THE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
|
|
- Ursula Shelton
- 7 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco, CA (415) FAX: (415) Release #2540 Release Date: Thursday, July 7, 2016 MOST DEMOCRATS WANT SANDERS TO STEP ASIDE AND THROW SUPPORT TO CLINTON. CLINTON HOLDS HUGE LEAD OVER TRUMP AMONG ALL CALIFORNIA VOTERS. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll IMPORTANT: Contract for this service is subject to revocation if publication or broadcast takes place before release date or if contents are divulged to persons outside of subscriber staff prior to release time. (ISSN ) Most California Democrats (53%) want Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders to step aside and throw his support to presumptive nominee Hillary Clinton. However, a sizeable segment of this state's Democrats (38%) feel Sanders should continue his campaign through to the Democratic National Convention later this month. Mirroring voting preferences in the Democratic primaries, there are big generational differences between younger and older voters about this. Democrats under age 40 want Sanders to continue his campaign to the convention by a five-to-three margin. By contrast, nearly three times as many Democrats age 65 or older want the Vermont Senator to step aside now and throw his support to Clinton. The latest poll also finds Clinton holding a huge early lead over presumptive Republican Party nominee Donald Trump when all likely voters in this state are asked whom they would support in the November presidential election. More than twice as many Californians currently prefer Clinton (58%) over Trump (28%), although this thirty-point lead declines to twenty-four points when Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson's name is also included in the presidential preference mix. One of the main factors contributing to Clinton's big lead in California is that Trump has very little cross-over appeal to voters outside his party or to the state's large ethnic voter population. These are the findings to a multiethnic Field Poll completed among 956 likely voters throughout California by telephone in six languages and dialects. Most Democrats want Sanders to step aside and throw support to Clinton When asked what action Sanders should take now that the Democratic presidential primaries are over, most California Democrats (53%) want Sanders to step aside and throw his support to the party's presumptive nominee, Clinton. But, a sizeable segment (38%) thinks otherwise, and feels Field Research Corporation is an Equal Opportunity Employer
2 Thursday, July 7, 2016 Page 2 Sanders should continue his campaign all the way to the Democratic National Convention later this month. Similar to voter preferences in the Democratic primaries, there is a big generational divide in opinions about this. Democrats under age 40 want Sanders to continue on to the convention by a five-to-three margin (59% to 35%). By contrast, Democrats age 65 or older take the opposite view, with 66% saying Sanders should step aside now and only 26% favoring him continuing his campaign to the convention. Voters age also favor Sanders stepping aside and throwing his support to Clinton 58% to 30%. Table 1 What California Democrats think Bernie Sanders should do now that the primaries are over Step aside and throw support to Clinton Continue campaign to the convention No opinion Total registered Democrats 53% 38 9 Age % % or older 66% 26 8 Clinton holds huge early lead over Trump in California in the general election Clinton holds a huge early lead over presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump when a sample of likely voters in this state are asked whom they would support in the November presidential election. More than twice as many Californians currently prefer Clinton (58%) over Trump (28%) if the election were being held today. Clinton's thirty-point lead declines to twentyfour points when Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson's name is also included in the presidential preference measures. Table 2 California voter preferences for President (among likely voters) Clinton vs. Trump Clinton vs. Trump and Johnson Hillary Clinton (D) 58% 50% Donald Trump (R) Gary Johnson (L) Undecided (D) denotes Democrat, (R) denotes Republican, and (L) denotes Libertarian
3 Thursday, July 7, 2016 Page 3 Trump has very little cross-over appeal to voters outside his party or to the state's ethnic voters Trump is receiving an unusually low level of cross-over vote support from Democratic voters in California. While Clinton currently wins receives the backing of greater than eight in ten of her party's rank-and-file, just 5%-6% of the state's Democrats back Trump in either a two-candidate trial heat against Clinton, or in a three-candidate field that includes both Clinton and Johnson. Trump's support among no party preference voters is also anemic, with no more than one in five backing his candidacy in either setting. Support for Trump is also unusually low among the state's ethnic voters. In a two-candidate field, Clinton is backed by 75% of the state's Latinos and 87% of its African Americans. By contrast, Trump draws the support of just 12% and 3% of these voters, respectively. Clinton also holds very large leads over Trump among coastal county voters, who comprise greater than seven in ten of the state's electorate. The former Secretary of State is also preferred by big margins among women, voters under age 40, renters, voters with no more than a high school education, and those with a post-graduate degree. When Libertarian candidate Johnson is included in the mix, Clinton's thirty-point lead over Trump declines to twenty-four points. This is primarily due to Clinton receiving fewer votes from the state's GOP and no party preference voters with Johnson in the mix. For example, while Clinton receives the cross-over votes of 16% of Republicans in a two-candidate field, her support declines to just 10% when Johnson is also listed among the presidential candidate choices. Similarly, while Clinton receives 48% support among no party preference voters in a two-candidate field, this declines to 38% when Johnson is listed.
