MEASURING OPERATION EFFICIENCY OF THAI HOTELS INDUSTRY: EVIDENCE FROM META-FRONTIER ANALYSIS. Abstract

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "MEASURING OPERATION EFFICIENCY OF THAI HOTELS INDUSTRY: EVIDENCE FROM META-FRONTIER ANALYSIS. Abstract"

Transcription

1 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE MEASURING OPERATION EFFICIENCY OF THAI HOTELS INDUSTRY: EVIDENCE FROM METAFRONTIER ANALYSIS PHANIN KHRUEATHAI 1, AKARAPONG UNTONG 2, MINGSARN KAOSAARD 3,RENATO ANDRIN VILLANO 4 Abstract Ths paper utlzes a unque hotellevel dataset to examne operatonal effcency and technology gap n Thaland s hotels. Ths paper classfes the hotels n Thaland nto fve groups wth dstnctve levels of operatonal technologes. A metafronter analyss s appled to evaluate the operatonal effcency scores of the hotels n same groups and between groups. The result show that, the hotels n the fve groups dffer n the use they make of nput operatonal effcency. Meanwhle, the mean effcency of the hotels wth room rate between baht per nght and total revenue lower than 1 mllon baht per year s partcularly low. Ths study suggests to transferrng knowledge about operatonal management from the hotels wth hgher operatonal effcency to the hotels that had low operatonal effcency. Ths mght help to mprove operatonal effcency and compettveness n long run. JEL codes: D240 Producton; Cost; Captal, Total Factor, and Multfactor Productvty; Capacty. Key Words: Tha s hotels ndustry, operatonal effcency, stochastc metafronter 1. Introducton The operatonal effcency of the hotel ndustry n Thaland has been extensvely analyzed usng advanced effcency methods such as DEA (Data Envelopment Analyss) and SFA (Stochastc Fronter Analyss) (Akarapong, 2004; Mngsarn and Akarapong, 2005; Akarapong and Mngsarn, 2009). However, these methods assume homogenous technology and the same envronmental characterstcs, makng the results not strctly comparable across dfferent groups of hotels (Assaf, Barros and Josassen, 2009). To assess more accurately the mpact of dfferent technologes and envronmental characterstcs, ths study apples the concept of metafronter analyss developed by Rao, O Donnell and Battese (2003) and O Donnell, Rao and Battese (2007) to estmate the envelope of possble fronters that mght arse from the heterogenety between groups of hotels. Moreover, most of prevous studes of hotel effcency focused on the estmaton of manageral or operatonal effcences by usng a lmted data set and restrctve functonal form. They also assumed that technologes are smlar across hotels and ndusal envronment. But n fact, the dfferent groups of hotel use a dfferenct manageral or operaton technology. Such as the foregn nvestment hotels had to use the standard manageral technology from the hotels chan whle the local hotels ddn t have these and manage the hotel on ther own. In order to examne the patterns and dfferences n performance n these dfferent categores of hotels, the purpose of ths paper s to estmate the operatonal effcences of the Tha s hotel ndustry usng CobbDouglas functonal form, a larger data set and a methodology that would be smlar to the hotel envronment and technology across dfferent groups of hotels. The man objectve of ths study s to use metafronter analyss to assess the operatng effcency of fve dfferent hotel types n Thaland. There are 1) foregn nvestment 2) room rate more than 900 baht per nght (or more than 30 US$ per nght) 3) room rate less than 300 baht per nght (or less than10 US$ per nght) 4) room rate between baht per nght (or between 1030 US$ per nght) and 5) total revenue less than 1 mllon baht per year (less than 300 thousand US$) and room rate between baht per nght and total revenue more than 1 mllon baht per year. The study focuses on the potental of dfferent types of ownershp to rase operatng effcency through foregn nvestment. In addton, the queston of whether hgher room rates prce are more productve than lower rates s analyzed. Greater productvty gans are expected at hgher levels of cooperaton at large hotels because they should open up a broader range of opportuntes to mprove operatonal effcency. The paper s organzed as follow. Secton 2 contans method of analyss, and s followed by the results and dscusson n secton 3. In secton 4, concludng comments are presented. 2. Method of analyss 2.1 Analytcal Framework Operatonal effcency s an mportant factor n manageral busness. The estmaton of techncal effcency represents to the ablty of compettveness (Hwang and Chang, 2003). Relatve effcency (Farrell, 1957) has been extended and modfed to Data Envelopment Analyss (DEA) and Stochastc Fronter Analyss (SFA). Both approaches are popular n the effcency lterature, however; DEA has some restrctons such as nablty to take nto account error term n the output and stochastc element of producton, no assumpton about dstrbuton effcency, No sgnfcant test of the techncal effcency (Barros, 2006; Barros and Deke, 2008). On the other hand, the advantage of the stochastc fronter approach s that t allows for random dsturbances, such as the effect of qualty of nputs, and measurement errors n the output varables (Barros, 2006; Barros and Deke, 2008). Accordng to these advantages, ths study used the stochastc fronter (SFA) approach wth emphass on the parametrc model, and then calculated the effcency scores for ndvdual hotel unts. 1 Faculty of Management Scence, Uttaradt Rajabhat Unversty, Thaland 2 Student of Toursm and Envronmental Economcs, The Unversty of the Balearc Islands, Span 3 Publc Polcy Studes Insttute Chang Ma Unversty, Thaland 4 School of Busness, Economcs and Publc Polcy, Unversty of New England, Armdale, NSW Australa 315

2 Out put Y 316 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE Stochastc Fronter Analyss (SFA) The stochastc fronter framework n ths study s a parametrc specfcaton of econometrc models to estmate the producton fronter and measure effcency scores. The basc stochastc fronter producton functon s defned as: Y = (X, ) exp (ε ) (1) where Y s the output of th ( = 1, 2,..., N) frm; X s the correspondng matrx of nputs; s the vector of parameters to be estmated; and ε s the error term that conssts of two ndependent elements, V and U, such that ε V U. The V s are assumed to be symmetrc, dentcally and ndependently dstrbuted errors that represent random varatons n output, as a result of factors outsde the control of the decsonmakng unt, as well as the effects of measurement error n the output varable, varables excluded from the model and statstcal nose. They are assumed to be normally dstrbuted wth mean zero and varance ζ 2 [V N(0, )] v V. The U s are nonnegatve random varables that represent the stochastc shortfall of outputs from the most effcent producton. U s defned by truncaton of the normal dstrbuton wth mean U = δ 0 + J j=1 δ j Z j and varance ζ 2 U, where Z j s the value of the jth explanatory varable assocated wth the techncal neffcency effect of frm ; and δ 0 and δ j are unknown parameters to be estmated (Battese and Coell, 1995). The maxmum lkelhood method s used to estmate the parameters of both the stochastc fronter model and the neffcency effects model. The varance parameter of the lkelhood functon s estmated n terms of ζ 2 ζ 2 V + ζ 2 U and γ ζ 2 U ζ 2. The techncal effcency of a frm can be defned by the rato of the observed output to the correspondng stochastc fronter output by Y TE expu. X ; expv (2) Metafronter Approach The metafronter producton s a producton functon that covers ndvdual fronter of groups. A graph of the metafronter functon s presented n fgure 1. Several studes are used to estmate techncal effcency n dfferent regons, envronmental, and technologes of agrcultural producton. To begn wth the stochastc metafronter framework was done by Battese and Rao (2002), Battese, Rao and O Donnell (2004), and O'Donnell, Rao and Battese (2008). Then, Vllano, Flemng and Flemng (2008) proposed that other studes, such as latent class model (Greene, 2004), and statecontngent fronter (O'Donnell and Grffths, 2006) stll have based estmators of the parameters of the fronter and techncal neffcency because the results reveal that lack of success n accountng for envronmental varables. Therefore, metafronter analyss was used to estmate the technology gap rato and estmate parameters of fronter and techncal neffcences. Fgure 1 Metafronter and Indvdual Fronters 2 Metafronter Indvdual fronters 0 Source: (Battese et al., 2004) Input X From fgure 1, the estmaton of the standard stochastc fronter model for R dfferent groups wthn the ndustry defned as: Y ( j) (X ( j), ( j) ) e v ( j) u ( j) (3) = 1,2,, N j, t = 1,2,, T, j = 1,2,, R, Suppose that, for the j th group, there are sample date on N j frms that produce one product from the varous nputs. Where Y (j) s the output for the th frm for the j th group. X (j) s β (j) s v (j) s a vector of values of functons of the nput used by the th frm for the j th group. the parameter vector assocated wth the xvarables for the stochastc fronter for the j th group nvolved. 2 N(0, ) statstcal nose assumed to be ndependently and dentcally dstrbuted as v( j) random varables. 316

