Chapter 2 Financial markets
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1 Chapter Financial markets Hovedstyret desember,,,,,.a Exchange rates against USD Daily figures,,,,, JPY per USD (left-hand scale),, USD per euro (right-hand scale), jan jul jan jul jan jul, Source: EcoWin Hovedstyret desember
2 .b Nominal effective exchange rates A rising value denotes an appreciating exchange rate. January = Daily figures USD EUR jan jul jan jul jan jul Sources: EcoWin, ECB and Norges Bank Hovedstyret desember Hovedstyret desember.a Three-month money market rates Nominal interest rates. Daily figures - - NOK GBP EUR USD JPY - jan jul jan jul jan jul /Troll -
3 .b Yields on -year government bonds Effective rates. Daily figures US Germany Japan October-December jan jul jan jul jan jul Sources: Norges Bank and EcoWin Hovedstyret desember. Norges Bank's interest rates and short money market rates Nominal market rates. Daily figures Overnight rate -week rate Deposit rate -month rate jan jul jan jul jan jul Hovedstyret desember
4 - -. Interest rate differentials against NOK: NOK/EUR and NOK/ Main trading partners -month nominal rates. Daily figures NOK/main trading partners NOK/EUR jan mai sep jan mai sep Hovedstyret desember. Three-month forward rates Forward rate agreements (FRA rates)... September. October December.. Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Hovedstyret desember
5 . Three-month FRA rates January - December. Daily figures... December March June. September. Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov. Hovedstyret desember. Norges Bank's sight deposit rate, actual -month rates and FRA rates. -month rate.. Deposit rate.. FRA rates December. Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Hovedstyret desember
6 .a Forward rates in Norway Implied forward Norwegian short-term interest rates... October December September... Hovedstyret desember.b Forward rates in Norway, the US and Germany December Norway Germany US Hovedstyret desember
7 .c Differential between Norwegian and German forward rates... September..... October December.. Hovedstyret desember.d Differential between Norwegian and German -year forward rates Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Hovedstyret desember
8 ,. Yields on Norwegian government bonds Effective yields. Daily figures,, -year rate,,,,,, -year rate,, jan jul jan jul jan jul Hovedstyret desember,. Yield spreads on government bonds -year maturity. Daily figures. NOK/DEM.. NOK/GBP.. NOK/USD NOK/SEK. -. Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul -. Source: EcoWin Hovedstyret desember
9 Monthly figures. Exchange rates Index. Daily figures. January - December Import-weighted exchange rate, countries (=) Trade-weighted exchange rate (=) Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Hovedstyret desember. Nominal effective exchange rates A rising value denotes an appreciating currency January =. Monthly figures Norway * Australia New Zealand Canada * * The figure for December is the average so far in December Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Sources: Norges Bank and EcoWin Hovedstyret desember
10 . The oil price and the trade-weighted exchange rate index (TWI) Oil price (left-hand scale) TWI (right-hand scale) Hovedstyret desember. Krone exchange rate (TWI) and -month interest rate differential,,,, -month interest rate differential (left-hand scale),, TWI (right-hand scale), jan jul jan jul jan jul jan jul Hovedstyret desember
11 . Krone exchange rate (TWI) and global risk indicator (GRI) TWI (right-hand scale) GRI (left-hand scale) Hovedstyret desember. Implied volatility for NOK/EUR Annualised expected standard deviation. Per cent mth mth mth Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: EcoWin Hovedstyret desember
12 . Probability for the effective krone exchange rate Probability per. point.. Implied probability in one month.. NOK/EUR=% NOK/USD=% NOK/SEK=% NOK/GBP=%.. Hovedstyret desember. Credit indicator C (domestic sources) -month growth. Per cent - - C, adjusted - - C sep nov jan mar mai jul sep Hovedstyret desember
13 . C by borrower sector -month growth. Per cent Share of loan debt in October Households Non-fin. corp. Local governments Non-financial corporations Households Local governments - Sources: Norges Bank Hovedstyret desember -. Total credit C (Domestic and foreign sources) -month growth. Per cent C C mainland Norway Adjusted growth rates sep des mar jun sep Hovedstyret desember
14 . Money supply (M) -month growth. Per cent - - Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Hovedstyret desember. Movements of sub-indices on the Oslo Stock Exchange. Daily figures,..... Indexed,.. = Norway OSEBX Energy Financials Manufac. ICT Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Source: EcoWin * The ICT index is calculated as the average of the IT and telecom indices Hovedstyret desember
15 . Movements on international stock indices Daily figures,..... Indexed,.. = Wilshire,US FTSE,UK DAX,Germany Topix,Japan Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Source: EcoWin Hovedstyret desember. Yield spreads between government bonds and corporate bonds. Percentage points UK US Euro area Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Source: Datastream Hovedstyret desember
16 . Yield differentials against US government bonds Percentage points USD-denominated government bonds in emerging economies High-risk US corporate bonds Sources: Datastream and EcoWin Hovedstyret desember. Implied volatility of options on the S&P index Per cent Sources: EcoWin / CBOE Hovedstyret desember
Chapter 2 Financial markets
Chapter Financial markets Executive Board May....a Exchange rates against USD Daily figures.... JPY per USD (left-hand scale) USD per euro (right-hand scale).. Executive Board May. Source: EcoWin .b Nominal
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