The Next Growth Era for Japan s Pay-TV Business. Toru Kato Director, General Manager, Media Business Unit Jupiter Telecommunica:ons Co., Ltd.
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1 The Next Growth Era for Japan s Pay-TV Business Toru Kato Director, General Manager, Media Business Unit Jupiter Telecommunica:ons Co., Ltd. (J:COM)
2 Japan s Pay-TV market today Terrestrial: 7 channels NHK 2 channels BS: 31 channels 54.2 million HH 39.7 million HH (Public broadcast) Commercial TV 5 channels HH = households As of March million sub NHK 2 channels Free Pay TV 11 channels 18 channels As of March 2013 IPTV 2 million subs As of March 2012 SKY PerfecTV platform Pay-TV market CS (DTH) 3.9 million HH Premium service(124/128) 1.9 million HH SKY PerfecTV! (110CS) 2.0 million HH Cable As of March 2013 Pay Multi channel 8.0 million HH As of March 2012 Connected (free) 26.9 million HH As of December 2012 others
3 Broadband & Mobile Market in Japan u The fixed broadband market is showing maturity and flattening growth. u This is largely due to the migration of users from fixed broadband to wireless Internet services. u There is an urgent need to develop services targeting the rapidly growing wireless Internet market. FTTH, Cable, ADSL (million HH) %of Total Japanese Household ADSL Cable FTTH 2013 Mobile share (million HH) 24% 32.5 PHS etc. 5% % % Reference: TCA As of March 31, 2013
4 Growth Driver of Japan s Pay-TV market u Rapid growth of Smartphone & Tablets is the key driver of Japan s Pay-TV market. Some estimate that in 2016, smartphones will account for 70% of all mobile phones. u Tablet PCs are also likely to spread rapidly as they replace laptops in the home. This trend is rapidly changing the content viewing environment and greatly influencing the way people deal with the video services. Smartphone market size (shipments) Tablet PC market size (shipments) 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 ( In million) ,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 ( In million) ,000 4,000 15,000 3, , , ,000 1, Reference: Yano Research Institute Ltd. Figures for 2012 ~ 2015 are estimates
5 Pay TV Market in Video Business u TV service market provided by platforms like CATV and DTH is about 650 billion. u Programming costs (revenue for program suppliers) are estimated as 200 billion for basic channels and 100 billion yen for premium channels. u J:COM represents the largest share of basic channel market at 17%. TV Market Served by Platforms Pay Channel Market (Program Supply) Subscription fees and ad sale revenues on CATV, DTH, IP and TV Basic channels 200 billion Premium Channels CATV DTH IPTV 451billion 160billion 39billion 2010 actual Total 650 billion Includes Programming cost Others 56% J:COM 17% Company T 7% S 6% F 3% N 4% A 3% Market Scale about 100 billion Total 300 billion F 3% T 3%
6 The Role of BS/CS and Digital Cable 1 u The number of household receiving free BS digital broadcast is increasing. u With the expansion of broadcast receivable household and maintaining the different groups of audience from the terrestrial broadcasting, we expect steady growth going forward. Free BS Receivable Household (in million) Free BS Broadcast Market (million ) 3,900 3,800 3,700 3,600 3, ,400 3,300 3,200 3, , BS digital broadcast refers to NHK BS broadcast and free BS broadcast by terrestrial key broadcasters Deduced from ad revenue
7 The Role of BS/CS and Digital Cable 2 u Decrease in potential subscribers and natural increase in churn result in flat growth in both number of subscriber and market scale for pay TV. Pay TV Service Household Forecast Pay TV service Market Volume Forecast ( In million: household) IP broadcast Satellite broadcast ( In billion: ) 1,400 CATV 7,000 1, ,000 IP broadcast Satellite broadcast CATV , ,000 4, , , , CATV household: household watching via CATV Satellite broadcast household: household watching via satellite service IP broadast household: household watching via IP network Composed of subscription revenue (including initial fee, monthly subscription fee, STB rental fee, PPV fee) and ad revenue
8 The Role of Sports, Movies and Local Contents u Sports like baseball and soccer have the largest market followed by animation. Size of Pay Channel Market by Genre (rounded estimate) Sports ANIME ( In billion: ) Movies Foreign 9 Domestic 5 American Dramas Japanese Japanese periodical Korean Baseball/ Football Golf 5 30 Music Documentaries News These numbers are estimation based on a number of market data.
9 The Role of OTT Media u Overseas operators and domestic mobile carriers launched service u All-you-can-watch (SVOD) service provided by domestic carriers on smartphone shows drastic growth overseas planned Rapid growth of mobile carriers domestic NTTdocomo KDDI SoftBank
10 SVOD Services by Mobile Carriers u NTT docomo achieved rapid subscription growth at the store front sales u All carriers large number of titles at a reasonable monthly charge. u Dongle-shaped STB allows services on TV. Mobile carrier Service name Pricing # of titles & episodes Device Subscribers 525 /month 590 /month 490 /month 7,000 titles 57,000 episodes TV Mobile 1,500 titles 5,000 episodes TV Mobile PC 4,000 titles 60,000 episodes TV Mobile Dongle STB Dongle STB Dongle STB ( Smart TV dstick ) ( Smart TV STICK ) ( Smart TV ) 3.7 million 100 thousand 1.5 million (target as of 2014)
11 Conclusion J:COM Media Group s Next Challenge Expansion of Share Expansion of Business Domain u aims for share expansion via partnership through M&A and alliances in the linear broadcast market expansion of business domain utilizing VOD and multi-screen (alliance like capital relationship with rights holders are necessary) We are looking for Asian business partners!
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