3 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE u (j) s nonnegatve random varables assumed to account for techncal neffcency n producton and assumed to be 2 N(, ) ndependently dstrbuted as truncatons at zero of the ( j) ( j) dstrbuton, where µ (j) s some approprate neffcency model, defned by Battese and Coell (1992) and (1995). In smplfed verson, the model s presented as: v u ) ( j) u ( j) X ( j) v X, e e ( j) ( j Y ( j) (4) Assumed that exponent of fronter producton functon s lnear n the parameter vector, β (j), so that X s a vector of functon of the nput for the th frm. The metafronter producton functon model s expressed by X X, e, Y = 1,2,, N. (5) Where β s the vector of parameters for the metafronter functon such that: X X( j), j = 1,2,, J. (6) Equaton 6, the metafronter producton functon s solved the optmzaton problem by Battese, Rao and O Donnell (2004). The optmzaton problem s defned as: N Mn 1 ln X, ln X, ( j) ln X, ln X, ( j) s.t. (7) where β (j) s the estmated coeffcent vector assocated wth the groupj stochastc fronter The observed output defned by the stochastc fronter for the j th group n equaton 4 and t s alternatvely expressed n term of the metafronter functon n equaton 5, such that: X, v ) X, e ( j U ( j) Y ( j) e X, (8) where the frst term on the rghthand sde of equaton 10.6 s the same as techncal effcency relatve to stochastc fronter for the j th group (Battese, Rao and Prasado, 2002). Y ( j) U TE ( j) ( j) e v( j) X ( j), ( j) e (9) The second term on the rghthand sde of equaton 9 s the technology gap rato (TGR) (Battese, Rao and Prasado, 2002) or the metatechnology rato (MTRs) (O Donnell et al, 2007) or envronmenttechnology gap rato (ETGR) (Vllano, Flemng and Flemng, 2008), whch s expressed as: X, TGR ETGR ( j) X, (10) The TGR or ETGR measure the rato of the output for the fronter producton functon for j th group relatve to the potental output that s defned by the metafronter functon, gven the observed nput (Battese, Rao and Prasado, 2002) and (Battese, Rao and O'Donnell, 2004). The TGR or MTR or ETGR has values between zero and one. The techncal effcency of th frm, relatve to the metafronter, s denoted by TE, s defned n a smlar way to equaton 9, TE can be expressed as: TE Y v ) X, e ( j (11) From equaton 11, t s the rato of the observed output relatve to the last term on the rghthand sde of equaton 6, whch s the metafronter output, adjusts for the correspondng random error. Equaton 8, 9, 10 and 11 mply that an alternatve expresson for the techncal effcency relatve to the metafronter can be expressed by Y TE X, e v( j) e U( j) X, X, ( j) TE TE TGR (12) O'Donnell, Rao and Battese (2008) presented the extensons to the basc metafronter framework, such as multpleoutput; technologcal change (Coell et al., 2005); tmenvarant neffcency effects can be found n (O'Donnell, Rao and Battese, 2008); alternatve orentatons and dentfyng groups (Orea and Kumbhakar, 2004) and (O'Donnell and Grffths, 2006). 317

4 318 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE Analytcal Framework The Emprcal Model The stochastc fronter analyss model defned by equaton 1 and 2. They were estmated assumng the CobbDouglas functonal form. The nputs are defned as the number of rooms, room rate per nght, number of employees, operatonal expenses and assets. The output s total revenue. The specfcaton of the functonal form s defned by ln (Y ) (k) = β 0(k) + β 1(k) ln(x 1(k) ) + β 2(k) ln(x 2(k) ) + β 3(k) ln(x 3(k) ) +β 4(k) ln(x 4(k) ) + β 5(k) ln(x 5(k) ) + V (k) + U (k) (13) Where Y s total revenue (n baht); X 1 s the number of rooms (n room); X 2 s room rate per nght (n baht); X 3 s the number of employees (n person); X 4 s operatonal expenses (n baht); X 5 s assets (n baht); β 0 β 5 are unknown parameters to be estmated; k s 5 groups of the hotel groups. 2 The V (k) are assumed to be ndependently and dentcally dstrbuted wth mean zero and varance, ζ V(k) ; and the us are techncal effcency effects that are assumed to be halfnormal and ndependently dstrbuted such that U (k) s defned by the truncaton at zero of the normal dstrbuton wth known varance, ζ 2 U(k). The nputs are mpled nputs n that they are measured as costs, assumng all groups faced the same nput prces and no changes occurred n nput prces durng the perod when the survey was undertaken. Smlarly, outputs are mpled outputs n that they are measured as revenue assumng all groups faced the same output prces. The techncal neffcency model s defned followng Battese and Coell (1995) as: U (k) =δ 0(k) + δ 1(k) Z 1(k) + δ 2(k) Z 2(k) + δ 3 Z 3(k) (14) Where Z 1 s rato of workers per room; Z 2 s perod of operaton; Z 3 s rato of foregn guest; δ 0 δ 3 are unknown parameters to be estmated. Many varables were tested for ncluson n the neffcency model. They are dscussed n ths secton and reasons are gven for the expected drecton of ther relatons wth the level of operatonal effcency of hotel ndustry n Thaland. The coeffcent of the rato of workers per room s expected to be postve because lower number of workers should have lower cost of labour. The other neffcency varables, the sgns on the coeffcents of perod of operaton are expected to be negatve because longer perod of operaton should have accumulated more revenues. Fnally, the coeffcent of rato of foregn guest s expected to have a negatve sgn because a hgher number of foregn guests would help the hotels to manage more effectvely. If frms can control the qualty of servce, they can better control servce prces Varables The study uses 1,799 samples of hotels and guesthouses from the 2008 Survey Database of the Natonal Statstcal Offce, Thaland. The statstcs for nput and output varables n the operatng effcency of hotel are reported n Table 1. We dvded the hotels nto fve groups by consderng the mpact of dfferent technologes: (foregn nvestment, room rate more than 900 baht per nght, room rate less than 300 baht per nght, room rate between baht per nght and total revenue less than 1 mllon baht per year and room rate between baht per nght and total revenue more than 1 mllon baht per year). Table 1 Summary Statstcs for Data on the hotels of Thaland Varables Unts Mn Max Mean SD Total Total revenues Mllon baht , Total rooms room Room rate baht/nght 60 54, ,816 Employees person Operatonal expenses Mllon baht , Assets Mllon baht , Foregn nvestment Total revenues Mllon baht , Total rooms room Room rate baht/nght ,086 3,470 3,696 Employees person Operatonal expenses Mllon baht , Assets Mllon baht , , Table 1 Summary Statstcs for Data on the hotels of Thaland Varables Unts Mn Max Mean SD 2. Room rate more than 900 baht per nght 318

