3G, 4G. Donde está la región americana?

Transcription

1 3G, 4G Donde está la región americana? FORO REGIONAL PARA LAS AMÉRICAS: SISTEMAS IMT TECNOLOGÍA, EVOLUCIÓN E IMPLEMENTACIÓN CIUDAD DE PANAMÁ, 18 a19 de AGOSTO, 2014

2 4G Americas Board of Governors

3 Latin America & Caribbean Mobile Technology Market Shares LTE 0.5% 4.2 Million HSPA 32% 232 Million iden 1% 7.5 Million 725 Million Total Mobile Connections CDMA 1% 9.8 Million GSM 65% 472 Million Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+, Aug 2014 Estimates

4 Change in Technology Market Shares in Latin America & Caribbean (2Q2013 v. 2Q2014) 75% % Market Share % 2Q Q 2014 Subscriptions (Millions) (Voice) 12% (Data) 33% M 470 M 236 M 149 M 12 M 10 M 11 M 7 M 0 GSM HSPA/LTE CDMA iden Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS, June 2014 Estimates

5 Changes in 3GPP Market Shares in Latin America & Caribbean (2Q2013 v. 2Q2014) Connections (Millions) Q GSM HSPA Q Q LTE Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, 2Q 2014 Estimates

6 LTE in Latin America & the Caribbean México Colombia Movistar Telcel UNE Claro Movistar Tigo Bolivia Entel, Tigo 700 MHz Brazil Chile Claro Nextel Oi ON* Sky Telecom* TIM VIVO Claro Entel 1800 MHz Movistar Ecuador CNT Mobile Paraguay Personal 1900 MHz VOX Peru Movistar Claro Uruguay Antel Claro *Indicates TDD networks (remainder FDD) Antigua & Barbuda Digicel* 700 MHz Aruba SETAR 1800 MHz Bahamas BTC 700 MHz Cayman Islands Costa Rica Dominican Republic Puerto Rico Virgin Islands C&W Lime Digicel* ICE/Kolbi Claro Movistar Claro Orange Dominicana Tricom AT&T Claro Open Mobile Sprint T-Mobile AT&T Sprint 44 Networks 18 Countries (as of 22 July 2014) 700 MHz 700 MHz 2600 MHz 1800 MHz 1800 MHZ 1800 MHz 1900 MHz 700 MHz 700 MHz 850/1900 MHz 1900 MHz Band (MHz) Networks Band(MHz) Networks / / Venezuela Digitel 1800 MHz (Sources: Public announcements, regulatory entities)

7 1,889 Total Devices in the Market LTE User Devices (Includes FDD and TDD) Cameras (1) PC Cards (1) Femto-cells Modules (13) Notebooks (133) (31) Tablets (175) Dongles (187) Routers/ Personal Hotspots (513) Smartphones (835) Source: Global mobile Suppliers Association, July

8 LTE Devices per Band LTE FDD Frequency Band Devices 1800 MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band /1800/2600 Tri-band 413 AWS Band MHz Bands 12, MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band APT700 Band Source: Global mobile Suppliers Association, July 2014 LTE TDD Frequency Band Devices 2300 MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band MHz Band 42,

9 Latin America & Caribbean Mobile Technology Forecast Millions Million 62% 36% Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 14% 75% 11% Dec Million GSM HSPA LTE CDMA Others Others = iden, TDMA & Analog Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+, Aug 2014 Estimates

10 9X Increase in Mobile Data Usage in Latin America Mobile Data Growth by Device Type Smartphone Mobile PC/Router/Tablet From 53 petabytes to 463 petabytes monthly, the majority from smartphones Petabytes per month Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, Nov

11 FROM 2020 MOBILE NETWORKS NEED TO BE READY TO COPE WITH THE 1000X DATA CHALLENGE Assumptions Realistic traffic increase modeling (M2M/IoT traffic not considered) 10,000 Traffic volume per subscriber +50% per year +25% per year 1, x Total subscriber base +10% per year Mobile broadband penetration reaching 100% by Source: NSN, October

12 INCREASING SUPPORT & CAPACITY UP TO 1000x

13 EDGE Technology Evolution To LTE- EVOLVED EDGE DL: 1.89 Mbps UL: 947 kbps Advanced HSPA REL 9 HSPA+ DL: 84 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 10/10 MHz REL 10 HSPA+ DL: 168 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 20/10 MHz REL 11 HSPA+ DL: 336 Mbps UL: 69 Mbps 40/10 MHz REL 12 HSPA+ DL: 336 Mbps UL: 69 Mbps 40/10 MHz LTE REL 9 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz REL 10 LTE DL: 1.2 Gbps UL: 568 Mbps 40/40 MHz REL 11 LTE DL: 1.2 Gbps REL 12 LTE DL: > 1.2 Gbps Throughputs rates are peak theoretical network rates for that technology release. Dates refer to expected initial commercial network deployment except 2011, which shows technologies that year. There are no public announcements of deployment of WiMAX Rel 1.5 nor IEEE m. X/Y MHz indicates X MHz used on the downlink and Y MHz used on the uplink. Source: Rysavy Research/4G Americas,

14 LATIN AMERICA SPECTRUM STATUS Reference point - requirement for 1300 MHz by 2015 indicated by the ITU (ITU-R M.2078) Summary of Regional Situation: 3 markets are between 30%-40% of this goal, 6 are between 20%- 30%, and the remainder are between 10%-20%. Source: 4G Americas, Analysis of ITU Spectrum Recommendations in the Latin American Region (2013). Percent of ITU recommendation achieved, selected countries Brazil Chile Colombia Peru Mexico Argentina Ecuador 39% 36% 32% 23% 23% 15% 14% 304 MHz 303 MHz 190 MHz 180 MHz 503 MHZ 465 MHz 395 MHz 0% 50% 100%

15 4G AMERICAS WHITE PAPERS

16 Thank you! Bob Calaff Director, Latin America & Caribbean