4 Thursday, July 7, 2016 Page 4 Table 3 California voter preferences for President across subgroups of the likely voter population 2-candidate pairings 3-candidate trial heat Clinton Trump Undec. Clinton Trump Johnson Undec. Total likely voters 58% % Party registration Democrat 87% % Republican 16% % No party preference/other 48% % Political ideology Conservative 26% % Middle-of-the-road 61% % Liberal 83% % Area Coastal counties 62% % Inland counties 47% % Region Los Angeles County 71% % Other Southern CA 50% % San Francisco Bay Area 63% % Central Valley/Other North 43% % Gender Male 53% % Female 62% % Age % % % % or older 50% % Race/ethnicity White non-hispanic 49% % Latino 75% % African American* 87% % Asian American 55% % Education High school graduate or less 64% % Some college/trade school 56% % College graduate 52% % Post-graduate work 63% % Tenure Homeowner 50% % Renter/other 68% % * Small sample base.
5 Thursday, July 7, 2016 Page 5 More Republicans than Democrats express dissatisfaction with their party's presumptive nominee While sizable proportions of voters in both major parties express dissatisfaction with this year's presumptive presidential nominees, more California Republicans than Democrats feel this way. Greater than one in three of this state's Republicans (37%) say they are dissatisfied or upset about Trump becoming their party's nominee for president, while 60% express either enthusiasm or satisfaction for Trump as their party's standard bearer. By comparison, fewer Democrats (25%) express dissatisfaction or say they are upset with Clinton as their party's nominee, while nearly three times as many (72%) describe themselves as either enthusiastic or satisfied. Table 4 California voter views about Clinton and Trump becoming the nominees of their parties (among registered voters) Clinton (among CA Democrats) Trump (among CA Republicans) } 72% } 60% } 25% } 37% Enthusiastic 35% 33% Satisfied, but not enthusiastic Dissatisfied, but not upset Upset No opinion 3 3 Clinton's image rating among the overall electorate is much more favorable than Trump's The overall impressions that Californians have of Clinton have rebounded somewhat since her seven-point victory over Sanders in the state's June Democratic presidential primary. At present, 53% of the state's overall electorate view her favorably, while 43% hold an unfavorable opinion. In April opinions were more divided, with 48% holding an unfavorable view of her, and 47% having a positive opinion. On the other hand, there has been no diminishment in the historically low assessments of Trump as the presumptive nominee of a major party. The current poll finds 73% Californians viewing Trump negatively, while just 24% have a favorable opinion of him. These are very similar to voter assessments of Trump in each of two previous Field Poll measures conducted April and January.