5 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE Total revenues Mllon baht , , Total rooms room Room rate baht/nght ,893 2,483 4,166 Employees person Operatonal expenses Mllon baht Assets Mllon baht , Room rate less than 300 baht per nght Total revenues Mllon baht Total rooms room Room rate baht/nght Employees person Operatonal expenses Mllon baht Assets Mllon baht Room rate between baht per nght and total revenue less than 1 mllon baht per year Total revenues Mllon baht Total rooms room Room rate baht/nght Employees person Operatonal expenses Mllon baht Assets Mllon baht Room rate between baht per nght and total revenue more than 1 mllon baht per year Total revenues Mllon baht Total rooms room Room rate baht/nght Employees person Operatonal expenses Mllon baht Assets Mllon baht Source: the Natonal Statstcal Offce The emprcal fndng The stochastc fronter analyssgroup and stochastc fronter analysspool estmates were obtaned usng FRONTIER 4.1 (Coell, 1996) n order to formulate the techncal effcency (TE) effects model (Battese and Coell, 1995). The stochastc fronter analyss /metafronter estmates were obtaned usng SHAZAM Hypothess Testng A lkelhoodrato (LR) test, for the group s stochastc fronter model s the same for all the operatonal effcency of the hotel ndustry n Thaland. For testng of the null hypothess, we can decde that t would be a good reason or not for estmatng the effcency level of frms to a metafronter operatonal functon. Followng Battese, Rao and O Donnell (2004), we test the null hypothess by calculatng LR statstc. The LR statstc s defned by: lnlh / LH 2lnLH lnl 2 (15) where ln [L(H 0 )] s the value of the log lkelhood functon for the stochastc fronter estmated by poolng the data for all groups. ln [L(H 1 )] s the sum of the value of the log lkelhood functon for the 5 groups operatonal functon H The Estmaton of the metafronter functon The operatonal effcency s computed usng three approaches. Frst, a standard operaton stochastc fronter (lke producton) was employed usng pooled crosssecton data. Second, group stochastc fronter functons were estmated. Fnally, metafronter analyss was used gven dfferences n operaton envronments and technologes between the fve groups of hotels studed. The gamma parameters are sgnfcant for the fve groups, suggestng the presence of operatonal neffcency, and the LR test = , wth a pvalue of 0.00 (usng a Chsquare dstrbuton wth 52 degrees of freedom). Therefore, the null hypothess that dfferent groups have the same stochastc fronter models can be rejected. All nputs are assocated wth total revenues and the hgh rato of foregner guests mproves n operaton effcency (Table 2). The estmates of the parameters of the neffcency effects model are presented n Table 2. Estmates of the coeffcents of the varables explanng dfferences n group effcency provde nterestng results. Frst, the coeffcent of the varable denotng the rato of foregn guest s sgnfcant at the 1 and 5 per cent level and has both negatve and postve coeffcents for all groups of hotels. Ths result ndcates that a hgher number of foregn guests s ssocated wth greater operatonal effcency n large hotels (group1 and 2). It was ntally surprsng to fnd that the number of years of operaton has a postve assocaton wth operatonal neffcency n small hotels (group 3 and 4). On the other hand, the longeroperated hotels tend to be more effcent n only large hotels (group 1). 319

6 320 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE 2011 Fnally, the rato of workers per room has postve assocaton wth operatonal neffcency. Ths result suggests that the hgher the number of workers, the lower the level of effcency n only large hotels (group 1). Estmated operatonal effcences wth respect to the group fronters and the metafronter, together wth estmated MTRs, are presented n Table 3. Hotels dffer n operatonal effcency, MTRs, and the use they make of nputs. The value of MTRs ranges from 0.56 to 0.86, whch explans that on average, hotels n Thaland operate between percent of the potental total revenue gven the technology avalable to the ndustry as a whole. As expected, estmated operatonal effcences are lower and dspersed n the metafronter model. The average MTR were found to be sgnfcantly dfferent for fve groups 5. However, the metafronter analyss provdes a more consstent and homogenous effcency comparson. Mean MTRs vary consderably between hotels and across groups whereas mean operatonal effcency wth respect to the pooled fronter are reasonably smlar across groups but dffer n the operatonal effcency wth respect to group fronters. Hotels wth the lowest total revenue and room rate per nght have the lowest (Group 4) MTR (0.56) due to a lack of operatng technology, few foregners, and ther small sze that precludes laboursavng technologes. In terms of the relatonshp between effcency and hotel classfcaton, the effcency of foregn nvestment hotels s hgher than domestc nvestment hotels (0.83) and they can earn revenue from the other sources of ncome, such as entertanment actvtes, food and beverage. Meanwhle, the MTRs of groups 1, 2, 3 and 5 are lower than group 4, and group 4 has the lowest MTRs. Group 4 has the lowest average MTR rato hence ts average effcency s reduced from percent when compared relatve to the fronter wthn group to percent when compared to the metafronter. Table 2 Estmates for parameters of the stochastc fronter model. Varables Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4 Group 5 Pooled fronter Metafronter Fronter model Constant (0.980) (0.480) (0.382) (0.683) (0.993) (0.118) Total rooms (rooms) (0.217) (0.732) (0.045) (0.052) (0.213) (0.027) Room rate (baht per nght) (0.128) (0.072) (0.066) (0.089) (0.366) (0.033) Employees (persons) (0.227) (0.072) (0.043) (0.059) (0.294) (0.014) Operatonal (baht) expenses (0.103) (0.029) (0.025) (0.033) (0.218) (0.045) Assets (baht) (0.023) (0.009) (0.008) (0.017) (0.028) (0.006) Ineffcency model effect Constant (0.766) (0.149) (3.558) (7.281) (0.039) (0.036) Rato of workers per room (%) (0.701) (0.116) (1.198) (1.744) (0.113) (0.032) Perod of operaton (day) (0.097) (0.004) (0.030) (0.069) (0.006) (0.0015) 5 We test the samplng dstrbuton of the dfference means by usng a t test. The value of the test statstc s 3.56, whch falls n the rejecton regon, thus, we reject H

7 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE Rato of foregn guest (%) (0.022) (0.001) (0.008) (0.026) (0.001) (0.0004) Varance parameter Sgmasquared Gamma (0.593) (0.179) (0.017) (0.083) (0.612) (0.029) (1.545) (0.030) (0.021) ( ) LogL (0.008) ( ) Note : denote sgnfcance at the 1% level. denote sgnfcance at the 5% level. denote sgnfcance at the 10% level. : The numbers n parentheses are standard errors. Source: Author's calculaton. Table 3 Estmates of Techncal effcency (TEs) and Technology Gap Ratos (MTRs). Groups Mn Max Mean SD Total Pool fronter Group fronter Technology gap rato (MTR) Metafronter Foregn nvestment (group 1) Pool fronter Group fronter Technology gap rato (MTR) Metafronter Room rate more than 900 baht per nght (group 2) Pool fronter Group fronter Technology gap rato (MTR) Metafronter Room rate less than 300 baht per nght (group 3) Pool fronter Group fronter Technology gap rato (MTR) Metafronter Room rate between baht per nght and total revenue less than 1 mllon baht per year (group 4) Pool fronter Group fronter Technology gap rato (MTR) Metafronter Room rate between baht per nght and total revenue more than 1 mllon baht per year (group 5) Pool fronter Group fronter Technology gap rato (MTR) Metafronter Source: Author's calculaton. 2.4 Concluson Ths paper has provded some nterestng results on the operatonal effcency of the hotel ndustry n Thaland. The metafronter analyss s used to develop the tradtonal fronter analyss because ths model enables the calculaton of comparable operatonal effcency for frms operatng under dfferent technologes or locatons. The meatfronter analyss dvdes the operatonal effcency nto two parts: 1) operatonal effcency respect to the subgroup; and 2) operatonal effcency respect to the metafronter by consderng the technology gap rato. Paper shows how group fronter and the 321

