Morning Buzz. Research Picks INDIA. India IT Services: Mixed quarter from Accenture. 21 December 2015
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1 Morning Buzz INDIA Research Picks 21 December 2015 India IT Services: Mixed quarter from Accenture This report has been prepared by Religare Capital Markets Limited or one of its affiliates. For analyst certification and other important disclosures, please refer to the Disclosure and Disclaimer section at the end of this report. Analysts employed by non-us affiliates are not registered with FINRA regulation and may not be subject to FINRA/NYSE restrictions on communications with covered companies, public appearances, and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
2 Sector Update INDIA INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 18 December 2015 India IT Services Mixed quarter from Accenture Accenture s (ACN) Q1FY16 revenues of US$ 8bn (+10% YoY LC) beat expectations with strong growth in consulting. New bookings were soft at US$ 7.74bn, but management has guided for an uptick in Q2. ACN raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to 6-9% from 5-8%. The company s results indicate that the demand environment remains mixed, with momentum in consulting but a slowdown in outsourcing. The guidance hike is sentiment positive for India IT. We remain selective on Indian IT stocks and prefer growth leaders INFO, TECHM and HCLT. Revenues beat expectation: ACN s revenue came in at US$ 8bn, up 10% LC YoY, beating both market expectations (consensus US$ 7.9bn) and guidance of US$ 7.45bn 7.70bn. Growth was largely driven by strong consulting revenues which came in at US$ 4.3bn, up 15% YoY LC. Outsourcing revenue growth was slow at 5% YoY LC (9% in Q3). Order bookings at US$ 7.7bn were soft as compared to Q4FY15 (US$ 8.8bn) due to the seasonal pattern of slow bookings in Q1. Operating income for the quarter was at US$ 1.2bn with a margin of 15.2%, up 20bps YoY. Improved guidance: ACN raised its full-year LC revenue guidance from 5-8% to 6-9% for FY16 based on a strong deal pipeline. The Q2 guidance of US$ 7.50bn-7.75bn is in line with market expectations. Segmental performance: Geographically, the Americas and Europe saw strong growth with 11%/12% LC growth YoY. Growth markets lagged at 6% YoY due to slow demand in the energy and natural resource segment. Among verticals, ACN saw strong growth in operating groups communications (12%), health and public service (8%) and financial services (12%). The products segment grew 12%. REPORT AUTHORS Rumit Dugar [email protected] Saumya Shrivastava [email protected] Management guidance for FY16 Parameter Guidance Revenue growth 6-9% Operating margin % Diluted EPS $ $5.24 Operating cash flow Free cash flow $4.1bn - $4.4bn $3.6bn - $3.9bn Effective tax rate 25-26% Source: Company Metrics: Headcount stood at 372,507 employees, a 3.9% increase over the previous quarter with 73% of the employee base engaged in the Global Delivery Network (GDN). Utilisation remained flat at 90% and overall attrition improved marginally to 13% compared to 14% in Q4. Fig 1 - Accenture: Order bookings (US$ bn) Feb-14 May-14 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 New Bookings YoY growth - Reported (%) (1.2) (11.5) (6.9) (3.4) Consulting Bookings YoY growth - Reported (%) (9.3) (8.7) As % of Bookings Outsourcing Bookings YoY growth - Reported (%) (4.3) (13.6) (7.3) (11.1) 7.5 (12.6) As % of Bookings Source: Company Click here for the full report.
3 RESEARCH TEAM ANALYST SECTOR TELEPHONE Mihir Jhaveri Auto, Auto Ancillaries, Cement, Logistics Siddharth Vora Auto, Auto Ancillaries, Cement, Logistics Misal Singh Capital Goods, Infrastructure, Utilities Prashant Tiwari Capital Goods, Infrastructure, Utilities Gaurang Kakkad Consumer Premal Kamdar Consumer Parag Jariwala, CFA Financials Vikesh Mehta Financials Rumit Dugar IT, Telecom, Media Saumya Shrivastava IT, Telecom, Media Pritesh Jani Metals Arun Baid Mid-caps Praful Bohra Pharmaceuticals Aarti Rao Pharmaceuticals Arun Aggarwal Real Estate Jay Shankar Economics & Strategy Rahul Agrawal Economics & Strategy December 2015 Page 2 of 4
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