E. Paige Price. Dissertation: Leaders in Search of the Bomb: Institutional Incentives for Nuclear Decisions



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Education E. Paige Price University of South Carolina Department of Political Science 817 Henderson Street, Columbia, SC 29208 Email: priceep3@email.sc.edu (primary); paigeprice@me.com (secondary) Website: www.paigeprice.net University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC Ph.D. Candidate in Political Science, Expected May 2016 Emphases: International Relations and Comparative Politics Dissertation: Leaders in Search of the Bomb: Institutional Incentives for Nuclear Decisions Dissertation Committee: Katherine Barbieri (chair), Harvey Starr, Lee Walker, Matthew Fuhrmann (Texas A&M University) MA in International Studies, May 2014 Emphasis: Comparative Foreign Policies University of North Carolina Wilmington, Wilmington, NC BA in Political Science, May 2009 Minors: English and International Affairs Dissertation Leaders in Search of the Bomb: Institutional Incentives for Nuclear Decisions Possessing nuclear weapons (or having status as a nuclear weapons state) holds a strong allure for many leaders. Nuclear weapons are more than mere instruments to promote national security. These weapons represent symbols of modernity in the international community and affect national identity. Thus, nuclear weapons, more than most weapons, include many benefits beyond security. Yet, proliferating is a costly endeavor. A leader who chooses to proliferate must balance the preferences of his or her domestic audience with the significant resources required to proliferate in an international system that opposes proliferation. There is great variation in the political institutional structures of regimes, which creates diverging incentive structures in the policy choices of leaders. Leaders that face a larger winning coalition are more apt to provide policy concessions to gain public cooperation while leaders that face a smaller winning coalition are more likely to distribute private spoils to their cronies. My purpose is to illuminate the causal pathways of proliferation, which I attempt through a formal model that allows me to map out six possible outcomes of nuclearization and reversal. I empirically test this formal model through a combination of large N statistical analyses with more in-depth qualitative follow-ups. Why do leaders begin nuclear weapons programs? How do domestic audiences affect the decision to begin a weapons program? What happens to leaders who fail to acquire a nuclear weapon after beginning a program? What strategies are most effective for reversing nuclear weapons programs? I examine these questions internationally by examining state-level implications of beginning a nuclear weapons program and comparatively by exploring how variations in political institutions and regime types affect nuclear decisions. Price 1 September 2015

Research and Teaching Interests International Relations Foreign Policy and Decision-making, Political Survival, Nuclear Policies, Globalization and Security Concerns, Conflict Processes, Democratic Peace, Human Rights, Efficacy of International Institutions, Strategic Choice Comparative Politics Authoritarian Institutions, Regime Stability, Democratization Paths, Democratization Biases, Nuclear Decisions, especially of Authoritarian Leaders Publications Gender, Diversity, and Inclusiveness Track Summaries, with Marcus Allen, Andreas Broscheid, and Joseph DeLorenzo. July 2015 PS: Political Science & Politics Working Papers To Nuclearize or not to Nuclearize? Leaders and their Audiences: a Model of Capability and Choice. Journal Manuscript. Under review Gender and the Classroom: How Participatory Roles Shed Light on Gender Behavior in the Classroom. Journal Manuscript. Under review Strategic Choice and Nuclear Reversal: Why do Some Leaders Press Pause? Journal Manuscript. The Supply-Side: Regime Type, International Assistance, and Nuclear Proliferation Journal Manuscript. The Effect of Nuclear Weapons on Regime Stability Professional Presentations 2015 Leaders in Search of the Bomb: Institutional Incentives for Nuclear Decisions Paper presented at the 2015 Journeys in World Politics Workshop, March 2015 Gender Differences and Classroom Participation with T.J. Kimel Paper presented at the 2015 American Political Science Association s Teaching and Learning Conference, January 2015 Price 2 September 2015

