Richmond Regional Transit Vision Plan

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Richmond Regional Transit Vision Plan ADVISORY COMMIT TEE MEETING #2 DECEMBER 14, 2015

Richmond Regional Meeting Agenda 1. Welcome and Introductions 2. The Vision for Regional Transit a) Stakeholder and Public Input b) Visioning Exercise 3. Drivers of Transit Success a) Land Use b) Transit Propensity c) Ridership Modeling 4. What s Next?

Vision for Regional Transit PART 1

Richmond Regional November Public Meetings 3 Meetings: Main Street Station, New Bridge Baptist Church and John Tyler Community College Approximately 85 attendees total 71 filled out questionnaire 13 respondents via online survey

Richmond Regional Questionnaire Feedback Do you use transit? Yes: 25% No: 75% Why do you not use transit? No transit near destination (32%) No transit near home (30%) Service doesn t come often enough (21%) Service starts to late or ends too early (13%) Why do you think we need transit? Access to jobs, medical are, education (33%) Economic development and land value (19%) Managing congestion (14%) Improve Air Quality/Carbon Footprint (11%) Community Building/Socializing (9%)

Richmond Regional Questionnaire Feedback In 2040 transit will 14% Be a viable and comprehensive transportation option for the region. 11% Improve quality of life for metropolitan Richmond. 11% Provide transportation for all purposes (work, leisure, errands, etc.). 11% Connect to other cities, regions, and states through other transportation providers (Amtrak, other local transit agencies and authorities). 10% Serve as a ladder of opportunity for all residents of the region 9% Have reliable and dedicated funding. 9% Serve everyone in the region. 8% Be a unifying asset for the region. 7% Build social, human, and economic capital one stop at a time. 6% Reinforce walkability of neighborhoods. 4% Be a model of inter-jurisdictional cooperation.

Richmond Regional Qualitative Feedback Why does the region need transit? Access to Jobs and Services (39% of respondents) The Richmond metro area needs transit because it is vital to a vibrant community. It helps us all. It helps connect us to one another, to jobs, to commerce centers, to schools, to social services, to faith centers. To enable those trapped in the city to get jobs outside, to help those outside the city to get in for work, shopping, appointments. Economic Development (16% of respondents) Economic Development, community growth, access to jobs, access to services, all great cities have transit Community and Regional Identity (10% of respondents) Demonstrate how we are stronger and healthier when various localities work together. Connects people to their communities in a way cars don't. Demographic Change (8% of respondents) Our population is aging. We don't have good transit options for seniors, especially in suburbs.

Richmond Regional Public Vision Statement Input In 2040 transit will.... Provide access to jobs and services (26% of respondents) Connect city to counties, all people to the jobs, services, schools, & health care in the region Connect housing & jobs together Connect to all areas of the region (25% of respondents) Will be awesome, will offer convenience and choice, will connect us within and outside our region Reliably connect and mutually prosper the counties and embedded cities Be faster and more convenient (9% of respondents) Be a better, cheaper, more appealing, less stressful option than driving a car I'll never have to wait more than 15 minutes for a bus

Richmond Regional Where do you want to go? Common features are multimodal centers and activity centers Airport and train stations Major employment centers Major hospitals and higher education centers Will combine with results of GRTC survey Will discuss in more depth as we begin to craft alternatives

Visioning Exercise SEE WORKSHEET

Be a viable and comprehensive transportation option for the region. Vision Elements 4 2 Improve quality of life for metropolitan Richmond. Provide transportation for all purposes (work, leisure, errands, etc). 2 2 Connect to other cities, regions, and states through other transportation providers (Amtrak, other local transit agencies and authorities). Serve as a ladder of opportunity for all residents of the region. 2 4 Have reliable and dedicated funding. Serve everyone in the region. 1 0 Be a unifying asset for the region. Build social, human, and economic capital one stop at a time. 0 0 Reinforce walkability of neighborhoods. Be a model of inter-jurisdictional cooperation. Enable economic growth and community development while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Offer convenience and choice and connect us within our region and to destinations beyond. 1 2 3 1 0 0 Connect the city to the counties and people to jobs, services, schools and health care Be a quick, reliable and clean service that connects the entire region using buses and trains. Be seen as a benefit for all, even those who do not use it.

Richmond Regional Draft Vision Statements In 2040 transit will... Unify the Richmond region by providing quick, reliable, clean service that promotes economic growth, community development and quality of life by connecting people throughout the region to jobs, services, schools and healthcare and by serving as an opportunity for all residents. Be a comprehensive, inclusive multi-jurisdictional solution that is financially supported by elected officials to serve the needs and provide upward mobility options for all citizens.

Richmond Regional Draft Vision Statements In 2040 transit will... Be a viable and comprehensive transportation option for the region that serves a broad range of activities while being reliable, frequent and well funded. Be a viable and comprehensive transportation option for the region that improves quality of life for metro Richmond with reliable and dedicated funding that enhances economic growth and community development while reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Richmond Regional Draft Vision Statements In 2040 transit will... Be a fully accessible and comprehensive transportation option for the region that serves as a ladder of opportunity, enables economic growth and improves quality of life for all residents throughout metropolitan Richmond. Provide social, human and economic opportunities within our region and to destinations beyond and be seen as a benefit for all, even those who do not use it.

Drivers of Transit Success PART 3

Richmond Regional Drivers of Transit Demand What do we need to understand and examine in order to predict where transit will be successful? Land Use Socioeconomic characteristics Travel patterns Existing transit ridership Household trip-making Alternatives modes of travel

Land Use

What is the relationship between transportation, land use, and economic development?