6 Thursday, July 7, 2016 Page 6 Table 5 Trend of image ratings of Clinton and Trump (among California likely voters) Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Clinton July % 43 4 April % 48 5 January % 44 6 Trump July % 73 3 April % 74 4 January % Methodological Details Information About the Survey The findings in this report come from a Field Poll survey completed June 8-July 2 among 1,635 California adults, of whom 956 were considered likely voters in November general election. To capture the diversity of the California population, the survey was administered in six languages and dialects English, Spanish, Cantonese, Mandarin, Vietnamese and Korean, depending on the preference of the respondent. In order to cover a broad range of issues and still minimize possible voter fatigue, some of the questions in this release are based on random subsamples of 495 or 461 likely voters. In addition, the sample sizes applicable to questions asked only of registered Democrats or Republicans included 545 and 290 voters, respectively. Interviews were administered by telephone by live, professionally-trained interviewers calling from Interviewing Service of America's central location call center in Van Nuys. The sample was developed using a dual frame random digit dial cell phone and landline methodology to generate telephone listings covering the state of California. Up to six attempts were made to reach, screen and interview each randomly selected adult on different days and times of day during the interviewing period. In this survey, 715 likely voters were interviewed on their cell phone, and 241 likely voters were interviewed on a landline or other type of telephone. After the completion of interviewing, the combined landline and cell phone sample was weighted to match demographic, geographic and other estimates of the adult and registered populations in California. The weighting process also takes into account the higher probability of reaching respondents who regularly receive calls on both a landline and cell phone. Sampling error estimates applicable to the results of any probability-based survey depend on sample size and the percentage distributions being examined. The maximum sampling error for results from the overall likely voter sample is ±3.2 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, while findings from the random subsamples of likely voters are subject to a maximum sampling error of +/- 4.4 percentage point. Questions asked of registered Democrats and Republicans only have a maximum sampling error of +/- 4.2 and +/- 5.8 percentage points, respectively. These estimates are based on survey findings in the middle of the sampling distribution (i.e., results at or near 50%). Percentages at or near either end of the tail of the distributions (i.e., results closer to 10% or 90%) have somewhat smaller margins of error. There are other potential sources of error in surveys of public opinion besides sampling error. However, the overall design and execution of this survey sought to minimize these other possible errors.
7 Thursday, July 7, 2016 Page 7 The Field Poll was established in 1947 as The California Poll by Mervin Field. The Poll has operated continuously since then as an independent, non-partisan survey of California public opinion. The Field Poll receives financial support from leading California newspapers and television stations, who purchase the rights of first release to Field Poll reports in their primary viewer or readership markets. The Poll also receives funding from the University of California and California State University systems, who receive the data files from each Field Poll survey shortly after its completion for teaching and secondary research purposes, as well as from foundations, non-profit organizations, and others as part of the Poll's policy research sponsor program. Questions Asked (ASKED OF REGISTERED DEMOCRATS) Which of the following best describes how you feel about Hillary Clinton becoming the Democratic Party's nominee for President enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset? Do you favor Bernie Sanders continuing his campaign for the presidential nomination all the way to the Democratic National Convention in July, or should he step aside before the convention and throw his support to Hillary Clinton? (ASKED OF REGISTERED REPUBLICANS) Which of the following best describes how you feel about Donald Trump becoming the Re-publican Party's nominee for President enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not upset, or upset? (ASKED OF ALL LIKELY VOTERS) If the November general election for President were being held today and the candidates were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, for whom would you vote Trump or Clinton? (ASKED OF SUBSAMPLE OF 495 LIKELY VOTERS) What if the choices in the November general election for President were Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Hillary Clinton or Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson? If the election were being held today, for whom would you vote Trump, Clinton or Johnson? (ASKED OF SUBSAMPLE OF 461 LIKELY VOTERS) Generally speaking, is your opinion of (Hillary Clinton) (Donald Trump) favorable or unfavorable?
