Mobile Access Evolution to LTE/4G Luís Muchacho Customer Solutions Radio
Impressive broadband growth Mobile broadband overtakes fixed Subscriptions (Millions) 2100 1800 1500 1200 900 600 300 0 Broadband subscription forecast 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Ovum RHK, Strategy Analytics & Internal Ericsson Fixed Mobile HSPA 70% Mobile Broadband includes: CDMA2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, Mobile WiMAX, Other Fixed broadband includes: DSL, FTTx, Cable modem, Enterprise leased lines and Wireless Broadband HSPA 70% of mobile broadband subscriptions 2012 Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 2
HSPA a global technology today 6000 Subscribers by technology HSPA coverage Reported Subscriptions (Millions) 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 3GSM family 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Analogue & Other Mobile WiMAX LTE TDMA GSM/GPRS/EDGE CDMA WCDMA/HSPA Source: Internal Ericsson Commercial HSPA networks HSPA network launch commitments Source: GSA Global mobile Suppliers Association: Jan 15, 2008 >170 commercial networks in more than 75 countries Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 3
> 400 HSPA enabled devices From over 80 suppliers 203 HSPA phones, media players, camera (50%) 161 PC with embedded HSPA, PC cards, USB modems (40%) 39 wireless routers (10%) *Commercially launched as of Jan 2008 5 times more devices and 3 times more suppliers in one year Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 4 Mobile Access Evolution to LTE/4G 2008-02-19
This is Broadband everywhere Mobile Broadband Full Mobility High Data Speeds Everywhere Coverage Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 5
Broadband everywhere adds value the ability to connect the Mobile workforce to the main office with a mobile PC is becoming a critical productivity factor for both private and public sector... EU Commission, June 2004 50% agrees on the statement Having high speed Internet everywhere is important to me ConsumerLab Internet Frontiers study 2007 Users quickly get used to everywhere access Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 6
HSPA enables new business Enterprise Business Effective Fleet Management Improved customer services Broadband on the move Attracts more passengers Preferred choice for longer rides Healthcare to all and everywhere Enhanced consultation service to patients Increased number of patients Mobile connectivity increases productiveness Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 7
HSPA enables cost effective broadband to all... Case Study: Telstra provided HSPA to 98% of pop in 10 months. HSPA 14/1.4 Mbps nation wide, up to 200km cell range Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 8
Radio evolution path LTE WCDMA HSPA HSPA Evolution GSM GPRS EDGE EDGE evolved 3GPP technologies Strongest evolution path Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 9
3GPP Standards Evolution High Speed Downlink Packet Access in Rel 5 Enhanced Uplink in Rel 6 High Speed Packet Access+ in Rel 7 e.g.: Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) Higher order modulation DL/UL Long Term Evolution in Rel 8 3GPP Rel 99/4 Rel 5 Rel 6 WCDMA HSDPA WCDMA Evolved Enhanced Uplink MBMS Rel 7 Rel 8 HSPA+ HSPA Evolved LTE LTE Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 10
HSPA Evolution Rel 5 Rel 7 Downlink 3.6 Mbps 64QAM 15 codes 14 Mbps 2x2 MIMO Rel 6 Uplink 0.384 Mbps 1.4 Mbps HSPA on the uplink 2 ms TTI 21 Mbps 28 Mbps Rel 8 Future candidates Both 42 Mbps Multi Carrier 4x4 MIMO Higher Modulation Combinations 80-160 Mbps Latency < 25 ms Higher Speed, Lower cost per GB 5.8 Mbps Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 11 16QAM 12 Mbps Multi Carrier 2x2 MIMO 23-40 Mbps
Driving forces behind LTE Spectrum flexibility: Use of new, re-farmed or unused spectrum FDD and TDD Variable channel bandwidth Performance: Higher peak rates Higher bandwidth Designed for always on applications from start Cost: IP-based flat Network Architecture (no circuit switched domain) Low OPEX Simpler operation with less to configure and higher degree of self configuration Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 12
3GPP LTE performance High data rates Downlink: >100 Mbps Uplink: >50 Mbps Low delay/latency User plane RTT: <10 ms Channel set-up: <100 ms High spectral efficiency High Performance Broadcast services Cost-effective migration Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 13
Key LTE radio access features LTE radio access Downlink: OFDM Uplink: SC-FDMA OFDMA SC-FDMA Advanced antenna solutions Diversity Multi-layer transmission (MIMO) Beam-forming TX TX Spectrum flexibility Flexible bandwidth (1,25 up to 20MHz) New and existing bands Duplex flexibility: FDD and TDD 1.4 MHz 20 MHz Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 14
Evolution of Packet Core Evolving towards a flat architecture Today 2007/2008 2009/2010 GGSN GGSN GGSN/SAE-GW SGSN SGSN SGSN/MME BSC BTS RNC Node B BSC BTS RNC Node B BSC BTS RNC Node B enode B GERAN UTRAN GERAN UTRAN GERAN UTRAN eutran Control plane User plane Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 15
Full Service Broadband Transforming the Network Service Layer Service Flexibility Access independence Flexibility in managing changes IMS/Service Control Multi Access Edge Wireline access Wireless access Telecom Management Cost optimization IP/Ethernet over any media Overlay technologies Transport Multiple device User and device mobility Service Flexibility Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 16
What is a Generation? 4G 4th Generation (WRC-07, ITU, global spectrum) IMT-Advanced 3G 3rd Generation (WARC-92 & WRC-2000, ITU, global spectrum) IMT-2000 (WCDMA/HSPA & cdma2000 EV-DO) Evolved 3G (LTE and EV-DO rev C) 2G 2nd Generation (1980 s, CEPT) GSM, PDC & cdmaone 1G 1st Generation (1970 s, national spectrum) NMT, AMPS & TACS A Generation is defined by a technology and spectrum harmonization event Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 17
IMT-Advanced - more bandwidth needed Increased voice traffic Increase in information based traffic New capable services require high data rates -> > need for an enhanced radio technology, providing yet higher peak data rates and shorter delays IMT-Advanced Goal: Goal: 50 50 --100 100 MHz MHz channels Speeds of of up up to to 1 Gbps Gbps IMT-Advanced cannot only be deployed within the current spectrum Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 18
Conclusions Demand for Mobile broadband HSPA, already a huge commercial success HSPA on par with fixed broadband and evolving (40-80Mbps) LTE for increased performance (>150Mb/s) and cost efficiency HSPA, 70% of mobile broadband subscriptions 2012 Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 19
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From standard to mass-market Business Case Timing 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 GSM standard published First proprietary WLAN (Aironet etc) GSM mass market adoption IEEE WLAN standard published WCDMA standard published WLAN Mass market 802.16-2004 published WCDMA mass market LTE published 802.16e-2005 published Regardless of technology, it takes ~6 years from standard to a widely adopted technology Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 21
GSM and 3G data evolution 1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years Incremental introduction of new standardized capabilities HSPA Evolved LTE HSPA GPRS WCDMA Peak rate Year 40 kbps 384 kbps 3.6 Mbps 28/42 Mbps >200 Mbps 1998 2002 2005 2008 2009 1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years Ericsson Telecomunicações, Lda 2008 Commercial in confidence 22
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