What is transit supportive development? A mix of housing and commercial development Walkable neighborhoods Focused activity around transit stations Walkable Street in Bethesda, MD Mixed-Use Development in Dallas, TX

Why is transit supportive development important? Creates efficient conditions to walk, bike and take transit Boosts transit ridership and minimizes the impacts of traffic Provides a mix of housing, jobs, shopping and recreation Creates value for the public and private sectors Promotes a sense of community Green, Walkable Street in Los Angeles, CA Mixed-Use Development in Alexandria, VA

Priorities for creating transit-friendly places High quality transit works well where jobs, housing, and retail activities are close together. For a safe and comfortable pedestrian experience, streets can t be too wide, and sidewalks and crosswalks are important.

Development with active street life Santa Barbara, CA Albany, NY Chicago, IL Portland, OR

Development at a range of scales Kentlands, MD Fairfax, VA Washington, DC King Farm, MD

Example: Arlington, VA (MetroRail)

Example: Charlotte, NC (Light Rail)

Example: Cleveland, OH (Bus Rapid Transit)

DRPT Multimodal System Design Guidelines Statewide resource for planners, engineers, designers, policy and decision makers Approaches to support integrated land use and multimodal transportation planning Guidelines to optimize transit investments and reduce reliance on cars

DRPT Multimodal System Design Guidelines Analyze population and employment density as a means to understand transit options Engage stakeholders in discussion about density, urban design, and high-quality transit

Land Use Analysis Methodology

Richmond Regional New development at a range of scales

Richmond Regional

Transit Propensity

Richmond Regional Transit Propensity Used as a foundation for recommendations Identifies where in region there currently exists the highest propensity for transit Includes transit dependent populations and those that would use transit if convenient Includes five layers that can be combined: Transit oriented Commuter Employment Non-work Educational

Transit Oriented Index Richmond Regional Population Age Households Income Vehicle Ownership Category Measurement Source Total Population Population Density Total Seniors (>65 years old) Seniors Density Seniors Percent of Population Total Youth (<18 years old) Youth Density Youths Percent of Population Total Households Household Density Total Low-Income Households Percent Low-Income Low-Income Households Density Total Zero-Car Households Percent Zero-Car Households Zero-Car Household Density Total One-Car Households Percent One-Car Households One-Car Household Density 2009-2013 ACS 2009-2013 ACS 2009-2013 ACS 2009-2013 ACS 2009-2013 ACS Persons with Disabilities Total Disabled Persons Disabled Persons Density 2009-2013 ACS

Transit Oriented Index Richmond Regional

Commuter Index Richmond Regional Category Measurement Source Labor Force Size Labor Force Commute Mode Labor Force Density Employed Persons Employed Person Density Percent Employed Total Commuters Commuter Density Total Transit Commuters Percent Transit Commuters Transit Commuter Density 2009-2013 ACS 2009-2013 ACS

Employment Index Richmond Regional Category Measurement Source Employment Total Number of Employees Density of Employees 2013 Longitudinal Employer- Household Dynamics (LEHD)

Non-Work Index Richmond Regional Category Measurement Source Number of Restaurant/Retail Jobs Retail Restaurant/Retail Job Density Number of Recreation Jobs Recreation Job Density 2013 LEHD by NAICS Code Medical Number of Medical Jobs Medical Jobs Density 2013 LEHD by NAICS Code School Number of Educational Jobs Educational Jobs Density 2013 LEHD by NAICS Code

Education Index Richmond Regional Category Measurement Source Enrolled in College College/University Attendance Enrolled in College Density Enrolled in College Percent of Population 2009-2013 ACS Total College Age (18-24) College/University Age College Age (18-24) Density College Age (18-24) Percent of Population 2009-2013 ACS

Richmond Regional Transit Propensity + Model Data Aggregate model trip flows between TAZ s that relate to high propensity Understand total demand between high propensity areas Understand different types of demand between high propensity areas Peak/Off-Peak Mode Assists in developing more target recommendations All-day fixed route Commuter High capacity transit

Richmond Regional

Travel Forecasting

Richmond Regional Ridership Forecasting Richmond/Tri-Cities (RTC) Model Advanced practice four-step forecasting model Supports air quality analysis and project planning in the Richmond/Petersburg Metropolitan Area. Comprises 12 jurisdictions City of Richmond, Henrico County, Chesterfield County, Hanover County, New Kent County, Powhatan County, Prince George County, Charles City County, City of Colonial Heights, City of Hopewell, and City of Petersburg. Calibrated to local data using VDOT standards (VTM Policies and Procedures Manual) National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) Add On for Richmond MSA for overall travel GRTC On Board Survey for transit ridership VDOT counts for highway volumes INRIX data for highway speeds Replicates existing, measured observed conditions and responded appropriately to future horizon years and to network/policy changes. Updated GRTC transit system to represent Fall 2014 schedule

Richmond Regional Ridership Forecasting RTC Model mode choice procedures developed with FTA New Starts/Small Starts guidelines in mind Evaluate regional transit system configurations for up to three forecast years Key Results include: Region wide linked transit trips Route level boardings Route level boardings by transit-dependents (0-car households) Travel time saved/lost Numbers of transferring passengers versus one-seat passengers Impacts to route miles/vehicle miles Diversion from/diversions to automobile mode and impacts to vehicle miles of travel

What s Next PART 4

Richmond Regional Schedule Future Meetings Next Regional Forum in January Next Public Meetings in March

Questions Thank you for your time and your input to help us develop the Regional.