AGRI- BUSINESS IN ARGENTINA A SEMINAR ON INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

Transcription

1 AGRI- BUSINESS IN ARGENTINA A SEMINAR ON INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES Maximiliano Moreno Director of Multilateral Negotiations Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries Argentina

2 NEW INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENT Challenges and Opportunities

3 INTERNATIONAL GLOBAL TRENDS Change in the international economic power Change in the consumers habits due to: (i) income increase (ii) urban areas (60% in 2030) Biofuels (14% cereals and 16% oilseeds) Increasing trade protectionism Climate change (agriculture 13.5% of GHG)

4 INTERNATIONAL GLOBAL TRENDS Water and land scarcity Price volatility

5 FOOD OFFER VS. FOOD DEMAND Food supply not growing at the same pace than demand Pressure on prices

6 FAO PROJECTIONS Food production shall increase by 70% in 2050 to attend demand 1 billion Tns. of grains and 200 millions Tns. of meat. Developing countries shall double its agricultural production 80% percent of the necessary production increases would come from productivity increases and only 20% from expansion of arable land.

7 INVESTMENTS ARE THE KEY Investments required in developing countries to support this expansion in agricultural output amount to an average annual net investment of USD 209 billion. Gap: 50%

8 RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT

9 THE ARGENTINE EXPERIENCE NATIONAL POLICIES ADOPTED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF INTERNATIONAL OPPORTUNITIES

10 ARGENTINA AT A GLANCE Total Area Agricultural Area Population GDP 2,8 million km km2 40,5 million U$S million Investment / GDP 22% GDP Annual Growth Exports Imports 2003/2009 over 8% U$S million U$S million Source: MAGyP en base a datos de INDEC

11 The importance of Agriculture and Agro- Industry Fuente: MAGyP en base a datos de INDEC

12 WHAT WE HAVE DONE Strengthened institutional framework: creation of the Ministry, INTA, SENASA No-Till Farming Biotechnology New Agricultural attaches Competitive exchange rate Preferential loans to agri-food sector Cooperation initiatives Consolidate risk management tools

13 THE RESULTS ARGENTINE IN FIGURES FIGURES Argentine agri-gdp increased 321% Agri-food sector accounts for 15% of Argentine GDP Productivity grains sector increased 25% Food for 400 million people Tripled exports of agri-food products, reaching USD 38 billion

14 EXPORTS EVOLUTION 22,1% 22,6% Source: MAGyP en base a datos de INDEC 14

15 THE RESULTS ARGENTINE IN FIGURES FIGURES EXPORTS ( ) 1 Honey, Concentrated Lemon Juice, Peanut Oil, Soybean Oil and Soybean Meals. 2 Corn, Sunflower Oil, Lemons and Limes, Pears, Peanuts, Processed Bovine Meat, Grape Juice, Sorghum, Sunflower Meals, Yerba Mate and Peanut Meals. 3 Soybean, Garlic and Concentrated Apple Juice. 4 Wheat Flour and Olives. 5 Greasy Wool. 6 Wheat, Boneless Bovine Meat, Whole Dry Milk, Tangerines, Dried Eggs. 7 Barley, Frozen Potatoes, Olive Oil and White Rice. 8 Tobacco, Malt, Raisins and Clean Wool.

16 THE RESULTS ARGENTINE IN FIGURES FIGURES PRODUCTION ( ) Grains from 70.8 M Tn to 100 M Tn (+41%) Bovine meat from 2.5 M Tn to 2.6 M Tn (+4%) Poultry meat from 0.6 M Tn to 1.6 M Tn (+139%) Pork meat from 170,000 Tn to 280,000 Tn (64%) Ovine meat from 46,000 Tn to 76,000 Tn (+63%) Dairy products from 8.5 B Lts to 10.4 B Lits (+22%)

17 ARGENTINE PEA 2020 Our policy: MORE FOOD FOR MORE PEOPLE Our objectives: Consolidate as a world food supplier leader Strengthen quality and value added on our food production Supply increasing domestic and international food demand Guarantee sustainable production Our Plan: Federal and Participative Agri-food and Agribusiness Strategic Plan, 2010/2016. (PEA²)

18

19 PEA PRODUCTION OBJETIVES BASE LINE (2010) OBJECTIVE (2020) % INCREASE GRAINS 100 M Tns M Tn 58% COTTON 388,000 Tns 1.3 M Tns 234% HORTICULTUR ES 5.4 M Tns 10.2 M Tns 89% CITRICS 3.3 M Tns 4.5 M Tns 36% WINE SECTOR 2.6 M Tns 3 M Tns 15% HONEY 55,000 Tns 118,000 Tns 115% FISHERIES 540,000 Tns 680,000 Tns 26%

20 PEA PRODUCTION OBJETIVES BASE LINE (2010) OBJECTIVE (2020) % INCREASE BOVINE MEAT 2.6 M Tns 3.8 M Tns 46% POULTRY MEAT 1.6 M Tns 3 M Tns 88% PORK MEAT 281,000 Tns 822,000 Tns 193% OVINE MEAT 76,000 Tns 106,000 Tns 40% DAIRY PRODUCTS 10.4 B Liters 18.3 B Liters 76%

21 PEA OBJECTIVES Increase value added on agricultural exports from 22% to 41% Favor innovation and transfer / adoption of new technologies Stimulate new organization units: clusters, cooperatives Improve infrastructure (transport, telecommunications, energetic resources)

22 PEA OBJECTIVES Contribute to the achievement of the UN Millennium Development Goals (eradicate poverty and hunger sustainable development) Increase exports of agri-food products from USD 40 billion to 100 billion (+ 153%) - Commodities: +80% (USD27.3 billion) - Manufactures: +193% (USD 67 billion) Favor the adoption of tax and incentive regime to stimulate private investment

23 To achieve these goals, we must increase investment that allows the enhancement of systemic competitiveness.

24 MORE INVESTMENTS ARE THE KEY

25 The Provincial Agricultural Development Project (PROSAP) is the most important instrument of public investment of the Ministry of Agriculture. Source Million USD World Bank 442 IDB 925 National Public Sources 273 Total 1,640

26 CONCLUSIONS International organizations reports indicate that during the next decades the world will demand more quantity and quality of food products. Our main export destination are expected to continue growing at significant rates (China, Brazil, India) with a sustained food demand. Most of projections envisage that food prices will remain high, representing an opportunity for producers. On the other hand, importers and consumers will extreme their quality / sustainability requests

27 CONCLUSIONS Argentina has already adopted nationals policies to take advantage of international opportunities. Argentina is currently world leader in food supply. International environment represents and opportunity to consolidate and diversify our exports: NEW MARKETS NEW PRODUCTS. In a world with limited resources and climate change constrains, innovation is part of the solution. The PEA objective is consolidate Argentina as a world food supplier leader. The PEA shows our potential. To turn comparative advantages into competitive opportunities when need that private investments join official initiatives

28 THANK YOU Maximiliano Moreno