High Correlation between Net Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Willingness to Pay (Empirical Evidence from European Mobile Markets)

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "High Correlation between Net Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Willingness to Pay (Empirical Evidence from European Mobile Markets)"

Transcription

1 Hgh Correlaton between et Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Wllngness to Pay (Emprcal Evdence from European Moble Marets Ths paper shows that the correlaton between the et Promoter Score and consumers' Wllngness To Pay n fve European moble marets s very strong. The et Promoter Score s provded by a survey and the Wllngness To Pay s calculated usng the Spoes Model whch s an economc model based on horzontal dfferentaton among frms. The model nput data (frms revenues, number of subscrbers and profts are provded by Merll Lynch, Ban of Amerca. The well-nown correlaton between et Promoter Score and Revenues s weaer and arses from the prevous correlaton. The same s true of the correlaton between et Promoter Score and Profts. D, D43, L3, L96, M3 et Promoter Score, recommend ntenton, customer satsfacton, consumer's Wllngness to Pay Ths paper represents the analyss of the author and not necessarly a poston of France Telecom

2 Introducton Measurng customer satsfacton and Wllngness To Pay, or WTP, s a maor strategc obectve for managers and mareters, and the best method for dong so has been hotly debated for years. In recent years, the arrval of the "et Promoter Score" (PS ndcator: created a small revoluton. Whle t not always the most accurate ndcator, t s probably the easest to use, snce t requres only one queston: How lely s that you would recommend us to a frend or a colleague? The people who answer most postvely are called promoters, whle; those that respond less favourably are called detractors. The PS calculates the dfference between promoters and detractors. Ths ease of mplementaton has prompted managers wdely to adopt ths new metrc. In hs paper (Rechheld, 2003, The One umber You eed to Grow, Fred Rechheld hghlghted the strong correlaton between a company's growth rate and ts et Promoter Score n most compettve ndustres. A second paper, (Rechheld, 2006, The Mcroeconomcs of Customers Relatonshp, sought to offer a ratonal explanaton of the success of PS. He suggests that promoters have a good customer experence meanng that they are more loyal and more lely to repurchase. Promoters spend more than detractors; ther lfetme wth a company s longer because of ther loyalty. Consequently, acquston costs are amortzed over a longer perod and thus become cheaper. Promoters are less prce-senstve than detractors because they beleve they are gettng a good value overall from the company. Moreover, promoters help to recrut newcomers by recommendng ther provder to frends (Word of Mouth. A good PS tends to ncrease both maret share and sale prce and therefore revenues. PS has, however, been crtczed by other authors. (Morgan & Rego, 2006, as well as (Kenngham, Cool, Andreassen, & Asoy, 2007 (Kenngham, Asoy, Cool, Andreassen, & Wllams, have ponted out that PS was not always the best ndcator for predctng corporate revenue growth, and results vared by ndustry.. Emprcal evdence has emphaszed the PS' relevance n the telecommuncatons ndustry. Ths paper shows that n the European moble marets, the ln between the PS and Wllngness To Pay s very strong and s even stronger than the correlaton between PS and corporate revenue growth. PS appears to be proportonal to the rate of development of WTP and could represent a good proxy for t. When choosng ther provder, all customers had a preference for t wthout beng ether promoters or detractors. Promoters are those who have mantaned or ncreased ths preference over tme, whle detractors are those who have been dsapponted and have changed t. PS s a clear sgn of consumers' changng opnons over a gven perod of tme as compared to ther ntal choce. Some tme later, detractors of the prevous perod wll have probably changed ther provder, provded that the maret s suffcently compettve, (swtchng costs are not too hgh and commtments are not too long-term and promoters wll have 2

3 helped recrut new customers. Promoters n the new perod are those who have mantaned or ncreased ther preference from one perod to the next, and detractors n the new perod are those were dsapponted durng the prevous perod, snce former detractors have already cancelled ther servce. The PS for the new perod thus represents customers' changng opnons from one perod to another. More generally, PS ndcates consumers' changng opnons over tme. A postve PS means that promoters outnumber detractors and thus that customers' opnons are changng postvely. Smlarly, a negatve PS means that customers' opnons are changng negatvely. When the maret s not compettve enough, customers tend to be captve and cannot change provders as they wsh. In ths case, there s a sgnfcant gap between customers' actual behavour and ther wshes; PS therefore does not accurately reflect the fnancal results. A strong correlaton between PS and fnancal performances s thus the sgn of effectve competton, whle an uncorrelated PS mples an mpedment to customers' desres. Rechheld (Rechheld, 2006 has shown that PS dd not apply for monopoles. Ths paper conssts of 6 sectons. Secton 2 presents a theoretcal model of competton n order to determne the relatonshp between WTP and fnancal performance (prces, revenues and profts. Secton 3 descrbes the data used for the emprcal evdence, ncludng both fnancal data and survey data (PS. Secton 4 compares the two sets of data and hghlghts the strong correlaton between them. Secton 5 compares ths correlaton to the correlaton between PS and corporate revenue growth or between PS and corporate proft growth and shows that t s much stronger. The dfference stems from the fact that WTP depends essentally on customer choces whle revenues and profts also depend on other parameters and partcularly on margnal costs. Improvng customer satsfacton has a cost; we found that frms whch ncrease PS the most are often also those whch ncrease ther margnal costs the most. Secton 6 s the concluson. 2 The Spoes Model The spoes model, as descrbed by (Chen & Rordan, 2007 s a verson of the Hotellng model for more than two frms. The maret s represented by a spoe wheel where consumers are unformly dstrbuted. Each frm s located at the end of a spoe. The wheel dameter s normalzed to ; the length of each spoe s thus /2. The sze of the maret s also normalzed to. Each consumer located wthn a spoe compares the utlty to purchase the offer by the frm located at the end of the spoe and the offer he prefers from among the other frms. Le all the spoes converge at the centre of the wheel, the comparson can be made n pars between all frms. If there are frms, there wll ( be comparsons. Each frm s nvolved n ( comparsons. 2 We assume and p are respectvely the consumer s wllngness to pay and the prce of frm s offer. We wll focus on the comparson between frms and. The length of the two oned spoes s. A consumer located at a dstance x from frm s located at a dstance (-x from the frm. Hs utltes of purchasng frm s and frm s offer are respectvely: 3

4 4 ( x t p U tx p U Wth t, the coeffcent of dfferentaton. The ndfferent consumer between and s located at t t p p x Frm s maret share s wrtten: x ( 2 σ We assume that frm ncurs a margnal cost c. The proft of frm s: ( c p n σ π n represents the total number of customers. The frst order condton allows us to determne p : (2 ( c c t p ( and hence: + t c c (2 (( ( σ (2 Let us denote: c c c, the relatve margnal cost, whch s the devaton of frm s margnal cost from the average margnal cost. In the sale way, represents the relatve consumer wllngness to pay. Frm s maret share can be rewrtten: t c (2 + σ Let us note that σ σ the dfference between frm s maret share and the average maret share. Therefore, frm s relatve Wllngness To Pay s: 2 ( c t + σ (3

5 3 Data and methodology 3. Avalablty of data: Fve countres were studed from to 200: Belgum (3 frms, France (3 frms, Span (4 frms, Swtzerland (3 frms and the Unted Kngdom (5 frms. (Data for Swtzerland and Unted Kngdom s gven usng ther natonal currency and requred quarterly exchange rates to be converted nto, the exchange rates used are gven n appendx 7., for a total of 9 varatons quarter by quarter for 8 frms, or 62 observatons. However, some observatons are not relevant and must be excluded. In Span, the PS for the fourth operator Yogo s only avalable from 4, so we must reect all the prevous quarters. In Unted Kngdom, the merger between Orange and T- Moble maes data rrelevant from 200. A total of 30 observatons must be reected, leavng 32 relevant observatons. 3.2 Hypothess We are seeng to verfy the hypothess formulated n the ntroducton: PS s proportonal to the speed of the development of WTP. The speed of the development of WTP s the dervatve of WTP wth respect to tme τ. d β PS dτ If we tae nto account the relatve WTP of frm, the hypothess can be wrtten: d βps τ (4 d In order to test our hypothess, we wll compare the relatve PS, PS, to the changes n the relatve WTP,, calculated usng the spoes model, for each frm n all of the countres studed. 3.3 Calculatng WTP from the database usng the Spoes Model The Ban of Amerca, Merll Lynch database provdes us wth the followng quarterly data for each frm n each country: - umber of subscrbers, q. - Revenues, R - Ebtda, π 5

