High Speed Rail an overview

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Transcription:

High Speed Rail an overview Oliver Sellnick Director Railway Undertakings Łódź, 29 March 2006

Agenda Introduction to UIC Worldwide overview HS evolution in Europe Traffics and market share High Speed and sustainable mobility Safety Financing projects

UIC membership base in 2006: 170 members on 5 continents Active: 73 Associate: 60 Affiliate:3 7

170 members on all 5 continents 73 active members: railways, railway infrastructure managers, railway operators, from Europe, the Maghreb, the Middle East, Kazakhstan, India, Pakistan, Japan, China, Korea, South Africa; 60 associate members, including railways in Asia, Africa, America, Australia; 37 affiliate members: companies conducting activities connected with rail transport (public transport, sleeping cars, caterers, shipping lines,...).

Core aspects of the UIC identity The «New» Global association Center of competence Creating added value for members by improving railway operations and services

UIC Mission and objectives Mission : At world level UIC shall promote rail transport in order to meet the challenges of mobility and sustainable development Main UIC objectives: Facilitate exchange on best practises among members (benchmarking), Propose new ways for improving economic performances of the railways, Support members in their efforts to develop new businesses, Achieve interoperability, create new world standards for railways (including common standards with other modes), Develop Centers of excellence (technology, management, training,..).

Selected UIC key issues Railway noise reduction ERIM: European Railway Infrastructure Masterplan ERTMS Platform: facilitation of ETCS and GSM-R migration and further developments Coordinating safety policies of members Innotrack (developing a new innovative infrastructure) Support groups for European Railway Agency (ERA) activities SEDP TAF TSI (deployment plan for freight telematics) MERITS / PRIFIS (European passenger information system)

Major working bodies of UIC UIC members Technical & Research Platform ERTMS Platform Safety Platform Environment Platform Forum Infrastructure Forum Passenger Forum Freight Finance/ Statistics Communication Documentation Legal Training Security IT Support Groups UIC HQ

IC provides different services in support to members. Know How,. Technical and Operational expertise. Technical solutions. Standards. Best practises Provider Facilitator. Exchange platforms,. Innovation: new ideas, new concepts,. Protecting member railways common interests,. Specifications. Standards. Interfaces. Studies Developer Organiser. Forums,. Platforms,. Study groups,. International conferences, congresses WCRR «Eurailspeed», «Next Station»

High Speed is spreading around the World HS in operation Tilting trains in operation HS & Tilting trains planned

HS evolution in Europe

In the last 25 years, over 4.000 km of HS lines have been built Km 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Evolution of HS Lines in Europe 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005

The customer response has been very positive with traffic raising stronger than new construction 1995-2005 Km of new HSL Passenger. Km x 2,6 x 1,7

Umeå Oslo Stockholm Helsinki St.Petersburg European HS Network Glasgow Edinburgh Göteborg Tallinn Riga Moskva Situation as at 02.2006 HS lines v > 250 km/h Classic lines v < 220 km/h Other Lines Information given by the Railways UIC - High-Speed Updated 12.02.2006 Dublin Rennes Bordeaux Porto Madrid Lisboa Sevilla Málaga London Brux. Paris Valencia Amsterdam Lyon Lux. Barcelona Marseille Hamburg Köln Fr. Genève Mann. Zürich Hann. Milano Genova Nürnberg 0 500 km København München Roma Berlin Bologna Napoli Praha Wien Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Bratislava Bari Reggio di C. Gdansk Katowice Budapest Skopje Tirana Warszawa Beograd Lviv Sofia Athinai Vilnius Minsk Bucuresti Kiev Chisinau Istanbul Ankara

Umeå European HS Network Forecast for 2010 HS lines v > 250 km/h Classic lines v < 220 km/h Other Lines Information given by the Railways UIC - High-Speed Updated 12.02.2006 Lisboa Porto Sevilla Glasgow Dublin Madrid Edinburgh Rennes Bordeaux Málaga London Brux. Paris Valencia Amsterdam Lyon Lux. Barcelona Marseille Hamburg Genève Köln Fr. Oslo Göteborg Mann. Zürich Hann. Milano Genova 0 500 km København Nürnberg München Roma Berlin Bologna Napoli Praha Wien Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Stockholm Bratislava Bari Reggio di C. Gdansk Katowice Budapest Skopje Tirana Beograd Tallinn Warszawa Lviv Sofia Helsinki Riga Athinai Vilnius Minsk Bucuresti Kiev Chisinau Istanbul St.Petersburg Moskva Ankara

Umeå European HS Network Forecast for 2020 HS lines v > 250 km/h Classic lines v < 220 km/h Other lines Information given by the Railways UIC - High-Speed Updated 12.02.2006 Lisboa Porto Sevilla Glasgow Dublin Madrid Edinburgh Rennes Bordeaux Málaga London Brux. Paris Valencia Amsterdam Lyon Lux. Barcelona Marseille Hamburg Genève Köln Fr. Oslo Göteborg Mann. Zürich Hann. Milano Genova Nürnberg 0 500 km København München Roma Berlin Bologna Napoli Praha Wien Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Stockholm Bratislava Bari Reggio di C. Gdansk Katowice Budapest Skopje Tirana Beograd Tallinn Warszawa Lviv Sofia Helsinki Riga Athinai Vilnius Minsk Bucuresti Kiev Chisinau Istanbul St.Petersburg Moskva Ankara

Traffic and market share

Traffic growth of new HS lines is fed by two sources Modal shift HS growth New traffic

Modal split Paris - Brussels (310 km) all modes 8 5 2 7 61 24 43 50 Coach Plane Car Train Before Thalys After Thalys

Modal split Madrid - Seville (471 km) 16 67 84 Plane Train 33 Before AVE After AVE

100 Curve of the rail / air modal split (distances between 300 and 600 km) Rail market share (%) 75 50 Paris - Brussels 310 km Paris - Lyons 430 km Madrid - Seville 471 km Rome - Bologna 358 km Tokyo - Osaka 515 km % Plane Paris - London 494 km Stockholm - Gotenburg 455 km Paris - Amsterdam 540 km Rome - Milan 560 km 25 % HS 0 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Rail travel time (hours)

Thresholds HS is optimal in less than 3 hours travel The minimum level of traffic to justify an new HS line (300 km/h) is usually 5 Million passengers 1 h 2 h 3 h 4 h 5 h Maximum efficiency business travel

High Speed and sustainable mobility

HS environmentally friendlier than other modes Primary Energy and CO2 Emission from transport 14 17 2.5 4 6 7 Primary energy in litres of petrol per 100 passengers-km Amount of carbon dioxid emissions per 100 passengers-km HS Trains Private cars Plane

Safety

ZERO killed in HS accidents (V > 200 km/h) after 42 years of HS train operation Passengers killed in accident per billion passenger-km 2,5 2,33 2 1,87 1,99 1,5 1 0,5 0 1970 1971 1,54 1,63 1,50 1,43 1,29 1,09 1,11 1,39 1,00 1,18 0,98 0,83 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1,24 1,10 0,65 0,69 High Speed 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 0,79 0,65 0,92 Classic Railway 0,56 0,47 0,40 0,38 0,51 0,36 0,70 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 0,42 0,30 0,22 0,38 2000 2001 2002

Financing HS projects

HS requires high investments HS needs very detailed studies on traffic forecasting, costs and benefits It is necessary to consider all consequences (social aspects, etc.) Always public funding

Thank you for your attention!