8 322 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE 2011 metafronter can be estmated usng a CobbDouglas functonal form. An emprcal example used crosssectonal data of statstcs for nput and output varables n the operatng effcency of 1,799 hotels. We dvde the hotel nto fve groups. The fndng of the study s that, hotels n the fve groups dffer n the use they make of nput operatonal effcency and technology gap rato (MTRs). Mean MTRs vary substantally between hotels and across groups whereas mean operatonal effcency are reasonably smlar across groups but dffer n the extent of varaton among hotels wthn each group. The mean value of operatonal effcency for the pooled fronter, group fronter and metafronter models across all groups are 0. 90, 0.83 and 0.53 respectvely. Group fronters show that the mean value of MTR vares from 0.56 n hotels wth room rate between baht per nght and total revenue less than 1 mllon baht per year to 0.83 n hotels wth foregn nvestment. The low MTR s attrbutable to a lack of operaton management. The results suggest that transferrng knowledge and knowledge management about operaton management from hgher operatonal effcency of hotels to lower operatonal effcency of hotels needs to be organzed. For example, qualty standards from foregn nvestment would be to mprove operatonal effcency n smallszed hotels. Furthermore, specfc polcy ntatves desgned to assst hotels groups could be mplemented through the dfference n technologes. For example, foregn nvestment hotels should focus on allocate labour effcency that should be replaced by modern technologes whereas domestc nvestment hotels or hotels whch earn revenue from only one source of ncome (room rate) could ntend to acheve effcency n asset management. The polces towards small hotels mght need to be dfferent from large hotels that enable the government to establsh approprate polces for several types of Thaland hotels. 3.References Akarapong Untong. (2004), Effcency of hotel and guesthouse n Upper North of Thaland, Documentaton of specal lectures, Faculty of Management and Informaton Scences, Naresuan Unversty. (In Tha) Akarapong Untong. and Mngsarn Kaosaard. (2009), The manageral effcency change of hotels n Chang Ma. Thammsat Economc Journal, 27(3): 126. (In Tha) Assaf, A., Barros, C.P. and Josassen, A. (2009), Hotel effcency: A bootstrapped metafronter approach. Internatonal Journal of Hosptalty Management (Artcle n Press). Barros, C.P. (2006), Analysng the rate of techncal change n the Portuguese hotel ndustry. Toursm Economcs, 12(3): Barros, C.P. and Deke, P.U.C. (2008), Techncal effcency of Afrcan hotels. Internatonal Journal of Hosptalty Management, 27(3): Battese, G. E. (1992), Fronter producton functons and techncal effcency: a survey of emprcal applcatons n agrcultural economcs. Agrcultural Economcs, 7(34): Battese, G. E. and Coell, T. J. (1995), A model for techncal neffcency effects n a stochastc fronter producton functon for panel data. Emprcal Economcs, 20: Battese, G.E., Rao, D.S.P. (2002), Technology gap, effcency, and a stochastc metafronter functon. Internatonal Journal of Busness and Economcs, 1(2): Battese, G.E., Rao, D.S.P. and O Donnell, C.J. (2004), A metafronter producton functon for estmaton of techncal effcences and technology gaps for frms operatng under dfferent technologes. Journal of Productvty Analyss, 21(1): Coell, T. J., Rao, D.S.P., O'Donnell, C.J. and Battese, G.E. (2005), An Introducton to Effcency and Productvty Analyss. Sprnger, New York. Coell, T.J. (1996), A gude to FRONTIER Verson 4.1: A computer program for stochastc fronter producton and cost functon estmaton. CEPA Workng Papers, No. 7/96, School of Economcs, Unversty of New England, Armdale. Farrell, M.J. (1957), The measurement of productve effcency. Journal of the Royal Statstcal Socety, Seres A (General), 120(3): Greene, W. (2004), Reconsderng heterogenety n panel data estmators of the stochastc fronter model. Journal of Econometrcs, 126(2): Hwang S.N. and Chang T.Y. (2003), Usng data envelopment analyss to measure hotel manageral effcency change n Tawan. Toursm Management, 24(3): Mngsarn Kaosaard and Akarapong Untong (2005), Benchmarkng the hotel ndustry of Thaland. Proceedng of Asa Pacfc Toursm Assocaton 11th Annual Conference New Toursm for AsaPacfc, July 710, 2005, at Korea Internatonal Exhbton Center Goyang, Gyeongg Provnce, Korea. O Donnell C.J. and Grffths W.E. (2006), Estmatng statecontngent producton fronters. Amercan Journal of Agrcultural Economcs, 88(1): O Donnell, C.J., Rao, D.S.P. and Battese, G.E. (2007), Metafronter frameworks for the study of frm level effcences and technology ratos. Emprcal Economcs, 34(2): O Donnell, C.J., Rao, D.S.P. and Battese, G.E. (2008), Metafronter frameworks for the study of frmlevel effcences and technology ratos. Emprcal Economcs, 34(2): Orea, L. and Kumbhakar, S.C. (2004), Effcency measurement usng a latent class stochastc fronter model. Emprcal Economcs, 29(1): Rao, D.S.P., O Donnell, C.J. and Battese, G.E. (2003), Metafronter functons for the study of ntergroup productvty dfferences. CEPA Workng Paper Seres No. 01/2003, School of Economcs, Unversty of New England, Armdale. Vllano, R., Flemng, E. and Flemng, P. (2008), Measurng regonal productvty dfferences n the Australan Wool ndustry: A metafronter approach. AARES 52nd Annual Conference. February 58, 2008, Canberra, Australa. 322

9 Internatonal Conference On Appled Economcs ICOAE ACKNOWLEDGEMENT Ths artcle s a part of Thaland Toursm: From Polcy to Grassroots (Prof. Dr. Mngsarn Kaosaard) whch supported by The Thaland Research Fund (TRF) under TRF ResearchTeam Promoton Grant (TRF Senor Research Scholar). 323

10

Can Auto Liability Insurance Purchases Signal Risk Attitude?

Can Auto Liability Insurance Purchases Signal Risk Attitude? Internatonal Journal of Busness and Economcs, 2011, Vol. 10, No. 2, 159-164 Can Auto Lablty Insurance Purchases Sgnal Rsk Atttude? Chu-Shu L Department of Internatonal Busness, Asa Unversty, Tawan Sheng-Chang

More information

Efficiency Test on Taiwan s Life Insurance Industry- Using X-Efficiency Approach

Efficiency Test on Taiwan s Life Insurance Industry- Using X-Efficiency Approach Informaton and Management Scences Volume 18, Number 1, pp. 37-48, 2007 Effcency Test on Tawan s Lfe Insurance Industry- Usng X-Effcency Approach James C. Hao Tamkang Unversty R.O.C. Abstract Usng twenty-three

More information

DO LOSS FIRMS MANAGE EARNINGS AROUND SEASONED EQUITY OFFERINGS?

DO LOSS FIRMS MANAGE EARNINGS AROUND SEASONED EQUITY OFFERINGS? DO LOSS FIRMS MANAGE EARNINGS AROUND SEASONED EQUITY OFFERINGS? Fernando Comran, Unversty of San Francsco, School of Management, 2130 Fulton Street, CA 94117, Unted States, fcomran@usfca.edu Tatana Fedyk,

More information

Human Capital and Regional Economic Growth in Slovenia

Human Capital and Regional Economic Growth in Slovenia Human Captal and Regonal Economc Growth n Slovena Matjaž Novak and Štefan Bojnec Unversty of Prmorska Slovena Ths artcle presents the emprcal results concernng the economc growth n Slovena at the aggregate

More information

How To Calculate The Accountng Perod Of Nequalty

How To Calculate The Accountng Perod Of Nequalty Inequalty and The Accountng Perod Quentn Wodon and Shlomo Ytzha World Ban and Hebrew Unversty September Abstract Income nequalty typcally declnes wth the length of tme taen nto account for measurement.

More information

PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 12

PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 12 14 The Ch-squared dstrbuton PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH (PYC 304-C) Lecture 1 If a normal varable X, havng mean µ and varance σ, s standardsed, the new varable Z has a mean 0 and varance 1. When ths standardsed

More information

Analysis of Premium Liabilities for Australian Lines of Business

Analysis of Premium Liabilities for Australian Lines of Business Summary of Analyss of Premum Labltes for Australan Lnes of Busness Emly Tao Honours Research Paper, The Unversty of Melbourne Emly Tao Acknowledgements I am grateful to the Australan Prudental Regulaton

More information

PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION

PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION Danny Cohen-Zada Department of Economcs, Ben-uron Unversty, Beer-Sheva 84105, Israel Wllam Sander Department of Economcs, DePaul

More information

The South African Maize Milling Industry: Can Small and Medium-scale Maize Milling Enterprise Survive and Thrive? Orefi Abu

The South African Maize Milling Industry: Can Small and Medium-scale Maize Milling Enterprise Survive and Thrive? Orefi Abu The South Afrcan Maze Mllng Industry: Can Small and Medum-scale Maze Mllng Enterprse Survve and Thrve? Oref Abu 1. Department of Agrcultural Economcs, Extenson and Rural Development, Unversty of Pretora,

More information

SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION

SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION Smple lnear correlaton s a measure of the degree to whch two varables vary together, or a measure of the ntensty of the assocaton between two varables. Correlaton often s abused.

