Potential and implementation plans for offshore wind energy

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1 Potential and implementation plans for offshore wind energy Wojciech P. Cetnarski PWEA President Hamburg, 21 October

2 PWEA Polish Wind Energy Association is a non-governmental organisation active since 1999, having more than 100 member companies a member of: European Wind Energy Association Global Wind Energy Council 2

3 Wind energy development in Poland Onshore [MW] Offshore [MW] Small turbines [MW] Source: Ministry of Economy 3

Current development status of offshore wind energy in Europe Total as of 31 12 2012: Installed capacity in the EU in 2012: 4 995 MW.

Offshore wind farms in Europe are located in 10 countries (UK 2 947.9 MW 58.9% of Europe's capacity; Denmark - 921 MW 18.4%).

4 Current development status of offshore wind energy in Europe Total as of : Installed capacity in the EU in 2012: MW. Such capacity may produce 18 TWh of electricity per year, i.e. 0.5% of total EU electricity demand. Offshore wind farms in Europe are located in 10 countries (UK MW 58.9% of Europe's capacity; Denmark MW 18.4%) only: Total capacity connected to the grid: MW, i.e. 33% more than in 2011 Investments in excess of 4 billion

5 What offshore may bring to Poland Growth of the shipyard and naval industry, which is already significantly involved in offshore energy projects on North See. Development of the offshore supply chain industries. Development of coastal areas mainly ports and logistic services. Greater energy self-reliance. Substantial contribution to the achievement of the EU targets and strategies concerning counteracting climate change after

Development of coastal areas mainly ports and logistic services. Greater energy self-reliance.

6 Offshore wind energy in Poland 65 location applications filed 25 permits issued 8 permits paid for (approximately 25 million) 9 permits have expired 8 permits awaiting payment (approximately 10 million) 23 permits refused Granica strefy ekonomicznej Granica morza terytorialnego Główne lokalizacje potencjalnych MFW (do 6 GW) Istniejąca infrastruktura portowa Potencjalne lokalizacje dodatkowej infrastruktury logistycznej dla MEW Świnoujście Kołobrzeg Ustka/Słupsk Darłowo Władysławowo Gdynia/ Gdańsk Producenci sprzętu lub komponentów dla MEW w UE Potencjalne lokalizacje infrastruktury technicznej dla MEW w Polsce Szczecin Existing and potential infrastructural and technological base for offshore wind energy in Poland, E&Y own work 6

Potencjalne lokalizacje dodatkowej infrastruktury logistycznej dla MEW Świnoujście Kołobrzeg Ustka/Słupsk Darłowo Władysławowo Gdynia/ Gdańsk Producenci sprzętu lub komponentów dla MEW

The Offshore wind energy analysis of benefits for the Polish economy and development determinants report Report developed by Ernst &Young for PWEA First report estimating the impact of offshore wind

7 The Offshore wind energy analysis of benefits for the Polish economy and development determinants report Report developed by Ernst &Young for PWEA First report estimating the impact of offshore wind energy development in Poland on the economy Analysis of the current and future offshore wind energy development until 2025 in 3 installed capacity scenarios and an analysis of investment impact on the Polish economy worldmaritimenews.com 7

the economy Analysis of the current and future offshore wind energy development until 2025 in 3 installed capacity

8 GW Development scenarios The report analyses three offshore wind energy development scenarios for Poland until 2025: 6.0 GW rapid development scenario (base scenario). 3.5 GW moderate development scenario. 1.0 GW slow development scenario. 6, Development of the first investments (costless operation of the support scheme) 3,5 1, Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Offshore wind installed capacity development scenarios for Poland, , E&Y own work 8

6,0 4 3 2 1 Development of the first investments (costless operation of the support scheme) 3,5 1,0 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

9 Expected Economic Benefits More then 18 billion! 9

10 Avoided CO2 Emissions GW million tco million tco million tco Avoided CO2 emission costs PLN billion Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Avoided CO2 emissions in the three offshore wind development scenarios until 2025, E&Y own estmates 10

5 2 Avoided CO2 emission costs PLN billion Scenario 1 Scenario 2

11 Regulatory Environment 1. Although Poland has very high potential for offshore wind energy development as well as for the development of offshore industry and auxiliary services no clear regulatory framework for offshore has been proposed by the government so far. 2. Works on the draft RES Act, transposing the RES Directive and redefining the RES support system (RES Act) is currently being finalized by the government, bot no details regarding offshore wind support mechanism were published up to date. 3. Without such a clear and supporting RES Act, defining the support for offshore wind, Poland is going to play only a secondary role in development of this industry. 11

framework for offshore has been proposed by the government so far. 2.

Summary 1. Offshore wind energy is a great opportunity for the national shipbuilding and port industry, where Poland has substantial experience and competence. 2.

3. For several years Polish entrepreneurs have been demonstrating their strength and determination, winning contracts in the offshore sector, building ships, towers, foundations, platforms and

12 Summary 1. Offshore wind energy is a great opportunity for the national shipbuilding and port industry, where Poland has substantial experience and competence. 2. Ensuring relevant logistical base for offshore projects in Poland will not only boost development of coastal areas, but also contribute to the decrease of actual costs of the projects, i.e. the decrease of support and logistics costs. 3. For several years Polish entrepreneurs have been demonstrating their strength and determination, winning contracts in the offshore sector, building ships, towers, foundations, platforms and equipment for offshore wind farms. 4. The use of the Poland s potential and the support for the Polish economy by offshore wind energy investments will be possible only if clear and stable regulatory solutions for the sector are implemented. 12

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14 Thank you for attention Wojciech Cetnarski President of Board Polish Wind Energy Association 14

Polish Offshore Grid SA

Polish Offshore Grid SA OFFSHORE GRID DEVELOPMENT 1 Offshore wind farm development in selected European countries Country Installed capacity by the end of 2010 [MW] Approved projects [MW] 2020 targets [MW] UK 1.341 2.591 13.000