6 The GfK Customer Experence Tracer provdes us the quarterly PS for each frm n each country. The total number of subscrbers n a country s n q q Frm 's maret share s: σ n R (Average prce of frm : p q (Average margnal cost of frm : Equaton ( can be rewrtten: c R π q p t + c + ( c 2 whch allows us to calculate the sum of the frms prces: p t + c and thus to determne the coeffcent of dfferentaton t: ( p c t Ths data provdes everythng we need for to calculate the relatve wllngness to pay for each frm,, usng equaton (3. 4 Emprcal evdence 4. Frst model: Sgnfcant correlaton but low accuracy As we dd n secton 2, we wll denote PS PS PS, the relatve PS of frm. We wll denote (PS, the relatve PS of frm for quarter and Δ ( ( ( and. From equaton (4, Δ (, the varatons of relatve wllngness to pay between β PS ( τ dτ. Because PS s measured quarterly, we assume that the PS s steady durng a quarter and ( PS represents the PS for all of quarter from the end of quarter to the end of quarter. Thus 6

7 durng ths tme PS ( τ ( PS, so PS ( τ dτ ( PS equaton to be tested s: Δ ( ( PS + ( and the β ε (5 β s the proportonalty rato and ( ε the error term. The coeffcent of correlaton between Δ ( and ( PS s 0.90 for 32 observatons. It s sgnfcant n the table of crtcal values for the Pearson correlaton, and the hypothess of correlaton can be accepted wth an error rs lower than 5%. However, the results are not very accurate. The mean of both seres s equal to zero because each value s the devaton from the mean. The standard devaton for Δ ( s.6 whle the standard error s.59. The useful sgnal s bured n the nose, whch s why the correlaton coeffcent s not hgher. The graph below (fg. represents the scatter plot: 6 uarterly change n WTP Δ( PS (fg. Ths rases the queston of whether the error results from a lac of correlaton between sets or f t s smply a resdual error whch s ndependent of the correlaton. In the latter case, the correlaton coeffcent s low because the WTP has not had enough tme to suffcently exceed the error level. 4.2 Second model: Hgher and ncreasng accuracy The only way to answer ths, lettng WTP evolve over a longer perod, usng several quarters nstead of a sngle quarter. The standard devaton of should ncrease over 7

8 tme, and f the standard error does not ncrease n the same proportons, the correlaton should mprove and the coeffcent of correlaton should ncrease. We wll compare the evoluton of relatve PS to that of relatve WTP, perod of tme of quarters. In ths case, because PS s steady durng a quarter: Δ ( β β PS ( τ dτ β PS ( τ dτ As a result, we wll test the followng expresson: Δ ( PS over a ( β ( PS + ( ε (6 Data for Span was avalable for only 4 quarters (from 4 to 200 and data for the UK for only 7 quarters (from to 200. There are thus 8 avalable observatons for each value of when 4, for a total of 72 observatons. For 4 < 7, the Spansh data s not avalable and there are 4 avalable observatons for each value of, for a total of 42 observatons. For 7 < 9, the Brtsh data s not avalable and there are 9 avalable observatons for each value of, for a total of 8 observatons. We thus have a total of 32 avalable observatons. For all countres wth the excepton of Span, the value of n equaton (6 s the second quarter of :. For Span, s the thrd quarter of : (See appendx 7.2. The coeffcent of correlaton s now 0.745, whch s hghly sgnfcant. The standard devaton for the set of 32 observed has reached 2.35, as opposed to.6 n the prevous model, whle the standard error has remaned almost steady at.58. The graph below (fg.2 represents the scatter plot for the second model: R 2 0,555 Change n relatve WTP ( ΣPS (fg.2 8

9 The ncrease n the duraton of the evoluton of WTP has dramatcally mproved the correlaton, whch suggests that the standard error does not stem from a poor correlaton but from a resdual error whch s ndependent of the correlaton. 4.3 Test of ncreasng correlaton In order to confrm ths, we wll wegh each PS value wth the number of quarters,. We wll then perform the followng lnear regresson: Δ ( ( β + β ( PS + ( ε 2 The regresson provdes a postve and sgnfcant value for β 2 (see appendx 7.3 whch means that the correlaton s ncreasng. 4.4 A useful sgnal emerges from the nose The mean of the seres Δ ( and ( PS s equal to zero because and PS are the devaton of each frm from the natonal average. However, when the number of quarters ncreases, the standard devaton of the seres also ncreases, whle the standard error between the two seres remans roughly steady, despte fluctuatons quarter by quarter. It s worth notng that standard devaton of both seres seems evolve almost le a standard normal dstrbuton whose standard devaton s σ.. Indeed, each addtonal quarter amounts to add such standard normal dstrbuton to the prevous one. After quarters, the standard devaton of the sum of such standard normal dstrbutons s σ. The fgure below (fg.3 represents the evoluton of the standard devaton of Δ (, σ ( (blac curve, the evoluton of the standard devaton of a standard normal dstrbuton, σ ( (gray curve, and the standard error ε (, (whte curve accordng to. Ths suggests that the dstrbuton of the values of Δ ( around the mean are almost randomly dstrbuted. 9

10 Standard Devaton and Standard Error ( σ ε ( ( σ umber of quarters (fg.3 The ncrease n standard devaton means that the absolute values of the seres ncrease and as a result, the correlaton ncreases too. The rato Standard devaton on Standard error can be nterpreted as a sgnal to nose rato. The fgure below (fg.4 σ ( represents the Sgnal to ose Rato (n decbel, SR ( 0log, (blac ε ( ε ( σ ( curve and σ ( SR ( 0log, (gray curve, wth μ, the μ 9 mean of ε ( on the 9 quarters. One can notce the strong ncrease n standard error for 2 and 6. Ths corresponds to the 4 and 4 for Belgum, France, Swtzerland and UK. (ot for Span where 2 corresponds to 200 and where 4. 4 th quarters seem to generate more errors than other. Ths s probably the effect of Chrstmas season when many promotons are offered to customers. 9 Sgnal to ose Rato db.00 SR SR umber of quarters (fg.4 0

11 An ncrease n SR mproves the correlaton. The fgure below (fg.5 llustrates the relatonshp between SR ( and the coeffcent of correlaton between the two seres Δ ( and ( PS. Relatonshp between SR and coeffcent of correlaton Coeffcent of correlaton (fg.5 SR (db One can notce that for SR ( 0, the coeffcent of correlaton s close to zero, n such a case, the level of nose s equal to the level of sgnal. When ncreases, SR ( tends to ncrease and the coeffcent of correlaton ncreases as well (excepted for 6. For 2, despte the slght mprovement of the SR, the coeffcent of correlaton ncreases anyway because of the very strong slope of the curve here. When s great, the coeffcent of correlaton tends toward. In ths study, for 9, the coeffcent of correlaton attans The useful sgnal whch s bured n the nose for the low values of, emerges from the nose when ncreases and consequently, the correlaton becomes stronger and stronger. Lewse the coeffcent of correlaton, the coeffcent of determnaton R 2 ncreases wth the SR and hence tends to ncrease wth. For 9, adusted R , PS explans more than 72% of the Wllngness to Pay. The followng graph (fg.6 2 represents the evoluton of the adusted R accordng to SR (