2014 To Nuclearize or not to Nuclearize? Leaders and their Audiences: a Model of Capability and Choice. Paper presented at the 2014 International Studies Association Annual Meeting, March 2014 Institutional Incentives for Nuclear Decisions with Lee D. Walker Paper presented at the University of South Carolina Political Science Graduate Research Conference, February 2014. 2013 To Nuclearize or not to Nuclearize? Leaders and their Audiences: a Model of Capability and Choice. Poster Presented at the 2013 Peace Science Society Annual Meeting, October 2013 Non-Democratic Institutions and Nuclear Weapons: A Model of Choice. Poster presented at the University of South Carolina Graduate Student Day, April 2013. Nuclear Proliferation, Non-democracies, and Political Survival: An Institutional Perspective. Paper presented at the University of South Carolina Political Science Graduate Research Conference, February 2013. Grants and Awards Winner of the Outstanding Graduate Student Teacher Award Presented by USC Department of Political Science, 2015 Travel Grant for presentation at International Studies Association University of South Carolina, Graduate School. 2014 University of South Carolina, Department of Political Science. 2014 Winner of the Best Paper Award Presented at the PSGSO Inaugural Graduate Student Conference, 2013 Winner of the Best Poster Presentation in the Social Sciences Award Presented at the University of South Carolina s Graduate Student Day, 2013 West Forum Fellowship University of South Carolina, Department of Political Science, 2013 Summer Research Assistant Fellowship with Dr. Amanda Licht, University of South Carolina, Department of Political Science, 2012. Price 3 September 2015

Graduate Instructional Assistantship August 2011 to present, University of South Carolina, Department of Political Science Honors Member, Sigma Iota Rho International Honor Society Member, Golden Key International Honor Society Cornerstone Leadership Excellence Award, Presented by UNCW at the Cornerstone Student Awards Day, 2008 Delta Zeta National Leadership Award, Presented at the National Leadership Convention, 2008 Teaching Experience Instructor of Record POLI315: Introduction to International Relations, Fall 2013-2015 POLI340 Conduct of US Foreign Policy, Spring 2014-2016 Discussion Leader (three sections) POLI101: Controversies in World Government, with Dr. Tobias Lanz Spring 2013 Teaching Assistant POLI315: Introduction to International Relations, with Dr. Katherine Barbieri Fall 2012 with Dr. Amanda Licht Spring 2012 with Dr. Katherine Barbieri Fall 2011 POLI330 International Organizations, with Dr. Amanda Licht Spring 2012 POLI341 American Foreign Policy, with Dr. Jerel Rosati Fall 2011 Additional Training Preparing Future Faculty (PFF) Program, Center for Teaching Excellence, University of South Carolina, April 2015. Principles of Higher Education Course taken at University of South Carolina, December 2014 Price 4 September 2015

Invited Talks Invited Panelist for University of South Carolina s Graduate Teaching Orientation, August 2015 Invited Guest Lecturer for Dr. Katherine Barbieri s Introduction to International Relations Class, September 2014 Methodological Training and Technical Skills Methodological Coursework, University of South Carolina Advanced OLS Regression, Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), Time Series Analysis, Advanced MLE: Monte Carlo Experiments, Qualitative Methodologies Inter-University Consortium of Political and Social Research, MI, 2013 Courses: Introduction to Applied Bayesian Modeling for the Social Sciences (Ryan Bakker); Introduction to Game Theory (Scott Ainsworth); Advanced Bayesian Models for the Social Sciences (Skyler Cranmer and Daniel Stegmueller) Computing Skills STATA, R, L A T E X Service Positions and Professional Affiliations To the Discipline Reviewer for Conflict Management and Peace Studies Member, APSA Sections: Conflict Processes, International Security and Arms Control, Foreign Policy, Comparative Democratization Member, Peace Science Society International Member, International Studies Association To the University of South Carolina President, Sigma Iota Rho, Fall 2013-Spring 2014 International Relations Search Committee Graduate Student Liaison, Fall 2013 Treasurer, Sigma Iota Rho, Fall 2012-Spring 2013 Political Science Liaison, Graduate Student Association, Fall 2011 To the Department of Political Science Vice President, Political Science Graduate Student Association, Fall 2013-Spring 2014 Secretary, Political Science Graduate Student Association, Fall 2012-Spring 2013 Price 5 September 2015

Academic References Dr. Katherine Barbieri (Chair) Associate Professor, Political Science, University of South Carolina 803.777.6902 katherine.barbieri@sc.edu Dr. Harvey Starr (Committee Member) Dag Hammarskjöld Professor in International Affairs, University of South Carolina 803.777.7292 starr@mailbox.sc.edu Dr. Lee Walker (Committee Member) Associate Professor, Political Science, University of North Texas 703.292.7318 lwalker@nsf.gov Price 6 September 2015