Sketching profiles of Development Banks Seminar Global Economic Governance Madrid, March 11th, 2013 João Carlos Ferraz Vice President Ana Cláudia Além Head of Applied Research Rodrigo Madeira Economist
One assertive, three propositions // 2 Assertive A development bank is an essential instrument to support development strategies and policies. Propositions Each Development Bank is a singular institution.no role model exists. As market based finance can be relied only partially for development financing, a stronger configuration for a national financial industry is where private and public institutions co-live. But attention!!! Time and place do matter in defining: (i) a DB place in development and, (ii) the public/private modes of relation.
The starting point: each country, a specific model for the financing of economic activities Credit and corporate bonds as % of GDP -2010 // 3 Credit/GDP Source: Financial Structure Database and BIS - 2010 Corporate Bonds/GDP
Development Institutions: common, relevant institutions // 4 Avery common institution: in countries under different regimes, at different stages of development. OECD: institutions providing long term loans that are beyond the capacity or the willingness of others to do so. BDC (2009): 235 DIs in 92 countries. International Benchmark Study on Development Institutions. Business Development Canada, 2009 WB (2012): 90 DIs in 61 countries. 2009: total assets: US$ 2.01 trillion; loan portfolio: US $1.59 trillion. Global Survey of Development Banks. Policy Research Working Paper, n. 5969. Washington: World Bank, 2012. Different types of Development Institutions: Development Banks, Specialized Agencies (Credit, Guarantee or Equity), Development Financing Institutions (usually multilateral)
Development Banks: not one alike Not a homogeneous group, differing in: Ownership structure (fully vs. partially owned by government) Target sectors and clients (narrow vs. wide focus) Lending models (first-tier vs. second-tier) Credit conditions (subsidized vs. market interest rates) Regulation and supervision (special regime vs regime applicable to all banks) Corporate governance (independent vs. government controlled boards) Size (absolute and relative), loan portfolio, performance indicators // 5
Role of each development bank: direct relation to national financing structure Comparative role in the economy 2011 data- // 6 Loans Outstanding/GDP (%) 21,1 Loans Outstanding/Total credit stock (%) 15,8 10,4 11,7 12,8 7,3 8,0 0,8 0,5 2,9 1,2 4,5 BDC - Canada DBJ - Japan KDB - Korea BNDES - Brazil CDB - China KfW - Germany Source: Annual reports.
Potential contributions and criticisms // 7 Finance expansion of capacity, fill gaps, fix failures, induce externalities Foster an innovative, sustainable long term financing industry Contribute to systemic stability (anti-cyclical role) Appropriate and distribute(to society, via the State) returnsof (financial) investment decisions But not at all without controversy without controversy! Common criticisms Crowding out private industry Discretionary power ( pick winners ) Cronyism
The awakening of the Sleeping Beauty? DBs are back to the game // 8
Current crisis show: a strategic role for development banks 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Growth (%) of credit portfolio of selected development banks -2011 BNDES - Brazil CDB - China 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 // 9 BDC - Canada DBJ -Japan 25 15 20 10 15 5 10 0 5-5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011-10 Source: Annual reports. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
A comparative perspective: significant and adequate economic and financial performance Comparative performance 2011 data- // 10 Loans Outstanding/Total Credit Stock (%) Return on Asset (%) Non-performing loan ratio (%)
BNDES at a glance: scale and scope matters Main provider of long-term financing in Brazil 100% state-owned company under private law Stable funding 2,780 employees Instruments Direct operations Indirect operations MSME (financing & guarantee) Exim Project finance Equity investments Grants Source BNDES Total disbursements 2012: US75 billion; + 12% vs 2011 // 11
BNDES efforts towards inclusion and sustainability Loans for MSME Disbursements Disbursements 2012: US 75 billion; + 12% vs 2011 //12 Sustainability and green economy in R$ milllions Number of firms Source BNDES
Support for economic infrastructure // 13 Ger. Hidrica Energia Alternativa Distribuição Transmissão 24.525 R$ milllions Ferrovias Rodovias Portos, Terminais, e Armazéns Aeroporto e Transp. Aéreo 16.017 15.279 18.741 8.636 7.116 Logística Eletricidade 3.747 3.365 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: BNDES
Support for industrial investment and competitiveness 125 Sectoral disbursements according to Plano Brasil Maior directives in R$ billlion //14 100 75 50 25 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sistemas da Mecânica, Eletroeletrônica e Saúde Sistemas Intensivos em Escala Sistemas Intensivos em Trabalho Sistemas do Agronegócio Comércio, Logística e Serviços Source: BNDES
Development Banks: essential assets and capabilities // 15 Mandates must be given and enforced at the highest political level Servant of public interest; pursuer of effectiveness and efficiency Stable funding as a basic asset for financial sustainability Flexible competencesto mobilize resources and instruments adequate to mandates and to different stages and needs of a country`s development. Development Banks must not be the vanguard nor the rearguard but the co-guard of development
Sketching profiles of Development Banks Seminar Global Economic Governance Madrid, March 11th, 2013 João Carlos Ferraz Vice President Ana Cláudia Além Head of Applied Research Rodrigo Madeira Economist