INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS



Similar documents
INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS

INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS

Key Market Data Points. Sentiment Indicators MARKET BREADTH

INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS

INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS

Key Market Data Points. Sentiment Indicators MARKET BREADTH

INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS

INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS

Technical & Derivatives Report

INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS

How To Trade Call Options In India

Support CNX Nifty % S Nifty Future % S Prem / Disc 7 9 S PCR (OI)

Support CNX Nifty % S Nifty Future % S Prem / Disc 9 18 S PCR (OI)

Support CNX Nifty % S Nifty Future % S Prem / Disc S PCR (OI)

Support CNX Nifty % S Nifty Future % S Prem / Disc S PCR (OI)

DOHA BANK DOHA BROKERAGE

MOSt Market Outlook 1st, July 2016

Equity Bazaar. Indian Markets SENSEX 27, % NIFTY 8, % SGX Nifty* 8, %

Bulls say happy weekend

Quant Picks United Breweries

DAILY COMMODITY TECHNICAL

Derivatives Weekly DERIVATIES DESK. Outlook: Outlook: Sell in May and Go Away! DOLAT CAPITAL. Brief Outlook :

Nivesh Daily Currency

Company Overview. Financial Performance

Research Analysts. Granules GRANUL Buy in the range of EID Parry EIDPAR Buy in the range of

HOLD. The case of missing sales growth ZYDUS WELLNESS. Target Price: Rs 780. Q3highlights

Morning Buzz. Research Picks INDIA. India IT Services: Mixed quarter from Accenture. 21 December 2015

Shares as Margin (SAM) Investments on Your Fingertips

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd. INR 135

Khambatta Securities Ltd.

BUY. Muted Q3; Brands & Retail story to unfold ARVIND. Target Price: Rs 344. Segmental highlights

HOLD. Q4 earnings beat but order backlog flat ABB. Target Price: Rs 1,213. Key drivers

Nivesh Daily Currency

Research Analysts. September 30, 2015

Research Analysts. June 30, Lupin LUPIN Buy in the range of

Britannia Industries

Graphite Electrodes. Imposition of antidumping duty augurs well. Sector Update. ICICI Securities Ltd Retail Equity Research.

HOLD HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES. Q4 lackluster; CY16 holds promise. Target Price: Rs 252. Q4earnings concall highlights

FIRST MORNING TECHNICAL CALL T E C H N I C A L S. Friday, September 04, 2015 MARKET OUTLOOK

CHARTS FOR THE WEEK TO

Gladiator Stocks: Phillips Carbon Black (PHICAR) Time Frame: Six months

Strong operational performance

Installation. Getting Started

Frequently Asked Questions on Derivatives Trading At NSE

Jubilant Life Sciences

Bright Smart (1428 HK)

Reliance Index Fund - Sensex Plan (An Open Ended Index Linked Scheme)

Mphasis. FY17 could be a year of revenue growth. Source: Company Data; PL Research

FAQ ON EQUITY DERIVATIVES

Economic Data. October 30, October 29, 2015

GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare

Gold Recap. Spread JAN6 FEB6 APR6 JUN6 DEC JAN FEB APR OI Gold. Chg.

Accumulate. Exide Industries Ltd(EIL) Automobile Ancillaries RETAIL EQUITY RESEARCH

GAIL (India) Ltd. INR 346

Mutual Fund Category Analysis Pharma Sector Funds

The Ramco Cements. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Liquidity Enhancement Incentive Programme for Equity Derivatives

Cinda International. Hold (Initiation) Target price: HK$1.55. Facing intense competition from Chinese brokers in HK; initiate at Hold

Simplex Infrastructures

DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT

Flexituff International Ltd. (FIL)

MODEL TEST PAPER DERIVATIVES MARKET DEALERS MODULE. Q.2 All of the following are true regarding futures contracts except [2 Marks]

Commodities not finding much traction despite USD weakness

8.21 % 85.6 % 70 % 17.8 % 5 MUST-KNOW FACTS ON FTSE100 RUPEE DENOMINATED. world s equity Market-cap. UK s equity Market capitalization

Maruti Suzuki. Source: Company Data; PL Research

DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT

BUY. Lower realization impacts earnings CAIRN INDIA. Target Price: Rs 155. Analyst call highlights

Kotak Mahindra Bank Rs 685

Investment Rationale

Debt Market Outlook

HCC BUY. Infrastructure January 29, 2016

BUY GUJARAT STATE PETRONET. Operationally in line; other income surprises. Target Price: Rs 160. Valuations comfortable. Visible triggers ahead

Transcription:

