Strategies for Energy & Environment Business June 3, 2009 Ichiro Fukue Director,Senior Executive Vice President 1
Contents 1. Environmental Awareness in Energy & Environment Business 2. MHI s Energy & Environment Strategies 3. Product Strategies 2
1. Environmental Awareness in Energy & Environment Business Green energy revolution is becoming the global mainstream. All nations and regions place social investment into energy and the environment at the core of their economic-stimulus measures. Forming a low-carbon social infrastructure is a challenge shared globally. 20% renewable energy by 2020 Invest 105 billion into green economy Allocate 48 billion to environmental measures Invest more than 100 billion into offshore wind power generation; create 160,000 jobs Promote 50 billion in investments into lowcarbon sectors Planned investments totaling 4 trillion yuan (JPY 57 trillion) Environment market scale: JPY 120 trillion Create 2.8 million new jobs 40-fold expansion in photovoltaic power generation by 2030 Introduce FIT (Feed-in Tariff) relating to photovoltaic power generation Investment forecast (trn yen) 1,500 1,000 500 0 World Green Energy-related Investment Forecasts (IEA) 15 trn/yr 2005~ 2015 20 trn/yr 2015~ 2030 Obama s Green New Deal policy 50 trn yen/ year Invest US$150 billion into clean energy; create 5 million new jobs Produce/launch 1 million PHEVs (Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles) Achieve 25% renewable energy rate 2030~ 2050 3
1. Environmental Awareness in Energy & Environment Business Promising New Business Opportunities MHI possesses products and technologies that can respond to all of these demands. Applying its strengths in integration, it is adding speed to business expansion. Nuclear power generation High-efficiency power generation GTCC Power Generation plant USC A-USC IGCC + CCS High-efficiency gas engines Fuel cell + combined cycle CO 2 recovery system Innovation in transportation system EV-related business ITS MRJ (Mitsubishi Regional Jet) Eco-ships LRT HSST Nuclear power plants (APWR ATMEA1) Fat breed reactor, nuclear fuel cycle Contribute to creation of low-carbon social infrastructure Renewable Energy Wind turbines (onshore & offshore) Solar (photovoltaic & thermal) power generation Geothermal power generation Hydropower (including micro water wheel) Wave power, tidal power Innovation in other infrastructures Seawater desalination Vegetable plants Alternative fuels (coal, bio) Innovation in electricity infrastructure Smart grid Lithium-ion battery V2G (Vehicle to Grid) H2G (Home to Grid) Energy-saving products Heat pumps Eco-houses Enhancement in Iron making efficiency 4
2. MHI s Energy & Environment Business Strategy MHI s Energy & Environment Business Strategy Apply integration strengths to achieve business expansion 1. While putting strengths of existing businesses to good use, creation of nextgeneration businesses GTCC, wind turbines, nuclear power, fertilizer plants, methanol plants, etc. IGCC, CCS, solar (photovoltaic/heat), offshore wind turbines, EV related business, eco-houses, etc. 2. Expand business opportunities through comprehensive proposals of energy/environment-related products (policies) Electricity provides in Iceland, Ukraine, Australia, United Kingdom, and others 3. Acceleration of global expansion (base network expansion, alliances) 5
2. MHI s Energy & Environment Business Strategy Application of Comprehensive Capabilities through Integration of Product Operations Power Systems (power generation technology) IGCC+CCS Lithium-ion ion batteries Alternative fuel chains Machinery & Steel Structures (Chemical plants, CO 2 recovery technology, transportation system, etc.) Nuclear Power (Nuclear power generation technology) Offshore wind turbines Business Expansion through Integration US/EU-APWR Eco-friendly houses Eco-friendly town Sustainability Energy & Environment Strategic Planning Department Air-conditioning & Refrigeration (Chillers, air-condtioners condtioners) Shipbuilding (shipbuilding, marine technology) Nuclear power generation- use turbines Eco-friendly ships Hat pumps Battery powered forklift trucks General Machinery & Special Vehicles (Engines, turbochargers, forklift trucks) MHI Group Ryoju Estate, MHI Bridge & Steel Structures Engineering, MJK, and etc. 6