More information

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance An Alternatve Way to Measure Prvate Equty Performance Peter Todd Parlux Investment Technology LLC Summary Internal Rate of Return (IRR) s probably the most common way to measure the performance of prvate

More information

Criminal Justice System on Crime *

Criminal Justice System on Crime * On the Impact of the NSW Crmnal Justce System on Crme * Dr Vasls Sarafds, Dscplne of Operatons Management and Econometrcs Unversty of Sydney * Ths presentaton s based on jont work wth Rchard Kelaher 1

More information

Available online www.bmdynamics.com ISSN: 2047-7031. Society for Business and Management Dynamics

Available online www.bmdynamics.com ISSN: 2047-7031. Society for Business and Management Dynamics Vol., No.6, Dec 20, pp.2332 Comparson of the Ratng of Socal Securty Insurance Branches of Sstan and Baluchestan Provnce Based on Effcency Usng DEA and SFA Models Peymaneh ahmad pour, Nazar Dahmardeh 2,

More information

STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL

STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL Mcroarray Center STATISTICAL DATA ANALYSIS IN EXCEL Lecture 6 Some Advanced Topcs Dr. Petr Nazarov 14-01-013 petr.nazarov@crp-sante.lu Statstcal data analyss n Ecel. 6. Some advanced topcs Correcton for

More information

Power-of-Two Policies for Single- Warehouse Multi-Retailer Inventory Systems with Order Frequency Discounts

Power-of-Two Policies for Single- Warehouse Multi-Retailer Inventory Systems with Order Frequency Discounts Power-of-wo Polces for Sngle- Warehouse Mult-Retaler Inventory Systems wth Order Frequency Dscounts José A. Ventura Pennsylvana State Unversty (USA) Yale. Herer echnon Israel Insttute of echnology (Israel)

More information

Analysis of Demand for Broadcastingng servces

Analysis of Demand for Broadcastingng servces Analyss of Subscrpton Demand for Pay-TV Manabu Shshkura * Norhro Kasuga ** Ako Tor *** Abstract In ths paper, we wll conduct an analyss from an emprcal perspectve concernng broadcastng demand behavor and

More information

Risk Model of Long-Term Production Scheduling in Open Pit Gold Mining

Risk Model of Long-Term Production Scheduling in Open Pit Gold Mining Rsk Model of Long-Term Producton Schedulng n Open Pt Gold Mnng R Halatchev 1 and P Lever 2 ABSTRACT Open pt gold mnng s an mportant sector of the Australan mnng ndustry. It uses large amounts of nvestments,

More information

THE DETERMINANTS OF THE TUNISIAN BANKING INDUSTRY PROFITABILITY: PANEL EVIDENCE

THE DETERMINANTS OF THE TUNISIAN BANKING INDUSTRY PROFITABILITY: PANEL EVIDENCE THE DETERMINANTS OF THE TUNISIAN BANKING INDUSTRY PROFITABILITY: PANEL EVIDENCE Samy Ben Naceur ERF Research Fellow Department of Fnance Unversté Lbre de Tuns Avenue Khéreddne Pacha, 002 Tuns Emal : sbennaceur@eudoramal.com

More information

The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans

The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans The Operatng Characterstc (OC) curve descrbes the probablty of acceptng a lot as a functon of the lot s qualty. Fgure 1 shows a typcal OC Curve. 10 8 6 4 1 3 4

More information

! ## % & ( ) + & ) ) ),. / 0 ## #1#

! ## % & ( ) + & ) ) ),. / 0 ## #1# ! ## % & ( ) + & ) ) ),. / 0 12 345 4 ## #1# 6 Sheffeld Economc Research Paper Seres SERP Number: 2006010 ISSN 1749-8368 Pamela Lenton* The Cost Structure of Hgher Educaton n Further Educaton Colleges

More information

Number of Levels Cumulative Annual operating Income per year construction costs costs ($) ($) ($) 1 600,000 35,000 100,000 2 2,200,000 60,000 350,000

Number of Levels Cumulative Annual operating Income per year construction costs costs ($) ($) ($) 1 600,000 35,000 100,000 2 2,200,000 60,000 350,000 Problem Set 5 Solutons 1 MIT s consderng buldng a new car park near Kendall Square. o unversty funds are avalable (overhead rates are under pressure and the new faclty would have to pay for tself from

More information

The Choice of Direct Dealing or Electronic Brokerage in Foreign Exchange Trading

The Choice of Direct Dealing or Electronic Brokerage in Foreign Exchange Trading The Choce of Drect Dealng or Electronc Brokerage n Foregn Exchange Tradng Mchael Melvn & Ln Wen Arzona State Unversty Introducton Electronc Brokerage n Foregn Exchange Start from a base of zero n 1992

More information

CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK. Sample Stability Protocol

CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK. Sample Stability Protocol CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK Sample Stablty Protocol Background The Cholesterol Reference Method Laboratory Network (CRMLN) developed certfcaton protocols for total cholesterol, HDL

More information

The timing ability of hybrid funds of funds

The timing ability of hybrid funds of funds The tmng ablty of hybrd funds of funds Javer Rodríguez* Graduate School of Busness Admnstraton Unversty of Puerto Rco PO 23332 San Juan, PR 00931 Abstract Hybrd mutual funds are funds that nvest n a combnaton

More information

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ).

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ). REVIEW OF RISK MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS LOSS DISTRIBUTIONS AND INSURANCE Loss and nsurance: When someone s subject to the rsk of ncurrng a fnancal loss, the loss s generally modeled usng a random varable or

More information

Dynamics of Toursm Demand Models in Japan

Dynamics of Toursm Demand Models in Japan hort-run and ong-run structural nternatonal toursm demand modelng based on Dynamc AID model -An emprcal research n Japan- Atsush KOIKE a, Dasuke YOHINO b a Graduate chool of Engneerng, Kobe Unversty, Kobe,

More information

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis The Development of Web Log Mnng Based on Improve-K-Means Clusterng Analyss TngZhong Wang * College of Informaton Technology, Luoyang Normal Unversty, Luoyang, 471022, Chna wangtngzhong2@sna.cn Abstract.

More information

Forecasting the Direction and Strength of Stock Market Movement

Forecasting the Direction and Strength of Stock Market Movement Forecastng the Drecton and Strength of Stock Market Movement Jngwe Chen Mng Chen Nan Ye cjngwe@stanford.edu mchen5@stanford.edu nanye@stanford.edu Abstract - Stock market s one of the most complcated systems

More information

Financial Instability and Life Insurance Demand + Mahito Okura *

Financial Instability and Life Insurance Demand + Mahito Okura * Fnancal Instablty and Lfe Insurance Demand + Mahto Okura * Norhro Kasuga ** Abstract Ths paper estmates prvate lfe nsurance and Kampo demand functons usng household-level data provded by the Postal Servces

More information

SPEE Recommended Evaluation Practice #6 Definition of Decline Curve Parameters Background:

SPEE Recommended Evaluation Practice #6 Definition of Decline Curve Parameters Background: SPEE Recommended Evaluaton Practce #6 efnton of eclne Curve Parameters Background: The producton hstores of ol and gas wells can be analyzed to estmate reserves and future ol and gas producton rates and

More information

Depreciation of Business R&D Capital

Depreciation of Business R&D Capital Deprecaton of Busness R&D Captal U.S. Bureau of Economc Analyss Abstract R&D deprecaton rates are crtcal to calculatng the rates of return to R&D nvestments and captal servce costs, whch are mportant for

More information

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy 4.02 Quz Solutons Fall 2004 Multple-Choce Questons (30/00 ponts) Please, crcle the correct answer for each of the followng 0 multple-choce questons. For each queston, only one of the answers s correct.

More information

Causal, Explanatory Forecasting. Analysis. Regression Analysis. Simple Linear Regression. Which is Independent? Forecasting

Causal, Explanatory Forecasting. Analysis. Regression Analysis. Simple Linear Regression. Which is Independent? Forecasting Causal, Explanatory Forecastng Assumes cause-and-effect relatonshp between system nputs and ts output Forecastng wth Regresson Analyss Rchard S. Barr Inputs System Cause + Effect Relatonshp The job of

More information

Risk-based Fatigue Estimate of Deep Water Risers -- Course Project for EM388F: Fracture Mechanics, Spring 2008

Risk-based Fatigue Estimate of Deep Water Risers -- Course Project for EM388F: Fracture Mechanics, Spring 2008 Rsk-based Fatgue Estmate of Deep Water Rsers -- Course Project for EM388F: Fracture Mechancs, Sprng 2008 Chen Sh Department of Cvl, Archtectural, and Envronmental Engneerng The Unversty of Texas at Austn

More information

The impact of bank capital requirements on bank risk: an econometric puzzle and a proposed solution

The impact of bank capital requirements on bank risk: an econometric puzzle and a proposed solution Banks and Bank Systems, Volume 4, Issue 1, 009 Robert L. Porter (USA) The mpact of bank captal requrements on bank rsk: an econometrc puzzle and a proposed soluton Abstract The relatonshp between bank

More information

Is There A Tradeoff between Employer-Provided Health Insurance and Wages?