Market Recap Yet again the crude remained a dampener for world equity indices in today s trading session. The benchmark indices nosedive almost 1.5% on the back of weakness in the global indices. The index NIFTY registered an intraday high of 7576 after the RBI s momentary policy which was status quo. The RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan chose to keep the policy repo rate unchanged on inflation concerns even as it emphasized that it continues to be accommodative. Later on in the second half, selling pressure at higher levels forced the index to tumble nearly 150 points from day s high to close near the 7450 mark. The fall was mainly led by sharp correction in METAL and PHARMA counters. Even the banking counters failed to sustain at higher levels. The market breadth too turned negative as the day progressed. On the global front, European indices like FTSE (-1.43%), CAC (-1.70%) and DAX (-0.98%) were trading with heavy loss while the time the report was made. The Asian Indices like NIKKIE (-0.65%), HANGSENG (- 0.76%) and SHANGHAI (+2.24%) closed with mixed trend. On the sectoral front, all the indices turned in red during the second half of today s session. From the list of losers, NIFTY METAL (-4.82%) stocks were the biggest laggards. Indices like NIFTY COMMODITIES (- 2.94%) and NIFTY ENERGY (-2.79%) too kept the markets under pressure. The broader markets too suffered heavily as the MIDCAP (-1.35%) and SMALLCAP (-1.47%) indices closed in red. In the money market, most of the currency pairs closed in green due to weakness in INR. Key Market Data Points Name High Low Range Sensex 24929 24461 468 24539 24825 Nifty Spot 7576 7428 148 7456 7556 Nifty Future 7594 7448 146 7475 7565 VIX 18.35 16.49 1.86 18.04 17.89 Name Sentiment Indicators Day Prm/Disc 19.4 9.4 10.00 PCR () 0.81 0.87-0.06 PCR (Vol) 0.97 0.92 0.05 On the stock front, from the group of metal counters SAIL (-8.8%) corrected the most which was followed by TATASTEEL (-7.90%). On the other hand, our recommended stock JUSTDIAL (+4.15%) outperformed the markets after series of corrective sessions. Pullers CMP INDEX PULLERS & DRAGGERS Weightage Bajaj Auto 2367.25 1.79 0.53 5.69 Lupin 1713.95 0.14 0.08 1.22 Draggers CMP Weightage Tata Mot 330.85 (2.59) -15.96 (2.37) TCS 2400.05 (0.17) -12.62 1.24 Bharti Airtel 300.90 1.71 0.02 3.02 ICICI Bank 210.95 (2.86) -11.85 0.10

MARKET BREADTH SECTORAL ANALYSIS NSE Today % Highest Performer % Lowest performer % Advance 386-54.85% Declines 1174 68.44% A/D Ratio 0.33-73.20% CNXFMCG Index -0.46 0.79 CNXMET Index -4.82 0.32 CNXIT Index -0.56 0.61 CNXMED Index -3.15-0.41 CNXCON Index -0.94-0.15 CNXCMD Index -2.94 0.16 Key Takeaways Today advancing counters have dropped significantly while declining stocks have risen. Therefore overall market breadth has become weak. During the second half we witnessed that, all indices were negative lead by Metal -2.88%, PSU Bank -2.87% & Smallcap 100-2.29% sectors were under pressure. **(the above mentioned % change are just for second half i.e. after 1PM) On the F&O stocks front stocks like, KSCL 5%, IDFC 3.46% & Coal Ind. 3.21% outperformed the markets. On the other hand, Tech M -3.15%, Motherson Sumi -2.60% & NHPC -2.11% went through some correction. **(the above mentioned % change are just for second half i.e. after 1PM) Today long build-up observed in UBL, MINDTREE, BAJAJ-AUTO & BHARTIARTL counter. On ACC, SAIL, NTPC & TORNTPHARM observed short build up. OPEN INTEREST (`000) Openinterest Nifty 30,000 25,000 20,000 8100 7600 7100 Key Takeaways The Nifty Feb. Fut closed at 7474.95, with a premium of 19.4 against premium of 9.4 points. The open interest dropped by 3% with a fall in price. 15,000 10,000 6600 6100 The total volumes in futures & options is positioned at 45.45 Lakh contracts with a turnover of Rs. 2,40,230 cr., with a drop of 17%. 5,000,0 1/6 1/8 1/12 1/14 1/18 1/20 1/22 1/27 1/29 2/2 5600 5100 Today VIX closed flat at 18.04 levels, with a gain of 3%.