2. MHI s Energy & Environment Business Strategy Examples of Integration Merits Development of new projects encompassing MHI product technologies MHI technologies Nuclear power Power plant facility IGCC+CCS IGCC EPC capability Offshore wind turbines Wind turbines Marine Large-size cranes Lithium-ion batteries Batteries Thin-film technology Massproduction technology EV-related business Batteries CO 2 recovery Motors Air-conditioning Integration Effcts Full use of capacities in equipment manufacturing capacity and in-house EPC *EPC:Engineering, Procurement, Construction Single responsibility in power generation technology and chemical process technology IGCC:Integrated coal Gasification Combined Cycle CCS:Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Wind turbine technology, marine technology, crane and bridge technology. Lithium-ion batteries, thin-film technology (paper printing), mass production technology (food machinery). One company possessing all technologies Technologies of energy, machinery and air-conditioning. 7
Gross efficiency Enhancement of Thermal Efficiency (LHV %) 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 1 Super high-temperature gas turbines (1,700 ) GTCC (Natural gas) 3 GTCC + SOFC (Natural gas) USC(coal) 2 IGCC 2+3 IGCC + SOFC Completion of J-series development Further enhancement of efficiency 1 GTCC applying super high-temperature gas turbine(1,700 class) 2 IGCC (Coal gasification) 3 GTCC + SOFC (Hybrid cycle) 40 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 年 IGCC: Integrated coal Gasification Combined Cycle SOFC: Solid Oxide Fuel Cell GTCC: Gas Turbine Combined Cycle USC: Ultra Super Critical pressure Coal-fired plant 8
Global Expansion in Gas Turbine Business Development of J-series gas turbine completed Aiming for 30% market share through world s most advanced technologies and 50-unit/yr production system J-series gas turbine CC efficiency:60%+ (World s highest level) Large-size gas turbine ordered [GW] 45 30 15 Share 30% 2004 2008 Future 将 来 60% 55% CC efficiency (LHV%) 1,200 F-series D-series G-series J-series 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 Temperature at turbine inlet ( ) 9
CCS(Carbon dioxide Capture & Storage) Fuel High-efficiency IGCC CO2 Separation/ recovery facility CO2 transportation (pipeline, etc.) CO2 Sequstration Ocean sequestration & geological storage Achieved 2,000 hrs continuous operation at Nakoso MHI s CO 2 recovery plant enables CO2 recovery lower energy consumption MHI s high-pressure CO 2 compressor delivered to CCS plant in Algeria CO2 storage methods Ocean sequestration Under consideration Geological storage In progress Stationary type (pipeline) Mobile type Aquifers (offshore) EOR EGR Aquifers (land) Depleted oil/gas field ECBM Deep sea bottom storage source : Carbon dioxide Capture and Storage, IPCC Special Report 2005.09, http://arch.rivm.nl/env/int/ipcc/pages_media/srccs-final/ipccspecialreportoncarbondioxidecaptureandstorage.htm Oil/gas production CO 2 injection Stored CO 2 10
IGCC+CCS Acquisition of EPC plant engineering management capability globally, and promotion of integrated solutions business Coal gasification CCS Power generation Heat recovery Power generation Air separation Gasification Gas refinery Gas turbine HRSG Steam turbine Company A Power Systems Exclude storage Machinery & Steel Structures Power Systems All requisite elements possessed in-house Company B Achieved 2,000 hour continuous operation at Nakoso Company C - Licensing only Company D - Licensing only Integration of multiple segments under Sustainability Energy & Environment Strategic Planning Department 11
Globalization of Wind Turbine Business Promote globalization in order to respond to the rapidly expanding global market for wind turbines MPSE(Germany Germany) MPSE(UK UK) USA Increased capacity at VienTek blade factory (1,200MW 1,600MW) WTG factory under planning Europe Launch of design office in Germany WTG factory under planning, depending on future order trends Offshore wind turbines hitting stride: 33GW in UK, 30GW in Germany, etc. Licensing to Ningsha Electric Power Group, etc. Nagasaki/Yokohama MPSA WTG factory under planning VienTek: : blade production plant 12
Development of Nuclear Power Generation Technology (1) US/EU-APWR Large light water reactor with the world s largest output (1,700 MWe class) US-APWR 1. Reactors chosen by Luminant in 2007 (2 units) 2. US DC/COL application docketed EU-APWR 1. Conformance certification application to European Utilities Requirements ATMEA1 Globally compatible intermediate light water reactors (1,100 MWe class) 1. A joint venture established with AREVA in 2007 2. Combine the world s most advanced technologies of both companies. 3. Complete basic design and start sales promotion in 2009. DC: Design certification COL: Combine license Full lineup Domestic newly constructing plants Future reactors Domestic light water reactors 1. HEPCO Tomari No. 3 Reactor constructed (Latest 3rd generation reactor) Domestic 24th PWR Initial criticality in March this year expected to start operation in December 2. JAPCO Tsuruga No. 3 and No. 4 Reactors (Domestic largest class APWR) Under safety review, expected to start operation in 2016 and 2017 Next generation light water reactors Participate in the national project. Fast breeder reactors (FBR) Mitsubishi FBR Systems established (2007) Make Japanese technology adopted as a global standard. Source: JAEA-Research 2006-042, Fig. 2.1.1-4, p. 69 (2006) 13