Is There A Tradeoff between Employer-Provided Health Insurance and Wages? Is There A Tradeoff between Employer-Provded Health Insurance and Wages? Lye Zhu, Southern Methodst Unversty October 2005 Abstract Though most of the lterature n health nsurance and the labor market assumes

More information

Forecasting the Demand of Emergency Supplies: Based on the CBR Theory and BP Neural Network

Forecasting the Demand of Emergency Supplies: Based on the CBR Theory and BP Neural Network 700 Proceedngs of the 8th Internatonal Conference on Innovaton & Management Forecastng the Demand of Emergency Supples: Based on the CBR Theory and BP Neural Network Fu Deqang, Lu Yun, L Changbng School

More information

Subcontracting Structure and Productivity in the Japanese Software Industry

Subcontracting Structure and Productivity in the Japanese Software Industry Rev Soconetwork Strat (2009) 3:51-65 Subcontractng Structure and Productvty n e Japanese Software Industry Kazunor MINETAKI 1) and Kazuyuk MOTOHASHI 2) 1) The Research Insttute for Soconetwork Strateges,

More information

Study on Model of Risks Assessment of Standard Operation in Rural Power Network

Study on Model of Risks Assessment of Standard Operation in Rural Power Network Study on Model of Rsks Assessment of Standard Operaton n Rural Power Network Qngj L 1, Tao Yang 2 1 Qngj L, College of Informaton and Electrcal Engneerng, Shenyang Agrculture Unversty, Shenyang 110866,

More information

The Study on Farmers Debt, Loan Repayment and Guideline for Debt Settlement in the South of Thailand

The Study on Farmers Debt, Loan Repayment and Guideline for Debt Settlement in the South of Thailand Internatonal Journal of Agrculture and Food Scence Technology. ISSN 49-3050, Volume 4, Number 8 (03), pp. 835-840 Research Inda Publcatons http://www.rpublcaton.com/ jafst.htm The Study on Farmers Debt,

More information

Marginal Returns to Education For Teachers

Marginal Returns to Education For Teachers The Onlne Journal of New Horzons n Educaton Volume 4, Issue 3 MargnalReturnstoEducatonForTeachers RamleeIsmal,MarnahAwang ABSTRACT FacultyofManagementand Economcs UnverstPenddkanSultan Idrs ramlee@fpe.ups.edu.my

More information

Economies of scale and scope in Australian superannuation (pension) funds

Economies of scale and scope in Australian superannuation (pension) funds Economes of scale and scope n Australan superannuaton (penson) funds Helen Hggs and Andrew C. Worthngton 1 are researchers n the Department of Accountng, Fnance and Economcs at Grffth Unversty, Australa.

More information

What is Candidate Sampling

What is Candidate Sampling What s Canddate Samplng Say we have a multclass or mult label problem where each tranng example ( x, T ) conssts of a context x a small (mult)set of target classes T out of a large unverse L of possble

More information

Ethnic Chinese Networking in Cross-border Investment: The Impact of Economic and Institutional Development. Abstract:

Ethnic Chinese Networking in Cross-border Investment: The Impact of Economic and Institutional Development. Abstract: Ethnc Chnese Networkng n Cross-border Investment: The Impact of Economc and Insttutonal Development Sarah Y. Tong * Hong Kong Insttute of Economcs and Busness Strateges The Unversty of Hong Kong Aprl 2003

More information

Statistical algorithms in Review Manager 5

Statistical algorithms in Review Manager 5 Statstcal algorthms n Reve Manager 5 Jonathan J Deeks and Julan PT Hggns on behalf of the Statstcal Methods Group of The Cochrane Collaboraton August 00 Data structure Consder a meta-analyss of k studes

More information

NEURO-FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM FOR E-COMMERCE WEBSITE EVALUATION

NEURO-FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM FOR E-COMMERCE WEBSITE EVALUATION NEURO-FUZZY INFERENE SYSTEM FOR E-OMMERE WEBSITE EVALUATION Huan Lu, School of Software, Harbn Unversty of Scence and Technology, Harbn, hna Faculty of Appled Mathematcs and omputer Scence, Belarusan State

More information

The Journal of Applied Business Research January/February 2010 Volume 26, Number 1

The Journal of Applied Business Research January/February 2010 Volume 26, Number 1 Product Dversfcaton In Compettve R&D-Intensve Frms: An Emprcal Study Of The Computer Software Industry C. Catherne Chang, Elon Unversty, USA ABSTRACT Ths paper studes the effect of dversfcaton nto dfferent

More information

Module 2 LOSSLESS IMAGE COMPRESSION SYSTEMS. Version 2 ECE IIT, Kharagpur

Module 2 LOSSLESS IMAGE COMPRESSION SYSTEMS. Version 2 ECE IIT, Kharagpur Module LOSSLESS IMAGE COMPRESSION SYSTEMS Lesson 3 Lossless Compresson: Huffman Codng Instructonal Objectves At the end of ths lesson, the students should be able to:. Defne and measure source entropy..

More information

NPAR TESTS. One-Sample Chi-Square Test. Cell Specification. Observed Frequencies 1O i 6. Expected Frequencies 1EXP i 6

NPAR TESTS. One-Sample Chi-Square Test. Cell Specification. Observed Frequencies 1O i 6. Expected Frequencies 1EXP i 6 PAR TESTS If a WEIGHT varable s specfed, t s used to replcate a case as many tmes as ndcated by the weght value rounded to the nearest nteger. If the workspace requrements are exceeded and samplng has

More information

Returns to Experience in Mozambique: A Nonparametric Regression Approach

Returns to Experience in Mozambique: A Nonparametric Regression Approach Returns to Experence n Mozambque: A Nonparametrc Regresson Approach Joel Muzma Conference Paper nº 27 Conferênca Inaugural do IESE Desafos para a nvestgação socal e económca em Moçambque 19 de Setembro

More information

HOUSEHOLDS DEBT BURDEN: AN ANALYSIS BASED ON MICROECONOMIC DATA*

HOUSEHOLDS DEBT BURDEN: AN ANALYSIS BASED ON MICROECONOMIC DATA* HOUSEHOLDS DEBT BURDEN: AN ANALYSIS BASED ON MICROECONOMIC DATA* Luísa Farnha** 1. INTRODUCTION The rapd growth n Portuguese households ndebtedness n the past few years ncreased the concerns that debt

More information

Management Quality and Equity Issue Characteristics: A Comparison of SEOs and IPOs

Management Quality and Equity Issue Characteristics: A Comparison of SEOs and IPOs Management Qualty and Equty Issue Characterstcs: A Comparson of SEOs and IPOs Thomas J. Chemmanur * Imants Paegls ** and Karen Smonyan *** Current verson: November 2009 (Accepted, Fnancal Management, February

More information

Exhaustive Regression. An Exploration of Regression-Based Data Mining Techniques Using Super Computation

Exhaustive Regression. An Exploration of Regression-Based Data Mining Techniques Using Super Computation Exhaustve Regresson An Exploraton of Regresson-Based Data Mnng Technques Usng Super Computaton Antony Daves, Ph.D. Assocate Professor of Economcs Duquesne Unversty Pttsburgh, PA 58 Research Fellow The

More information

The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Marginal Cost of Public Funds for Canadian Provincial Governments

The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Marginal Cost of Public Funds for Canadian Provincial Governments The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Margnal Cost of Publc Funds for Canadan Provncal Governments Bev Dahlby a and Ergete Ferede b a Department of Economcs, Unversty of Alberta, Edmonton,

More information

APPLICATION OF PROBE DATA COLLECTED VIA INFRARED BEACONS TO TRAFFIC MANEGEMENT

APPLICATION OF PROBE DATA COLLECTED VIA INFRARED BEACONS TO TRAFFIC MANEGEMENT APPLICATION OF PROBE DATA COLLECTED VIA INFRARED BEACONS TO TRAFFIC MANEGEMENT Toshhko Oda (1), Kochro Iwaoka (2) (1), (2) Infrastructure Systems Busness Unt, Panasonc System Networks Co., Ltd. Saedo-cho

More information

THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES

THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES THE METHOD OF LEAST SQUARES The goal: to measure (determne) an unknown quantty x (the value of a RV X) Realsaton: n results: y 1, y 2,..., y j,..., y n, (the measured values of Y 1, Y 2,..., Y j,..., Y n ) every result s encumbered

More information

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression How to measure assocaton I: Correlaton. 1. Measurng assocaton usng correlaton and regresson We often would lke to know how one varable, such as a mother's weght, s related to another varable, such as a

More information

Staff Paper. Farm Savings Accounts: Examining Income Variability, Eligibility, and Benefits. Brent Gloy, Eddy LaDue, and Charles Cuykendall

Staff Paper. Farm Savings Accounts: Examining Income Variability, Eligibility, and Benefits. Brent Gloy, Eddy LaDue, and Charles Cuykendall SP 2005-02 August 2005 Staff Paper Department of Appled Economcs and Management Cornell Unversty, Ithaca, New York 14853-7801 USA Farm Savngs Accounts: Examnng Income Varablty, Elgblty, and Benefts Brent

More information

SUPPLIER FINANCING AND STOCK MANAGEMENT. A JOINT VIEW.