NIFTY OPTION OPEN INTEREST 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 CE PE On the option front highest call base for the Feb series is at 7600 strike with 42.33 Lakh shares. On the other hand highest PUT base is at 7400 strikes with 42.41 Lakh shares. Long Build-Up UBL 811.45 3.88 1,067,500 34.53 MINDTREE 1514.25 1.69 382,000 7.18 BAJAJ-AUTO 2367.25 1.79 1,876,000 5.69 BHARTIARTL 300.9 1.71 30,166,800 3.02 Short Build-Up ACC 1259.45-0.71 3,282,000 23.32 SAIL 38.25-9.04 37,287,000 16.93 NTPC 133-4.70 16,240,000 13.76 TORNTPHARM 1351.7-3.58 391,600 13.05 Short Covering CANBK 183.65 1.24 12,670,000-8.39 INFY 1176.7 0.23 11,544,000-5.66 SOUTHBANK 19.1 2.14 17,930,000-4.90 IGL 567.75 0.16 1,893,100-4.18 Liquidation ENGINERSIN 189.35-1.38 5,335,000-8.04 AJANTPHARM 1301.6-0.31 462,000-7.53 GODREJCP 1236.75-2.62 249,200-6.32 YESBANK 765.5-0.73 13,331,500-5.68 Long Build Up:- Rise in Price & Rise in Short Build Up:- Fall in Price & Rise in Liquidation:- Fall in Price & Fall in Short Covering:- Rise in Price & Fall in

F&O Price Gainers & Losers UBL 811.45 3.88 1,067,500 34.53 OFSS 3770.9 2.70 145,350 1.04 JUSTDIAL 578.1 2.60 2,985,000-2.08 SOUTHBANK 19.1 2.14 17,930,000-4.90 SAIL 38.25-9.04 37,287,000 16.93 VEDL 64.95-8.13 84,380,000-4.40 TATASTEEL 231.1-7.36 29,346,000 2.55 JINDALSTEL 60.25-6.01 42,588,000 3.24 FII Derivatives Statistics BUY SELL at the end of the day. of contracts Amt (in Cr.). of Contracts Amt (in Cr.). of Contracts Amt (in Cr.) INDEX FUTURES 38664 2076.42 39540 2127.41 209140 11146.48 INDEX OPTIONS 685786 37450.29 701342 38168.36 1000380 55245.32 STOCK FUTURES 94011 4229.92 102513 4623.14 1085428 48350.75 STOCK OPTIONS 61733 2771.80 62115 2769.93 40610 1793.31 Volume and Turnover News Updates Product. of contracts Turnover (in Cr.) Sensex tanks 286 points on global cues; Nifty50 tests 7,450. Index Futures 3,79,833 19,699.40 Stock Futures 6,20,552 28,124.51 Index Options 32,13,615 177,374.33 Stock Options 3,30,819 15,331.30 F&O Total 45,44,819 240,529.54 The RBI left the repo rate - its key policy rate - unchanged at 6.75 per cent in its first bimonthly money policy review. BP slumps into $6.5bn loss on oil collapse. Aurobindo Pharma drops 5% despite clarification on USFDA action. Lupin gains after launching Generic Glumetza HCI ER Tablets in US. European equities bruised by BP and weak oil prices.