THE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo and Mervin Field
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationRelease #2343 Release Date: Saturday, July 10, 2010
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. By Mark DiCamillo and Mervin Field
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210 San Francisco,
More informationRelease #2443 Release Date: Thursday, February 28, 2013
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco,
More informationA 58% majority of voters also say they would favor allowing medical marijuana dispensaries to operate in the city or town where they live.
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco,
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. UCB Contact. Release #2430 Release Date: Friday, September 28, 2012
Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900, San Francisco, CA 94108-2814 415.392.5763 FAX: 415.434.2541 field.com/fieldpollonline THE FIELD POLL UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY BERKELEY
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. Release #2509 Embargoed for print publication: Tuesday, June 16, 2015
Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 210, San Francisco, CA 94108 415.392.5763 FAX: 415.434.2541 field.com/fieldpollonline THE FIELD POLL Release #2509 Embargoed for print publication:
More informationCalifornia Emerging Technology Fund Calls for National Policy on Affordable Broadband Rate
Embargoed for media use: Tuesday, July 8, 2014 Contact: Mary Anne Ostrom, Maryanne.Ostrom@cetfund.org Mobile: 510-381-3070 California Emerging Technology Fund Calls for National Policy on Affordable Broadband
More informationTHE FIELD POLL. UCB Contact
Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900, San Francisco, CA 94108-2814 415.392.5763 FAX: 415.434.2541 field.com/fieldpollonline THE FIELD POLL UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY BERKELEY
More informationRelease #2301 Release Date and Time: 6:00 a.m., Tuesday, March 10, 2009
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco,
More informationVIRGINIA: TRUMP, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Thursday, 25, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationRelease #2349 Release Date: Tuesday, July 20, 2010
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco,
More informationVoting and Political Demography in 1996
California Opinion Index A review of Voting and Political Demography in 1996 February 1997 Findings in Brief Approximately 10.3 million Californians voted in the November 1996 Presidential elections, down
More informationTEXAS: CRUZ, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Thursday, 25, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationMARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Thursday, 21, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationPolitical Parties and the Party System
California Opinion Index A digest on how the California public views Political Parties and the Party System April 1999 Findings in Brief The proportion of Californians who follows what s going on in government
More informationRelease #2448 Embargoed for Print Publication: Monday, August 19, 2013
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco,
More informationNBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll. Indiana Questionnaire
Residents: n=2568, MOE +/- 1.9% Registered Voters: n=2149, MOE +/-2.1% NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Indiana Questionnaire Potential Republican Electorate: n=1110, MOE +/- 2.9% Likely Republican Primary Voters:
More informationOHIO: KASICH, TRUMP IN GOP SQUEAKER; CLINTON LEADS IN DEM RACE
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, 14, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationMICHIGAN: TRUMP, CLINTON IN FRONT
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, 7, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationFLORIDA: TRUMP WIDENS LEAD OVER RUBIO
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, March 14, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationALABAMA and OKLAHOMA: TRUMP LEADS IN BOTH CLINTON LEADS IN AL, SANDERS IN OK
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, February 29, 2016 Contact: PATRICK
More informationHow the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,037 Adults
How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,037 Adults This survey of 1,037 adults was conducted July 14 th through July 21 st, 2015 by The Marist Poll sponsored
More informationRelease #2478 Embargoed for Print Publication: Wednesday, August 20, 2014
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street San Francisco, CA 94108-2814
More informationEMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, May 4 at 6:00 a.m.
Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on April 28 May 1, 2016. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
More informationIOWA: CRUZ TAKES CAUCUS LEAD
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, 7, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationTrump leads GOP field, with Rubio and Cruz next; Clinton leads Sanders among Virginia Democrats
Feb. 16, 2016 Trump leads GOP field, with Rubio and Cruz next; Clinton leads Sanders among Virginia Democrats Summary of Key Findings 1. Almost two-thirds of Virginia voters have an unfavorable view of
More informationIllinois: GOP Presidential Primary
Illinois: GOP Presidential Primary Date of Poll: 02/24/16 Responses: 1,311 likely voters Margin of error: ±3% Choice for President Response Percentage Donald Trump 38.44% Ted Cruz 15.87% Marco Rubio 21.21%
More informationClinton Leads Sanders by 29%
P R E S S R E L E A S E FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: February 8, Contact: Steve Mitchell 248-891-2414 Clinton Leads Sanders by 29% (Clinton 57% - Sanders 28%) EAST LANSING, Michigan --- Former Secretary of State
More informationNATIONAL: TRUMP WIDENS NATIONAL LEAD
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, December 14, 2015 Contact: PATRICK
More informationbehavior research center s
behavior research center s behavior research center s NEWS RELEASE [RMP 2012-III-01] Contact: Earl de Berge Research Director 602-258-4554 602-268-6563 OBAMA PULLS EVEN WITH ROMNEY IN ARIZONA; FLAKE AND
More informationThe Senate Race between Incumbent Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte and Democratic Challenger Maggie Hassan continues to show a tight race.
May 30, 2016 Presumptive Republican Presidential Nominee Donald Trump is locked in a tight race with presumptive Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. The Senate Race between
More informationEMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, December 23 at 4:00 p.m.
Interviews with 1,018 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on December 17-21, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
More informationTHE FIELD POLL FOR ADVANCE PUBLICATION BY SUBSCRIBERS ONLY.
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 222 Sutter Street, Suite 700 San Francisco,
More informationBefore the Conventions: Insights into Trump and Clinton Voters July 8-12, 2016
CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL For release: Thursday, July 14, 2016 6:30 pm EDT Before the Conventions: Insights into Trump and Clinton Voters July 8-12, 2016 Trump supporters have negative views of the
More informationInternet Connectivity and the Digital Divide in California Households: 2015
Internet Connectivity and the Digital Divide in California Households: 2015 A statewide survey conducted for California Emerging Technology Fund by May 2015 About the Survey Population surveyed: Method
More informationUMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 5 of 8
Center for Public Opinion Dr. Joshua J. Dyck and Dr. Francis Talty, co-directors http://www.uml.edu/polls @UML_CPO UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 5 of 8 Survey produced
More informationTHE CNN / WMUR NH PRIMARY POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE
June 25, 2015 THE CNN / WMUR NH PRIMARY POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SANDERS GAINS ON CLINTON IN NEW HAMPSHIRE By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. UNH Survey Center 603-862-2226 www.unh.edu/survey-center
More informationIOWA: TRUMP TAKES CAUCUS LEAD
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Wednesday, 27, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationRepublicans Get behind Trump, but Not All of His Policies
Republicans Get behind Trump, but Not All of His Policies Dina Smeltz, Senior Fellow, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy Karl Friedhoff, Fellow, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy Craig Kafura, Research
More informationFLORIDA LATINO VOTERS AND THE 2016 ELECTION
FLORIDA LATINO VOTERS AND THE 2016 ELECTION Sylvia Manzano, PhD Principal Latino Decisions April 20, 2016 Overview Latino vote will approach 13 million in 2016. Florida s 2.5 million eligible Latino voters
More informationElections - Methods for Predicting Which People Will vote