12 Relatonshp between SR and coeffcent of determnaton Adusted R² SR (db (fg.6 Ths ncreasng correlaton confrms the hypothess estmate parameter β. d β PS and allows us to dτ 4.5 Estmaton of parameter β The accuracy of the estmaton ncreases le the correlaton wth the number of quarters,. Therefore the most accurate estmaton s gven for 9. In such a case, the estmaton leads to β 5 cent / month wth a 5% standard error. That means that β has a probablty of 50% to be n the range: 4.3 to 5.8 cent or a probablty of 95% to be n the range: 3.3 to 6.8 cent. β 5 cent / month means that a 0-pont PS per quarter corresponds to a 0.5 ncrease n consumer Wllngness To Pay. The PS s measured each quarter and the results are cumulated over tme. In other words, a 5-pont PS per quarter durng a year corresponds to ncrease n Wllngness To Pay. However, f all frms have the same PS, ther relatve PS wll reman unchanged and therefore also ther relatve Wllngness To Pay. Ths does not mean ther ndvdual Wllngness To Pay does not ncrease; only that t ncreases dentcally for all frms. In such a case, all thngs beng equal, revenues and profts remans steady. Frms can beneft from the ncrease of Wllngness To Pay of ther customers, only when t s hgher than that of ther compettors. There are no sgnfcant dfferences between countres, addng a dummy country does not provde addtonal nformaton. A comparson of the relatve evoluton of WTP, and β PS usng the coeffcent β we have estmated and a smulaton of the evoluton of the relatve WTP by country are avalable n the appendces (Appendx

13 Frms that have the greatest changes are often also those that gve the most accurate results because they devate more from the margn of error for example: Swsscom (Swtzerland; Hutchnson 3 (UK; Bouygues (France or Yogo (Span. 5 Correlaton between PS, revenues and profts The correlaton between PS, revenues and profts has already been clearly ndcated by (Rechheld, We am to show that ths correlaton s much weaer than for WTP. WTP depends essentally on customers' choces and thus on ther satsfacton whch can be measured by PS, whle revenues and profts, whle they heavly depend on PS, are also subect to other factors whch are ndependent of customers, ncludng margnal cost, coeffcent of dfferentaton t and total maret sze n. Equaton can be rewrtten: ( c p c + t + (2 Revenues and proft of frm can be wrtten: 2 n t c c t c R (7 t (2 (2 2 n t ( 2 c π + (8 t Equatons 7 and 8 show that revenues and proft wll evolve quadratcally wth the development of relatve Wllngness To Pay, and thus wth the relatve PS. Ths fulfls the second generalzaton of (Gupta & Zethaml, 2006 The ln between satsfacton and proftablty s asymmetrc and non-lnear However, Revenues and Proft are also very senstve to varatons n effcency, c, dfferentaton t, or the total maret sze n. Equaton (6 llustrates the relatonshp between WTP and PS. We can wrte the smlar relatonshp between the evoluton of Revenues and PS: Δ ( R β ( PS + ( ε (9 The coeffcent of correlaton s for 32 observatons. It s stll sgnfcant but weaer than the correlaton between WTP and PS (coeffcent of correlaton The graph below represents the correspondng scatter plot (fg.7 3

14 200 Change n relatve revenues (mllons / quarter (fg.7 In the same way, the relatonshp between the development of profts and PS can be wrtten: Δ ( π β ( PS + ( ε (0-200 ΣPS The coeffcent of correlaton s 0.085, whch s too low to be sgnfcant. The graph below (fg.8 represents the correspondng scatter plot. 00 Change n relatve Ebtda (mllons /quarter (fg.8 Σ PS 4

15 Equaton (8 ndcates that profts are very senstve to margnal costs. Let us add margnal costs to the regresson. Δ ( PS + β 2 ( π β ( c + ( ε ( β and β 2 are both qute sgnfcant: sgns of β and 2 β and The opposte β suggest that frms wth a hgh PS whch ncrease ther consumers WTP the most qucly are also generally those whch ncrease ther margnal costs the most. In other words, ths suggests that the ncrease n WTP and margnal costs are correlated. The correlaton coeffcent s for 32 observatons, whch ndcates a strong correlaton. Ths explans why the correlaton between proft development and PS s so wea. The ncrease n PS often requres an ncrease n qualty for consumers. Ths tends to ncrease margnal costs and reduces the benefts provded by consumers satsfacton. In equaton 7, the ncrease β of margnal costs reduces the term but t s compensated by the term c. In c equaton 8 the term c dsappears and can no longer compensate for the reduced effcency. Moreover, the coeffcent of correlaton between evoluton of profts and ( s c for 32 observatons, whch s qute sgnfcant. The graph below (fg.9 represents the scatter plot between WTP and margnal costs. 2 8 Change n relatve WTP (/subscrber (fg.9-2 Development of relatve margnal costs (/subscrber 5

16 6 Concluson The correlaton between PS and WTP s very strong n the European moble marets whch we studed. It explans most of the varatons n WTP. It s clearly the sgn of compettve marets where customers can swtch provders at wll wthout much hndrance. The standard error does not vary sgnfcantly wth the duraton of observaton, whle PS tends to ncrease; therefore, the relatve error decreases and causes the ncrease n the correlaton between PS and WTP. We can consder that the PS fathfully reflects changes n WTP. A 5-pont PS per quarter over a year corresponds to about ncrease n Wllngness To Pay. The correlaton between PS and Revenues exsts but s less pronounced due to the fact that WTP depends entrely on consumers whle Revenues also depend on strategc nteractons among frms. The correlaton between PS and profts s even lower because profts are very senstve to varatons n margnal costs and frms whch ncrease ther customers WTP the most are also often those whch ncrease margnal costs the most. As part of further research, t mght be relevant to fnd out how PS could be used as an ndcator of the compettveness of a maret, loong at the correlaton coeffcent between WTP and PS. Ths would dstngush what comes from the merts of the frms that manage to dfferentate themselves from ther compettors and what comes from an abusve customer retenton. The author thans Bruno Julen and Wlfred Sand-Zantman for ther helpful tps and hs colleagues at France telecom Orange for ther remars and comments, especally Mhasonrna Andranavo and Dane Flpn as well as Mare Clare Lampaert who provded the data. 6

17 7 Appendces 7. Exchange rate CHF-> 0,620 0,62 0,656 0,667 0,66 0,658 0,662 0,684 0,708 0,75 GBP->,26,259,9,099,36,49,05,27,70, Calculated values of Δ ( and Δ ( ( PS : Country Belgum frm -,0 0,06-2,05 -,84-2,3-2,53-3,59-2,38-2,95 frm 2 0,78 0,55-0,98-0,99-0,8 0,44 0,25,04 0,75 frm 3 0,23-0,60 3,03 2,83 2,94 2,09 3,33,34 2,20 France frm,4-2,42-0,72 -,69-0,28-4,05 -,68 -,55 -,45 frm 2-0,2 -,78-0,45-0,52-0,77 -,74-0,95 -,3-0,33 frm 3-0,92 4,20,7 2,22,06 5,79 2,64 2,68,78 Span frm,0-2,63-0,37 -,03 frm 2 0,72-0,23-0,42-0,3 frm 3-0,30-0,88-0, -0,42 frm 4 -,52 3,75 0,90,77 Swtzerland frm 0,94 0,5 3,97 3,38 3,39 3,52 4,8 5,30 7,37 frm 2-0,32,09-3,84-2,69-2,42 -,88-2,23-3,33-2,27 frm 3-0,62 -,60-0,3-0,70-0,97 -,64 -,95 -,96-5,0 UK frm -0,23-0,50 0,45 0,72 0,20,86,93 frm 2 0,46-0,43 0,80,0 2,80,52 2,83 frm 3 0,33-0,0-0,28 0,99,68 2,92 3,42 frm 4-0,85-0,59,86,69-0,32 0,52 0,6 frm 5 0,29,53-2,83-4,50-4,36-6,82-8,35 ( PS Country Belgum frm -6,00 -,67-6,00-7,00-0,00-3,33-2,33-5,00-9,33 frm 2-5,00-7,67,00 3,00 5,00 3,67 3,67 5,00 4,67 frm 3,00 9,33 5,00 4,00 5,00 9,67 8,67 0,00 4,67 France frm -,67 2,00 3,33 5,00 4,33 8,00 3,33 5,00 2,67 frm 2-7,67-0,00-3,67-24,00-23,67-32,00-34,67-40,00-4,33 frm 3 9,33 8,00 0,33 9,00 9,33 24,00 3,33 35,00 38,67 Span frm -8,50-8,00-24,50-4,00 frm 2 3,50 6,00 4,50,00 frm 3-5,50-30,00-44,50-56,00 frm 4 20,50 42,00 64,50 96,00 Swtzerland frm 7,00 8,00 37,33 53,00 72,33 87,33 06,00 23,67 44,67 frm 2-6,00-8,00-7,67-6,00-24,67-37,67-48,00-60,33-72,33 frm 3 -,00-0,00-29,67-37,00-47,67-49,67-58,00-63,33-72,33 UK frm 3,00,20,60 4,60,40 0,80 7,80 frm 2 23,00 44,20 67,60 80,60 02,40 25,80 46,80 frm 3-4,00-2,80 5,60 6,60 22,40 26,80 3,80 frm 4 -,00-2,80-24,40-9,40-9,60-26,20-29,20 frm 5 -,00-29,80-50,40-82,40-06,60-37,20-67,20 7

