Dr. Ahmad Houri Lebanese American University Lebanese Solar Energy Society

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Dr. Ahmad Houri Lebanese American University Lebanese Solar Energy Society Scaling up the use of Renewable Energy in rural areas in ESCWA Member Countries Workshop 1-2 February 2012, UN House, Beirut-Lebanon

Basic Steps Towards Renewable Energy Implementation Identification of relevant electricity-generating technologies: Concentrated Solar power (CSP) Photovoltaic (PV) Wind Energy Hydropower Tides and waves Geothermal Biomass

General Resource Assessment Solar irradiation map (for CSP and PV) Wind Atlas (for wind power) Long term data collection (For hydropower, tides and waves) Field studies and Surveys (for geothermal and Biomass)

Identifying a site Micro-siting and site-specific analysis Environmental impact assessment Feasibility study Legistlative framework

Starting a project What technology will be used? What business setup will we have? Who do we sell the electricity to? How do we sell the electricity? Are there any experiences to benefit from?

RE promotion formats Government taking the initiative Public Private Partnerships Renewable Energy Certificates Investment tax credits Production tax credits Renewables Portfolio Standards Net metering The most successful by far has been the Feed-In Tariff (FIT) Key legal legislation, including FIT, in Europe can be found in the following website: http://www.res-legal.de/en/

World Wind Energy Association Newsletter Has a specific section on FIT progress around the world in their Newsletter http://www.wwindea.org/home/index.php/&img=images/stories/index.php?optio n=com_performs&formid=1&itemid=69

List of Countries With a Feed-In Law Algeria Finland Latvia Slovenia Argentina France Lithuania South Africa Australia Germany Luembourg South Korea Austria Greece Macedonia Spain Bulgaria Hungary Malta Sri Lanka Canada India Mongolia Switzerland China Indonesia Morocco Tanzania Cyprus Iran Nicaragua Thailand Czech Republic Ireland Pakistan Turkey Denmark Israel Philippines Uganda Dominican Republic Italy Portugal Ukraine Ecuador Japan Serbia United Kingdom Estonia Kenya Slovakia United States http://www.ren21.net/portals/97/documents/other/renewables%20policy%20table.pdf

What is the best application of FIT? The German Renewable Energy Act, EEG (Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz) or Act on Granting Priority to Renewable Energy Sources (revised 2009). Results? Renewables provide: 17% of electricity 8% of heat 6% of fuel Jobs for 350,000 people Germany today is the home of many RE companies http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/german_renewable_energy_act

Pillars of the Feed-In Laws Grid Priority is given to RE generation facilities Price guarantees for every KWh generated, either fixed price or with a premium over market price. Long term guaranteed payments, up to 20 years Anyone can participate on almost any scale Remuneration rates reflect the costs of the RE technology or other country specific calculation Costs are paid by the consumers, electricity company or the government. Rates may undergo an annual or periodic degression (1% annually in Germany) The program may have a cap (annual or overall)

Samples of FIT Application Bosnia Simplest Formula 6.1 c/kwh for all RE application http://www.wind-works.org/articles/feed_laws.html#renewable Energy Tariffs by Country

Samples of FIT Application Iran Depending on time of day All Renewables c/kwh Peak & Medium Load 20 hours 9.04 Low Load (4 hours) 6.26

Samples of FIT Application China Zone differentiation Wind Onshore c/kwh Category 1 Energy Zone 5.92 Category 2 Energy Zone 6.26 Category 3 Energy Zone 6.73 Category 4 Energy Zone 7.08

Samples of FIT Application Pakistan Owner and time differentiation Wind Years c/kwh Foreign owned 1-10 12.37 11-20 5.76 Domestic owned 1-10 17.63 11-20 6.14

Samples of FIT Application Algeria Depending on base rate and technology % of Base Rate c/kwh Base Rate 3.52 Wind Energy 300% 10.6 Solar Photovoltaics 300% 10.6 Concentrating Solar 200% 7.03 Hydro 100% 3.52 Waste 200% 7.03

