Non-CAMH Retail Market Analysis

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Transcription:

Non-CAMH Retail Market Analysis January 2008 Urban Marketing Collaborative March 2004

Background: Objectives Maximize CAMH s expansion needs as a place of care Maximize CAMH s vision for urban village Maximize lease or sale revenues

Background: Evaluation Criteria Fit character and quality Flexibility evolve with changing needs of of CAMH and neighbourhood Retail intensity focus to create draw Management progressive partners Subsidy cost/benefit to promote vision

CAMH

Background: Issues and Design Principles Issues: Max. 4,800 sq. ft./store Min. 70% street-related retail for Blocks C and D Min. 70% of the exterior wall must be at or within 0.5 m setback One permitted grocery store 38,000 sq. ft. One permitted pharmacy store 12,000 sq. ft. A hotel is NOT permitted Methadone clinic is NOT permitted on Queen St. W. Promotion of substance use and gambling is NOT allowed Parking spaces within the building

Background: Residential Trade Area West End neighbourhoods effected by and affecting the CAMH Site Rua Acores Niagara East Parkdale Liberty Village

District Population District 2006 Population CAMH 8,851 East Parkdale 17,057 Rua Açores 17,533 Liberty Village 2,017 Niagara 7,557

Additional Customer Target Markets CAMH employees and volunteers: 2,800 employees + 700 volunteers CAMH clients: 22,000 clients/year Other non-camh employees: Estimated employees Regional and out-of-town visitors

Retail Supply Side Evaluation

Retail Audit High degree of art galleries, leisure retail, and food service Smaller retail units along Queen St. W. Lacks critical mass on south side

Retail Audit 2001 2006 % of Total Retail merchandise 49 63 46% Convenience goods 10 12 9% Eating & drinking 28 32 23% Services 20 15 11% Vacant 30 9 7% Other 0 6 4% Total 137 137 100%

Retail Potential Estimates by 2011 Based on the conservative analysis, the approx. footages that can be supported by the CAMH area by 2011 is illustrated as below: Store Category Approximate Square Footage Grocery, food, and beverage 52,000 Health and personal care store 24,000 Clothing stores and accessories 18,000 Home furnishings 12,000 Food service 28,000 Total categories 134,000

SWOT Analysis: Strengths Neighbourhood: Sought after retail location Diverse area Retail and residential redevelopment Art and design district More sophisticated spending patterns Good pedestrian flows Future pedestrian bridge Emerging Ossington Ave. CAMH: Large parcels to be developed Ownership of the land Retail want to be adjacent to hospital (e.g., drug store) Built-in retail drivers (target markets) Increased future value

SWOT Analysis: Weaknesses Neighbourhood: Not functioning as a whole neighbourhood Higher rent expectations vs ability to pay Safety and security issues Rents are lower on Ossington Ave. CAMH: Development restrictions and constraints Lack of critical mass of retail on the south side of Queen St. West Surrounding wall limits retail visibility Limited flow through the site and limited ability to attract visitors into site

SWOT Analysis: Opportunities CAMH: Development options in store layouts Ability to create critical mass on south side Retail focus and concentration on Queen St. W. New customer base to target Retail improvement opportunities for Ossington Ave. Ability to create a unique design create long term value Offer several management options

SWOT Analysis: Threats Danger of neighbourhood losing its arts and design identity Probability of moving towards fashion and eating and drinking and away from galleries as rents rise Intense development nearby Difficulty to adapt to fast changing environment

Recommendations: Block D Grd Fl Flexible retail space 20 ft. x 40 50 ft.: Smaller unit (800 sq. ft.) café, art gallery Medium unit (1,600 sq. ft.) apparel, home furnishings furnishings Large unit (2,400 sq. ft.) book store, restaurant Create art gallery/soho feel ceiling heights 23 ft.: Ability to create two levels at back add more space for for same rent Integral to the look of the local area

Alternatives: Block D Grd Fl

Recommendations: Block C Grd Fl Range of retail uses One large, single grocery store may be easy lease but but very low rent have to sell or lease land Two large uses including grocery and health care/drug care/drug store not highest return All smaller units difficult to lease rear portion A mixture of large uses and smaller units large use primarily at back (dog s leg) Maximize the square footage of the entire block and rental return:

Alternatives: Block C Grd Fl

Alternatives: Block C Grd Fl

Alternatives: Block C Grd Fl

Alternative Layouts

Alternatives: Block C Grd Fl

Alternatives: Block C Grd Fl

Recommendations: Block B Grd Fl Required for retail to create critical mass Retail must front onto Queen St. W. Transparency between the street and the activity within the building Retail should be located at the corner requires strong retail corners Similar units as Block D and uses include CAMH related (e.g., drug store, health book store, health related retail, etc.) and synergy with with Workman Theatre

Alternatives: Block G Grd Fl

Alternatives: Block G Grd Fl

Alternatives: Block G Grd Fl

Recommendations Blocks H and I Grd Fl Limited retail use: View obstruction by park land, east wall away from Queen St. W. Increased rental probability if surface parking is provided Other uses may be considered cafés, recreation, medical clinics, charity, museums, art venues, etc.

Management Range from CAMH, trust, private sector, to non-profit Need for separate board/staff structure within CAMH to oversee non-camh properties (trust organization) Focus on non-hospital requirements Part of retail rental and parking revenues go to staff expenses expenses Can manage farmers market; activate spaces with special events, etc. Maintains stronger control Use RFP process to solicit retailers for some spaces or develop own partnerships (e.g., Carrot Common) Regardless of development/ownership, common management management will be more efficient

Non-CAMH Retail Market Analysis Thank you John Archer 416-929-7690 jarcher@jcwg.com