18 7.3 Test of ncreasng correlaton: Regresson Statstcs Multple R 0, R Square 0, Adusted R Sq 0, Standard Erro, Observatons 32 AOA df SS MS F Sgnfcance F Regresson 2 45, , ,822438,2967E-24 Resdual 30 30,9934 2, Total ,3963 Coeffcents Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% β 0, ,002488, , , , β 2 0, , , , , , Frm by frm comparson of PS and development of WTP Let us compare the varatons of relatve WTP and β PS usng the coeffcent β we estmated Belgum Operator (Belgum - - β PS

19 Operator 2 (Belgum β PS Operator 3 (Belgum - - β PS France Operator (France β PS

20 Operator 2 (France - - β PS Operator 3 (France β PS Span Operator (Span β PS

21 Operator 2 (Span β PS Operator 3 (Span β PS Operator 4 (Span β PS

22 7.4.4 Swtzerland Operator (Swtzerland β PS Operator 2 (Swtzerland β PS Operator 3 (Swtzerland β PS

23 7.4.5 Unted Kngdom Operator (UK β PS Operator 2 (UK β PS Operator 3 (UK β PS

24 Operator 4 (UK β PS Operator 5 (UK β PS Chen, Y., & Rordan, M. H. (2007. Prce and arety n the Spoes Model. The Economc Journal, 7(522, Gupta, S., & Zethaml,. (2006. Customer metrcs and ther mpact on fnancal performance. Maretng Scence, 25(6, 78. Kenngham, T. L., Asoy, L., Cool, B., Andreassen, T. W., & Wllams, L. (. A holstc examnaton of et Promoter. Journal of Database Maretng & Customer Strategy Management, 5(2,

25 Kenngham, T. L., Cool, B., Andreassen, T. W., & Asoy, L. (2007. A longtudnal examnaton of net promoter and frm revenue growth. Journal of Maretng, 7(3, Morgan,. A., & Rego, L. L. (2006. The value of dfferent customer satsfacton and loyalty metrcs n predctng busness performance. Maretng Scence, 25(5, 426. Rechheld, F. (2003. The one number you need to grow. Harvard Busness Revew, 8(2, Rechheld, F. (2006. The mcroeconomcs of customer relatonshps. MIT Sloan Management Revew, 47(2,

SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION

SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION Smple lnear correlaton s a measure of the degree to whch two varables vary together, or a measure of the ntensty of the assocaton between two varables. Correlaton often s abused.

More information

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance An Alternatve Way to Measure Prvate Equty Performance Peter Todd Parlux Investment Technology LLC Summary Internal Rate of Return (IRR) s probably the most common way to measure the performance of prvate

More information

Causal, Explanatory Forecasting. Analysis. Regression Analysis. Simple Linear Regression. Which is Independent? Forecasting

Causal, Explanatory Forecasting. Analysis. Regression Analysis. Simple Linear Regression. Which is Independent? Forecasting Causal, Explanatory Forecastng Assumes cause-and-effect relatonshp between system nputs and ts output Forecastng wth Regresson Analyss Rchard S. Barr Inputs System Cause + Effect Relatonshp The job of

More information

Can Auto Liability Insurance Purchases Signal Risk Attitude?

Can Auto Liability Insurance Purchases Signal Risk Attitude? Internatonal Journal of Busness and Economcs, 2011, Vol. 10, No. 2, 159-164 Can Auto Lablty Insurance Purchases Sgnal Rsk Atttude? Chu-Shu L Department of Internatonal Busness, Asa Unversty, Tawan Sheng-Chang

More information

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy 4.02 Quz Solutons Fall 2004 Multple-Choce Questons (30/00 ponts) Please, crcle the correct answer for each of the followng 0 multple-choce questons. For each queston, only one of the answers s correct.

More information

How To Calculate The Accountng Perod Of Nequalty

How To Calculate The Accountng Perod Of Nequalty Inequalty and The Accountng Perod Quentn Wodon and Shlomo Ytzha World Ban and Hebrew Unversty September Abstract Income nequalty typcally declnes wth the length of tme taen nto account for measurement.

More information

CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION

CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION We learned n Chapter 5 that often a straght lne descrbes the pattern of a relatonshp between two quanttatve varables. For nstance, n Example 5.1 we explored the relatonshp

More information

What is Candidate Sampling

What is Candidate Sampling What s Canddate Samplng Say we have a multclass or mult label problem where each tranng example ( x, T ) conssts of a context x a small (mult)set of target classes T out of a large unverse L of possble

More information

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ).

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ). REVIEW OF RISK MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS LOSS DISTRIBUTIONS AND INSURANCE Loss and nsurance: When someone s subject to the rsk of ncurrng a fnancal loss, the loss s generally modeled usng a random varable or

More information

DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT

DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT CelersSystems DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT PREPARED BY James E Aksel, PMP, PMI-SP, MVP For Addtonal Informaton about Earned Value Management Systems and reportng, please contact: CelersSystems,

More information

PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 12

PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 12 14 The Ch-squared dstrbuton PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 1 If a normal varable X, havng mean µ and varance σ, s standardsed, the new varable Z has a mean 0 and varance 1. When ths standardsed

More information

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression How to measure assocaton I: Correlaton. 1. Measurng assocaton usng correlaton and regresson We often would lke to know how one varable, such as a mother's weght, s related to another varable, such as a

More information

Understanding the Impact of Marketing Actions in Traditional Channels on the Internet: Evidence from a Large Scale Field Experiment

Understanding the Impact of Marketing Actions in Traditional Channels on the Internet: Evidence from a Large Scale Field Experiment A research and educaton ntatve at the MT Sloan School of Management Understandng the mpact of Marketng Actons n Tradtonal Channels on the nternet: Evdence from a Large Scale Feld Experment Paper 216 Erc

More information

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic Lagrange Multplers as Quanttatve Indcators n Economcs Ivan Mezník Insttute of Informatcs, Faculty of Busness and Management, Brno Unversty of TechnologCzech Republc Abstract The quanttatve role of Lagrange

More information

Analysis of Premium Liabilities for Australian Lines of Business

Analysis of Premium Liabilities for Australian Lines of Business Summary of Analyss of Premum Labltes for Australan Lnes of Busness Emly Tao Honours Research Paper, The Unversty of Melbourne Emly Tao Acknowledgements I am grateful to the Australan Prudental Regulaton

More information

Forecasting the Direction and Strength of Stock Market Movement

Forecasting the Direction and Strength of Stock Market Movement Forecastng the Drecton and Strength of Stock Market Movement Jngwe Chen Mng Chen Nan Ye cjngwe@stanford.edu mchen5@stanford.edu nanye@stanford.edu Abstract - Stock market s one of the most complcated systems

More information

CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK. Sample Stability Protocol

CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK. Sample Stability Protocol CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK Sample Stablty Protocol Background The Cholesterol Reference Method Laboratory Network (CRMLN) developed certfcaton protocols for total cholesterol, HDL