Development of Nuclear Power Generation Technology (2) Effective use of existing nuclear plants, steady pace of new installations and expansions, achievement of nuclear fuel cycle Domestic light water reactor plants Overseas light water reactor plants After-sales services for existing plants Tomari No. 3 Reactor and Tsuruga No. 3 and No. 4 Reactors Next-generation new plants Fuel (FBR) Fast breeder reactor Fuel fabrication Enriched uranium Enriched uranium fuel MOX fuel MOX fuel Light water reactor MOX fuel plant Fast breeder reactor Spent fuel Spent fuel Reprocessing (Rokkasho) Recovered uranium Extracted plutonium Reprocessing (For fast breeder reactors) US/EU-APWR ATMEA1 Overseas aftersales services Nuclear fuel cycle Reprocessing plant Mitsubishi Nuclear Fuel CO., LTD. Source: JAEA-Research 2006-042, Fig. 2.1.1-4, p. 69 (2006) MOX fuel plant 14
Development of Solar Thermal Gas Turbine Power generated by solar thermal gas turbine is more efficient than with photovoltaic cells. No water is required during power generation. Gas turbine Space requirement Height Heliostat 200,000m 2 About 110m Max temp 850-900 Turbine output 10MW Receiver Installation 年 間 導 入 量 [GW/ (GW/yr) 年 ] Target market for solar thermal power gneration 20 15 10 5 0 Favorable for CSP Worth considering for CSP Source: Pharabod and Philibert,1991. 2010 2015 2020 2030 Forecasts for annual demand for solar thermal power generation Source: ESTIA and Greenpeace, Concentrating Solar Power Outlook 2009 15
Making comprehensive energy/environment policy proposals worldwide Proposals formulated to match each country s situation Iceland Proposal toward realization of zero-emission society United Kingdom Proposal for next-generation energy network Ukraine Energy infrastructure centered on coal-fired generation Australia Energy infrastructure centered on coal-fired generation Solar thermal project making effective use of coal 16
Zero Emissions in Iceland Participating in Iceland s zero-emissions plan with DME synthesis targeting EVs and fishing vessels Renewable Energy Geotheramal/hydorpower Fully controlled vegetable plant also to be proposed Energy conversion Electricity Recycling of CO2 emissions into refined DME Aluminum smelting H2 production Synthesized Fuel (DME) Organic ELs, A/C equipment also used. Electric Vehicles Fishing vessels (/SUV) Consumption Use of recycled CO2 fuel means CO2 emissions from fishing vessels are not counted Use of DME in SUVs is also under consideration. 17
Energy Infrastructure Rebuilding Scheme, Future Business Scope Innovation in energy supply structure Higher efficiency from thermal power plant Power grid stabilization equipment Renewable energy expansion Coordination with existing power plant Electric bus electricity storage by small-scale hydropower plant Higher efficiency from nuclear power plant Clean use of coal Innovation in energy consumption structure Eco Sky House (Yokohama) home testing & verification Heat pump hot water supply & A/C Inooor unit Ht water tank Electricity storage technologies Smart grid concept Electric bus Battery station Parking (Inner-city emergency power source) EV penetration testing Outdoor unit Photovoltaic power use time differential by battery 0PV Generation Under floor heater Demand Line 6 12 18 24 Hours External Power PV cells ~ - Smart power control Heat pump hot-water supply system Smart house as source of power generation EV Battery Industrial vehicles Review of urban transportation infrastructure 18
Regional Supply and Regional Consumption Type Smart Community Offshore wind turbine Electricity storage Wind turbines Heat pumps Smart control center LRT PV cells EV, electric bus EV related business (battery station) Eco-house Hydro power plant 19
Benefits of Smart Communities By knowing the volume of mobile electricity storage of EVs, etc., affinity of grid and renewable energy is enhanced. Gas stations serve as stations for charging/swapping EV and electric bus batteries, resulting in reforms in business formats, including employment opportunities. Preservation and recycling Comfort and convenience Safety and security Smart Community Through use of renewable energy (wind, solar, hydro, etc.), harmonic co-existence with nature can be advanced. Promoting electrification of urban transport enables use as an emergency power source. 20