Center for Public Opinion Dr. Joshua J. Dyck and Dr. Francis Talty, co-directors http://www.uml.edu/polls @UML_CPO UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 8 of 8 Survey produced
More informationClinton Leads Sanders by 28%
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: March 2, 2016 P R E S S R E L E A S E Contact: Steve Mitchell 248-891-2414 Clinton Leads Sanders by 28% (Clinton 61% - Sanders 33%) EAST LANSING, Michigan --- Former Secretary of
More informationMixed views of the state s health care system; concerns about the future
THE FIELD POLL THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD Field Research Corporation 222 Sutter Street, Suite 700 San Francisco,
More informationTopline Report: Ohio Election Poll Baldwin Wallace University CRI HOLD FOR RELEASE 6:00 a.m., February 24, 2016
Topline Report: Ohio Election Poll Baldwin Wallace University CRI HOLD FOR RELEASE 6:00 a.m., February 24, 2016 The Baldwin Wallace CRI study was conducted during the period of February 11-20, 2016 among
More informationAmerica s Voice/LD 2016 3-State Battleground Survey, April 2016
1a. [SPLIT A] On the whole, what are the most important issues facing the [Hispanic/Latino] community that you think Congress and the President should address? Open ended, Pre-code to list, MAY SELECT
More informationTrump Leads Rubio in Florida- Even Head to Head
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 25, 2016 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH
More informationCLINTON, TRUMP HAVE BIG LEADS IN NEW YORK PRIMARIES, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; ADOPTED DAUGHTER THUMPS NATIVE SON, EDGES KASICH
Maurice Carroll, Assistant Director Quinnipiac University Poll (203) 506-9199 Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (203) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: MARCH 31, 2016 CLINTON, TRUMP HAVE
More informationBernie Sanders has Re-Opened a Lead over Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Race in New Hampshire
January 5, 6 Bernie Sanders has Re-Opened a Lead over Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Race in New Hampshire By: R. Kelly Myers Marlin Fitzwater Fellow, Franklin Pierce University 6.4.98
More informationNATIONAL: HOUSE SPEAKERSHIP SHADOWS GOP 2016
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Tuesday, 20, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationUMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 4 of 8
Center for Public Opinion Dr. Joshua J. Dyck and Dr. Francis Talty, co-directors http://www.uml.edu/polls @UML_CPO UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 4 of 8 Survey produced
More informationTRUMP LEADS IN PENNSYLVANIA AS CLINTON EDGES SANDERS, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; BOY NEXT DOOR KASICH RUNS BEST IN NOVEMBER MATCHUPS
Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: APRIL 6, 2016 TRUMP LEADS IN PENNSYLVANIA
More informationUMass Lowell/7News Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 3
Center for Public Opinion Dr. Joshua J. Dyck and Dr. Francis Talty, co-directors http://www.uml.edu/polls @UML_CPO UMass Lowell/7News Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 3 Survey produced by
More informationAmerica s Voice/LD 2016 3-State Battleground Survey, April 2016
1a. [SPLIT A] On the whole, what are the most important issues facing the [Hispanic/Latino] community that you think Congress and the President should address? Open ended, Pre-code to list, MAY SELECT
More informationNATIONAL: TRUMP WIDENS LEAD
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, August 3, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationCALIFORNIA VOTERS SEE EMERGING SHORTAGE OF TEACHERS AS VERY SERIOUS PROBLEM; BELIEVE STATE SHOULD TAKE ACTION
Embargoed until 11 a.m. on November 17, 2015. Media contacts: Lisa Cohen, EdSource, (310) 395-2544 Wynn Hausser, Learning Policy Institute, (650) 332-9776 Mark DiCamillo, The Field Poll, (415) 530-5613
More informationRECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, July, 2016, 2016 Campaign: Strong Interest, Widespread Dissatisfaction
NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE JULY 07, 2016 FOR MEDIA OR OTHER INQUIRIES: Carroll Doherty, Director of Political Research Jocelyn Kiley, Associate Director, Research Bridget Johnson,
