SSPEED Center Phase III: Developing a Houston- Galveston Area Protection System (H-GAPS)

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1 Center Phase III: Developing a Houston- Galveston Area Protection System (H-GAPS) The Center 6100 Main St., MS317 Houston, Texas 77005

2 June 2, 2014 DPCAC meeting Center Phase I & II Recap ( ) Phase III Scope of Work ( ) H-GAPS Initial Concepts/Strategies

3 The Center The Severe Storm Prediction, Education, and Evacuation from Disasters () Center (est. 2007) Mission To be recognized as the Gulf Coast s top university-based center for research and education in the prediction, analysis and impacts of severe storms.

4 The Center The Center is based at Rice University and collaborates with leading academic institutions, the private sector and public entities. Key Researchers Dr. John Anderson Rice University - Coastal Geology Dr. Philip Bedient Rice University - Urban Flood Analysis Mr. Jim Blackburn Rice University - Environmental Impact Dr. Sam Brody Texas A&M University - Land Planning and Risk Mr. Joe Cibor Cibor, Inc. - Geotechnical Engineering Mr. Tom Colbert University of Houston - Land Planning Dr. Clint Dawson University of Texas - Storm Surge Modeling Dr. Jamie Padgett Rice University - Bay Area Infrastructure Mr. Charles Penland Walter P Moore - Civil Engineering Dr. Hanadi Rifai University of Houston - Industrial/environmental impact (HSC) Dr. Ron Sass Rice University - Wetlands and Carbon Cycling

5 Phase I and II Recap ( )

6 LONE STAR COASTAL AREAS Existing Conditions + Green Options Lone Star Coastal National Recreation Area (LSCNRA) Lone Star Coastal Exchange (LSCE)

7 CENTENNIAL GATE LOCATIONS

8 CENTENNIAL GATE LOCATIONS

9 Conceptual Gate Designs

10 Modeling Ike Surge Water Levels Varying landfall points (p0 and p7) Varying wind speeds (Ike, +15%, +30%) Ike, OL Ike+15%, OL Ike, NL Ike+15%, NL Ike+30%, OL Ike+30%, NL

11

12

13 Industrial Damage Database Ike+15%, p7

14 Infrastructure Risk Database Ike+30%, p7

15 Residential Damage Database Galveston County, Category 3 Hurricane Low Damage Estimate High Damage Estimate Bayou Vista $50.5 M $72.3 M Clear Lake Shores $31.5 M $44.6 M Dickinson $89.5 M $135 M Friendswood $9.2 M $12.4 M Galveston $725 M $1035 M Hitchcock $61.8 M $89.2 M Jamaica Beach $74.4 M $106 M Kemah $36.7 M $50.5 M La Marque $74.9 M $111 M League City $449 M $655 M Santa Fe $3.5 M $5.3 M Texas City $89.2 M $136 M Tiki Island $80.5 M $115 M Unincorporated $395 M $565 M County Total $2,170 M $3,132 M Ike+15%, p7

16 Report by TU Delft (2013) Report Galveston Bay: Bolivar Roads Flood Risk Reduction Barrier (July 2013) Objective: provide suitable solutions for surge barrier in Bolivar Roads as part of the Ike Dike system and provide recommendations for further research Recommendation: investigate other options to increase the flood protection level, such as compartmenting Galveston Bay to reduce wind set up and other alignments of a flood protection system. Eventually, it is important to compare various alternatives (incl. donothing, Ike Dike and other alternatives).

17 Phase III: Scope of Work Storm Surge Protection for the Houston-Galveston Area ( ) THREE priority initiatives: 1. Analysis of Concepts/Strategies for Surge Damage Reduction - Identify existing damages/risk associated with hurricane storm surge - Generate and analyze storm surge damage reduction strategies, including structural and non-structural options (e.g. Centennial Gate, Ike Dike and LSCE) - Recommend surge damage reduction strategy for Galveston Bay area (H-GAPS) 2. Lone Star Coastal National Recreation Area and Ecosystems Services Exchange - Support pursuit of congressional legislation for creating LSCNRA - Evaluation and quantification of ecosystem services in the Galveston Bay region 3. Federal Flood Insurance Policy Study - Evaluation of Biggert-Waters Act (2012), other federal flood policies, and current development policies/criteria, under existing and future floodplain mapping and land use conditions

18 Phase III: Scope of Work Storm Surge Protection for the Houston-Galveston Area ( ) THREE priority initiatives: 1. Analysis of Concepts/Strategies for Surge Damage Reduction - Identify existing damages/risk associated with hurricane storm surge - Generate and analyze storm surge damage reduction strategies, including structural and non-structural options (e.g. Centennial Gate, Ike Dike and LSCE) - Recommend surge damage reduction strategy for Galveston Bay area (H-GAPS) 2. Lone Star Coastal National Recreation Area and Ecosystems Services Exchange - Support pursuit of congressional legislation for creating LSCNRA - Evaluate/quantify ecosystem services in the Galveston Bay region (LSCE) 3. Federal Flood Insurance Policy Study - Evaluation of Biggert-Waters Act (2012), other federal flood policies, and current development policies/criteria, under existing and future floodplain mapping and land use conditions

19 Phase III: Scope of Work Storm Surge Protection for the Houston-Galveston Area ( ) THREE priority initiatives: 1. Analysis of Concepts/Strategies for Surge Damage Reduction - Identify existing damages/risk associated with hurricane storm surge - Generate and analyze storm surge damage reduction strategies, including structural and non-structural options (e.g. Centennial Gate, Ike Dike and LSCE) - Recommend surge damage reduction strategy for Galveston Bay area (H-GAPS) 2. Lone Star Coastal National Recreation Area and Ecosystems Services Exchange - Support pursuit of congressional legislation for creating LSCNRA - Evaluate/quantify ecosystem services in the Galveston Bay region (LSCE) 3. Federal Flood Insurance Policy Study - Evaluate Biggert-Waters Act (2012), other federal flood policies, and current development policies/criteria, under existing (and future) floodplain mapping and land use conditions

20 H-GAPS Project Work Flow Coastal Modeling P. Bedient C. Dawson N. Fang J. Anderson Analysis of Storm Surge Reduction Concepts/Strategies Analysis of Existing Conditions of Storm Surge J. Cibor C. Penland J. Blackburn R. Sass T. Colbert Conceptual Design/ Impacts Assessment (Cost Estimate) Analysis of Damage/Risk Reduction (Benefits Estimate) Analysis of Damage/Risk (Damages Estimate) P. Bedient H. Rifai J. Padgett Benefit/Cost Ratio of Strategies Cost of doing nothing Peer Review Organizations TAMUG TU Delft USACE Galveston District Texas GLO 6-County Surge District H-GAPS Recommendation

21 H-GAPS Study Area Boundaries

22 USACE 1979 Concepts/Strategies Alternatives Examined Coastal Barrier Plan Mid-Barrier Plan Bayshore Barrier Plan Resulting Plan City of Galveston levee West Bayshore levee (LaPorte to Texas City)

23 Initial Concepts/Strategies

24 H-GAPS Questions?

25 The Ike Dike strategy is to keep the ocean surge out of Galveston Bay by using a gated coastal barrier Houston Ship Channel High Island Bolivar Roads Existing Seawall Intracoastal Waterway Coastal Spine San Luis Pass

26 Current FHAs - HSC BFE 14 BFE 15 BFE 19

27 Preliminary FHAs - HSC BFE 20 BFE 19 BFE 20 BFE 19 BFE 20 BFE 17 BFE 19 BFE 19 BFE 20 BFE 18 BFE 19

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