SUPPLIER FINANCING AND STOCK MANAGEMENT. A JOINT VIEW. SUPPLIER FINANCING AND STOCK MANAGEMENT. A JOINT VIEW. Lucía Isabel García Cebrán Departamento de Economía y Dreccón de Empresas Unversdad de Zaragoza Gran Vía, 2 50.005 Zaragoza (Span) Phone: 976-76-10-00

More information

Statistical Methods to Develop Rating Models

Statistical Methods to Develop Rating Models Statstcal Methods to Develop Ratng Models [Evelyn Hayden and Danel Porath, Österrechsche Natonalbank and Unversty of Appled Scences at Manz] Source: The Basel II Rsk Parameters Estmaton, Valdaton, and

More information

Economic Interpretation of Regression. Theory and Applications

Economic Interpretation of Regression. Theory and Applications Economc Interpretaton of Regresson Theor and Applcatons Classcal and Baesan Econometrc Methods Applcaton of mathematcal statstcs to economc data for emprcal support Economc theor postulates a qualtatve

More information

CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION

CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION CHAPTER 14 MORE ABOUT REGRESSION We learned n Chapter 5 that often a straght lne descrbes the pattern of a relatonshp between two quanttatve varables. For nstance, n Example 5.1 we explored the relatonshp

More information

Calculation of Sampling Weights

Calculation of Sampling Weights Perre Foy Statstcs Canada 4 Calculaton of Samplng Weghts 4.1 OVERVIEW The basc sample desgn used n TIMSS Populatons 1 and 2 was a two-stage stratfed cluster desgn. 1 The frst stage conssted of a sample

More information

On the Optimal Control of a Cascade of Hydro-Electric Power Stations

On the Optimal Control of a Cascade of Hydro-Electric Power Stations On the Optmal Control of a Cascade of Hydro-Electrc Power Statons M.C.M. Guedes a, A.F. Rbero a, G.V. Smrnov b and S. Vlela c a Department of Mathematcs, School of Scences, Unversty of Porto, Portugal;

More information

The Application of Fractional Brownian Motion in Option Pricing

The Application of Fractional Brownian Motion in Option Pricing Vol. 0, No. (05), pp. 73-8 http://dx.do.org/0.457/jmue.05.0..6 The Applcaton of Fractonal Brownan Moton n Opton Prcng Qng-xn Zhou School of Basc Scence,arbn Unversty of Commerce,arbn zhouqngxn98@6.com

More information

Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Statistical Association, August 5-9, 2001

Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Statistical Association, August 5-9, 2001 Proceedngs of the Annual Meetng of the Amercan Statstcal Assocaton, August 5-9, 2001 LIST-ASSISTED SAMPLING: THE EFFECT OF TELEPHONE SYSTEM CHANGES ON DESIGN 1 Clyde Tucker, Bureau of Labor Statstcs James

More information

Robust Design of Public Storage Warehouses. Yeming (Yale) Gong EMLYON Business School

Robust Design of Public Storage Warehouses. Yeming (Yale) Gong EMLYON Business School Robust Desgn of Publc Storage Warehouses Yemng (Yale) Gong EMLYON Busness School Rene de Koster Rotterdam school of management, Erasmus Unversty Abstract We apply robust optmzaton and revenue management

More information

Using an Ordered Probit Regression Model to Assess the Performance of Real Estate Brokers

Using an Ordered Probit Regression Model to Assess the Performance of Real Estate Brokers Usng an Ordered Probt Regresson Model to Assess the Performance of Real Estate Brokers Chun-Chang Lee, Department of Real Estate Management, Natonal Pngtung Insttute of Commerce, Tawan Shu-Man You, Department

More information

The Probability of Informed Trading and the Performance of Stock in an Order-Driven Market

The Probability of Informed Trading and the Performance of Stock in an Order-Driven Market Asa-Pacfc Journal of Fnancal Studes (2007) v36 n6 pp871-896 The Probablty of Informed Tradng and the Performance of Stock n an Order-Drven Market Ta Ma * Natonal Sun Yat-Sen Unversty, Tawan Mng-hua Hseh

More information

Data Mining from the Information Systems: Performance Indicators at Masaryk University in Brno

Data Mining from the Information Systems: Performance Indicators at Masaryk University in Brno Data Mnng from the Informaton Systems: Performance Indcators at Masaryk Unversty n Brno Mkuláš Bek EUA Workshop Strasbourg, 1-2 December 2006 1 Locaton of Brno Brno EUA Workshop Strasbourg, 1-2 December

More information

WORKING PAPER. C.D. Howe Institute. The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Marginal Cost of Public Funds for Provincial Governments

WORKING PAPER. C.D. Howe Institute. The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Marginal Cost of Public Funds for Provincial Governments MARCH 211 C.D. Howe Insttute WORKING PAPER FISCAL AND TAX COMPETITIVENESS The Effects of Tax Rate Changes on Tax Bases and the Margnal Cost of Publc Funds for Provncal Governments Bev Dahlby Ergete Ferede

More information

Traditional versus Online Courses, Efforts, and Learning Performance

Traditional versus Online Courses, Efforts, and Learning Performance Tradtonal versus Onlne Courses, Efforts, and Learnng Performance Kuang-Cheng Tseng, Department of Internatonal Trade, Chung-Yuan Chrstan Unversty, Tawan Shan-Yng Chu, Department of Internatonal Trade,

More information

Tourism and trade in OECD countries. A dynamic heterogeneous panel data analysis

Tourism and trade in OECD countries. A dynamic heterogeneous panel data analysis Toursm and trade n OECD countres. A dynamc heterogeneous panel data analyss María Santana-Gallego a, Francsco Ledesma-Rodríguez a, Jorge V. Pérez-Rodríguez b* a Facultad de Cencas Económcas y Empresarales,

More information

Macro Factors and Volatility of Treasury Bond Returns

Macro Factors and Volatility of Treasury Bond Returns Macro Factors and Volatlty of Treasury Bond Returns Jngzh Huang Department of Fnance Smeal Colleage of Busness Pennsylvana State Unversty Unversty Park, PA 16802, U.S.A. Le Lu School of Fnance Shangha

More information

Management Quality, Financial and Investment Policies, and. Asymmetric Information

Management Quality, Financial and Investment Policies, and. Asymmetric Information Management Qualty, Fnancal and Investment Polces, and Asymmetrc Informaton Thomas J. Chemmanur * Imants Paegls ** and Karen Smonyan *** Current verson: December 2007 * Professor of Fnance, Carroll School

More information

Marginal Benefit Incidence Analysis Using a Single Cross-section of Data. Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and Quentin Wodon 1. World Bank.

Marginal Benefit Incidence Analysis Using a Single Cross-section of Data. Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and Quentin Wodon 1. World Bank. Margnal Beneft Incdence Analyss Usng a Sngle Cross-secton of Data Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and uentn Wodon World Bank August 200 Abstract In a recent paper, Lanjouw and Ravallon proposed an attractve and smple

More information

WORKING PAPERS. The Impact of Technological Change and Lifestyles on the Energy Demand of Households

WORKING PAPERS. The Impact of Technological Change and Lifestyles on the Energy Demand of Households ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNG WORKING PAPERS The Impact of Technologcal Change and Lfestyles on the Energy Demand of Households A Combnaton of Aggregate and Indvdual Household Analyss

More information

DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT

DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT CelersSystems DEFINING %COMPLETE IN MICROSOFT PROJECT PREPARED BY James E Aksel, PMP, PMI-SP, MVP For Addtonal Informaton about Earned Value Management Systems and reportng, please contact: CelersSystems,

More information

Reporting Forms ARF 113.0A, ARF 113.0B, ARF 113.0C and ARF 113.0D FIRB Corporate (including SME Corporate), Sovereign and Bank Instruction Guide