More informationLATINO VOTERS AND THE 2016 ELECTION
LATINO VOTERS AND THE 2016 ELECTION Sylvia Manzano, PhD Principal Latino Decisions April 20, 2016 Overview Latino vote will approach 12.5 million in 2016 What effect will positioning on immigration issues
More informationFIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION
FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION FOUNDED IN 1945 BY MERVIN FIELD EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE TUESDAY, OCTOBER 27, 2015 Media contacts: Mark DiCamillo, Field Research, 415-530-5613 Gretchen Alkema, The SCAN Foundation,
More informationUMass Lowell/7NEWS Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 2
Center for Public Opinion Dr. Joshua J. Dyck and Dr. Francis Talty, Co-Directors http://www.uml.edu/polls @UML_CPO UMass Lowell/7NEWS Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 2 Survey produced by
More informationSOUTH CAROLINA: TRUMP LEADS, CARSON 2 nd
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Tuesday, August 25, 2015 Contact: PATRICK MURRAY
More informationNEW HAMPSHIRE: TRUMP, SANDERS HOLD LEADS
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Sunday, 7, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationMarist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu NBC News/Marist Poll Nearly Seven in Ten New Jersey Voters Applaud Christie
More informationNEW HAMPSHIRE: TRUMP LEADS, BUSH SECOND
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Tuesday, July 28, 2015 Contact: PATRICK MURRAY
More information(212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: MAY
Peter A. Brown, Assistant Director, (203) 535-6203 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Associates, Inc., Public Relations Pat Smith (212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: MAY 10, 2016 CLINTON-TRUMP
More informationRECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, January, 2016, Republican Primary Voters: More Conservative than GOP General Election Voters
NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE JANUARY 28, 2016 FOR MEDIA OR OTHER INQUIRIES: Carroll Doherty, Director of Political Research Jocelyn Kiley, Associate Director, Research Bridget
More informationNBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Florida November 3, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire
Screener Are you 18 years of age or older? Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Florida? HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY GENDER GUESS NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll
More informationNATIONAL: SENATE SHOULD CONSIDER SCOTUS PICK
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, March 21, 2016 Contact: PATRICK MURRAY
More informationNUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE APRIL 7, 2015 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT:
NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE APRIL 7, 2015 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT: Carroll Doherty, Director of Political Research Rachel Weisel, Communications Associate 202.419.4372
More informationFlorida Poll Results Trump 47%, Clinton 42% (Others 3%, 8% undecided) Rubio re-elect: 38-39% (22% undecided)
Florida Poll Results Trump 47%, Clinton 42% (Others 3%, 8% undecided) Rubio re-elect: 38-39% (22% undecided) POLLING METHODOLOGY Our philosophy about which population to use depends on the election, but
More informationMarist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu POLL MUST BE SOURCED: NBC News/Marist Poll* Kansas: Orman Leads Roberts
More informationNATIONAL: AN ANGRY AMERICA
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, January 25, 2016 Contact: PATRICK MURRAY
More informationIn battleground Virginia, Clinton beating all Republicans in 2016 presidential matchups; GOP voters divided, with Bush up, Christie down
February 12, 2015 In battleground Virginia, Clinton beating all Republicans in 2016 presidential matchups; GOP voters divided, with Bush up, Christie down Summary of Key Findings 1. Virginia voters like
More informationHow the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll of 1,403 New York City Adults
How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll of 1,403 New York City Adults This survey of 1,403 New York City adults was conducted August 12 th through August 14 th, 2013.