More information

The impact of hard discount control mechanism on the discount volatility of UK closed-end funds

The impact of hard discount control mechanism on the discount volatility of UK closed-end funds Investment Management and Fnancal Innovatons, Volume 10, Issue 3, 2013 Ahmed F. Salhn (Egypt) The mpact of hard dscount control mechansm on the dscount volatlty of UK closed-end funds Abstract The mpact

More information

STAMP DUTY ON SHARES AND ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES

STAMP DUTY ON SHARES AND ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES STAMP UTY ON SHARES AN ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES Steve Bond Mke Hawkns Alexander Klemm THE INSTITUTE FOR FISCAL STUIES WP04/11 STAMP UTY ON SHARES AN ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES Steve Bond (IFS and Unversty

More information

Evolution of Internet Infrastructure in the 21 st century: The Role of Private Interconnection Agreements

Evolution of Internet Infrastructure in the 21 st century: The Role of Private Interconnection Agreements Evoluton of Internet Infrastructure n the 21 st century: The Role of Prvate Interconnecton Agreements Rajv Dewan*, Marshall Fremer, and Pavan Gundepud {dewan, fremer, gundepudpa}@ssb.rochester.edu Smon

More information

ADVERSE SELECTION IN INSURANCE MARKETS: POLICYHOLDER EVIDENCE FROM THE U.K. ANNUITY MARKET *

ADVERSE SELECTION IN INSURANCE MARKETS: POLICYHOLDER EVIDENCE FROM THE U.K. ANNUITY MARKET * ADVERSE SELECTION IN INSURANCE MARKETS: POLICYHOLDER EVIDENCE FROM THE U.K. ANNUITY MARKET * Amy Fnkelsten Harvard Unversty and NBER James Poterba MIT and NBER * We are grateful to Jeffrey Brown, Perre-Andre

More information

PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION

PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION Danny Cohen-Zada Department of Economcs, Ben-uron Unversty, Beer-Sheva 84105, Israel Wllam Sander Department of Economcs, DePaul

More information

THE DETERMINANTS OF THE TUNISIAN BANKING INDUSTRY PROFITABILITY: PANEL EVIDENCE

THE DETERMINANTS OF THE TUNISIAN BANKING INDUSTRY PROFITABILITY: PANEL EVIDENCE THE DETERMINANTS OF THE TUNISIAN BANKING INDUSTRY PROFITABILITY: PANEL EVIDENCE Samy Ben Naceur ERF Research Fellow Department of Fnance Unversté Lbre de Tuns Avenue Khéreddne Pacha, 002 Tuns Emal : sbennaceur@eudoramal.com

More information

Problem Set 3. a) We are asked how people will react, if the interest rate i on bonds is negative.

Problem Set 3. a) We are asked how people will react, if the interest rate i on bonds is negative. Queston roblem Set 3 a) We are asked how people wll react, f the nterest rate on bonds s negatve. When

More information

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis The Development of Web Log Mnng Based on Improve-K-Means Clusterng Analyss TngZhong Wang * College of Informaton Technology, Luoyang Normal Unversty, Luoyang, 471022, Chna wangtngzhong2@sna.cn Abstract.

More information

Solution: Let i = 10% and d = 5%. By definition, the respective forces of interest on funds A and B are. i 1 + it. S A (t) = d (1 dt) 2 1. = d 1 dt.

Solution: Let i = 10% and d = 5%. By definition, the respective forces of interest on funds A and B are. i 1 + it. S A (t) = d (1 dt) 2 1. = d 1 dt. Chapter 9 Revew problems 9.1 Interest rate measurement Example 9.1. Fund A accumulates at a smple nterest rate of 10%. Fund B accumulates at a smple dscount rate of 5%. Fnd the pont n tme at whch the forces

More information

When Talk is Free : The Effect of Tariff Structure on Usage under Two- and Three-Part Tariffs

When Talk is Free : The Effect of Tariff Structure on Usage under Two- and Three-Part Tariffs 0 When Talk s Free : The Effect of Tarff Structure on Usage under Two- and Three-Part Tarffs Eva Ascarza Ana Lambrecht Naufel Vlcassm July 2012 (Forthcomng at Journal of Marketng Research) Eva Ascarza

More information

Addendum to: Importing Skill-Biased Technology

Addendum to: Importing Skill-Biased Technology Addendum to: Importng Skll-Based Technology Arel Bursten UCLA and NBER Javer Cravno UCLA August 202 Jonathan Vogel Columba and NBER Abstract Ths Addendum derves the results dscussed n secton 3.3 of our

More information

HARVARD John M. Olin Center for Law, Economics, and Business

HARVARD John M. Olin Center for Law, Economics, and Business HARVARD John M. Oln Center for Law, Economcs, and Busness ISSN 1045-6333 ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION AND LEARNING IN THE AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE MARKET Alma Cohen Dscusson Paper No. 371 6/2002 Harvard Law School

More information

Searching and Switching: Empirical estimates of consumer behaviour in regulated markets

Searching and Switching: Empirical estimates of consumer behaviour in regulated markets Searchng and Swtchng: Emprcal estmates of consumer behavour n regulated markets Catherne Waddams Prce Centre for Competton Polcy, Unversty of East Angla Catherne Webster Centre for Competton Polcy, Unversty

More information

Evaluating the Effects of FUNDEF on Wages and Test Scores in Brazil *

Evaluating the Effects of FUNDEF on Wages and Test Scores in Brazil * Evaluatng the Effects of FUNDEF on Wages and Test Scores n Brazl * Naérco Menezes-Flho Elane Pazello Unversty of São Paulo Abstract In ths paper we nvestgate the effects of the 1998 reform n the fundng

More information

INVESTIGATION OF VEHICULAR USERS FAIRNESS IN CDMA-HDR NETWORKS

INVESTIGATION OF VEHICULAR USERS FAIRNESS IN CDMA-HDR NETWORKS 21 22 September 2007, BULGARIA 119 Proceedngs of the Internatonal Conference on Informaton Technologes (InfoTech-2007) 21 st 22 nd September 2007, Bulgara vol. 2 INVESTIGATION OF VEHICULAR USERS FAIRNESS

More information

Using Series to Analyze Financial Situations: Present Value

Using Series to Analyze Financial Situations: Present Value 2.8 Usng Seres to Analyze Fnancal Stuatons: Present Value In the prevous secton, you learned how to calculate the amount, or future value, of an ordnary smple annuty. The amount s the sum of the accumulated

More information

Bank Credit Conditions and their Influence on Productivity Growth: Company-level Evidence

Bank Credit Conditions and their Influence on Productivity Growth: Company-level Evidence Bank Credt Condtons and ther Influence on Productvty Growth: Company-level Evdence Rebecca Rley*, Chara Rosazza Bondbene* and Garry Young** *Natonal Insttute of Economc and Socal Research & Centre For

More information

MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS IN THE SPANISH BANKING INDUSTRY: SOME EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE

MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS IN THE SPANISH BANKING INDUSTRY: SOME EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE MERGERS AN ACQUISITIONS IN THE SPANISH BANKING INUSTRY: SOME EMPIRICA EVIENCE Ignaco Fuentes and Teresa Sastre Banco de España Banco de España Servco de Estudos ocumento de Trabajo n.º 9924 MERGERS AN

More information

SPEE Recommended Evaluation Practice #6 Definition of Decline Curve Parameters Background:

SPEE Recommended Evaluation Practice #6 Definition of Decline Curve Parameters Background: SPEE Recommended Evaluaton Practce #6 efnton of eclne Curve Parameters Background: The producton hstores of ol and gas wells can be analyzed to estmate reserves and future ol and gas producton rates and

More information

Statistical Methods to Develop Rating Models

Statistical Methods to Develop Rating Models Statstcal Methods to Develop Ratng Models [Evelyn Hayden and Danel Porath, Österrechsche Natonalbank and Unversty of Appled Scences at Manz] Source: The Basel II Rsk Parameters Estmaton, Valdaton, and

