thank you for listening. Jostein Mælan, Bergen Oslo Stavanger Stockholm Copenhagen Aberdeen
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