TeleGeography Workshop: International Market Trends
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1 TeleGeography Workshop: International Market Trends Sponsored by
2 Preview of the Action Introduction (Mike van den Bergh, PCCW) International Voice (Tim) Colocation (Jon) Service Pricing (Erik) International Networks (Tim)
3 A Map from the Age of Discovery
4 International Voice: A Short and Happy Tale Tim Stronge [email protected]
5 A Picture of Stasis Global Traffic Rate of Price Decline versus Volume Growth!
6 A Picture of Stasis Global Traffic Rate of Price Decline versus Volume Growth!
7 A Picture of Stasis Global Traffic Rate of Price Decline versus Volume Growth!
8 Underneath the Stasis Change Carrier VoIP versus TDM Interconnects!
9 Skype s Impact
10 Destination of Traffic Has Changed International Traffic to Emerging and Advanced Economies!
11 So, Too, Have Revenues Wholesale Revenues to Emerging and Advanced Economies!
12 The End And We All Lived Happily Ever After!
13 Global Colocation Market Trends Jon Hjembo
14 Outline What are the core data center markets and how fast are they growing? What markets are emerging as secondary regional hubs? How do colocation prices compare across markets?
15 Core Data Center Markets
16 Footprints vary considerably Retail Colocation Floor Space, 2014!
17 Growth rates often inverse to market size Growth in Gross Retail Colocation Space, CAGR !
18 Secondary Markets
19 Some secondary hubs much larger than others Retail Colocation Floor Space, 2014!
20 and growth rates vary considerably Growth in Gross Retail Colocation Space, CAGR !
21 Pricing Trends
22 Median prices vary across markets Median Monthly Price per Kilowatt at 4-Kilowatt Density, H1 2014!
23 and even more within each market Range in Monthly Price per Kilowatt at 4-Kilowatt Density, H1 2014!
24 Stark contrasts in cross-connect prices Median Monthly Fiber Cross-Connect Price, H1 2014!
25 but what really counts is the total cost Total Cost of Ownership per Month, Five Cross-Connects, H1 2014!
26 Colo prices steadier than network prices Median Colo Price per KW and 10 GigE Prices, New York, H H1 2014!
27 Prices expected to remain stable Operator Price Expectations by Metro Area, H1 2014!
28 Conclusion Core colocation markets have varying growth rates but continual international investment. Some secondary markets are expanding much faster than others. European colocation markets are typically more price-competitive than American and Asian markets, due to lower connectivity pricing.
29 Network Pricing, Bottom to Top Erik Kreifeldt
30 Pricing stack Bottom layer: Transport Spectrum, waves; by route, carrier, capacity Layer 2: Ethernet Layer 3: IP Transit Top layer: Enterprise EVPN, IP VPN, DIA, Local access
31 Bottom Layer: Transport Prices
32 Alien Waves! Unforeseen cable upgrades, huge demand from nontraditional operators Hybrid cable owner/ bandwidth customer model Negotiate on cost not price Operational problems Concept evolved to securing share of capacity Valuation relies on MRCs/ IRUs
33 100G Transport Price Route Sample Tokyo Frankfurt via Los Angeles, New York, London!
34 Wave Price Multiples 7x:10x Q Trans-Oceanic and Trans-Continental Prices, 10G &100G!
35 10G Transport Price Route Sample Trans-Atlantic, Europe-Asia, Intra-Asia, Trans-Pacific, U.S.-Latin America!
36 Prices Vary by Location Q Gbps Prices and 3-Year CAGR on Global Routes!
37 Prices Vary by Distance Q Gbps Prices and 3-Year CAGR on Global Routes!
38 10G Transport Price Range Example Trans-Pacific Pricing: Los Angeles Tokyo!
39 Prices Vary by Carrier Price Range by Carrier, 10 Gbps, Los Angeles Tokyo, !
40 Layer 2: Ethernet Prices
41 Ethernet Price Route Sample Trans-Atlantic, Europe-Asia, Intra-Asia, Trans-Pacific, U.S.-Latin America!
42 Ethernet Prices Vary by Location FastE EoMPLS H Prices and 3-Year CAGR!
43 Ethernet Prices Vary by Transport Median GigE Prices by Transport Type and Route, H2 2014!
44 Ethernet Prevails Over SDH Frankfurt London Capacity Pricing by Transport Type, H2 2014!
45 Layer 3: Transit Prices
46 IP Transit Price Sample Europe, Asia, Australia, North & South America!
47 IPT Declines Easing in Some Cases Q G IPT prices & CAGRs globally!
48 Pipe & Port Comparison
49 Pipe & Port vs. Local Transit Transit Plus Transport Prices to Selected Locations, 10G, 2014!
50 Top Layer: Enterprise Prices
51 Enterprise Price Sample Europe, Asia, Australia, North & South America!
52 Comparing Enterprise Options Median 10 Mbps Prices for DIA, EVPN, and IP VPN, Q3 2014!
53 EVPN tops IP VPN at High Capacity Median Price for IP VPN and EVPN in Frankfurt by Mbps, 2014!
54 Enterprise Services Growing Prevalence and Growth of Enterprise Products, 2014!
55 Access Capacities Remain Modest Global Mix of Access Sales by Capacity, H2 2013!
56 Unit Price from 100G to 10 Mbps Unit Price of 100 Gbps wave vs. 10 Mbps DIA, Los Angeles Tokyo!
57 Summary Even as product mix and transaction types evolve Network prices fall, from bottom to top, Prices vary by location, carrier, capacity 10G remains primary unit of bandwidth As buyers move to up to 100G and beyond, others will move up to 10G, further enabled by SDN/NFV SDH appeal fading, especially at high capacity Most local access capacities remain low Unit price range between core and access is large
58 International Networks: Something Old, Something New Tim Stronge
59 Growth Fundamentals Still Solid
60 Still Plenty of Potential Capacity
61 Trans-Pacific Potential Capacity Potential Capacity as Currently Announced by Operators!
62 Trans-Pacific Potential Capacity Potential Capacity with Two New Cables!
63 Trans-Pacific Potential Capacity Potential Capacity if 100 x 100G Waves per Fiber Pair - All Cables!
64 What s New? 1: Regional Parity
65 Trans-Atlantic No Longer Dominant International Internet Bandwidth, 2004!
66 Trans-Atlantic No Longer Dominant International Internet Bandwidth, 2014!
67 Regional Price Differences Narrow 10 Gbps Wavelength Price Multiples over London-New York!
68 What s New? 2: Rise of the Content Provider Networks
69 Connecting These Things Requires Bandwidth
70 Private Networks Have Grown Fast
71 and Are Now Sizeable
72 and Are Now Sizeable (Whoa.)
73 There s a Word for This Type of Market Oligopsony
74 Examples of Oligopsony Oligopsony: market with a few, large buyers Example 1 Cocoa Industry Example 2 Tobacco Industry
75 FASTER
76 Monet
77 What s New? 3: IP Transit Revenue Estimates
78 IP Transit Volumes
79 Transit is Fading For Now Transit as a Share of IP Volumes!
80 Submarine Cables Support IP Transit IPT-Related Revenue: Transport vs. Port Revenues!
81 Mahalo!
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