More information

Cahiers de la Chaire Santé

Cahiers de la Chaire Santé Cahers de la Chare Santé The nfluence of supplementary health nsurance on swtchng behavour: evdence from Swss data Auteurs : Brgtte Dormont, Perre-Yves Geoffard, Karne Lamraud N 4 - Janver 2010 1 The nfluence

More information

CHAPTER 5 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUANTITATIVE VARIABLES

CHAPTER 5 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUANTITATIVE VARIABLES CHAPTER 5 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN QUANTITATIVE VARIABLES In ths chapter, we wll learn how to descrbe the relatonshp between two quanttatve varables. Remember (from Chapter 2) that the terms quanttatve varable

More information

Two Faces of Intra-Industry Information Transfers: Evidence from Management Earnings and Revenue Forecasts

Two Faces of Intra-Industry Information Transfers: Evidence from Management Earnings and Revenue Forecasts Two Faces of Intra-Industry Informaton Transfers: Evdence from Management Earnngs and Revenue Forecasts Yongtae Km Leavey School of Busness Santa Clara Unversty Santa Clara, CA 95053-0380 TEL: (408) 554-4667,

More information

The DAX and the Dollar: The Economic Exchange Rate Exposure of German Corporations

The DAX and the Dollar: The Economic Exchange Rate Exposure of German Corporations The DAX and the Dollar: The Economc Exchange Rate Exposure of German Corporatons Martn Glaum *, Marko Brunner **, Holger Hmmel *** Ths paper examnes the economc exposure of German corporatons to changes

More information

17 Capital tax competition

17 Capital tax competition 17 Captal tax competton 17.1 Introducton Governments would lke to tax a varety of transactons that ncreasngly appear to be moble across jursdctonal boundares. Ths creates one obvous problem: tax base flght.

More information

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek HE DISRIBUION OF LOAN PORFOLIO VALUE * Oldrch Alfons Vascek he amount of captal necessary to support a portfolo of debt securtes depends on the probablty dstrbuton of the portfolo loss. Consder a portfolo

More information

Beating the Odds: Arbitrage and Wining Strategies in the Football Betting Market

Beating the Odds: Arbitrage and Wining Strategies in the Football Betting Market Beatng the Odds: Arbtrage and Wnng Strateges n the Football Bettng Market NIKOLAOS VLASTAKIS, GEORGE DOTSIS and RAPHAEL N. MARKELLOS* ABSTRACT We examne the potental for generatng postve returns from wagerng

More information

Chapter 7: Answers to Questions and Problems

Chapter 7: Answers to Questions and Problems 19. Based on the nformaton contaned n Table 7-3 of the text, the food and apparel ndustres are most compettve and therefore probably represent the best match for the expertse of these managers. Chapter

More information

Calculation of Sampling Weights

Calculation of Sampling Weights Perre Foy Statstcs Canada 4 Calculaton of Samplng Weghts 4.1 OVERVIEW The basc sample desgn used n TIMSS Populatons 1 and 2 was a two-stage stratfed cluster desgn. 1 The frst stage conssted of a sample

More information

Is There A Tradeoff between Employer-Provided Health Insurance and Wages?

Is There A Tradeoff between Employer-Provided Health Insurance and Wages? Is There A Tradeoff between Employer-Provded Health Insurance and Wages? Lye Zhu, Southern Methodst Unversty October 2005 Abstract Though most of the lterature n health nsurance and the labor market assumes

More information

An Evaluation of the Extended Logistic, Simple Logistic, and Gompertz Models for Forecasting Short Lifecycle Products and Services

An Evaluation of the Extended Logistic, Simple Logistic, and Gompertz Models for Forecasting Short Lifecycle Products and Services An Evaluaton of the Extended Logstc, Smple Logstc, and Gompertz Models for Forecastng Short Lfecycle Products and Servces Charles V. Trappey a,1, Hsn-yng Wu b a Professor (Management Scence), Natonal Chao

More information

7 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE (ANOVA)

7 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE (ANOVA) 7 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE (ANOVA) Chapter 7 Analyss of Varance (Anova) Objectves After studyng ths chapter you should apprecate the need for analysng data from more than two samples; understand the underlyng

More information

HOUSEHOLDS DEBT BURDEN: AN ANALYSIS BASED ON MICROECONOMIC DATA*

HOUSEHOLDS DEBT BURDEN: AN ANALYSIS BASED ON MICROECONOMIC DATA* HOUSEHOLDS DEBT BURDEN: AN ANALYSIS BASED ON MICROECONOMIC DATA* Luísa Farnha** 1. INTRODUCTION The rapd growth n Portuguese households ndebtedness n the past few years ncreased the concerns that debt

More information

Prediction of Disability Frequencies in Life Insurance

Prediction of Disability Frequencies in Life Insurance Predcton of Dsablty Frequences n Lfe Insurance Bernhard Köng Fran Weber Maro V. Wüthrch October 28, 2011 Abstract For the predcton of dsablty frequences, not only the observed, but also the ncurred but

More information

Traffic-light a stress test for life insurance provisions

Traffic-light a stress test for life insurance provisions MEMORANDUM Date 006-09-7 Authors Bengt von Bahr, Göran Ronge Traffc-lght a stress test for lfe nsurance provsons Fnansnspetonen P.O. Box 6750 SE-113 85 Stocholm [Sveavägen 167] Tel +46 8 787 80 00 Fax

More information

How To Find The Dsablty Frequency Of A Clam

How To Find The Dsablty Frequency Of A Clam 1 Predcton of Dsablty Frequences n Lfe Insurance Bernhard Köng 1, Fran Weber 1, Maro V. Wüthrch 2 Abstract: For the predcton of dsablty frequences, not only the observed, but also the ncurred but not yet

More information

APPLICATION OF PROBE DATA COLLECTED VIA INFRARED BEACONS TO TRAFFIC MANEGEMENT

APPLICATION OF PROBE DATA COLLECTED VIA INFRARED BEACONS TO TRAFFIC MANEGEMENT APPLICATION OF PROBE DATA COLLECTED VIA INFRARED BEACONS TO TRAFFIC MANEGEMENT Toshhko Oda (1), Kochro Iwaoka (2) (1), (2) Infrastructure Systems Busness Unt, Panasonc System Networks Co., Ltd. Saedo-cho

More information

Calculating the high frequency transmission line parameters of power cables

Calculating the high frequency transmission line parameters of power cables < ' Calculatng the hgh frequency transmsson lne parameters of power cables Authors: Dr. John Dcknson, Laboratory Servces Manager, N 0 RW E B Communcatons Mr. Peter J. Ncholson, Project Assgnment Manager,

More information

The Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey,

The Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey, Busness Brths and Deaths Impact of busness brths and deaths n the payroll survey The CES probablty-based sample redesgn accounts for most busness brth employment through the mputaton of busness deaths,

More information

Returns to Experience in Mozambique: A Nonparametric Regression Approach

Returns to Experience in Mozambique: A Nonparametric Regression Approach Returns to Experence n Mozambque: A Nonparametrc Regresson Approach Joel Muzma Conference Paper nº 27 Conferênca Inaugural do IESE Desafos para a nvestgação socal e económca em Moçambque 19 de Setembro

More information

Exhaustive Regression. An Exploration of Regression-Based Data Mining Techniques Using Super Computation

Exhaustive Regression. An Exploration of Regression-Based Data Mining Techniques Using Super Computation Exhaustve Regresson An Exploraton of Regresson-Based Data Mnng Technques Usng Super Computaton Antony Daves, Ph.D. Assocate Professor of Economcs Duquesne Unversty Pttsburgh, PA 58 Research Fellow The

More information

Do Changes in Customer Satisfaction Lead to Changes in Sales Performance in Food Retailing?