Reporting Forms ARF 113.0A, ARF 113.0B, ARF 113.0C and ARF 113.0D FIRB Corporate (including SME Corporate), Sovereign and Bank Instruction Guide Reportng Forms ARF 113.0A, ARF 113.0B, ARF 113.0C and ARF 113.0D FIRB Corporate (ncludng SME Corporate), Soveregn and Bank Instructon Gude Ths nstructon gude s desgned to assst n the completon of the FIRB

More information

The impact of hard discount control mechanism on the discount volatility of UK closed-end funds

The impact of hard discount control mechanism on the discount volatility of UK closed-end funds Investment Management and Fnancal Innovatons, Volume 10, Issue 3, 2013 Ahmed F. Salhn (Egypt) The mpact of hard dscount control mechansm on the dscount volatlty of UK closed-end funds Abstract The mpact

More information

Gender differences in revealed risk taking: evidence from mutual fund investors

Gender differences in revealed risk taking: evidence from mutual fund investors Economcs Letters 76 (2002) 151 158 www.elsever.com/ locate/ econbase Gender dfferences n revealed rsk takng: evdence from mutual fund nvestors a b c, * Peggy D. Dwyer, James H. Glkeson, John A. Lst a Unversty

More information

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic Lagrange Multplers as Quanttatve Indcators n Economcs Ivan Mezník Insttute of Informatcs, Faculty of Busness and Management, Brno Unversty of TechnologCzech Republc Abstract The quanttatve role of Lagrange

More information

14.74 Lecture 5: Health (2)

14.74 Lecture 5: Health (2) 14.74 Lecture 5: Health (2) Esther Duflo February 17, 2004 1 Possble Interventons Last tme we dscussed possble nterventons. Let s take one: provdng ron supplements to people, for example. From the data,

More information

ARTICLE IN PRESS. Energy Policy

ARTICLE IN PRESS. Energy Policy Energy Polcy 37 (2009) 2249 2261 Contents lsts avalable at ScenceDrect Energy Polcy journal homepage: www.elsever.com/locate/enpol Measurng effcency and productvty change (PTF) n the Peruvan electrcty

More information

Section 5.4 Annuities, Present Value, and Amortization

Section 5.4 Annuities, Present Value, and Amortization Secton 5.4 Annutes, Present Value, and Amortzaton Present Value In Secton 5.2, we saw that the present value of A dollars at nterest rate per perod for n perods s the amount that must be deposted today

More information

MINIMISING INVENTORY COSTS BY PROPERLY CHOOSING THE LEVEL OF SAFETY STOCK

MINIMISING INVENTORY COSTS BY PROPERLY CHOOSING THE LEVEL OF SAFETY STOCK ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS REVIEW VOL. No. 2 2009 09 7 09 MINIMISING INVENTORY COSTS BY PROPERLY CHOOSING THE LEVEL OF SAFETY STOCK LILJANA FERBAR TRATAR* ABSTRACT: Markets are everyday becomng ever more demandng

More information

The Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey,

The Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey, Busness Brths and Deaths Impact of busness brths and deaths n the payroll survey The CES probablty-based sample redesgn accounts for most busness brth employment through the mputaton of busness deaths,

More information

International University of Japan Public Management & Policy Analysis Program

International University of Japan Public Management & Policy Analysis Program Internatonal Unversty of Japan Publc Management & Polcy Analyss Program Practcal Gudes To Panel Data Modelng: A Step by Step Analyss Usng Stata * Hun Myoung Park, Ph.D. kucc65@uj.ac.jp 1. Introducton.

More information

High Correlation between Net Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Willingness to Pay (Empirical Evidence from European Mobile Markets)

High Correlation between Net Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Willingness to Pay (Empirical Evidence from European Mobile Markets) Hgh Correlaton between et Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Wllngness to Pay (Emprcal Evdence from European Moble Marets Ths paper shows that the correlaton between the et Promoter Score

More information

Chapter XX More advanced approaches to the analysis of survey data. Gad Nathan Hebrew University Jerusalem, Israel. Abstract

Chapter XX More advanced approaches to the analysis of survey data. Gad Nathan Hebrew University Jerusalem, Israel. Abstract Household Sample Surveys n Developng and Transton Countres Chapter More advanced approaches to the analyss of survey data Gad Nathan Hebrew Unversty Jerusalem, Israel Abstract In the present chapter, we

More information

Covariate-based pricing of automobile insurance

Covariate-based pricing of automobile insurance Insurance Markets and Companes: Analyses and Actuaral Computatons, Volume 1, Issue 2, 2010 José Antono Ordaz (Span), María del Carmen Melgar (Span) Covarate-based prcng of automoble nsurance Abstract Ths

More information

Estimating Total Claim Size in the Auto Insurance Industry: a Comparison between Tweedie and Zero-Adjusted Inverse Gaussian Distribution

Estimating Total Claim Size in the Auto Insurance Industry: a Comparison between Tweedie and Zero-Adjusted Inverse Gaussian Distribution Estmatng otal Clam Sze n the Auto Insurance Industry: a Comparson between weede and Zero-Adjusted Inverse Gaussan Dstrbuton Autora: Adrana Bruscato Bortoluzzo, Italo De Paula Franca, Marco Antono Leonel

More information

How To Understand The Results Of The German Meris Cloud And Water Vapour Product

How To Understand The Results Of The German Meris Cloud And Water Vapour Product Ttel: Project: Doc. No.: MERIS level 3 cloud and water vapour products MAPP MAPP-ATBD-ClWVL3 Issue: 1 Revson: 0 Date: 9.12.1998 Functon Name Organsaton Sgnature Date Author: Bennartz FUB Preusker FUB Schüller

More information

Structural Estimation of Variety Gains from Trade Integration in a Heterogeneous Firms Framework

Structural Estimation of Variety Gains from Trade Integration in a Heterogeneous Firms Framework Journal of Economcs and Econometrcs Vol. 55, No.2, 202 pp. 78-93 SSN 2032-9652 E-SSN 2032-9660 Structural Estmaton of Varety Gans from Trade ntegraton n a Heterogeneous Frms Framework VCTOR RVAS ABSTRACT

More information

! # %& ( ) +,../ 0 1 2 3 4 0 4 # 5##&.6 7% 8 # 0 4 2 #...

! # %& ( ) +,../ 0 1 2 3 4 0 4 # 5##&.6 7% 8 # 0 4 2 #... ! # %& ( ) +,../ 0 1 2 3 4 0 4 # 5##&.6 7% 8 # 0 4 2 #... 9 Sheffeld Economc Research Paper Seres SERP Number: 2011010 ISSN 1749-8368 Sarah Brown, Aurora Ortz-Núñez and Karl Taylor Educatonal loans and

More information

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek HE DISRIBUION OF LOAN PORFOLIO VALUE * Oldrch Alfons Vascek he amount of captal necessary to support a portfolo of debt securtes depends on the probablty dstrbuton of the portfolo loss. Consder a portfolo

More information

8.5 UNITARY AND HERMITIAN MATRICES. The conjugate transpose of a complex matrix A, denoted by A*, is given by

8.5 UNITARY AND HERMITIAN MATRICES. The conjugate transpose of a complex matrix A, denoted by A*, is given by 6 CHAPTER 8 COMPLEX VECTOR SPACES 5. Fnd the kernel of the lnear transformaton gven n Exercse 5. In Exercses 55 and 56, fnd the mage of v, for the ndcated composton, where and are gven by the followng

More information

Capital efficiency and market value in knowledge and capitalintensive firms: an empirical study

Capital efficiency and market value in knowledge and capitalintensive firms: an empirical study Ganpaolo Iazzolno (Italy), Guseppe Mglano (Italy), Rosa Forgone (Italy), Marangela Grmonte (Italy) Captal effcency and market value n knowledge and captalntensve frms: an emprcal study Abstract The ncreasng

More information

Scale Dependence of Overconfidence in Stock Market Volatility Forecasts

Scale Dependence of Overconfidence in Stock Market Volatility Forecasts Scale Dependence of Overconfdence n Stoc Maret Volatlty Forecasts Marus Glaser, Thomas Langer, Jens Reynders, Martn Weber* June 7, 007 Abstract In ths study, we analyze whether volatlty forecasts (judgmental

More information

Location Factors for Non-Ferrous Exploration Investments

Location Factors for Non-Ferrous Exploration Investments Locaton Factors for Non-Ferrous Exploraton Investments Irna Khndanova Unversty of Denver Ths paper analyzes the relatve mportance of geologcal potental and nvestment clmate for nonferrous mnerals exploraton

More information