SPACE WEATHER INTERPRETING THE WIND. Petra Vanlommel & Luciano Rodriguez

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Transcription:

SPACE WEATHER INTERPRETING THE WIND Petra Vanlommel & Luciano Rodriguez

THE SUN LOSES ENERGY Radiation Mass Particles

THE SUN LOSES ENERGY PHYSICAL REPHRASING Total Solar Irradiance Solar Wind Fast Particles

SPACE WEATHER Flares Plasma wolken Snelle zonnewind Proton storm

SPACE WEATHER Space weather describes the conditions in space that affect Earth and its technological systems. Space weather storms originate from the Sun and occur in space near Earth or in the Earth's atmosphere. These storms generally occur due to eruptions on the Sun known as solar flares, proton storms and the solar wind.

SPACE WEATHER Space weather describes the conditions in space that affect Earth and its technological systems. Space weather storms originate from the Sun and occur in space near Earth or in the Earth's atmosphere. These storms generally occur due to eruptions on the Sun known as solar flares, proton storms and the solar wind.

SPACE WEATHER Space weather describes the conditions in space that affect Earth and its technological systems. Space weather storms originate from the Sun and occur in space near Earth or in the Earth's atmosphere. These storms generally occur due to eruptions on the Sun known as solar flares, proton storms and the solar wind.

TIME TO ARRIVE ON EARTH Plasma wolken 8 minutes Flares Days Proton Hour storm Snelle zonnewind

FORECAST Flare Flares probability Perturbations Plasma wolken of the Geomagnetic Snelle zonnewind field Proton Probability storm

RELAX AND WATCH

OUR PROTECTION

Total Solar Irradiance Solar Wind Fast Particles

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS 4x 100x 200x 600x 1700x

CONSEQUENCES GIC Satellite operations, e.g. GNSS, drag, surface charging Radio communication Electrical power plants Aurora Malmö Blackout - Oct 30, 2004 About 50 000 customer were without electricity in Malmö, Sweden for 20-50 minutes First known power grid blackout due to GIC in Europe An overcurrent relay was too sensitive to the third harmonic of 50 hz. It has been replaced by a less sensitive relay later.

GLOBAL SOLAR DIPOLE Snelle wind Open magneetveld lijnen Snelle wind Gesloten veldlijnen Heliosferisch stroomvlak Trage wind Trage wind Snelle wind

LOCAL MAGNETIC FIELDS

LOCAL MAGNETIC FIELDS

SOLAR WIND

SLOW VERSUS FAST 250-400 High: ~10 Low: ~10 4 K, ~1eV Variable km/s Density, cm -3 Temperature Behavior 400-800 Low: ~3 High: ~10 5 K, ~10eV Stationary

SOLAR WIND - IN SITU

COORDINATE SYSTEM

IMF POLARITY for 400 km/s ϕ ~ 135 for 400 km/s ϕ ~ 315

EXTREME FAST ϕ = 90

EXTREME FAST ϕ = 0 ϕ = 360

RADIAL

RADIAL

RADIAL

RADIAL

VARIATIONS Non-eruptive Eruptive Coronal Hole Coronal Mass Ejection Sector Boundary Crossing

SECTOR BOUNDARY CROSSING

HELIOSPHERIC CURRENT SHEET Snelle wind Open magneetveld lijnen Snelle wind Gesloten veldlijnen Heliosferisch stroomvlak Trage wind Trage wind Snelle wind

BALLERINA SKIRT

MAGNETIC SECTORS Cravens, 1997

SEPT 10 - IN SITU: PHI

SEPT 10 - IN SITU - DENSITY

SEPT 10 - IN SITU - BZ

GEO EFFECTIVENESS

CORONAL HOLE

WHEN SLOW AND FAST MEET

Top View

IN SITU - CH IN A SCHEME

CORONAL HOLE Co-rotating structure Shock is present, usually behind 1AU Radial! No extra mass-flux

IN SITU

IN REAL LIFE

CME A new, discrete, bright white light feature in the coronograph field-of-view with a predominantly, radial outward velocity.

TRANSIENT - EXTRA MASS

STRUCTURE 1.Shock, if ICME is fast enough 2.Shocked sheath plasma compressed - heated - strong B - varying direction of B 3.Driver gas, i.e. ICME cool - steady strong B - large scale smooth field rotation - decreasing speed

PATH

Shock Short sheath High B Smooth rotation in Bz Decreasing speed

Shock Sheath High B Smooth rotation in Phi Decreasing speed Low T

THE WIND YESTERDAY

SOLAR SOURCE

CONTACT SIDC: sidc.be STCE News letter: stce.be petra.vanlommel@oma.be

INTERESTING stce.be/esww10

MI : SPACE WEATHER FOR ENGINEERS Focus on HF communication, Trans-ionospheric propagation, effects on GNSS signal precision http://www.stce.be/sw4e/, Nov 12-15, 2013, Leuven, Belgium