Stocks In Action Stock View CMP TGT Rationale TATAELXSI Bullish 2283 2480-2700 Tata Elxsi has broken out into fresh all-time highs in today s session. The counter has already outperformed the broader markets & benchmark NIFTY Midcap indices. Rise in Volumes have been witnessed & momentum is strong for the stock. On weekly charts as well the stock has broken out after forming a good base for itself. Therefore, we recommend going long in the stock on dips towards 2160-2200. On the upside the stock has potential to test 2480 2700 levels. On the downside, the stop loss should be placed below 2024 level. CONCLUSION Today the benchmark indices witnessed profit booking and closed below short term moving averages. Going forward Nifty has immediate support in the range of 7420 7420 (pivot low). If Nifty manages to hold on this level on a closing basis and record pullback, then in that case Nifty can form an inverted head and shoulder pattern. Readers should note that inverted head and shoulder pattern is a bullish pattern appears at the bottom. In case of failure to do so, Nifty can plunge further up to 7325 7310 and below that it might retest swing low of 7240 levels. On the upside resistance is placed at 7470 7525 / 7600 levels. Meanwhile Bank Nifty index has broken swing low of 15130 and closed below it, suggesting weakness in the banking stocks. The support for the Bank Nifty is placed at 15000 -- 14750, on the contrary resistance can be seen at 15350/ 15650 levels. The FII s have sold again in the cash & future market. In the cash market they sold 114 Cr. and DII s sold 323 cr. On the F&O front FII s sold to the tune of 51 cr. in the index futures with a fall in open interest, suggesting liquidation. And they sold 718cr. in the index option, 393 cr. in the stock futures, with a marginal rise in open interest. On the derivative front, activity was seen in 7500 CE to 7800 CE, while on the PUT front activity was seen in 7200 PE -- 7500 PE. The 7900 & 7700 strikes Call and 7200 PE added 5.17, 4.63 & 4.16 Lakh shares. On the flipside unwinding was seen in 7400 CE & 7400 PE, indicating that the 7400 is a crucial level to watch out for. The above discussed data points suggest that the market is in caution mode, since Nifty is trading near its key support zone. Hence, we suggest booking profit on our recommended long call on Nifty Feb Fut. (initiated at 7300 level), if it sustains below 7380 mark for one hour. Forthcoming Results ACCEL BOMBWIR FRUTION JMFINANCIL MOTILALOFS PREMEXPLQ SMRUTHI THOMASCOOK ACCELYA BRADYM GAL KAPILCO NATIONSTD PRIMEURB SOLCT TIMESGTY ADIFINCHM CCL GDL KEC NEULANDLAB QUINTEGRA SPARC TRIDENT ALCHEM CHASBRT GMM KLRF NOBLEXP RAUNAQEPC SSK TRIGYN ALKA COARO GREAVESCOT LAOPALA ORIENTCEM REDINGTON SUPER TTKHEALTH APOORVA CTE HCLTD LAXMIMACH PCS REGTRUS SURATEX VAKPOWINF APTECHT DALMIABHA HEXAWARE MAITHANALL PFIZER RELIGARE SWARAJAUTO WHBRADY AREALTY DESHRAK HIKAL MANGLMCEM PHCAP SALSTEEL TAINWALCHM ZWELCAST AUROCOK DISHTV HINDCOPPER MANORG PNBGILTS SERVOTEC TCFCFINQ BAJAJFINSV ELANGO ISFT MANUGRAPH PPAP SHAHALLOYS TDPOWERSYS BAJAJHIND ELDERPHARM JBCHEPHARM MEGH PRATIK SHIVMED TEXINFRA BAJFINANCE EVERLON JINDWORLD MODISNME PREMCO SILINV THEBYKE

Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by IndiaNivesh Securities Limited ( INSL ), for use by the recipient as information only and is not for circulation or public distribution. INSL includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, employees and affiliates. This document is published in accordance with Regulation 18 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. INSL researches, aggregates and faithfully reproduces information available in public domain and other sources, considered to be reliable and makes them available for the recipient, though its accuracy or completeness has not been verified by INSL independently and cannot be guaranteed. This document is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded or published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from INSL. This document is solely for information purpose and should not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Recipients of this document should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide for future performance and price and value of investments can go up or down. The suitability or otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipients particular circumstances. INSL does not take responsibility thereof. The information contained in this document has been obtained from sources that are considered as reliable though its accuracy or completeness has not been verified by INSL independently and cannot be guaranteed. INSL has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. The research analysts of INSL have adhered to the code of conduct under Regulation 24 (2) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. thing in this document constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients specific circumstances. INSL does not accept any responsibility or whatever nature for the information, assurances and statements given or made available herein or for any omission or for any liability arising from the use of this document. Information mentioned is the current information as of the date appearing on this document only. INSL directors/ employees and its clients may have holdings in the stocks mentioned in the document. This report is based on technical and derivative analysis on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. Following table contains the disclosure of interest in order to adhere to utmost transparency in the matter. Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Details of business activity of IndiaNivesh Securities Limited (INSL) INSL is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Cash, F & O and CDS segments. INSL is also a Depository Participant and registered with both Depository viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, INSL is a Registered Portfolio Manager and is registered with SEBI. 2. Details of Disciplinary History of INSL disciplinary action is / was running / initiated against INSL 3. Whether Research analyst or INSL or its relatives /associates is holding the securities of the subject company Please refer to the important 'Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the IndiaNivesh website (Investment Research Section - http://www.indianivesh.in/research/holding_disclosure.aspx?id=10 - link). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. INSL and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. 4. Research analyst or INSL or its relatives /associates financial interest in the subject company and nature of such financial interest 5. Research analyst or INSL or its relatives /associates actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document. Please refer to the important 'Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the IndiaNivesh website (Investment Research Section - http://www.indianivesh.in/research/holding_disclosure.aspx?id=10 - link). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. INSL and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. 6. Research analyst or INSL or its relatives /associates any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the document 7. Has research analyst or INSL or its associates received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months 8. Has research analyst or INSL or its associates managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months 9. Has research analyst or INSL or its associates received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months 10. Has research analyst or INSL or its associates received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months 11. Has research analyst or INSL or its associates received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the document. 12. Has research analyst served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company 13. Has research analyst or INSL engaged in market making activity for the subject company 14. Other disclosures INSL, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.