Do Changes in Customer Satisfaction Lead to Changes in Sales Performance in Food Retailing? Do Changes n Customer Satsfacton Lead to Changes n Sales Performance n Food Retalng? Mguel I. Gómez Research Assocate Food Industry Management Program Department of Appled Economcs and Management Cornell

More information

Macro Factors and Volatility of Treasury Bond Returns

Macro Factors and Volatility of Treasury Bond Returns Macro Factors and Volatlty of Treasury Bond Returns Jngzh Huang Department of Fnance Smeal Colleage of Busness Pennsylvana State Unversty Unversty Park, PA 16802, U.S.A. Le Lu School of Fnance Shangha

More information

VoIP Playout Buffer Adjustment using Adaptive Estimation of Network Delays

VoIP Playout Buffer Adjustment using Adaptive Estimation of Network Delays VoIP Playout Buffer Adjustment usng Adaptve Estmaton of Network Delays Mroslaw Narbutt and Lam Murphy* Department of Computer Scence Unversty College Dubln, Belfeld, Dubln, IRELAND Abstract The poor qualty

More information

BERNSTEIN POLYNOMIALS

BERNSTEIN POLYNOMIALS On-Lne Geometrc Modelng Notes BERNSTEIN POLYNOMIALS Kenneth I. Joy Vsualzaton and Graphcs Research Group Department of Computer Scence Unversty of Calforna, Davs Overvew Polynomals are ncredbly useful

More information

The Probability of Informed Trading and the Performance of Stock in an Order-Driven Market

The Probability of Informed Trading and the Performance of Stock in an Order-Driven Market Asa-Pacfc Journal of Fnancal Studes (2007) v36 n6 pp871-896 The Probablty of Informed Tradng and the Performance of Stock n an Order-Drven Market Ta Ma * Natonal Sun Yat-Sen Unversty, Tawan Mng-hua Hseh

More information

Brigid Mullany, Ph.D University of North Carolina, Charlotte

Brigid Mullany, Ph.D University of North Carolina, Charlotte Evaluaton And Comparson Of The Dfferent Standards Used To Defne The Postonal Accuracy And Repeatablty Of Numercally Controlled Machnng Center Axes Brgd Mullany, Ph.D Unversty of North Carolna, Charlotte

More information

Kiel Institute for World Economics Duesternbrooker Weg 120 24105 Kiel (Germany) Kiel Working Paper No. 1120

Kiel Institute for World Economics Duesternbrooker Weg 120 24105 Kiel (Germany) Kiel Working Paper No. 1120 Kel Insttute for World Economcs Duesternbrooker Weg 45 Kel (Germany) Kel Workng Paper No. Path Dependences n enture Captal Markets by Andrea Schertler July The responsblty for the contents of the workng

More information

How To Study The Nfluence Of Health Insurance On Swtchng

How To Study The Nfluence Of Health Insurance On Swtchng Workng Paper n 07-02 The nfluence of supplementary health nsurance on swtchng behavour: evdence on Swss data Brgtte Dormont, Perre- Yves Geoffard, Karne Lamraud The nfluence of supplementary health nsurance

More information

The Application of Fractional Brownian Motion in Option Pricing

The Application of Fractional Brownian Motion in Option Pricing Vol. 0, No. (05), pp. 73-8 http://dx.do.org/0.457/jmue.05.0..6 The Applcaton of Fractonal Brownan Moton n Opton Prcng Qng-xn Zhou School of Basc Scence,arbn Unversty of Commerce,arbn zhouqngxn98@6.com

More information

Analyzing Search Engine Advertising: Firm Behavior and Cross-Selling in Electronic Markets

Analyzing Search Engine Advertising: Firm Behavior and Cross-Selling in Electronic Markets WWW 008 / Refereed Track: Internet Monetzaton - Sponsored Search Aprl -5, 008 Beng, Chna Analyzng Search Engne Advertsng: Frm Behavor and Cross-Sellng n Electronc Markets Anndya Ghose Stern School of Busness

More information

Question 2: What is the variance and standard deviation of a dataset?

Question 2: What is the variance and standard deviation of a dataset? Queston 2: What s the varance and standard devaton of a dataset? The varance of the data uses all of the data to compute a measure of the spread n the data. The varance may be computed for a sample of

More information

The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans

The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans The Operatng Characterstc (OC) curve descrbes the probablty of acceptng a lot as a functon of the lot s qualty. Fgure 1 shows a typcal OC Curve. 10 8 6 4 1 3 4

More information

Marginal Benefit Incidence Analysis Using a Single Cross-section of Data. Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and Quentin Wodon 1. World Bank.

Marginal Benefit Incidence Analysis Using a Single Cross-section of Data. Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and Quentin Wodon 1. World Bank. Margnal Beneft Incdence Analyss Usng a Sngle Cross-secton of Data Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and uentn Wodon World Bank August 200 Abstract In a recent paper, Lanjouw and Ravallon proposed an attractve and smple

More information

The Personalization Services Firm: What to Sell, Whom to Sell to and For How Much? *

The Personalization Services Firm: What to Sell, Whom to Sell to and For How Much? * The Personalzaton Servces Frm: What to Sell, Whom to Sell to and For How Much? * oseph Pancras Unversty of Connectcut School of Busness Marketng Department 00 Hllsde Road, Unt 04 Storrs, CT 0669-0 joseph.pancras@busness.uconn.edu

More information

Management Quality, Financial and Investment Policies, and. Asymmetric Information

Management Quality, Financial and Investment Policies, and. Asymmetric Information Management Qualty, Fnancal and Investment Polces, and Asymmetrc Informaton Thomas J. Chemmanur * Imants Paegls ** and Karen Smonyan *** Current verson: December 2007 * Professor of Fnance, Carroll School

More information

The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Marginal Cost of Public Funds for Canadian Provincial Governments

The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Marginal Cost of Public Funds for Canadian Provincial Governments The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Margnal Cost of Publc Funds for Canadan Provncal Governments Bev Dahlby a and Ergete Ferede b a Department of Economcs, Unversty of Alberta, Edmonton,

More information

Efficient Project Portfolio as a tool for Enterprise Risk Management

Efficient Project Portfolio as a tool for Enterprise Risk Management Effcent Proect Portfolo as a tool for Enterprse Rsk Management Valentn O. Nkonov Ural State Techncal Unversty Growth Traectory Consultng Company January 5, 27 Effcent Proect Portfolo as a tool for Enterprse

More information

Multiple-Period Attribution: Residuals and Compounding

Multiple-Period Attribution: Residuals and Compounding Multple-Perod Attrbuton: Resduals and Compoundng Our revewer gave these authors full marks for dealng wth an ssue that performance measurers and vendors often regard as propretary nformaton. In 1994, Dens

More information

Properties of Indoor Received Signal Strength for WLAN Location Fingerprinting

Properties of Indoor Received Signal Strength for WLAN Location Fingerprinting Propertes of Indoor Receved Sgnal Strength for WLAN Locaton Fngerprntng Kamol Kaemarungs and Prashant Krshnamurthy Telecommuncatons Program, School of Informaton Scences, Unversty of Pttsburgh E-mal: kakst2,prashk@ptt.edu

More information

Wage inequality and returns to schooling in Europe: a semi-parametric approach using EU-SILC data

Wage inequality and returns to schooling in Europe: a semi-parametric approach using EU-SILC data MPRA Munch Personal RePEc Archve Wage nequalty and returns to schoolng n Europe: a sem-parametrc approach usng EU-SILC data Marco Bagett and Sergo Sccchtano Unversty La Sapenza Rome, Mnstry of Economc

More information

Chapter 8 Group-based Lending and Adverse Selection: A Study on Risk Behavior and Group Formation 1

Chapter 8 Group-based Lending and Adverse Selection: A Study on Risk Behavior and Group Formation 1 Chapter 8 Group-based Lendng and Adverse Selecton: A Study on Rsk Behavor and Group Formaton 1 8.1 Introducton Ths chapter deals wth group formaton and the adverse selecton problem. In several theoretcal

More information

Trade Adjustment and Productivity in Large Crises. Online Appendix May 2013. Appendix A: Derivation of Equations for Productivity

