Broadcast. Stig Eide Sivertsen
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1 Broadcast Stig Eide Sivertsen 1
2 Agenda 1. Overview 2. TV Distribution 3. Nordic TV Distribution growth opportunities 4. Transmission 5. Summary 2
3 Overview Delivered as promised Continued subscriber growth Streamlined organisation Reduced churn Piracy control Number 1 Nordic content provider Operating cash flow of 1 billion NOK in 3
4 Overview Leading positions throughout the value chain Content Transmission Distribution 4
5 Reaching customers across different access platforms Households: Monthly ARPU: DTH Subscribers with satellite dish NOK Cable Cable TV subscribers NOK SMATV Households in small antenna TV-networks NOK DTH cards only Free to air channels only to DTH households
6 Overview Revenue distribution SMATV Other TV Distribution 70% Cable Satellite Transmission 24% DTH Terrestrial Gross revenue of 5.4 billion NOK 6
7 Financial Overview Top line growth and margin expansion Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) EBITDA CAPEX % 14 % 25 % Excludes sales gains / losses Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 7
8 Financial Overview Improved operations quarter by quarter Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) EBITDA CAPEX % 26 % 29 % % 10 % 18 % Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Excludes sales gains / losses Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 8
9 Agenda 1. Overview TV Distribution 3. Nordic TV Distribution growth opportunities 4. Transmission 5. Summary
10 TV Distribution Continuous growth and improved operations in DTH subscriber base increased 9% DTH pay TV market share increased from 61% to 63% DTH ARPU increased 9% Cable ARPU increased 13% DTH churn down from 19% to 16% Streamlined operations after Canal Digital integration 10
11 TV Distribution Market share increased quarter by quarter Nordic DTH Subscribers ( 000) Observations Canal Digital s subscriber CAGR exceeds 20% primarily due to premium content Canal Digital s packaging strategy different from MTG/Viasat s Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Viasat Premium Subscribers Canal Digital Premium Subscribers 11
12 TV Distribution DTH subscriber and ARPU growth DTH subscribers ( 000) and ARPU (NOK) Observations Extended content offering contributed to subscriber and ARPU growth ARPU expected to level out as new customer have lower priced subscriptions DTH subscriber base Monthly DTH ARPU 0 12
13 TV Distribution DTH churn reduced to 16% DTH Churn Development Strategy 41 % 33 % Increased customer satisfaction Content and pricing Operational excellence 19 % 16 % Piracy control through Conax system
14 TV Distribution Cable subscriber and ARPU growth Cable subscribers ( 000) and ARPU (NOK) Observations High speed internet and digital TV drives Cable TV revenue Pricing and packaging Organic subscriber growth Cable subscriber base Monthly CATV ARPU 0 14
15 TV Distribution Streamlining increases profitability DTH CATV Avidi SMATV Vision Promotion of Canal Digital as joint TV brand Headcount down 30% after Canal Digital integration Economies of scale in content purchase Optimising pricing and product mix 15
16 Improved operations with Canal Digital 100% Economies of scale DTH + CATV (million subs) 1,3 1,4 0,6 Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % DTH ARPU Cable ARPU ARPU growth Profitable growth 25 % Staff reductions Man-labour year % -1 % 2001 Numbers include Canal Digital 100% June 30th Excludes sales gains / losses, proforma numbers 16
17 TV Distribution Stable growth and operational turnaround Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) EBITDA CAPEX % 3 % 10 % 21 % 18 % 23 % Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Excludes sales gains / losses Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 17
18 TV Distribution Potential for increased margins DTH Benchmarks Canal Digital BSkyB EBITDA-margin 18 % 18 % DTH subscribers Subs growth - 9 % 10 % Monthly ARPU (NOK) Churn 16 % 9 % Both Canal Digital and BSkyB have potential for increased margins after expansion phase Canal Digital is best practice on important cost parameters and rivals BSkyB on profitability BSkyB is best practice on ARPU and churn due to monopoly and economies of scale 18
19 Agenda 1. Overview 2. TV Distribution Nordic TV Distribution growth opportunities 4. Transmission 5. Summary
20 TV Distribution 3 million households will convert to digital TV TV Households ('000) Norway Sweden Denmark Finland Total Cable DTH (inkl. cards only) Terrestrial Digital (DTT) Terrestrial Analogue only Nordic TV Market Opportunity for TV Distribution Opportunity for Norkring Numbers are Broadcast estimates based on available information 20
21 DTH Fighting piracy increases the addressable market Canal Digital is not commercially hacked today, due to: intensive work on encryption technology frequently change of smart cards Piracy and MTG/Viasat are major competitors Estimated pirate MTG/Viasat cards in the Nordic region Picture: Buena Vista International Norge 21
22 TV Distribution Content uniqueness will still drive revenue Canal Digitals leading Nordic position ensures access to the best content effects on recruitment and churn Opportunities to repack and extend the program packages increase margins Canal Plus in final rounds to retain Premier League 22
23 TV Distribution Sweden and Norway are our strongest markets Canal Digital s DTH subscribers as a % of total TV households Key Observations and Strategy 14% 2% Finland and Denmark are growth opportunities CRM operator role for DTT in Finland will strengthen our Finish position 8% 5% 23
24 Agenda 1. Overview 2. TV Distribution 3. Nordic TV Distribution growth opportunities 4. Transmission 5. Summary
25 Transmission Steady profitable development Satellite Broadcasting Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % New business compensates for analogue shut down Cost reductions to compensate revenue drop % % Norkring (terrestrial transmission) New radio contract from 2004 Potential for new revenues in new digital services Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % % 42 % Excludes sales gains / losses 25
26 Transmission Satellite Broadcasting is the leading Nordic satellite operator Analogue to digital migration completed Intensified sales of new products and services in Intelsat investment of 88 USDm will improve profitability from H Evaluation of ownership strategy for Satellite Broadcasting 26
27 Transmission Digitization is an opportunity for increased revenues in terrestrial transmission New radio station and digital radio (DAB) have extended existing contract portfolio Digital transmission TV (DTT) gives expansion opportunities Norkring excels in Benchmark analysis 27
28 Transmission Steady profitable development Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) EBITDA CAPEX % 41 % 38 % 42 % 40 % 46 % Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Excludes sales gains / losses Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 28
29 Agenda 1. Overview 2. TV Distribution 3. Nordic TV Distribution growth opportunities 4. Transmission 5. Summary 29
30 Broadcast Summary Substantial growth within TV Distribution Improved operations in TV Distribution Stable profitability in Transmission Potential for further Nordic growth 30
31 Broadcast Outlook 2004 Expectations Revenue EBITDA Capex Continuing revenue growth Targeting an improved EBITDA margin from Capex (ex. Satellite and DTT) at level 31
32 32
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