Sample - Austria Depends on technology, source and size Years c/kwh Wind Energy 13 9.7 Photovoltaics <5 kw 13 n/a 5-20 kw 13 38 >20 kw 13 33 Sewage Gas 13 6 Landfill Gas 13 5 Geothermal 13 7.5 Biogas <250 kw 15 18.5 250 kw-500 kw 15 16.5 >500 kw 15 13 CHP Bonus 15 2 Pipeline Bonus 15 2 Biomass <500 kw 15 14.98 500-1000 kw 15 13.54 1 MW-1.5 MW 15 13.1 1.5 MW-2 MW 15 12.97 2 MW-5 MW 15 12.26 5 MW-10 MW 15 12.06 >10 MW 15 10 0 Biomass Waste 15 5 Biomass Co-firing 15 6.12 Liquid Biomass 15 5.8 CHP Bonus 15 2

Sample - Turkey Special emphasis on Locally Made Technology c/kwh Wind 5.3 Hydro 5.3 Geothermal 7.63 Solar 9.66 Biomass & landfill gas 9.66 Bonus Payment for "Made in Turkey" Components Wind Blades 0.58 Generator & power electronics 0.73 Tower 0.44 All other mechanical components 0.94 Hydro Turbine 0.94 Generator & power electronics 0.73 Geothermal Steam or gas turbine 0.94 Generator & power electronics 5.09 Steam injector or gas compressor 5.09 Program Cap: 600 MW/yr Solar PV PV panel integration 0.58 Modules 0.94 Cells which constitute modules 2.54 Inverter 0.44 Tracking system 0.36 Concentrating Solar Heat tube 1.74 Mirrors 0.44 Tracking system 0.44 Mechanical components of heat storage 0.94 Mechanical components of heat collection 1.74 Stirling Engine 0.94 Panel integration and mechanical construction 4.36 Biomass & landfill gas Fluidized bed steam boiler 0.58 Liquid or gas fueled steam boiler 0.29 Gasification & gas cleaning components 0.44 Steam or gas turbine 1.45 ICE or Stirling engine 0.65 Generator & power electronics 0.36 Cogeneration 0.29

So which Feed-In application to apply? Country specific Basis of comparison: cost of electricity to consumer or to the government Objective: Saving money or the environment

Potential for ESCWA countries Group 1: Countries that subsidize electricity Part 1: For countries with cash surplus Tariffs should promote investment in RE and in generating local components, employment and experience. They can afford to pay more than the current electricity generation cost to be more environmentally friendly Part 2: For countries with no cash surplus Tariffs should simply be below current generation costs with a degression component to enhance speedy adoption. This will leave some technologies out but will get the mature and efficient technologies first. Will result in immediate cash savings

Potential for ESCWA countries Group 2: Countries that do not subsidize electricity Tariffs should be lower than current generation costs Only home-made technologies can afford to be supported with higher prices A technology-based pricing should be adopted to have a balanced growth

A Case Study for Lebanon - Status Electricity generation cost of around 20 cents/kwh. Subsidized price to consumers of around 7 cents/kwh. Intermittent power supply. Monopoly of generation and distribution by EDL. Abundant documented wind, hydro and biomass resources available. Lack of RE technical practical expertise

A Case Study for Lebanon Action Plan Change the law monopolizing electricity generation to allow independent producers Set an RE tariff of 15 cents/kwh for 2013 with a contract for 5 years to kick start investment Reduce RE tariff by 1 cent per year for new contracts while maintaining their contracts for 5 years After five years, the tariff will be reduced gradually Electricity must be supplied 24/7 in the areas where RE is to be implemented

Scenario Results According to the table below, Lebanon will be able to reduce its electricity generation cost to 7 cents/kwh by 2028 on all contracts. This scenario will rapidly start projects, will cost the government less and provide the country with more electricity Year Startup 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Tariff 2013 15 15 15 15 15 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 9 7 Tariff 2014 14 14 14 14 14 11 11 11 11 11 8 8 8 8 8 7 Tariff 2015 13 13 13 13 13 10 10 10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 Tariff 2016 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7 Tariff 2017 11 11 11 11 11 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 Tariff 2018 10 10 10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

Scenario Results It is clear that this scenario will selectively favor wind energy and probably hydropower Expensive technologies will not play a role Electricity availability will increase in all territories Remote and rural areas will feel the benefits of RE as they will be getting electricity 24/7. More advanced studies will be needed to appropriately price other RE sources. This is only one potential scenario.

Conclusions Feed-In Tariff is an established and proven way to promote RE. Different scenarios apply for different countries. It enables the utilization of readily available international and local expertise immediately It will save money if appropriately priced. It will save the local and global environment and reduce stresses on natural resources

Dr. Ahmad Houri