Polish Packaging Market The FMCG-world is moving to Poland so does the packaging industry Marek Kordylewski, Johannes Sailer, Florian Scharl Management Consulting Partners Krakow/Vienna, April 2012
Europe represents one third of the global packaging market, plastic is the main material World Packaging Market: $395.000.000.000 = 300.000.000.000 Global Packaging Market Europe Asia North America South and Central America Packaging Materials Global Paper+Board Plastic Glass Metal Other 27% 5% 34% 15% 3% 34% 11% 34% 37% Source: : Rexam, Packaging Unwrapped, 2012 2
5% of the European packaging production comes from Poland European Packaging Market: $135.000.000.000 = 102.000.000.000 European Packaging Market Germany Italy France Poland Others Packaging Materials in Europe Paper+Board Plastic Glass Metal Wood 40% 21% 8% 14% 6% 38% 20% 5% 14% 34% without Wood, Paper, Cardboard and Carton base material; only converting industry Source: Eurostat, Prodcom Database, 2012 3
Polish packaging industry: Strong growth in the past & still further growth to come driven by local consumption & FMCG companies moving to Poland Market Overview Market Development 6-15% market growth per year reflecting last 20 years Per capita packaging consumption: 157 European standard: 320 Current turnover of Polish packaging market: 6 billion Foreign investments into FMCG production gave a boost to the packaging market as well as investments into supermarket and hypermarket network >100% potential to catch up GNP growth rate 2010: 3,8% GNP growth of 1% => packaging market grows by 2% 2% of Polish GNP 1,4% of the global packaging market 6% 19% 5% 36% Paper+Board Plastic Glass Metal Wood 34% Source: Rynek Opakowań w Polsce, Polska Agencja Informacji i Inwestycji Zagranicznych SA, 2011; Eurostat, Prodcom Database, 2012 4
All major European players are acting on the Polish board and paper market Board and Paper Current value 1,9 bn 2011 growth above 2,0 bn Major players: Stora Enso Mondi Mayr-Melnhof corrugated cardboard is the specialty of Polish paper industry gap of consumption to western EU should be closed within the next 3 years 2 1,75 1,5 1,25 1 0,75 0,5 0,25 0 Board and Paper in bn 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Rynek Opakowań w Polsce, Polska Agencja Informacji i Inwestycji Zagranicznych SA, 2011 5
Plastic packaging is the dominating sector of Polish packaging industry Plastic Current value 2,1 bn 2011 exceeding 2,3 bn Major players: Greiner Alpla Paccor most dynamically growing sector highly fragmented and competitive grows much faster than in the old EU countries 2,25 2 1,75 1,5 1,25 1 0,75 0,5 0,25 0 Plastic in bn 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Rynek Opakowań w Polsce, Polska Agencja Informacji i Inwestycji Zagranicznych SA, 2011 6
The market share of glass packaging decreased from 14,5% in 2000 to 9,5% in 2006 Glass Current value 600 mn uncertain market development Major players: Owens-Illinois Ardagh Warta Glass fluctuating market environment => sinusoidal trend 580 560 540 Glass in mn being replaced by 520 lightweight packaging 500 mainly premium segments 480 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: Rynek Opakowań w Polsce, Polska Agencja Informacji i Inwestycji Zagranicznych SA, 2011 7
The market is mainly dominated by European players, although some national companies are highly influencing it Light Metal Current value 800 mn edging forward by 6% Major players: Can Pack Ball Packaging Crown Packaging 1000 Light Metal in mn metal packaging is being replaced by plastic packaging 800 600 consumption should continue to increase market share most likely decreases 400 200 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Rynek Opakowań w Polsce, Polska Agencja Informacji i Inwestycji Zagranicznych SA, 2011 8
Concentration on the production of wooden pallets: Vast majority of manufacturers are independent national companies Wood Current value 275 mn potential recapture of 300 mn Major players: Palletenwerk PalPol PPH Tor Pal uncertain market performance uninspired and by no means innovative sector 500 400 300 200 Wood in mn 100 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Rynek Opakowań w Polsce, Polska Agencja Informacji i Inwestycji Zagranicznych SA, 2011 9
Due to a steep increase in raw material prices in 2011 and a sound GDP growth, the Polish packaging market grew by 5 % Future trends Will the dynamic growth continue? Which segments will grow and which will decline? What are the major obstacles expected? Where are the opportunities? Will the expansion of production capacities be pushed on? Source: Poland's plastics industry eyes growth, European Plastics News, 2012 10
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