Eco Sky House Energy conservation technologies come together to enable a major reduction in household energy consumption. Key technology High thermal insulation Wind power generation system Solar ventilation (natural forced ventilation system using solar heat) New ventilation system Greening of roof/wall surfaces New tandem-type Photovoltaic cells Hybrid system Lithium-ion battery Heat-pump hot-water supply system V2H EV charger port Organic EL illumination Results in May 2009 Rainwater utilization system Generated electricity Electricity consumed Self-sufficiency: over 100% Exterior wall blind + water mister Underfloor thermal storage system 0:00 6:00 12:00 18:00 0:00 21
Investments in Major Businesses and Expansion into New Businesses Item Action, aim, etc. Strengthening of existing businesses Gas turbines Wind turbines (land) Conventional thermal power plant Nuclear power Environment, chemical plants Forklift trucks Turbocharger Centrifugal chillers Capex targeting launch of J-series and 50-unit/yr production system Strengthening of production system at US factory and creation of jobs Establishment of JV and factory in India growth market Promotion of new plants, achievement of 2 plants/yr structure Focus on fertilizer and methanol plants Accelerated development of Chinese and emerging markets with start-up of factory in China Expansion of global production capacity with start-up of factory in Thailand Enhancement of production capacity of Takasago Mahcinery Works Response to new businesses IGCC(+CCS) Nuclear fuel cycle Lithium-ion battery Offshore wind turbines CO 2 recovery system Alternative fuels Eco-town, eco-house Hybrid forklift trucks Realization of commercial plants, strengthening of gasifier production facilities Reprocessing plants, MOX fuel plants, fast breeder reactors Launch of initiative targeting mass production Market expansion in Europe, etc. (max. 120GW by 2030) Key components for achieving 50% cut in CO2 by 2050 DME synthesis by coal gasification, etc. Application of comprehensive capabilities to propose solutions to national governments, etc. Lead the industry in energy saving and CO2 reductions through world s first commercialization 22
Growth Targets of Major Businesses The Company is pursuing business expansion through capex and other strengthening measures. Capex: capital expenditure Gas turbine Acquisition of 30% market share through launch of J-series and 50-unit production system IGCC Scale of sales 2008 2012 Production System Expansion CO2 recovery system Business opportunity expansion through technologies responding to social demand to reduce CO2 EV-related business Considering entering EV-related business, a key component for shedding reliance on fossil fuels and promoting switch to electricity EV HEV PHEV Scale of Business (thousand unit) Scale of sales (GW) 100 5,000 2,500 50 0 0 2005~ 2010 700 2010 2020 2015~ 2020 4,000 Scale of business (JPY 100 million) Nuclear power Expansion of servicing, new plants and fuel cycle businesses, to achieve sales of JPY 600 billion after 10 yrs Capex in energy/environment since 2006 4,000 Capex (JPY 100 million) Lithium-ion battery 4,000 2,000 0 4 3,100 2010 2020 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2008 After 10yrs Mass & Medium- Lot Products Machinery & Steel Structures Power Systems Shipbuilding & Ocean Development Capex: capital expenditure Wind power, solar and other renewable energy Wind power: response to sharp market expansion especially in US, Europe Solar: consider production increase (40MW/yr) while monitoring market trends 2008 2012 Heat pumps Market for electric A/C with hot/cold-water supply systems expanding sharply, especially in Europe. Targeting development of that market. Scale of European A/C market (JPY 100 million) Scale of sales 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 A/C Combustion type Electric type 23 A/C: Air-Conditioners
Road Map for Energy/Environment Business Through merits and effects of integration, MHI is aiming for JPY 3 trillion in sales in the energy/environment field. Projected sales (JPY 100 million) 売 上 計 画 [ 億 円 ] 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Others その 他 エネルギー 環 境 分 野 energy and the environment related Integration effects 2008 年 2009年 2010年 2011年 2012 After 年 2012 以 降 Examples of new projects by integration effects IGCC(+CCS) Nuclear power (new construction, fuel cycle) Lithium-ion battery Offshore wind turbine CO 2 recovery system Alternative fuels Eco-town, eco-house Hybrid forklift trucks After 2012 After 2012 2012~2015 2012~2015 2012~2015 2012~2015 ~2012 2009~ 24
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