EBAA Regional Forum Istanbul 10-11 October 2013 Air Traffic and ATM Developments in Turkey Razvan Bucuroiu Head of Operations Planning Network Manager Directorate EUROCONTROL
IFR flights (Daily Average) Enroute Delay (minutes per flight) Traffic and Delay Evolution En route Ankara ACC LTAAACC - Traffic and en-route ATFM delays 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Peak Day Traffic 2113 2163 2336 2685 2445 Summer Traffic 1760 1803 1981 2186 2193 Yearly Traffic 1544 1600 1760 1914 1933 Summer Traffic Forecast 2282 2412 2539 2674 2933 High Traffic Forecast - Summer 2310 2455 2608 2764 3107 Low Traffic Forecast - Summer 2251 2355 2471 2583 2760 Summer enroute delay (all causes) 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 25% traffic growth between 2008-2012 Additional 4.5% between 2012-2013 2
IFR flights (Daily Average) Enroute Delay (minutes per flight) Traffic and Delay Evolution En Route Istanbul ACC LTBBACC - Traffic and en-route ATFM delays 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Peak Day Traffic 2270 2341 2623 2865 2821 Summer Traffic 1860 1943 2169 2375 2418 Yearly Traffic 1569 1655 1842 2003 2041 Summer Traffic Forecast 2516 2659 2799 2948 3234 High Traffic Forecast - Summer 2548 2708 2877 3049 3428 Low Traffic Forecast - Summer 2482 2596 2724 2847 3042 Summer enroute delay (all causes) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 30% traffic growth between 2008-2012 Additional 7% between 2012-2013 3
Traffic Evolution Turkey and Europe 2008-2012 Turkey 29.6% traffic growth between 2008-2012 From 822000 to 1066000 movements/year Europe -5.4% traffic decrease 4
Traffic Evolution 2004-2013 5
Traffic Evolution 2004-2013 6
Airport and Business Jets Traffic Evolution 2004-2013-Yr % CHG LTBA ATATURK 108.3% % YoY LTAI ANTALYA 85.2% % YoY LTFJ SABIHA GOKCEN 1521.9% % YoY LTAC ANKARA 65.5% % YoY LTBJ IZMIR 81.2% % YoY LTBS DALAMAN 37.2% % YoY LTFE BODRUM 99.0% % YoY 2004-2013 10-Yr CHG Business Jets Flights 172.9% % of Total % Change 7
Traffic Evolution Istanbul Ataturk Airport 12.8% traffic growth between 2011-2012 12.5% traffic growth between 2012-2013 80% reduction in delay between 2012-2013 Practically no delay as from Spring 2013 8
Regional Importance Approximately 10% of the traffic in the North African and Middle East areas operating also in the European airspace is traffic origin/destination Turkey 9
Regional Importance Approximately 20% of the traffic in Central Asia operating also in the European airspace is traffic origin/destination Turkey 10
Contribution of Turkey to European Traffic Growth 11
Medium Term Traffic Forecast Turkey is the highest generator of additional flights in the European airspace 12
Medium Term Traffic Forecast Turkey is the highest generator of additional flights in the European airspace 13
Medium Term Traffic Forecast 14
Medium Term Traffic Forecast 15
Operational Improvements in Turkey Evaluation of sector capacities for Antalya TMA results accepted and implemented; Evaluation of sector capacities for Istanbul TMA and parts of Istanbul ACC results accepted and implemented Evaluation of capacities of the new sectors for Ankara ACC Following new ATM System implementation and airspace re-organisation; Transition Plan for SMART and airspace transfer In preparation Very good cooperation on various airspace projects 31 packages of airspace improvements implemented between 2008-2012 as part of the European Route Network Improvement Plan of the Network Manager Real time simulations One executed in Autumn 2012 for Istanbul ACC/APP One planned for 2015 following the implementation of new Ankara ACC 16
Airspace Design Major airspace re-organisation project Implementation of free route airspace in the Turkish airspace, above FL 265/285 Takes into account implementation of the new ATM system SMART Takes into account the transfer of all airspace above FL235 to Ankara ACC Takes into account future Istanbul airport and the need to re-design Istanbul TMA 17
Turkey FRA Project Scope Service provision from central ACC New ATM system Accommodate new airports and major TMAs (e.g. Istanbul ) Accommodate traffic growth 18
Turkey FRA Project 19
Turkey FRA Project 20
Turkey FRA Project 21
Turkey FRA Project 22
Turkey FRA Project 23
Turkey FRA Project Step towards free route Free route scenario Identify main flows Build optimised route network below FL265/285 Build sectorisation free route ready 24
Turkey FRA Project Time scales End of Feb 2013 - full current airspace structure validation, including en-route and TMA; done through a close cooperation between the Network Manager and DHMI to ensure correct representation of the entire Turkish airspace; March 2013-Spring 2014 - detailed development of the Free Route Airspace airspace design and associated sectorisation 2014/2015 - real time simulation of the new airspace structure Spring 2015-Autumn 2015 - fine-tuning of the airspace design, airspace publication validation with the Network Manager, airspace structure testing in the Network Maanager systems Autumn/Winter 2015-2016 implementation Common DNM/DHMI Team Excellent cooperation 25
Conclusions Turkey is the highest traffic generator in Europe in real terms The outlook for the remaining part of this decade is optimistic Operational performance of Turkish airports has significantly improved Turkey is engaged in significant technical and operational improvements To meet the air traffic demand To maintain high operational performance New ATM system New operational concepts New Istanbul airport 26
EBAA Regional Forum Istanbul 10-11 October 2013 Air Traffic and ATM Developments in Turkey Razvan Bucuroiu Head of Operations Planning Network Manager Directorate EUROCONTROL