More informationNovember 2015 Winthrop Poll of SC Democratic Presidential Primary Likely Voters
November 2015 Winthrop Poll of SC Democratic Presidential Primary Likely Voters For methodological questions please read the full Methodology Statement at bottom. PRESS RELEASE ROCK HILL, SOUTH CAROLINA
More informationNBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll January 2016 New Hampshire Questionnaire. Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll New Hampshire Questionnaire Screener Are you 18 years of age or older? Do you consider your permanent home address to be in New Hampshire? HH SELECTION
More informationThe Presidential Election, Same-Sex Marriage, and the Economy May 11-13, 2012
CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL For release: Monday, May 14th, 2012 6:30 pm (ET) The Presidential Election, Same-Sex Marriage, and the Economy May 11-13, 2012 The race for president remains close, but Republican
More informationCalifornians and Their Government March 2016 Full Crosstabs Likely Voters Only
PPIC STATEWIDE SURVEY MARCH 2016 ns and Their Government March 2016 Full Crosstabs Likely Voters Only Methodology Note: Findings are based on a survey of 1,710 adult residents, with 50 percent interviewed
More informationResults Embargoed Until Tuesday, October 6 at 12:01AM. Clinton Leads Rivals among Maryland Democratic Primary Voters
Results Embargoed Until Tuesday, October 6 at 12:01AM Press Contact Information Mileah Kromer Director, Sarah T. Hughes Field Politics Center mileah.kromer@goucher.edu Chris Landers Office of Communications
More informationMUHLENBERG COLLEGE /MORNING CALL. 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll
MUHLENBERG COLLEGE /MORNING CALL 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll RELEASE #20 October 16, 2008 FIELDING PERIOD October 11-15, 2008 SAMPLE 595 Likely Voters in Pennsylvania MARGIN OF ERROR - +/- 4.0% at
More informationMarquette Law School Poll June 9-12, 2016. Vote results among Likely Voters
Marquette Law School Poll June 9-12, 2016 (ages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Values ending in.5 here may round up or down if they are slightly above.5 or slightly below. Frequencies
More informationState Constitutional Reform and Related Issues
California Opinion Index A digest summarizing California voter opinions about State Constitutional Reform and Related Issues October 2009 Findings in Brief By a 51% to 38% margin voters believe that fundamental
More informationNEW JERSEY VOTERS TELL GOV. CHRISTIE 2-1 TO COME HOME, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; GOV. IN DISTANT FOURTH PLACE IN GOP PRESIDENTIAL RACE
Maurice Carroll, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) 582-5334 Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: NOVEMBER 10, 2015 NEW JERSEY VOTERS
More informationHPU POLL MEMO RELEASE 10/13/2014. Likely Voters in North Carolina, Colorado, and New Hampshire
HPU POLL MEMO RELEASE 10/1/2014 ELEMENTS Populations represented Sample sizes Mode of data collection Type of sample (probability/nonprobability) DETAILS Likely Voters in North Carolina, Colorado, and
More informationChallenges for Trump vs. Clinton: Favorability, Attributes and More
ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Clinton vs. Trump EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Wednesday, March 9, 2016 Challenges for Trump vs. Clinton: Favorability, Attributes and More A rougher road to his party
More informationIOWA: CARSON, TRUMP TIE FOR LEAD
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, August 31, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY
More informationResults of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21751 - Page 1
In Colorado, 3 Weeks Until Votes are Counted, Republicans May Have Slight Advantage in Contests for US Senate and Governor: Both incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall and incumbent Democratic Governor
More informationSIENA RESEARCH INSTITUTE SIENA COLLEGE, LOUDONVILLE, NY
SIENA RESEARCH INSTITUTE SIENA COLLEGE, LOUDONVILLE, NY www.siena.edu/sri For Immediate Release: Monday, July 14, 2008 Contact: Steven Greenberg at 518-469-9858 PDF version; crosstabs; website: www.siena.edu/sri/sny0708
More informationNATIONAL: GOP ALL OVER THE 2016 MAP
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Released: Tuesday, December 16, 2014 Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769 (cell); 732-263-5858
More informationMoral Issues and Catholic Values: The California Vote in 2008 Proposition 8
Moral Issues and Catholic Values: The California Vote in 2008 Proposition 8 October 2008 How the Survey Was Conducted Moral Issues and Catholic Values: The California Vote in 2008 Proposition 8 reports
More informationCalifornians. higher education. ppic statewide sur vey N O V E M B E R 2 0 0 9. in collaboration with The William and Flora Hewlett Foundation
ppic statewide sur vey N O V E M B E R 2 0 0 9 Californians & higher education Mark Baldassare Dean Bonner Jennifer Paluch Sonja Petek CONTENTS About the Survey 1 Press Release 2 Perceptions of Higher
More information