Trade Adjustment and Productivity in Large Crises. Online Appendix May 2013. Appendix A: Derivation of Equations for Productivity Trade Adjustment Productvty n Large Crses Gta Gopnath Department of Economcs Harvard Unversty NBER Brent Neman Booth School of Busness Unversty of Chcago NBER Onlne Appendx May 2013 Appendx A: Dervaton

More information

The Journal of Applied Business Research January/February 2010 Volume 26, Number 1

The Journal of Applied Business Research January/February 2010 Volume 26, Number 1 Product Dversfcaton In Compettve R&D-Intensve Frms: An Emprcal Study Of The Computer Software Industry C. Catherne Chang, Elon Unversty, USA ABSTRACT Ths paper studes the effect of dversfcaton nto dfferent

More information

Capital efficiency and market value in knowledge and capitalintensive firms: an empirical study

Capital efficiency and market value in knowledge and capitalintensive firms: an empirical study Ganpaolo Iazzolno (Italy), Guseppe Mglano (Italy), Rosa Forgone (Italy), Marangela Grmonte (Italy) Captal effcency and market value n knowledge and captalntensve frms: an emprcal study Abstract The ncreasng

More information

Health Insurance and Household Savings

Health Insurance and Household Savings Health Insurance and Household Savngs Mnchung Hsu Job Market Paper Last Updated: November, 2006 Abstract Recent emprcal studes have documented a puzzlng pattern of household savngs n the U.S.: households

More information

When Network Effect Meets Congestion Effect: Leveraging Social Services for Wireless Services

When Network Effect Meets Congestion Effect: Leveraging Social Services for Wireless Services When Network Effect Meets Congeston Effect: Leveragng Socal Servces for Wreless Servces aowen Gong School of Electrcal, Computer and Energy Engeerng Arzona State Unversty Tempe, AZ 8587, USA xgong9@asuedu

More information

Physical activity patterns of European 50+ populations

Physical activity patterns of European 50+ populations Orgnal Paper. Advances n Rehabltaton 3, 6 13, 2010 DOI 10.2478/v10029-010-0002-7 Physcal actvty patterns of European 50+ populatons Mchał Myck German Insttute for Economc Research, Berln, Centre for Economc

More information

Characterization of Assembly. Variation Analysis Methods. A Thesis. Presented to the. Department of Mechanical Engineering. Brigham Young University

Characterization of Assembly. Variation Analysis Methods. A Thesis. Presented to the. Department of Mechanical Engineering. Brigham Young University Characterzaton of Assembly Varaton Analyss Methods A Thess Presented to the Department of Mechancal Engneerng Brgham Young Unversty In Partal Fulfllment of the Requrements for the Degree Master of Scence

More information

Number of Levels Cumulative Annual operating Income per year construction costs costs ($) ($) ($) 1 600,000 35,000 100,000 2 2,200,000 60,000 350,000

Number of Levels Cumulative Annual operating Income per year construction costs costs ($) ($) ($) 1 600,000 35,000 100,000 2 2,200,000 60,000 350,000 Problem Set 5 Solutons 1 MIT s consderng buldng a new car park near Kendall Square. o unversty funds are avalable (overhead rates are under pressure and the new faclty would have to pay for tself from

More information

Oservce Vs. Sannet - Which One is Better?

Oservce Vs. Sannet - Which One is Better? o rcng n Compettve Telephony Markets Yung-Mng L nsttute of nformaton Management Natonal Chao Tung Unversty, Tawan 886-3-57111 Ext 57414 yml@mal.nctu.edu.tw Shh-Wen Chu nsttute of nformaton Management Natonal

More information

STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL

STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL Mcroarray Center STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL Lecture 6 Some Advanced Topcs Dr. Petr Nazarov 14-01-013 petr.nazarov@crp-sante.lu Statstcal data analyss n Ecel. 6. Some advanced topcs Correcton for

More information

Dynamics of Toursm Demand Models in Japan

Dynamics of Toursm Demand Models in Japan hort-run and ong-run structural nternatonal toursm demand modelng based on Dynamc AID model -An emprcal research n Japan- Atsush KOIKE a, Dasuke YOHINO b a Graduate chool of Engneerng, Kobe Unversty, Kobe,

More information

Faraday's Law of Induction

Faraday's Law of Induction Introducton Faraday's Law o Inducton In ths lab, you wll study Faraday's Law o nducton usng a wand wth col whch swngs through a magnetc eld. You wll also examne converson o mechanc energy nto electrc energy

More information

World currency options market efficiency

World currency options market efficiency Arful Hoque (Australa) World optons market effcency Abstract The World Currency Optons (WCO) maket began tradng n July 2007 on the Phladelpha Stock Exchange (PHLX) wth the new features. These optons are

More information

Forecasting and Stress Testing Credit Card Default using Dynamic Models

Forecasting and Stress Testing Credit Card Default using Dynamic Models Forecastng and Stress Testng Credt Card Default usng Dynamc Models Tony Bellott and Jonathan Crook Credt Research Centre Unversty of Ednburgh Busness School Verson 4.5 Abstract Typcally models of credt

More information

! # %& ( ) +,../ 0 1 2 3 4 0 4 # 5##&.6 7% 8 # 0 4 2 #...

! # %& ( ) +,../ 0 1 2 3 4 0 4 # 5##&.6 7% 8 # 0 4 2 #... ! # %& ( ) +,../ 0 1 2 3 4 0 4 # 5##&.6 7% 8 # 0 4 2 #... 9 Sheffeld Economc Research Paper Seres SERP Number: 2011010 ISSN 1749-8368 Sarah Brown, Aurora Ortz-Núñez and Karl Taylor Educatonal loans and

More information

A Novel Methodology of Working Capital Management for Large. Public Constructions by Using Fuzzy S-curve Regression

A Novel Methodology of Working Capital Management for Large. Public Constructions by Using Fuzzy S-curve Regression Novel Methodology of Workng Captal Management for Large Publc Constructons by Usng Fuzzy S-curve Regresson Cheng-Wu Chen, Morrs H. L. Wang and Tng-Ya Hseh Department of Cvl Engneerng, Natonal Central Unversty,

More information

A Novel Auction Mechanism for Selling Time-Sensitive E-Services

A Novel Auction Mechanism for Selling Time-Sensitive E-Services A ovel Aucton Mechansm for Sellng Tme-Senstve E-Servces Juong-Sk Lee and Boleslaw K. Szymansk Optmaret Inc. and Department of Computer Scence Rensselaer Polytechnc Insttute 110 8 th Street, Troy, Y 12180,

More information

How Sets of Coherent Probabilities May Serve as Models for Degrees of Incoherence

How Sets of Coherent Probabilities May Serve as Models for Degrees of Incoherence 1 st Internatonal Symposum on Imprecse Probabltes and Ther Applcatons, Ghent, Belgum, 29 June 2 July 1999 How Sets of Coherent Probabltes May Serve as Models for Degrees of Incoherence Mar J. Schervsh

More information

Management Quality and Equity Issue Characteristics: A Comparison of SEOs and IPOs

Management Quality and Equity Issue Characteristics: A Comparison of SEOs and IPOs Management Qualty and Equty Issue Characterstcs: A Comparson of SEOs and IPOs Thomas J. Chemmanur * Imants Paegls ** and Karen Smonyan *** Current verson: November 2009 (Accepted, Fnancal Management, February

More information

Pricing Model of Cloud Computing Service with Partial Multihoming

Pricing Model of Cloud Computing Service with Partial Multihoming Prcng Model of Cloud Computng Servce wth Partal Multhomng Zhang Ru 1 Tang Bng-yong 1 1.Glorous Sun School of Busness and Managment Donghua Unversty Shangha 251 Chna E-mal:ru528369@mal.dhu.edu.cn Abstract

More information

Stress test for measuring insurance risks in non-life insurance

Stress test for measuring insurance risks in non-life insurance PROMEMORIA Datum June 01 Fnansnspektonen Författare Bengt von Bahr, Younes Elonq and Erk Elvers Stress test for measurng nsurance rsks n non-lfe nsurance Summary Ths memo descrbes stress testng of nsurance

More information